Counter factual??? You mean FAKE NEWS???

60% of U.S. students who start college finish within 6 years • Non-cognitive skills shape grade expectations & performance • But don’t predict graduation • Many students misjudge future performance By @gzamarro.bsky.social , Nichols, Trivitt, Djita sciencedirect.com/science/arti...

We have a new post!📬 ⭐️Factorial DiD (Xu, Zhao & Ding) ⭐️DiD With No Untreated Units (de Chaisemartin et al.) ⭐️Treatment Effects in Complex Designs (de Chaisemartin & D’Haultfœuille) ⭐️Inference With Few Treated Units (Alvarez, Ferman & Wüthrich) diddigest.substack.com/p/where-stan...

Very interesting post on how the non-profit Feeding America implemented an auction system with its own currency which massively improved allocation of food to food banks. www.worksinprogress.news/p/how-market...

The Chamberlain Seminar continues this semester with two exciting online sessions on 9/26 & 10/31! Check out the details below and click below to join our mailing list! mailman.stanford.edu/mailman/list...

🚨 We have a comment on Begum et al (2018) forthcoming in @readdemography.bsky.social - see link below! @i4replication.bsky.social

Some thoughts on Emma Harrington and Matthew Khan's recent NBER paper "Has the Rise of Work from Home Reduced the Motherhood Penalty in the Labor Market?" www.nber.org/papers/w34147 open.substack.com/pub/dismalsc...

Why Does Value-Added Work? Implications of a Dynamic Model of Student Achievement www.nber.org/papers/w34119 "Although conventional value-added estimates are biased for individual teachers due to attenuation, we find they are forecast unbiased when applied across a sample of teachers"

TIL the original paper describing CRISPR, by Francisco Mojica, was rejected by 4 journals and took 2 years to be published

New issue of Journal of Economic Perspectives is out. Quite timely piece on Fed independence. pubs.aeaweb.org/doi/pdfplus/...

We have a new post🎈 Why your covariates might be "lying" to you and other tales from the "identification frontier": ✅ CBPS-DiD for model misspecification ✅ When good controls go bad (CCC violations) ✅ Bayesian sensitivity for PT violations open.substack.com/pub/diddiges...

We have a new post🎈 Why your covariates might be "lying" to you and other tales from the "identification frontier": ✅ CBPS-DiD for model misspecification ✅ When good controls go bad (CCC violations) ✅ Bayesian sensitivity for PT violations open.substack.com/pub/diddiges...

Data come in many different formats and are used in many different ways, but in many cases, a checklist like this (along with good data documentation) can help you verify if a dataset is in a usable format for most general purposes. osf.io/t8upr

🚀Be part of the next round of the Women in Economics Mentoring Programme — a unique opportunity that connects early-career women economists with experienced mentors. 🎯 Programme duration: October 2025 – July 2026 📆 Deadline to apply: August 31st 👉 Apply now: form.jotform.com/251723111137...

Happy to participate! You can register to attend here: www.tickettailor.com/events/irish...

My Retrospective on Wokeness in detail! Blogs are for just saying stuff, after all. So here is my attempt to say what was distinctive (if anything) about a recent era of socio-cultural life, what (if anything) changed, and what (if anything) was to the good sootyempiric.blogspot.com/2025/08/woke...

Welcome me to the world of European data, y‘all! 🇪🇺 🇫🇷 🇧🇪 🇩🇪 #rstats #econsky #stats @cepremap.bsky.social db.nomics.world github.com/dbnomics/rdb...

We have a new post! 🫶 Covering: ➡️UN-DID (for unpoolable data) ➡️Staggered DiD with misclassification (for handling timing issues) ➡️Interactive/Grouped FE Guide (broader panel data, not specifically DiD but related) + 3 applied papers :) diddigest.substack.com/p/did-handli...

Here's the link with the timestamp! youtu.be/RpxfvLBqDAY?...

New paper just dropped: Szaszi, Barnabas, Daniel G. Goldstein, Dilip Soman, Susan Michie. (2025). Generalizability of Choice Architecture Interventions. Nature Reviews Psychology. Thanks to @szaszibarnabas.bsky.social for doing the lion's share! www.nature.com/articles/s44...

We have a new post! 😇 3 new working papers, 1 published version, and 2 package updates substacktools.com/sharex/920n-aDa

Excited to share that a study that has followed me through almost my entire PhD is now published in @natcomms.nature.com : www.nature.com/articles/s41... 🧵 1/

We have a new post 🙃 Three recent DiD papers, one shared goal: better estimates in messy settings ☑️DiD that hits efficiency bounds ☑️Synthetic DiD that mimics an oracle ☑️TWFE vs. the new wave diddigest.substack.com/p/efficient-...

