Over the whole of 2025, India's national rainfall was only about 6% higher than in 2024, but the record-wet May is one of the reasons for much lower electricity demand last year. robbieandrew.github.io/india/

The eyes of the world are on🇻🇪Venezuela, but🇪🇺EU gas storage levels have dropped below 60% as a cold Arctic freeze grips the continent. While Europe looks complacently at events in Latin America, energy geopolitics is being played out on multiple tables simultaneously... 🧵

So far 10 countries with data for December available.

In the latest carbon budget, we revised... * up land-use change emissions * up the ocean sink (now takes up 29% of total emissions) * down the land sink (now takes up 21% of total emissions) * the "budget imbalance" now has zero trend What does this mean? www.nature.com/articles/s41... 1/

As expected, a huge surge in new car purchases in Norway before the taxes increase on 1 January.

If you’re looking for some holiday reading, my new book — Clearing the Air — is on offer at £1.99 on Kindle for the next 24 hours. Hope you enjoy! www.amazon.co.uk/Clearing-Air...

ICYMI, from New Zealand:

Tehran has narrowly avoided Day Zero, but how much longer can it hold out? 🎁🔗

The Global Carbon Project has just published the most comprehensive Global Hydrogen Budget to date. H2, although not a GHG, has an indirect Global Warming Potential 37 times more potent than CO2. Carbon Brief: www.carbonbrief.org/hydrogen-emi... Research paper: www.nature.com/articles/s41...

Sweden's greenhouse gas emissions increased by 7.4% in 2024, largely a result of a dramatic reduction in the use of biofuels in road transport. Emissions in the "domestic transport" sector were up 21%.

IEA's annual coal report. There are a bunch of different factors in play, making it a non-trivial exercise (as always) to forecast which way global coal consumption will go in the coming years.

"It targets low- and middle-income households living in 177 rural municipalities and 433 areas with limited public transport. Furthermore, households applying for the scheme must not already own or lease a battery-electric vehicle." Funding mainly "from the upcoming emissions trading system ETS2."

While China's exports continue to grow, the domestic economy is "feeble". Investment in infrastructure saw a "rare decline". Signals that the government might push infrastructure investment up again point to why it is dangerous to call a peak in China's emissions just yet.

Two recent pieces about India's air pollution. First an opinion piece by Anurag Minus Verma. "Many Indians wrongly believe they can somehow build immunity to illness just by inhaling this [polluted] air." 🎁🔗

Ny rapport: Vi gått gjennom hvilke tiltak de store industriselskapene i Norge planlegger å gjennomføre for å kutte utslipp – og hva vedtatt og planlagt politikk er ventet å kutte. Se hva vi fant ut av her👇 www.klimastiftelsen.no/aktuelt/indu...

Interesting new (open-access) paper from some of my colleagues. "Always on their toes: Policy entrepreneurs’ efforts to avoid backlashes against climate policies for private cars in Norway" www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...

China's official emissions inventory shows that the metal sector alone emitted 2.1 billion tonnes CO₂ in 2021. If that were a country, it would have the fourth-highest emissions, after India and ahead of Russia.

China's exports of "new energy" passenger vehicles (BEV+PHEV) have increased 82.6% in Jan-Nov compared to the same period last year.

Electric passenger cars and light vans now constitute a majority of all light vehicles passing the toll cordon in Oslo, according to the local toll company. www.fjellinjen.no/aktuelt/50-5...

Soil scientists the world over need to take a look! Could this also be a quantum leap in our ability to estimate nitrous oxide emissions from soils at scale, which are currently basically guesstimates?

Working with Brazilian and Chinese scientists, BYD has launched a flexi-fuel hybrid for the Brazilian market. Electric plus any mix of gasoline and ethanol.

Heck and double heck.

OMG. 10,000-15,000 ppm sulphur in Iran's diesel. In Europe it's 10 ppm. In the US it's 15 ppm. In India it's 10 ppm. In China it's 10 ppm.

I missed this big news from India last month. The power regulator of Rajasthan, one of the states leading the solar charge, has blocked permitting of a coal-fired power plant. Plenty of solar, nuclear and batteries on the way, and permitting coal could lock in costly long-term contracts.

Worried about Chinese EV exports? Perhaps we should be worried about this instead.

Norway is reintroducing sales tax (VAT) on EVs. This exemption has been an important incentive. Until 2023 there was no VAT on EVs, then VAT was re-applied to price over 500,000 kroner. In its draft budget release in October, the govt planned to phase out the exemption completely from 2027. Now...

