After 2016’s election, many of us were like, “what the heck is up with Republican Latinos?!? “ Are they ashamed of being Latino or about their immigrants roots? My student @solisrodolfo.bsky.social has nuanced answers, using in-depth interviews in South TX. journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...

There's a major civil rights protest taking place in Selma, Alabama, right now in response to the SCOTUS decision that weakened the Voting Rights Act and the ongoing attack on Black Americans’ political power (video: defiancedispatch/IG)

R, Python, Stata, SPSS, SAS, Matlab

MAJOR PERSONAL ANNOUNCEMENT @edsbs.bsky.social and I will be at Ann Arbor's Downtown Library on June 27, where we will rank history's greatest shipwrecks. It's free, like the dark embrace of the sea, and we would love to see (sea) you there. Come through!!

🚨New Bright Line Watch report on the rule of law in the US - joint w/@rickhasen.bsky.social's Strengthening Democracy Project at UCLA Law The most comprehensive expert survey to date - 21 federal judges, 113 elite lawyers, and 193 law profs brightlinewatch.org/erosion-of-t... 🧵 on findings below ⬇️

Alright, here's my contribution to the Is-Bluesky-Dying discourse: Bluesky is a record store davekarpf.beehiiv.com/p/bluesky-is...

🚨IT IS SNAKE FIGHT SEASON 🚨

🚨IT IS SNAKE FIGHT SEASON 🚨

The platform must be institutional reform & we need to look to both 🇺🇸 history & other countries for lessons on how to become a real representative democracy. Fun discussion with @perrybaconjr.bsky.social & @leedrutman.bsky.social on what needs to be ready to go & done immediately in January 2029.

Timely research from me and the Verasight team on how poorly “digital twins“ and “synthetic samples” replicate human response patterns (see Gallup news)

In a shocking twist, how other states “feel” about the leader is correlated with their willingness to help a country.

Peeps liked the picture of all my handwritten notebooks, so I thought I'd be more explicit in this short post about my writing process for Migration and the Origins of American Citizenship. And take a swipe at AI. Curious how other writers do it.

NEW - Partisan (In)Tolerance and Affective Polarization - https://cup.org/4ud30Lm - James Tilley, @tmbejan.bsky.social & @sarahobolt.bsky.social #OpenAccess

Literally a heist from government coffers and/or de jure instead of de facto impunity for tax crimes. We fought a revolution to not be ruled by a king.

Saving this for future classes about polarization and persuasion.

Either you believe in the fundamental idea that all people are created equal and deserve rules-based republican democracy, as proclaimed in the Declaration of Independence, the Seneca Falls Declaration, and the Gettysburg Address, or you reject that idea and prefer a country based on blood and soil.

The AJPS will be on a brief hiatus from Aug. 14 at 5:00 PM ET through Sept. 8 at 12:00 AM ET. During this time, new and revised manuscript submissions and manuscript status updates will be unavailable. Review submissions and editorial decisions will continue as normal.

Me, every time I check the news:

Me, every time I check the news:

Does the president not understand that the reflecting pool is not a swimming pool or.............

🚨The Toronto Political Behaviour Workshop is back for its 12th edition! Join us on Nov. 13–14, 2026 @UofT! We welcome paper/poster proposals on any topic in political behaviour, broadly defined! 📅 Submission Deadline: July 11. Apply here: utorontops.az1.qualtrics.com/jfe/form/SV_...

Come to Toronto! It’s a fun conference. Always good feedback, fun people, and a great city. @migcitizenapsa.bsky.social @apsainequality.bsky.social @apsarep.bsky.social

Huh

Bumping this in case you know anyone who can speak to the science in "The Body Keeps The Score" or works with patients who've experienced trauma. Thanks!

Great job alert ⬇️

AAHHHHHHHHHH

some things you can really only do the once or they become rote but if I could relive one moment this here would be high on the list www.youtube.com/watch?v=5s67...

And a lot of those moms who aren't in the workforce were pushed out *because of* our lack of paid family leave, equal pay, universal childcare, and universal healthcare. So, they'd probably prefer policies more than peonies, too.

Area woman runs 12k, will now only eat snack foods the rest of the day.

I am begging the media to get out of the two party horserace paralysis and frame these stories about the backsliding of American democracy.

Icelandic authorities just rerouted a planned hot water pipeline so as not to disturb an elf hill.

What government does or does not do is policy. Here, they reveal their preferences about what people and places they believe matter in the US.

This administration ended work from home policies that caused many federal employees who can't afford DC price to leave government. In the meantime, Cabinet Secretaries treat their jobs like a side hustle to their brand building.

me sleeping seven hours vs. me sleeping six hours and 42 minutes

Huh. The people who know a bunch of tradecraft are leaking. Surely, a podcaster will figure out who.

"So all the people took off their earrings and brought them to Aaron. He took what they handed him and made it into an idol cast in the shape of a calf, fashioning it with a tool. Then they said, 'These are your gods'."

Are you interested in conjoint experiments? Wrote about my new R package *cjdiag* on my website. Feedback welcome! dkarpa.github.io/blog/2026/be...

Department chair meeting with associate professor asking for a raise and a better parking spot

Love "greater use of AI only positive thing, never negative thing" as a frame for its use. Unfalsifiable AI hypothesis strikes again.

what if we don't agree that college primarily serves as a credentialling process and instead argue that it is intended to be a time of self-discovery, thinking, and participating in a set of tasks designed to make well-rounded persons

“Writing is hard.” Thrilled to share that this simple idea led to a new paper in Political Analysis! Where most text methods focus on content, I test if expression is also effortful action. I find simple measures like character counts reveal attitudes and predict voting. cup.org/4cUmoXi 1/

Remember when Trump said he could beat an NCAA championship-caliber swimmer* and everyone at CPAC applauded? This survey is a fascinating follow-up to that. *Riley Gaines is terrible but there is no way that man could beat her in a swimming race. None.

I think Damon should go full Boston in The Odyssey and yell “you think you’re better than me?!” at the cyclops.

girls only want one thing and it's to nap for 3-5 years

Tired: worrying about catching hantavirus after reading something on the internets whipped up by grifters and alarmists. Wired: worrying about the destruction of infectious disease and pandemic preparedness research and programming by Russell Vought and Donald Trump.

I found this thread helpful re: Hantavirus. Because I was having flashbacks to 2020, tbh.

watching the willful and steady destruction of respect and faith in all three branches of government is kind of depressing not going to lie

It's been truly disheartening to see how many grifters are exploiting distrust in public health and medicine to enrich themselves. It's profoundly destructive at a societal level, and with the advent of GenAI, I just don't know where to begin.