There is increasing talk about overshoot of 1.5°C, particularly that *now* we can only achieve 1.5°C by first overshooting 1.5°C. Well, sorry to tell you, 1.5°C have always been overshoot scenarios. Here from the original 'SSP' 1.5°C scenarios published in 2018. [Overshoot is a scenario design]

As part of the GCP-Regional Carbon Cycle Assessment and Processes-2, we recently published the Australasia's CH4 and N2O Budgets. The carbon budget was published in 2023, both papers, led by Yohanna Villalobos and a great team of collaborators. agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/...

1/2 I feel privileged to have had the opportunity to make a small contribution to this paper, just published. "Building relationships between First Nations Peoples and Western scientists to increase capacity to understand, respond and adapt to climate change"

New assessment on the biophysical potential of forestation to sequester carbon. As expected, we found just a fraction of what other assessments found, because we considered the obvious no-nos, such as risk to biodiversity, excess water use, and regional warming. theconversation.com/the-climate-...

1/3 A new study, led by Matthias Cuntz and our dearest late Vanessa Haverd, shows beautifully how the increase of the seasonal variation in atmospheric CO2 in the Northern Hemisphere over the past 40 years can only be explained by an increase in the CO2 uptake by plants. doi.org/10.1029/2025...

Interesting new article showing the overwhelming role of tropical forests in past climates. Hard not to wonder about what it means for today’s climate crisis and the changes we see in tropical regions and particularly the Amazon. theconversation.com/around-250-m...

Tree-burning #Drax power station is UK’s largest single source of CO₂ emissions—and a major air polluter. Yet ludicrously, UK Gov pretends its emissions are zero. Reports on its impact on primary forests have been covered up. Ministers are being played. Again. Great article by @dalevince.com

Northern Hemisphere forests now emit more carbon than they absorb. 🌲🔥 Using @esa.int SMOS satellite data, researchers from ESA Climate Change Initiative’s RECCAP-2 project uncovered this shift, driven by droughts, wildfires, and climate disruptions. Learn more: climate.esa.int/en/news-even...

1/3 There is so much discussion about TIPPING POINTS, yet there are so few current large-scale examples that have been demonstrated quantitatively. Xiaojun Li et al show a remarkable shift from accumulating carbon in living biomass in the northern temperate regions to losing carbon since 2016.

Finally got around to reading the article, but couldn't see a link to the actual report it discusses. So here it is.

We are often asked about the impact of plastics on carbon emissions and climate change. There is limited information available, and the article below draws some information from the Plastics & Climate Project. Light reading. www.washingtonpost.com/climate-envi...

A fantastic new mapping product for the world's inland waters, a critical driver for studying GHG emissions, biodiversity, and much more. Mapping the world's inland surface waters: an upgrade to the Global Lakes and Wetlands Database (GLWD v2) essd.copernicus.org/articles/17/...

1/2 If you are looking for a postdoctoral position, here are two great opportunities to work with Julia Pongratz in Germany, great group, great science: 1. Postdoc for ecosystem-climate interactions: job-portal.lmu.de/jobposting/8...

1/2 If you are looking for a postdoctoral position, here are two great opportunities to work with Julia Pongratz in Germany, great group, great science: 1. Postdoc for ecosystem-climate interactions: job-portal.lmu.de/jobposting/8...

1/2 I am delighted to see the first special journal issue dedicated to China's GHG accounting and budgets from an incredibly strong research community there, well-connected, and contributing to the international efforts of the Global Carbon Project.

📣 New Comment on Improving land-use emission estimates under the Paris Agreement in Nature Sustainability www.nature.com/articles/s41... Land carbon removals are key on the path to net-zero. Yet, confusion exists on what “anthropogenic” land-use C fluxes are. #LULUCF #IPCC #ParisAgreement 1/7

The 7 billion tonne gap! Climate science & national emissions reporting use different definitions & methods to estimate anthropogenic land-based carbon removals. This is no small issue, but what can we do about it? www.nature.com/articles/s41... (sorry, shareable open link not yet published). 1/

We have a unique job opportunity to work on the GLOBAL METHANE BUDGET with the Global Carbon Project, in France. Seeking a dynamic data expert to support the coordination and production of the next Global CH4 Budget. If you are interested, drop an email to [email protected]

1/3 The new Global Methane Budget is now published, open access. essd.copernicus.org/articles/17/...

In a new paper out now, Quincy Forest Tut, Andrea Taschetto and I show the first continental-scale analysis of links between climate modes of variability (think El Niño/La Niña) and hail hazard in Australia. From Forest's honours at @ccrc.bsky.social! rmets.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/...

1/n A new Greenhouse Gas Budget for South Asia reveals key GHG data and trends for a region with limited publicly available GHG information. 1. Total GHG emissions in South Asia increased by up to 43% during the decade of 2010s compared to the previous one.

I've put together a webpage with country-level charts that @glenpeters.bsky.social and I produce. Currently 89 countries, not all with same charts. More to come, including data downloads. Explore for yourself here: robbieandrew.github.io/country/

The most comprehensive GHG budget for North America to date, covering CO2, CH4, N2O. Led by Ben Poulter, it reconciles the differences between the National GHG Inventories, atmospheric inversions, and estimates from modeling individual fluxes. agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10....

🌊 nice opportunity for a research fellow in a coordinated modelling project

From global to national comprehensive GHG Budgets to support the design of pathways to net zero emissions (w/ anthropog. & natural sources & sinks). The REgional Carbon Cycle Assessment and Processes, phase 3 (RECCAP3) to propose a new generation of GHG budgets. academic.oup.com/nsr/article/...

China shifted from a C source due to land clearing and degradation to a major C sink since the 1990s due to decades of large-scale reforestation & land management improvements. A new assessment shows a larger C sink from LUC compared to previous estimates. www.nature.com/articles/s41...