Any data science program without DAGs and causal inference is a failure. We don’t need more grads chasing spurious correlations in big data with zero business sense. Prove me wrong.

Now out in @cpsjournal.bsky.social. In our new article, @denis-cohen.bsky.social @thmskrr.bsky.social and I show that where local rent prices increase more, residents with lower incomes become more likely to support the radical right AfD. journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...

A new daily puzzle game that asks you to guess what country the chart line represents - super fun for all my #dataviz peeps out there. (h/t @wwb099.bsky.social) chartle.cc

NEW: Elias Nosrati, "The Political Economy of Optimal Taxation" sociologicalscience.com/articles-v12...

Quite amazed by the articles that @sociologicalsci.bsky.social puts out on a regular basis -- this one here by Lewis Anderson: imaginative, bold, well-informed, an incredible eye for detail, this will really be moving the field forward doi.org/10.15195/v12...

📊 @mhaslberger.bsky.social, Jane Gingrich, and Jasmine Bhatia explore how exposure to AI shapes social policy preferences in a UK survey experiment. 💡 Their key finding: when faced with AI, people want support, not just protection 🖇️ www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....

This new study shows: in Germany, it has become much harder for children to earn more than their parents, now about as hard as in the US: "parental income has become much more important for educational outcomes of children"

Matching the Forbes 400 to tax data finds that they pay a total tax rate of 24 percent of economic income, lower than the 30 percent tax rate paid on average in the US, from Akcan S. Balkir, Emmanuel Saez, Danny Yagan, and Gabriel Zucman https://www.nber.org/papers/w34170

interesting paper by Young and Lurie on how tax flight per se is negligible, and becomes only relevant once events like Covid break up embeddedness www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/full/10....

🚀 The first ISI Newsletter just launched! Inside: center insights, job opportunities… and a few surprises we promise are way better than finding an extra fry at the bottom of the bag. 🍟✨ Check your inbox — you don’t want to miss this. isi-munich-news.beehiiv.com/p/issue-1-27... #isimunich

If you are preparing your bachelor statistics course and would like to add optional material for students to better understand statistics on a conceptual level (see topics in the screenshot) my free textbook provides a state of the art overview. lakens.github.io/statistical_...

Now on CRAN, ggdiagram is a #ggplot2 extension that draws diagrams programmatically in #Rstats. Allows for precise control in how objects, labels, and equations are placed in relation to each other. wjschne.github.io/ggdiagram/ar...

Interesting paper by Fabian Kratz on education effects across cohort and age on anti-immigrant sentiments sociologicalscience.com/articles-v12...

Just finished reading (the non-technical parts of 😋) this paper by @ang-yu.bsky.social and Felix Elwert. This is conceptually really cool stuff that may also be of interest to psychologists working on group differences, so here's a short 🧵 with my understanding of it:> arxiv.org/abs/2306.16591

#OpenAccess from @apsrjournal.bsky.social - Why Inequalities Persist: Parties’ (Non)Responses to Economic Inequality, 1970–2020 - cup.org/45hgOdX - @alexanderhorn.bsky.social, MARTIN HASELMAYER & @klueserthan.bsky.social #FirstView

Occupational Earning Potential has landed in @europeansocreview.bsky.social Implementable in R (digclass) and Stata (crosswalk), our linear OEP scale measures the median earnings of ISCO occupations and expresses them as percentiles of the earnings distribution academic.oup.com/esr/advance-...

I would also like to remind folks that OpenAI wrote a paper in which they prompted GPT-4 on which jobs they thought would be most exposed to automation. They validated it by comparing it to responses that people who worked OpenAI gave to the same question. arxiv.org/abs/2303.10130

"In most replicated studies, 2SLS estimates are significantly larger than OLS estimates and their absolute ratio is inversely related to the strength of the instrument in observational studies" had a hunge that this pattern exists awesome that this is shown now 👏

Just published in @jpube.bsky.social: "Parenthood and the gender gap in commuting" By Aline Bütikofer, René Karadakic, & Alexander Willén www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti... #econsky #publiceconomics #gendergap

Wie fair empfinden Menschen die Vermögensungleichheit? Das fragen sich @markusmarterbauer.bsky.social, @juliahofmann.bsky.social und ich in einem Artikel in der Fachzeitschrift "Review of Income and Wealth": doi.org/10.1111/roiw... (open access) Hier ein paar Blitzlichter aus unserem Beitrag 👇

Registered report of 35 social class hypotheses (N = 33,536) finds around 50% are supported. New work by @anatoliab.bsky.social, Nicolas Sommet, and @frederiqueautin.bsky.social Open Access: doi.org/10.1038/s415...

1/ Week 28: Theory paper in focus this week is the seminal article by Anthony Atkinson and @josephestiglitz.bsky.social that is now famously referred to as the "zero commodity/ capital taxation" benchmark in public economics. It has led to much technical & policy debates. Let's find out.

Looking forward to present at the @isi-munich.bsky.social colloquium next week. Are people in favor of welfare retrenchment or fiscal expansion when confronted with fiscal deficits? See the answer on Tuesday

Our article (with @madselk.bsky.social, @jacobnyrup.bsky.social, @benansell.bsky.social, @aslicansunar.bsky.social, and Laure Bokobza) on why it is so hard to counteract wealth inequality through inheritance taxation is out in @worldpolitics.bsky.social!