Preferences, Selection, and the Structure of Teacher Pay www.aeaweb.org/articles?id=... "for three key objectives: maximizing teacher utility, maximizing teacher retention, and maximizing student achievement...schools underutilize salary and performance pay while overutilizing retirement benefits"

We have a new post, and as the title says, it's all about heterogeneous treatment effects :) Because not everyone responds to treatment the same way, and our methods should reflect that substacktools.com/sharex/O2tQdSh9

🚢🇪🇺🇬🇧 My paper on the effects of Brexit on shipping has been published in the Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics! I find a 21% drop in EU-UK Ro-Ro cargo volumes, and an 88% increase in Ireland-France volumes. Full paper at onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/... #economics #Brexit #emissions

Re-upping my advice about how to write a good title and abstract for an academic paper, appropriately called: "How to Write a Title and Abstract" Feel free to share this thread, which will focus on titles. #EconSky #AcademicSky

We have a different post today I've had to defend using ML in my own work, so I decided to write down my case for it - for students, colleagues, skeptics, and for anyone who believes we share the goal of solving problems with the best tools available :) diddigest.substack.com/p/in-defense...

Just came back from the US after spending a week learning everything about Public Choice from the GMU Public Choice theorists themselves ❤️ really grateful for the opportunity to attend a conference in honour of prof Buchanan’s work which has been going on for more than 40 years!

New post alert :) We’ve got 2 new DiD papers, 1 fantastic DiD guide, and a clever method from Athey–Chetty–Imbens on using experiments to fix observational bias open.substack.com/pub/diddiges...

The nicest way to finish the week is with a new post :) New tools for empiricists: better DDD estimators, distributional DiD with staggered timing, using causal diagrams to assess parallel trends, and how counterfactuals work differently in CI vs XAI open.substack.com/pub/diddiges...

And now the man himself 🙌🏻thanks prof @dlmillimet.bsky.social for the invitation, it was a humbling experience and we got great feedback 🫡 #EconStats2025

We are here! #EconStats2025 @escoeorg.bsky.social @kunwu.bsky.social

The role of knowledge-rich curricula in promoting deep thinking and complex skill acquisition doi.org/10.1016/j.li...

Siblings are not always 50% genetically similar! The difference may vary from 40 to 60%! Our preprint uses this difference via sibling regression to estimate "assumption-free heritability" of socio-cognitive traits /1 @eivindy.bsky.social @rafaelahlskog.bsky.social @renemottus.bsky.social

We have a new post, covering: - Continuous treatments with stayers – Sample selection and missing outcomes – Inference when treated units are few + video lectures with Clément de Chaisemartin :) diddigest.substack.com/p/more-did-d...

Conference #1 this summer is up next week. Looking forward to meeting new people!

Excited to be in London next week for the @escoeorg.bsky.social Conference 2025 Will participate in a special session about Inequality Across Households on Wednesday :) Looking forward to presenting, but also to finally meeting prof @dlmillimet.bsky.social in person!

We have a new post, covering: - Continuous treatments with stayers – Sample selection and missing outcomes – Inference when treated units are few + video lectures with Clément de Chaisemartin :) diddigest.substack.com/p/more-did-d...

We did not want to start the week like this, but here we are. Yet again our chair’s inbox is filled with messages from replicators who have opened “replication” folders only to find names, Social Insurance Numbers, mental-health diagnoses and incomes of study participants. 🧵

The Irish Economics Association was really nice and let me present twice hehe both presentations can be found here beagietner.github.io/webpage/Pres... and here beagietner.github.io/webpage/The_...

Congratulations to the winners of our ISWE prizes at the IEA, Bhavya Shrivastava and Lilia Wasserka-Zhurakhovska, as well as Novartis Prize winner Doireann O'Brien and Young Economist Prize Winner Olivia Finan. Pictured with Keynote Speaker John List and Orla Doyle. All female winners! Well done!

New data on violence in schools from CGD, compiling data from 9 different international surveys & producing 92 individual country-specific reports

We have a new post! There's something for everyone: conditional triple-DiD, triple IV-DiD, covariate-balancing DiD, spatial Synthetic DiD, and updated DiD textbook (de Chaisemartin and D’Haultfœuille v2.0) diddigest.substack.com/p/four-new-d...

New from Microsoft Research & Harvard Business School colleagues "Shifting Work Patterns with Generative AI" by Eleanor Wiske Dillon, Sonia Jaffe, Nicole Immorlica, Christopher T. Stanton arxiv.org/abs/2504.11436

Culture and Immigrant Selectivity in Shaping Asian American Education: Evidence from Historical Census Data journals.sagepub.com/doi/abs/10.1...

For consideration, I submit: Things Statisticians Claim to Hate But Secretly Love drive.google.com/file/d/1XBPV...

#QJE May 2025, #10, “’Something Works’ in U.S. Jails: Misconduct and Recidivism Effects of the IGNITE Program,” by Alsan, Barnett, Hull, and Yang: doi.org/10.1093/qje/...

I taught LASSO the other day and one student asked "But surely I can't just go throw all the variables I have into LASSO and expect it to pick all the correct ones" and I just wanna say bless his innocent heart

Correction: Follow @beatrizgietner.bsky.social to stay on top of the DiD literature #EconSky #RStats bsky.app/profile/beat...