Did Delilah last night (excellent food and immaculate vibes). Now off the strip for pho.

New Patreon exclusive episode! @patrickbvs.bsky.social and @shelatneel.bsky.social talk about how clubs build their talent pipelines by specializing in unique knowledge of one country: www.patreon.com/posts/video-...

We've got a cool new part-time, remote opportunity with our group. It’s a 10-week project-based Quantitative Research internship (paid) with the expectation of 15 hours/week of work. We designed this with students in mind, but open to anyone. Apply at link: job-boards.greenhouse.io/detroitlions...

This week's Variance Betting column will be out in a couple of hours. I was supposed to be on holiday this week, but we're making it work. The PL card in particular is surprisingly aggressive, so sign up and enjoy the best gambling analysis on the Internet.

Agreed to get back on the @thetransferflow.bsky.social podcast this week only because we talked about a team that is NOT top of the Azerbaijan Premier League (among other UCL participants): www.youtube.com/watch?v=dYDe...

NYC you were awesome, as always. Vegas next!

Ended +3.5 last night, +5 on the week. Up about 200K on these leagues so far this season (over 100% on the bankroll), and creating some VERY happy Variance Betting subscribers. [Past results are no guarantee of future results. Example: This is better than last season!]

Tough one on the highlight of the night. Dan Burns curling header, or @mixedknuts.bsky.social flying in at the back post with the winning tips once again 💪👌

Steven Nzonzi- yes, THAT Steven Nzonzi - has scored for Stoke.

What are you trying?

REMINDER: This is tonight.

Atalanta have HOW MANY Serie A draws so far this season? 7? In ten matches?!?

Contrary to @kimischilling.bsky.social 's claim in the newsletter today: I don't actually gamble in Vegas. I only play things with edge! (+2 in the PL this weekend, -.5 in the Champ. Approaching +200k on the season, which is wild.) Subscribe for analysis www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

NYC PEOPLE: I'm going to do a small meetup Tuesday (tomorrow) at Evil Twin in Dumbo from 4-6. Feel free to stop by and discuss soccer nerd/football nerd/ business nerd stuff.

Contrary to @kimischilling.bsky.social 's claim in the newsletter today: I don't actually gamble in Vegas. I only play things with edge! (+2 in the PL this weekend, -.5 in the Champ. Approaching +200k on the season, which is wild.) Subscribe for analysis www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

NYC PEOPLE: I'm going to do a small meetup Tuesday (tomorrow) at Evil Twin in Dumbo from 4-6. Feel free to stop by and discuss soccer nerd/football nerd/ business nerd stuff.

One of my happy places. (But I gotta exercise a ton when I am here bc the food is TOO GOOD.)

My last thing on the Chat GPT coaching thing is that I made a twitter account where I’d ask chat gpt to write threads on some tactical concept and post them with pictures of chess boards, and within 2 weeks it had followers from 10+ PL and MLS Clubs. Coach brain is so susceptible to grift.

*loud noises*

Variance Betting is on an absolute heater to start the season: Premier League: +5.5 Championship: +7.5 Champions League: +4.5 Analysis of lines from these 3 competitions every week to help you bet smarter ⬇ www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

Ate at Atoboy last night. It was good and weird. Best dish was probably the squash, followed by the fluke and the ribs. Still want to get into Atomix some day.

I really miss the game flow of old Twitter and the football space. Still slightly challenging to find it these days OR people just stopped? [I am also people, but part of my problem is I am watching half men's and half women's games now!]

Looked at some numbers to not merely board but absolutely get on top of the Arsenal hypetrain Mumbai local style. For @thetransferflow.bsky.social: www.thetransferflow.com/p/you-may-no...

Epic thumbnail work from the team, as we catch up on el Clasico and the PL about 1/4 of the way through the season. Plus a sprinkle of transfer rumours and analysis.

Always fascinating watching people underestimate the size of London vs other UK ciries. On an average weekday, more journeys are made on JUST the Elizabeth line than the ENTIRE population of Liverpool. If the Tube was a city, its average daily passengers would make it the 2nd largest in the UK.

New podcast! @patrickbvs.bsky.social and @mixedknuts.bsky.social investigate which Premier League clubs are actually good, and which ones have some serious fundamental problems. www.youtube.com/watch?v=zvlo...

We've got enough data to get a read on everyone in the Premier League now, and go through who's over and underrated. Enjoy the chaotic table while it lasts, it's not going to look this fun for very long. www.thetransferflow.com/p/overrated-...

Well that’s a new one

I forgot to tell you what the episode is about! In the new Patreon, we discussed - Whether coaches matter (with insight from someone who has actually advised and hired coaches). - Analysis of Gyokeres' shot locations - Erling Haaland's freestyle jazz centre forward play. - Much more B-roll

We launched @TheTransferFlow podcast Patreon this week. More content and a chance for listeners to support our great team. Check it out, and thank you! www.patreon.com/cw/TheTransf...

Working on the Variance Betting analysis for the weekend and genuinely not sure how much I should penalise Brentford for how bad West Ham are.

Back on @thetransferflow.bsky.social podcast to talk through this week's Champions League action and a few interesting storylines to follow going forward: www.youtube.com/watch?v=rWe_...

Every time I bet on a Real Madrid match this season, you know you are riding the shots variance train. 28 shots at home to Juventus - 2.43 expected goals. It feels like football in 2010 all over again.

Tonight's gambling results...

Xabi Alonso has put together a new look Real Madrid that feeds Kylian Mbappe a ton of chances, and Arda Güler is at the heart of it. www.thetransferflow.com/p/arda-g-ler...

Just about to drop my most aggressive day of the season for Variance Betting. So many interesting gambling matchups tonight across the Champions League and English Championship. Sign up for some of the world's best gambling analysis below. www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

Yep, this was fun and traumatic. 31 shots to 15. 0-3.

A losing night for me (dodged some bullets, too), and I did NOT have a bet on it but... The Ipswich vs Charlton game ended 30 shots to 15... and 0-3. Football is amazing.

New podcast! @patrickbvs.bsky.social and @mixedknuts.bsky.social talk about: • How Man City's tactics are evolving • Liverpool and Man United both looking flawed, but fun • The wild Serie A title race www.youtube.com/watch?v=DCoY...

*pops head above ground, briefly* Yeah, no, not wading into that discourse today or any other day. But like the proliferation of radars, it's probably at least directionally correct to blame me.

Olympiakos' defense in the league through seven matches. Well done, lads! Now you have Barcelona...

This photo accompanying a news story about the heist at the Louvre is perfection.

Want to see an xG race chart that will probably piss off both sets of fans? *wakes up on Monday morning* *chooses violence*

This Louvre Heist is the perfect moment to reboot a Thomas Crown franchise. Who would you get to play Crown in the modern day and who would play the Rene Russo/Faye Dunaway role?

The early season gambling heater is VERY welcome. Usually at this time of the season I am wondering why I'm such an idiot.

+5 for Variance Betting across the PL and Champ yesterday. Continues an amazing start to the season. Now we're somehow rooting for Man United +1 against Liverpool at Anfield? 😬 Numbers, man...

The event organizers say 7m people showed up. That would mean ~1 out of every 50 Americans came out to protest the president

Great start to the season after signing up to variance betting. @mixedknuts.bsky.social doing the business so far @thetransferflow.bsky.social 😎👏

@mixedknuts.bsky.social unbelievable run of Championship tips, top work 👍👏

London is proud to host Japan's Grand Sumo Tournament this week - it's fantastic to see the the teams using our cycling infrastructure to get around.