Ever wondered about #Geodata and #SpatialRegression? There is still space at the #Geodata and #SpatialRegressionAnalysis 🌍📉 course @gesistraining.bsky.social 09-11 July in Mannheim: training.gesis.org?site=pDetail... For materials from previous years see: ruettenauer.github.io/Geodata_Spat...

📢 Final #ACPP dataset now available via @aussda.bsky.social 🔍 Tracked how people in Austria experienced COVID-19 📅 35 waves (Mar 2020–Jul 2023) 👥 ~1,500 interviews per wave 🌍 English translations 📂 SUF: doi.org/10.11587/28K... 📖 OA: doi.org/10.11587/P5Y... 📊 Explore: woco.univie.ac.at/dashboard/

What do Europeans think about their public-private pension income mix? In our (@karendublin.bsky.social and Juan J Fernandez) new study in the Journal of European Social Policy, we analyse pension attitudes across 6 countries based on a novel survey: journals.sagepub.com/doi/full/10.... 1/n

🧠🎓 Signal or substance? What do employers really see in a university degree? Our new paper in @europeansocreview.bsky.social dives into “sheepskin effects” using a factorial survey experiment. With @jpheisig.bsky.social & @thijsbol.bsky.social. academic.oup.com/esr/advance-...

To all the "but what's the mechanism?" warriors.

It is concerning that chatbots are increasingly speeding up the demise of older platforms that collect actual human knowledge…

Should the government 🏛️ fight economic inequality? You probably have a strong take. But why do you believe that? 📌 Spoilers from our new Social Science Research paper with Giacomo Melli: it depends jointly on where you think you stand in society🪜 and how unequal your surroundings actually are!

🚨 We're hiring! Join us at @LMU_Muenchen for the DFG-funded project "Democratic Persuasion: How to Make the Case for Democracy." Interested in making scholarly & societal impact? We’re looking for: 🔹 1 Postdoc (100%) 🔹 1 PhD researcher (70%) Starting: Oct 2025 | Apply by: July 8 More info ⬇️ (1/7)

📢 Extended deadline: Submit your abstract for the 14th Young Economists Conference (2–3 Oct 2025, Linz) by 26 May! 🎓 For MA/PhD/early Post-Docs 🚆 Travel/accommodation within AT covered 💶 €1,000 paper prize 👉 wien.arbeiterkammer.at/yec2025

How effective are policies of predistribution or redistribution for reducing in-work poverty? How do their effects differ by household type? Some answers in my paper using EU-SILC data out in @europeansocieties.bsky.social: doi.org/10.1162/euso...

When and how do bright kids from poor backgrounds fall behind? Everyone should read this paper by @johnjerrim.bsky.social & Maria Palma Carvajal: great data, corrects past work, nails the method, and is super readable. doi.org/10.1016/j.rs...

👏The 2025 Infrastructure Prize for Sociology goes to @socarxiv.bsky.social, represented by @philipncohen.com , for its accessible and timely contribution to the dissemination of sociological knowledge. kohlifoundation.eu/programs-the...

Say you get to review a paper modeling AfD vote. It doesn't control for swimming pools, wolf attacks, buses, dialect, concentration camps or Stolpersteine. All signif predictors in current lit in top journals and thus part of a proper theoretical model of AfD vote. Do you reject it? Why (not)?

yesterday, my postdoc funding (salary and research funds) was cancelled by the National Science Foundation, effective immediately. I received the same generic, vaguely threatening, typo-ridden email as many of my colleagues who have had their awards terminated recently. (1/n)

New research from me and @profsamperry.bsky.social in @sfjournal.bsky.social finds the more Americans affirm Christian nationalist views the more likely they are to oppose taxation across a range of measures, with findings consistent across multiple datasets. Why might this be?

I'm so glad they did this check.

Out now! "GERDA: The German Election Database." GERDA provides comprehensive municipal, state, and federal election results at the municipality level between 1990 and 2021. www.nature.com/articles/s41...

🧵 Why do facts often change beliefs but not attitudes? In a new WP with @yamilrvelez.bsky.social and @scottclifford.bsky.social, we caution against interpreting this as rigidity or motivated reasoning. Often, the beliefs *relevant* to people’s attitudes are not what researchers expect.

a new article forthcoming in Sociological Science! we use an original survey of 2,117 Americans to examine how often people report discussing social and political issues tapped by 88 questions in the GSS. the preprint is up at SocArXiv: osf.io/vqp2g_v1 with @kkiley.bsky.social & @stephenvaisey.com:

New in European Sociological Review: “Does inequality undermine life satisfaction? Effective identification of country-level controls for a longitudinal investigation”. Economic inequality lowers LS among lower earners – but it *raises* LS among higher earners. academic.oup.com/esr/advance-...

📢Special issue and workshop on "The Politics of AI: Citizen Perceptions, Preferences, and Priorities" 📢 We aim to bring together cutting-edge research on the political ramifications of AI for a workshop in Oxford and a special issue in a leading political science journal.(1/2)

Informative, but important to highlight it is not only a Max Planck issue. The German higher ed system gives so much power to professors over their PhD candidates/postdocs that it is ripe for abuse

An honest error message for once