Very interesting interview with economist Ha-Joon Chang about India's development model and prospects.

"Sinking Carbon in China" A short film by Zhao Liang, juxtaposing coal mining and tree planting, both on an enormous scale.

The Nepalese EV transition. In simple terms, brown on this graph is India's share and blue is China's share. The trigger? India effectively halted all imports of petroleum into Nepal in 2015, an "undeclared blockade", which was "masked as constitutional concern". robbieandrew.github.io/carsales/

EU with 19% BEV in October, 16% this year. robbieandrew.github.io/carsales/

"Economists say the current model is untenable: the real cost of imported gasoline has risen to 700,000 rials (around 65 cents) per liter, while subsidized retail prices remain just over 1 cent per liter."

Re-routing of ships around the Cape of Good Hope led to a natural experiment. By "comparing NO₂ [unaffected by the sulfur-reducing regulations], with cloud droplet number, which is sensitive to sulfur, [they] found a 67% reduction in ships' cloud-altering abilities" after the new IMO regulations.

This looks for all the world like an article generated by AI. I'd much rather talk to AI myself so I can challenge it, than to find a webpage that purports to present curated information.

"Women who face long-term heat exposure in workplaces and homes are finding it takes a heavy toll on their health and income." 🎁🔗

I've added a dropdown with a bunch of explanatory notes that might be helpful and/or interesting for folks checking out the data on my "car sales" page. robbieandrew.github.io/carsales/

Big jump in Indonesia's sales of battery-electric cars in October with the arrival of the Atto 1, which made up 9400 of total 74000 cars sold in October. robbieandrew.github.io/carsales/

The 2025 update of the Global Carbon Budget is out.​​ While fossil CO2 emissions rise again and carbon sinks are weakened by climate change, deforestation emissions are down and many countries decarbonise their energy. No global emissions peak yet though. theconversation.com/the-worlds-c...

Developed w/#SpatialFinance, GEM’s new Global Chemicals Inventory maps 868 plants in 80 countries — tracking 8 core chemicals forming the backbone of modern materials & fertilizers. Built for transparency in one of the world’s most energy-intensive sectors: globalenergymonitor.org/projects/glo...

Quoted in Norweigan media as being "less pessimistic than ten years ago". I was very clear that this is not the same as "more optimistic"...

L'édition 2025 du Bilan Carbone Mondial (Global Carbon Budget) a été publiée aujourd'hui. Les émissions de CO₂ d'origine fossile devraient augmenter de 1,1% supplémentaires en 2025.

La edición 2025 del Presupuesto Global de Carbono se publicó hoy e incluye una proyección de las emisiones globales de CO₂ procedentes de fuentes fósiles. Se espera que las emisiones vuelvan a aumentar este año, en un 1.1%.

Die Ausgabe 2025 des Global Carbon Budget wurde heute veröffentlicht. Die Emissionen aus fossilen Quellen werden voraussichtlich im Jahr 2025 um weitere 1,1% steigen.

You can stream the Global Carbon Budget 2025 press conference at 1400 EU time (1000 in Belém) on 13 November. You will find the link here, under Press Conference 2, 10:00-10:30. unfccc.int/cop30/meetin...

Look who's been updated recently. robbieandrew.github.io/carsales/

Taiwan's fossil CO₂ emissions are down 3.9% Jan-Sep compared to the same period last year. robbieandrew.github.io/country/?cou...

これは、初めて日本を含めた2025年のGlobal Carbon Budget（グローバル・カーボン・バジェット）の予測です。日本では、原子力発電所の再稼働が進み、太陽光発電が力強く成長することで、排出量は引き続き減少すると予想されています。

📢Global Carbon Budget 2025📢 Fossil CO2 emissions continue to rise in 2025 while the terrestrial carbon sink recovers to pre-El Niño strength. The key findings are covered in two reports this year: * ESSDD (preprint): essd.copernicus.org/preprints/es... * Nature: www.nature.com/articles/s41... 1/

1/2 We just published the Global Carbon Budget 2025, with a mix of bad news (CO2 emissions continue to grow) and encouraging news (35 countries saw emissions decline over the past decade while growing their economies). Read the highlights in a short article: theconversation.com/the-worlds-c...

Get your fill of Global Carbon Budget 2025 figures and associated data here, released today: robbieandrew.github.io/GCB2025/