This race was such a massive swing blowout that Democrat Taylor Rehmet literally won a city called White Settlement

yet another data point for "the standard case for pragmatic electoral moderation would be more compelling if people stopped insisting that transgender issues are an electoral problem for Democrats"

those people on twitter who share screenshots of 7 arsenal players around the goalie every day

I love Starmerism, it's like "Uh no this guy can't be an MP because people like him. Only people everyone hates can be in Labour." It is so cool and smart.

Mark Carney's speech is now only the second most acute analysis of where the world is at right now:

Absolutely killer chart backing up what we all know - Starmer chasing the anti-immigrant vote isn't going to work

pretty sure he meant the other thing, grok, but very cool that those are your two things

Trump accepting Machado's Nobel Peace Prize is a great insult to the FIFA Peace Prize committee

Buttons are back. Knobs are back. Dumb devices are back. Own-it-forever software is back. Print is back. Personal websites and chronological feeds are back. Touching grass is back. People keep saying 2015, but it’s not far enough. The entire 2010s were a mistake. We must retvrn to… 2009.

Priceless

I’M LOSING MY SHIT THIS IS SO FUNNY

Innocent people end up in our criminal courts. Completely, terrifyingly innocent. And all that stands between them and losing everything is a fair trial. Politicians would do well to remember this when they tell us that justice is all about processing “criminals” swiftly.

Home Office inadvertently bans historical research about the Dunkirk evacuation.

As you do fewer things at outlier level it gets harder to justify needing to carry a defensive deadweight

Finally got round to writing a methodology for the model simon.football/p/analytic-f...

About to push some decent upgrades to the model at analytic.football Big change is model now uses recent average errors to move future ratings - so less fluctuation in the ratings but still moving as quickly when it is consistently wrong Result is less bouncy ratings (new ones on the left)

British and Australian chemists have discovered a powerful new antibiotic called pre-methylenomycin C lactone, hiding in a well-known soil bacterium. This molecule kills drug-resistant bacteria without triggering resistance. buff.ly/YlXaONo #ShareGoodNewsToo

Every time I see this I believe slightly more that this was the most important survey ever conducted.

spot on

Yes, I think this is what the “it’s smart not to do income tax” stuff is missing. If you remove salary sacrifice on someone’s pension contributions you are increasing their income tax! If you freeze thresholds you are increasing their income tax!

What is wrong with these people. They just spent two weeks rolling the pitch for a U-turn on a policy they didn’t even do yet?

Please share. Last seen in Twycross area, in Nw Leics/ South Derbyshire area. Didn't turn up for football training and car abandoned. A friend's son :(. #lufc #wba

Judging from Mandelson, Rayner, this means he should be in his last 48 hours in the job

Throw them all in jail, seize their fortunes, give us UBI and healthcare. I know I'm just fantasizing but it's weird how many people don't realize that THIS is what everyone on the left is thinking about, not protecting abusers who happen to be Democrats.

Emily Maitlis brags about her, Deb Cohen, and Hannah Barnes getting the Tavistock GIDS service shut down. What she doesn't talk about is how Newsnight journalists manufactured outrage and concocted "scandals" based on unethical journalism - which they were called out for, but tried to hide... 🔥🧵

The memo complaining bout doctoring the speech to make it more incendiary was...also doctoring the speech but for the opposite effect? Hmmmmmmmm

Folks what are we doing here this is completely meaningless

NEW The letter the BBC could send back to Trump A proposal for a reply to his $1bn claim By me. Enjoy. emptycity.substack.com/p/the-letter...

The edit was bad journalism, but ultimately the thing that it is purported to have "misled" the viewer into believing is substantially true. Trump DID explicitly encourage the riots. Maddening that it seems to have been forgotten. Two top brass resigning over this? Jfc, we're fucked

It’s not at all clear to me how the BBC can do any kind of serious journalism if its top two bosses can be forced to quit over such an obviously confected scandal. There is no substantive error here. How can the BBC report on Trump, or Farage, or anyone else, in these circumstances?

Losing both the director-general and the very obvious heir apparent as the result of such an orchestrated attack is truly existential stuff for the BBC. It’s also a *massive* challenge for Lisa Nandy, who has so far failed to impress anyone as culture secretary.

Putting dead balls into the box is free money

Now that everybody is caught up on long throws it's time to start talking about Dyche Zone free kicks

Violent crime peaked in 1995 according to the Crime Survey for England and Wales..

Terrible headline on a good article. It’s the world’s taste for MEAT that’s fuelling Amazon destruction. The soya is cattle feed.

Pure number salad

Reform are now coming after people with permanent residency. It'll be citizens next. No one is safe from authoritarian governments.

Anthony Gordon's dedication to recreating all of Princess Diana's iconic looks is to be admired

BBC What are you doing running a full article on an objectively terrible model's outputs. CIES giving Liverpool 28% and Forest 7% of the title smh

✍️ New article: "How Britain built some of the world’s safest roads" Decades ago, Britain’s roads were much more dangerous. Cars had no seatbelts, airbags, mirrors, or flashing indicators. Traffic signs and signals were rare, and speed limits and other rules were rarely enforced.

Survey of Jewish voter opinions. Lotta no shit Sherlock stuff in here, but NB: 80% of Jewish women voted Harris preserving democracy + abortion are the top 2 issues for Jews BY FAR almost all Jews think praising 10/7 is antisemitic, few think criticizing "Israeli war strategy" (their words) is.

👀

A play in three acts

Big notes of caution on reading Okafor's FBRef bars, very few minutes and a bunch as striker, with massive sub effects. Taking out the striker mins, and accounting for sub effects. Last 2 seasons Moves the ball into the box a bunch, nice outlet carrier & dribbler, hope he can add more shots

The reason Liverpool and other big clubs sell a lot of academy players is that it’s incredibly rare for a youth prospect to turn into a viable contributor for a title-contending PL side, so the majority of academy “successes” are just going to be guys who are good enough to earn a £20 million fee

Model output and projections for the new PL season. ***Model has no off-season info, so is rating teams on their May 2025 level, it will adjust pretty quick as we get some matches played*** I expect Brentford, Wolves to be worse than model suggests I expect Tottenham to be better

new Expecting Goals study looking at age curves in soccer and separating out skills of passing, shooting, ball-carrying and defending: www.expectinggoals.com/p/building-m...