This is an impressive, intellectually honest decision.

This post specifically really doesn't tell us about *higher* turnout effects either way, instead focusing on *all registered voters*. Plus, it shows declining dem % among registered nonvoters (54.5% in '20, 53.1% in '24)! Is this a dramatic shift? No, but it points to "nonvoters getting more R"

Degrowth Donald

If Carney wins in Canada, the case for Powell 2028 becomes unimpeachable

Rubio claims that @USAID lifesaving assistance for health and humanitarian needs will continue. But his team just communicated that the entire agency will be imminently reduced from 14,000 to 294 people. Just 12 in Africa.

Stirring words in my inbox forwarded from a USAID staffer "This Order is Unlawful, and We Must Refuse to Comply"

For all the hand wringing about tech-world interest in Effective Altruism, it seems distinctly preferable to the currently empowered strain of Effective Sociopathy

Guy whose pro-border wall study gets rejected because he calls it a “barrier”

In a terrible news week, will take this bit of great news: Towana Looney, who received a pig kidney transplant in two months ago, seems to be doing well. www.npr.org/sections/sho...

Well sure, it sounds bad when you put it like that

"Free trade agreements are..." A good way to create economic growth: 58% (+17) A dangerous threat to American jobs: 13% (-20) Unsure: 29% (+3) Innovative / Jan 24, 2025 / n=1007 (% Change With 2016)

al gore is the perfect man: hard working, smart, very handsome, progressive, cripplingly autistic

If by “imperfect” you mean “actively nonsensical and based on a fundamental ignorance of the topic” sure

In fairness to Sam, Trump is definitely not *neo* imperial

I don’t think people appreciate how unusual the US system of long-term fixed rate mortgages is. This isn’t a problem in most European countries because you simply cannot get a mortgage with a fixed rate, or if you can the mortgage is 15 yrs www.aeaweb.org/articles?id=...

Got this booklet in the mail and immediately wondered which cult sent it. I was not disappointed!

"To build a whole climate policy approach around green industrial policy and then refuse to take any policy cues from the people actually running the green industries is ridiculous." www.slowboring.com/p/liberalism...

I think education polarization does mean that a lot of people who are liberal or on the left generally think they're too good to be party-line hacks.

A surprising number of people are like “I can abide murdering a health insurance CEO in cold blood in midtown Manhattan at point blank range. But retweeting Andrew Huberman after that NYMag story came out is a bridge too far…”

Serial acquisitions of anesthesia practices led to price increases of 30 percent with no quality improvements, from Aslihan Asil, Paulo Ramos, Amanda Starc, and Thomas G. Wollmann https://www.nber.org/papers/w33217

But I still think it's crazy that people who need kidneys have to wait for volunteers to come along! The bipartisan End Kidney Deaths Act that Congress is considering now could help by giving new donors a $50k tax credit. @dylanmatt.bsky.social has a great piece on it: www.vox.com/future-perf...

1 - article describes effective altruism as “the dominant way to think about charity” and worries about crowding out other giving. But EA is under 0.5% of US giving! Arts giving alone is 10-20x bigger. This is like complaining that art films are eating into Marvel's market share.

The concentration of heat-related mortality among younger people is quite disproportionate compared to other causes of death: Although just 16% of overall deaths from all causes are among under 35 year olds, 75% of heat-related deaths are among under 35 year olds

When talking impoundments, it's critical to note Nixon lost every single case in court that was decided on the merits - before the ICA was law. Some very limited historical impoundments happened - but were never challenged. As soon as they were challenged, courts said no even without the ICA.

THE NEW YORK TIMES: Globally, the Healthcare Profession is Under Siege From Left and Right "Bashar A., an optomestrist in the Damascus area, says that healthcare professionals are scared - events such as the recent shooting of the UHC CEO 'have us all on edge'"

What’s the most important choice in determining the social cost of carbon (SCC)? My #EconJMP shows that because deaths from emitting CO2 are large and concentrated in poor countries, valuing lives is the most consequential choice in determining the SCC in latest-gen models, more than discounting 🧵👇

This is madness. If other countries want to sell us solar on the cheap so we can expedite adoption of clean energy, let them. Either climate change is a crisis, or it isn't. www.reuters.com/business/ene...

Well played.

Remember, Thanksgiving isn’t easy for everybody. Some people got sewn into Charlie Brown’s pants at the big parade and, to this day, can’t stand bald boys because when they see them, they think they’re back in the pants.

We still have a relatively poor understanding of the relationship between evidence and policy. Program evaluation in particular is often motivated by a desire to make policy better. But how effective is program evaluation itself?Michelle Rao's JMP tackles this question. www.michellerao.com/research

Are you writing a book about political economy/progressive policies/other things @rooseveltinstitute.bsky.social might find interesting? Do you have a book contract w/ a publisher? DO YOU LIKE MONEY? If so consider applying to our (virtual) Author in Residency! (1/x) form.jotform.com/CampusNetwor...

This week on Explain It to Me, William wants to know more about ranked choice voting and if it can fix….whatever it is we got going on politically right now. I turn to @dylanmatt.bsky.social for some (admittedly messy) answers. open.spotify.com/episode/16BU...

Here's my paper on how budget reconciliation works! There are a lot of great explainers, but I think my value add is working through specific examples of things that've failed to make it through reconciliation and explaining the parliamentarian's reasoning. www.americanprogress.org/article/how-...