Adam Drummond
@adamdrummond.bsky.social
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Head of Quant Research at Public First. Professional collector of other people's opinions
reposted by
Adam Drummond
Gabriel Milland
3 days ago
I happen to have polled this very question earlier this year. It's complete nonsense to say that X is the most popular platform for news. However its news audience is still very large.
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Adam Drummond
Will Jennings📉🗳️
8 days ago
Government/Starmer/Reeves' unpopularity isn't so surprising imo. - pervasive mood of discontent - voters are increasingly volatile and dealigned from parties - economic stagnation/cost of living - polarised/toxic information environment - weak govt/PM comms - flawed strategy (alienating core vote)
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Adam Drummond
Duncan Weldon
3 days ago
Utterly meaningless finding.
thejobsfoundation.com/family-busin...
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Here we go then
4 days ago
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Adam Drummond
Gabriel Milland
6 days ago
Lost amid the discussion of why the Government should get off X is its utter uselessness as an engagement tool and the fact departments are wasting vast sums making content for it. Take this:
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See also: dogs in offices. "Hey look we're a funky and inclusive workplace but also one where we expect people to do work that requires concentration and have calls with clients"
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7 days ago
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Me and the cat seeing in the new year the right way
8 days ago
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As someone else afflicted by the condition of "big TV and a PS5" (the struggle is real!) I really liked this
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8 days ago
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Adam Drummond
Rob Ford
8 days ago
I think the key to answering this question is understanding Starmer/Reeves unpopularity among natural allies. A majority of Laboir voters disapprove of him, as do large majorities of LD/Green voters. Hostility from natural political opponents is normal. Hostility from natural supporters is not.
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I had a long thread written out but the app closed and it's deleted so here are some mostly-formed thoughts: it's a mixture of their central problem (lack of a clear mission), unforced errors (WFA) and a failure to recognise the information environment they're operating in
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8 days ago
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It won't be, because that's not the political environment we live in, but being in the first team here should be the absolute minimum threshold that any candidate to replace Starmer should meet.
8 days ago
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I once saw Hugh Grant at Labour Party conference and, despite
@priyaminhas.bsky.social
's urging, declined to follow him into the toilet
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9 days ago
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The stage show of The Spy Who Came In From The Cold is even better than I was hoping, an absolutely brilliant realisation of one of my all time favourite books
10 days ago
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Adam Drummond
Rob Ford
10 days ago
FWIW I don’t think it will, at least in 2026, but it will come down further. Suspect frantic efforts by Labour to take the credit and from Reform to change the subject (to small boats, problems with migrants already here. Reform efforts likely more successful 1/2
bsky.app/profile/adam...
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Adam Drummond
POLITICO Europe
10 days ago
Donald Trump is unpopular in Europe, according to the new POLITICO Poll. Even among the supporters of right-wing populist parties he sees as allies.
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Trump is unpopular in Europe — even among right-wing populist supporters, POLITICO Poll shows
The US president gets favorable views from only about a third of people who support the parties Trump wants to see win power in France and Germany.
https://www.politico.eu/article/politico-poll-international-populism-donald-trump/
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Emotional moment as my parents' microwave, which they've had since 1979, has finally shuffled off this mortal coil.
12 days ago
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If the king's speech montage had a quick shot of Andrew's stuff being hurled out of the palace by bailiffs
14 days ago
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I watch this at least once every few months, a bit like those (I think improvised?) George Parr interviews, just wonderful
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14 days ago
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What % of the population right now are turning boxes of Celebrations into boxes of Bounties
15 days ago
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I actually really like this, but then I'm about the same age and Back to the Future was nothing like as big a thing for me so I'm not particularly precious about it
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16 days ago
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Then: Arkham Asylum Now: Uncharted 2 But only because I never had a PS3 and I played a LOT of Arkham City so got a bit Batman'd out
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16 days ago
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You just know that someone, somewhere in the Home Office has proposed doing an event when the number hits 0, complete with a George W Bush style "Mission Accomplished" banner
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17 days ago
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Minor pet peeve: films set in London where it's really snowy at Christmas. Lads it's 5 days to Christmas and it was 10° today, snow is a late January thing, sometimes even March
19 days ago
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2012: Mass Effect 3 despite the ending Now: Mass Effect 3 despite the ending
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19 days ago
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I've been a bit behind with things but I finally saw the animated Animal Farm trailer and it might be the worst thing I've ever seen in my life
20 days ago
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Really interesting
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22 days ago
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Probably speech writers could have phrased it better but I think the public would have been receptive to part of the budget speech being "we need to raise taxes to un-fuck the justice system and make crime illegal again"
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about 1 month ago
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reposted by
Adam Drummond
Harry Wallop
about 1 month ago
Great culture can save lives. Literally. Amazing letter in today’s
@thetimes.com
about Tom Stoppard
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I don't work on voting intention any more but when we went through this with CUK/TIG we ran parallel polls for a few weeks, version with them and a version without. Then they flamed out before we had to make a decision.
