Ridiculous headline, not much better polling phrasing either Agree-disagree scales! I weep

A majority of Labour party members - who are on any metric rather more socially liberal than the average voter - back ID cards. Plenty of polling showing they are popular with voters in general. Perhaps the zombie myth that British voters oppose them will die at last? labourlist.org/2025/09/digi...

RIP Giorgio Armani

This screenshot on the last TikTok I watched has absolutely floored me - Pure Cinema

If you see me staring into the distance today, this is what I’m thinking about

genuinely losing in, what is the food in this tesco advert

Spotted in Bristol - A 2005 poster featuring Tim Martin boasting about “Wetherspoon’s Value”

I think I may have a whole tube to myself? What do I do? Run up and down? Play my music out loud? The world is full of possibilities and that’s the scariest thing of all

Yes, that's the point. Folks, its already hard to reach 18-24 year olds, loads harder among 18-24 non-grads who are very important to survey, and if we want to understand 18-24 non-grad-males (who may vote Reform), it becomes harder still. Its not impossible, but its hard already.

PS. We'll need to be careful about polls of 16-17 yr olds until we have good confidence in samples and adjusting for turnout. I say Greens only because its Greens who are capturing protest votes from Labour among young voters atm, and may be able to mobilise preferences>votes.

Fewer than half of adults know how many millions there are in a billion. (Polling for Tax Policy Associates) taxpolicy.org.uk/2024/10/26/t...

✈️ Britain’s talked about a third runway at Heathrow for two decades. Our new report with @BritishProgress shows how a flight could take off before 2029 - if Parliament chooses to speed up the process through a Public Bill.

It could well be! Labour lead on the “best PM” question and much else besides. The first Wilson government was re-elected too and it also started disastrously.

Here's one for you - Amongst age groups, Labour voter movement is remarkably steady. The retention drops off over age, Reform is more popular with older voters and the Greens are more popular amongst young voters - Otherwise, there are only fairly minor differences.

My Big Beautiful Bill is Horrible Histories-casted romp “Bill” from 2015

Apparently the big difference in the results is that those who claim to have had more than 20+ partners in the last year are much more likely to have voted Trump A telling reminder: people who have had 20+ partners in the past year ≠ people who *say* they’ve had 20+ partners in the last year

Anyway, let's see if Nigel pops one of these out in the next few weeks

With Trump just using the word "fuck" in an interview on Iran-Israel, this has become weirdly prescient! I doubt it's going to be the most important thing you look at today, but have a read on a UK perspective on swearing in politics below:

With Trump just using the word "fuck" in an interview on Iran-Israel, this has become weirdly prescient! I doubt it's going to be the most important thing you look at today, but have a read on a UK perspective on swearing in politics below:

The rise of Nigel Farage could lead you to believe that a more abrasive way of doing politics is popular. So, we wanted to test: Does the public want politicians to swear more? Should politicians try to be more colourful, by using more colourful language? The answer is ‘no’(-ish). A thread 🧵:

Cracking article about the GOAT of things to watch while you commute www.theguardian.com/lifeandstyle...

Interesting thread, especially as I don't think I've heard Farage swear any more than I've heard Starmer swear?

The rise of Nigel Farage could lead you to believe that a more abrasive way of doing politics is popular. So, we wanted to test: Does the public want politicians to swear more? Should politicians try to be more colourful, by using more colourful language? The answer is ‘no’(-ish). A thread 🧵:

A personal update: yesterday was my last day at Deltapoll. I’m going travelling for a couple of weeks before starting my new gig, where I will continue asking people for their opinions about politics and trying to figure out when they’re lying.

Bit of personal news: Last Thursday was my last day at @opiniumresearch.bsky.social after (bloody hell) almost 14 years. I've had a brilliant time working with some wonderful people and I'm leaving everything in the more than capable hands of @mrjcrouch.bsky.social and @priyaminhas.bsky.social

An absolute joy to work with and to be mentored by - Enjoy your weeks off heartily! 🍻

Today @labourtogether.bsky.social called for a Digital ID for all UK citizens and residents. There are many good reasons for this - convenience, efficiency of public services, avoiding another Windrush scandal, but also the impact on perceptions of migration. www.labourtogether.uk/all-reports/...

Some thoughts on our report, www.labourtogether.uk/all-reports/...

Completely commend the work of my colleagues on this - Take a read!: www.labourtogether.uk/all-reports/...

I’ve never understood the irrational opposition to universal ID in this country so very happy to see this in my inbox today

Downing Street exploring options for ‘progressive’ UK digital IDs

Martin Lewis, I’m coming for your job mate

UK electorate more fragmented than Humpty Dumpty

Today I had the pleasure of starting a new role as a Research Manager at Labour Together! A million thanks to the team for an incredibly warm welcome and can’t wait to get stuck even further into their fascinating and important work! 🌹

No - Not that job

My best bit of US mid-century pres memorabilia yet, get in

A little news - Yesterday was my last day at Opinium. I am leaving behind the most expert and caring team you could ever ask for. It’s a privilege to do a job you’re proud of with people you care about. I’ll still be working in political research, though! Something very exciting coming up soon 👀

The flaw in the 'Labour should come out for Rejoin' view is that 'the messenger' is an important part of how the public interact with policies. I frankly would not want a view I held to suddenly be taken by a very unpopular government.

Seen a few Americans saying that JD Vance has “done a Liz Truss” - THAT, my friends, is soft power

Sad to say, no time like the present

Top pope tbf

Staying in a hotel and this painting in the lobby feels like it’s dated a hundred years in a few weeks

St Matthew’s Passion for Good Friday was, as expected, quite the religious experience

Another week, another substack - This time about the hotly-debated issue of National Insurance. Enjoy and thanks to @adamdrummond.bsky.social for all the help!! opinium.substack.com/p/national-i...

Economic uncertainty update: The thing about veering wildly between policy positions, favouring and then discarding a new maverick advisor each week, and using contradictory justifications at every turn, is that even if one particular pivot is in the direction of sanity, chaos is the constant.

Europa Regina stans rise UP

Guys, is this good

An important piece of data on this - A majority (55%) of the country think they could eat an Easter-egg-sized Creme Egg in two hours or less

We need the ghost of Shinzo to come back, see the Japanese stock market, and tell Trump to cease - It is the only thing that will work at this point

📣 New report 📣 In a volatile world, we need an economy that is firing on all cylinders - but regional imbalances are driving overheating and stagnation in different places. www.labourtogether.uk/all-reports/...