Total turnout is 34.2% Black Black voters are choosing the Dem primary 96.8% - 2% D voters are 60.9% Black, 26.2% white R voters are 89.9% white

at a game, and i retract this statement, these guys are ass

The Ballotpedia candidate bios for NJ-07 sound like I asked ChatGPT to give me four different types of generic Democrat. Anyway, the winner should be favored to flip the seat.

this might be the best graph ever?

wes streeting

how it felt to sit during the pledge of allegiance in school

can we bring back the 99% hitler twitter discourse just for this moment

this is some weird ass shit and im excited for it

some people should really shut up sometimes

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no fucking way

some people are really old sometimes

UK (London), local elections: Final result (vote share) LAB-S&D: 25.6% (-16.6) GPEW-G/EFA: 22.3% (+10.5) CON~ECR: 20.0% (-6.2) REFORM~NI: 13.0% (+13.0) LDEM-RE: 12.4% (-1.7) +/- vs. 2022 election ➤ https://europeelects.eu/uk

every single poll i see of this election looks like this, like nobody has changed their minds over the course of 4 years

trying to take a nap but i can't bc im too pissed off at the new york mets

carlos mendoza seemingly going out of his way to lose his job despite having the longest leash i've ever seen

this alonso quote being leaked is capitalizing hard on anti-stearns sentiment, but i honestly think that this is the most delusional thing i've ever read

I have the 12 boroughs, sans those nine wards, as: Lab: 31.6% (-16.4 from 2022) Grn: 28.6% (+13.8) Con: 15.5% (-3.3) LD: 10.0% (-2.7) Ref: 9.3% (+9.2) Oth: 5.0% (-0.7) The previous lowest post-WWI Lab shares were 2006 (32.0%) and 1931 (32.9%).

this place sucks

this feels insane to me, like i know that he has major hitting struggles, but selling on one of the best defensive catchers of the modern era with control until 2029 feels crazy to me

the scottish greens were super close to second place, which is crazy

what

Trump's approval rating is currently ~10 points lower than both Biden's and his own first-term rating at the same point in their presidencies

okay why are the scottish lib dems just GOATed now

from @ballotbox.scot i think it will become a reasonable assumption that the greens could've won MORE constituency seats if they actually ended up contesting more seats

the very last welsh seat declared was one where labour got FIFTH

another scottish lib dem win, this one may be the most impressive just because of the swing

Plaid are going to be comfortably the biggest party in Wales. Labour might be in single figures.

century of welsh labour humiliation

plaid cymru might get the same share of the legislative seats as the SNP (strong plurality, just under a majority) insane

these reform guys lied to me

again in the day of "surprisingly not that bad for the scottish tories"

Edinburgh Central (Edinburgh and Lothians East) Constituency Vote (vs 2021 notional): GRN: 12680 (36%, +29.2) LAB: 8098 (23%, -7.6) SNP: 7702 (21.9%, -19.3) CON: 2262 (6.4%, -10.3) LD: 2168 (6.2%, +2.7) RUK: 1876 (5.3%, New) OTHx5: 455 (1.3%) Valid Turnout: 54.5% Green GAIN from SNP - LL

with a lot of these, there is a lot of plaid overperformances and labour underperformances

OOOOOOOOO

plaid cymru has won a plurality in 5/6 of the constituencies that have been announced

feel like the SNP can't get to a majority atp

plaid cymru feels inevitable

ok so to me this seems like a pretty big lib dem to SNP vote transfer also this seems like the one instance where the greens genuinely spoiled the vote for the SNP just because they ran a candidate here

interesting

jesus christ labour

ok i think this is gonna be a pretty big plaid win broadly lol

the welsh tories are doing ok based off of the two seats in so far

given how well the scottish tories were broadly holding up on the constituency level, i'm not exactly that surprised that they won here they may sweep all three southern border constituencies tbh

damn these scots HATE reform

first welsh constituency, first of many welsh labour oofs

if real this would actually be a decent overperformance for reform here that said, they are literally doing vote pile watching, so idk if i can really extrapolate

in this edition of islands being weird:

This was Reform's best chance at a constituency gain, and they came up just short: in the final BBS model before polls opened, they had a tiny edge, it was a total tossup. SNP will be extremely relieved by this ^AF