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about 1 month ago
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This is typically excellent and it's striking that at no point have I heard a politician use the words "ageing society"
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about 1 month ago
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Adam Drummond
Stephen Bush
about 1 month ago
It's part of the electionification of everything, which is why we as a country are failing to have a proper conversation about our actual problems. It's bad for the left *and* the right.
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Yes but mainly because they're going to the Greens because "Labour isn't left wing enough"
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about 1 month ago
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Nothing but respect if Reeves says "shall we all just have the hour back if everyone's read it?"
about 1 month ago
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US House of Cards was never exactly great but the final season (hastily rewritten after the Kevin Spacey news) is possibly the worst bit of scripted drama I've ever seen
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about 1 month ago
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Adam Drummond
Rutger Bregman
about 1 month ago
I wish I didn’t have to share this. But the BBC has decided to censor my first Reith Lecture. They deleted the line in which I describe Donald Trump as “the most openly corrupt president in American history.” /1
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Strong agree. Also: "Rogue One is fine" and "Rogue One is the best Star Wars film made in my lifetime" are both true
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about 1 month ago
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I finally counted it all up last year and I think for like 75-80% of budget measures we polled there was a majority saying "good idea". Lists were always taken from the BBC News summary article. There's a reason those were the things they announced!
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about 1 month ago
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reposted by
Adam Drummond
Jane Green
about 2 months ago
NEW! How should Labour respond to the two key issues to voters of the economy and immigration and what are the electoral stakes this week of the budget? Read on for our answer...
@nprcoxford.bsky.social
@jrf-uk.bsky.social
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Taps the "lads you're on 17% without breaking the pledge, could it really be worse?" sign
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about 2 months ago
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I had a reaction to last week's income tax U-turn
news.uk.cityam.com/story/238012...
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“Reeves should raise taxes – she has nothing left to lose”
Voters already think Reeves has broken her tax promises and would prefer tangible improvements to public services over adherence to the Labour manifesto, says Adam Drummond After interrupting breakfas...
https://news.uk.cityam.com/story/2380126/content.html
about 2 months ago
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reposted by
Adam Drummond
Philip Cowley
about 2 months ago
Great piece by Peter Kellner, in which he gives us what will now be a must-use example of how not to report polls...
kellnerp.substack.com/p/how-whiteh...
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How Whitehall suppressed the truth about the doctors strike
The Times was fed a front-page story that misled its readers
https://kellnerp.substack.com/p/how-whitehall-suppressed-the-truth
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reposted by
Adam Drummond
Philip Cowley
about 2 months ago
Latest piece for the
@thehousemag.bsky.social
, on the island of strangers speech and similar. Also ft Bob Hawke.
www.politicshome.com/opinion/arti...
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The Professor Will See You Now: Island of strangers
Lessons in political science. This week: island of strangers
https://www.politicshome.com/opinion/article/professor-see-now-island-strangers
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This is one of those pieces that has stuck in my mind ever since I read it
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about 2 months ago
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reposted by
Adam Drummond
Will Jennings📉🗳️
about 2 months ago
It's worth noting that there's already substantial heterogeneity in the polling industry in terms if capacity and capability to mitigate the threat of AI to online surveys.
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reposted by
Adam Drummond
Alex Hern
about 2 months ago
ONS is so bad. (This is about specifically British nationals.)
www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopula...
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reposted by
Adam Drummond
Jack Kessler
about 2 months ago
Not everything is a metaphor (in the same way that most things aren't a dead cat strategy). But parliament is falling down and the chronic delays to its rebuild isn't *unrelated* to a political class seemingly unable or unwilling to address long-term challenges. My newsletter, out now.
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Parliament is falling down
A metaphor in search of a nation
https://www.linestotake.com/p/parliament-repairs-fire-asbestos-house-of-commons
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Really interesting experiment by
@cwp-weir.bsky.social
labourlist.org/2025/11/immi...
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'Bread, circuses, and polling errors: Are we truly measuring what matters?' - LabourList
Pollsters who ask questions that add nuance are rewarded with a richer look at the public’s outlook argues Labour Together's Calum Weir.
https://labourlist.org/2025/11/immigration-vs-cost-of-living/
about 2 months ago
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about 2 months ago
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Apropos of nothing but I think all major parties should commit to leadership elections that happen while they're in government being restricted to MPs only, not a vote of the party membership.
about 2 months ago
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