With its recent rulings, the Roberts Court has now entirely perverted the purpose of the 15th Amendment, turning an outright ban on racial discrimination in voting into a right to discriminate against black voters. www.theatlantic.com/ideas/2026/0...

We have to stop providing 155mm rounds to Ukraine so we can pivot to ceasing arms sales to Taiwan so we can waste our entire inventory of TLAMs and THAAD interceptors on Iran

Trump's capitulation on Taiwan has been explicit and striking. Has any of the China hawks who've justified support for or acquiescence to Trump because "he'll be tough on China" reconsidered? Has any acknowledged they were wrong? Feel free to offer names of those who have or haven't in the replies.

Jesus! Shut the fuck up! Shut the fuck up! Shut the fuck up! He knifed Taiwan in the back by turning them into warmongers. He couldn’t have sent a brighter green-light to China than this. Also, Mao cared about Taiwan. So did Liu Shaoqi, Deng Xiaoping, Jiang Zemin, etc. Shut uuuuup!

Exactly what we argued Trump should not do. By parroting China's framing, he closes off political space for the real source of power: deeper security cooperation with Taiwan. globalaffairs.org/commentary/a...

Watching a series of former Confederate states rush to eliminate any vestige of black representation in the House pretty much answers the question whether the Voting Rights Act was still necessary.

Excited to be part of this!

In addition to the Trump-Xi piece below, I also have a Q&A on the @global-affairs.bsky.social's website: globalaffairs.org/commentary/a... And a piece on the ASEAN summit last week: globalaffairs.org/commentary/a...

My latest on the upcoming Trump-Xi meeting from @global-affairs.bsky.social. Had a lot of fun writing this with Mike Hunzeker (@taiwanmonitor.bsky.social) and Mark Christopher. globalaffairs.org/commentary/a...

Also, teachers had a big impact (at least on me) for what I focused on. Unfortunately, my HS history teacher was very much a History Channel guy. I still roll my eyes at guys "who like history" bc they're memorizing events and dates without deep engagement with the connective mechansims btn them.

🚨 Now out in @bjpols.bsky.social w @busbyj2.bsky.social @jordantama.bsky.social @ckafura.bsky.social: Do American foreign policy elites know what the public wants? Partnering with @global-affairs.bsky.social, we show that elites systematically misread the room 🧵 www.cambridge.org/core/journal...

As much as Trump and his administration sees this partial withdrawal as punishing Germany, it really punishes members of the Eastern Flank because that's where those forces would really be deployed if they were to defend against a major military attack.

Alright, I’m home now so here’s the Norm update. Yesterday at 4pm, I got a text from a family I’ve been helping who had a loved one abducted a couple of days after Renée Good’s murder. This was the family that Norm Nation kept from being evicted (and you delivered). ICE had released their loved one.

I can't believe this. @normcharlatan.bsky.social you're a Minnesota Legend, my man.

Wine/book store. Have a lovely glass while reading a stirring piece.

I NEED HELP! Please take this quick, meaningless 19 question survey so I can get data for my students to learn stats! I did a similar version a few months ago but missed an important question type. Even if you did the old one, please do it again! Please circulate widely!

Younger daughter about Top Chef: Tom is like a moody Stanley Tucci. 😆

I'm delighted to announce that I'm joining the Chicago Council as Vice President of Research! I'm proud to have worked at RAND and excited for the opportunity ahead! @global-affairs.bsky.social

The singular goal of all future US politics is to ensure Trumpism is defeated and cannot again take root here, and everything that serves that end is to be considered and prioritized. It's a holistic organizing principle, from a Green New Deal to Nuremberg 2 to expanding the court to Reconstruction.

#rstats question: I'm getting a new laptop and debating between an x86 or ARM64 architecture. I know R and Rstudio released experimental ARM64 versions a couple years ago. Do they run well? Are packages ready to install?

Adam means that she is the daughter of immigrants, but it is worth emphasizing that *every* U.S. citizen who has not been naturalized is a birthright citizen, either by the 14th Amendment or by statute.

It was an incredible honor to represent tens of thousands of rapid responders across Minnesota who have spent the last 118 days standing up for our neighbors. Here’s my speech from yesterday at No Kings St. Paul. 1/

Question based on this article and my grandmother: are arcade games a form of gambling? I mean specifically the ones where you pop in quarters and play the game for as long as it'll let you or you hit a fail state (i.e. die).

This was one of the underrated benefits of leaving academia. Mentoring amazing junior colleagues is both rewarding in its own right and directly helpful personally when the right incentives are in place.

Agreed, but let me explain. 6yo me at the Philly museum of natural history. I loved the animatronic dinosaurs there. Down the street from my 2nd favorite museum, the Ben Franklin Institute.

Predicting that this week we’ll hear more conciliatory words from the Administration regarding Minnesota (since they’re starting to realize that ICE has become politically toxic) but everyone outside of Minnesota needs to know that nothing on the ground has changed.

In other words, things haven't changed here at all, and the operation is still ongoing.

I wrote this song on Saturday, recorded it yesterday and released it to you today in response to the state terror being visited on the city of Minneapolis. It’s dedicated to the people of Minneapolis, our innocent immigrant neighbors and in memory of Alex Pretti and Renee Good. Stay free

Earlier today, I discovered I am eligible to nominate candidates for the Nobel Peace Prize (@nobelprize.org). I nominated "the people of the Twin Cities".

The biggest risk in this moment is something sociologists call “symbolic compliance.” That’s when an institution that is violating civil rights gives the public just enough symbolic victories that accountability efforts lose steam before there has been any meaningful change.

What's even better is that, while community groups are celebrating this, they haven't stopped organizing and protecting their neighbors. This isn't over until the op is shutdown and ICE/CBP are gone.

This is really moving. Definitely give it a listen.

Good, and good riddance.

ICE out of MN

Hi everyone -- there is a general strike in Minnesota tomorrow to protest what the Trump administration and DHS are doing to our community. In solidarity with the action, I am going to donate my revenue from tmrw's newsletter to People over Papers, the Midway-Hamline Diaper Bank, & Every Meal. (1/2)

Another friend put it to me like this: "ICE has made the classic Nazi mistake. They've invaded a winter people in the winter."

This video filmed by Ben Luhmann shows the moment a federal agent sprayed chemical irritants directly into a man's face in south Minneapolis. Three agents already had the man pinned to the ground when a fourth agent walked up and sprayed the irritants.

It is even worse than it looks

@professormusgrave.bsky.social Welcome back! Missed you here.

National media: Please stop describing what’s happening in Minneapolis as “protests.” There has been a modest, sustained protest outside the Whipple federal building, about 10 miles from downtown, but... 1/3

Even if we believe ICE’s pretexts (and we shouldn’t), this is a STUPID way to do a law enforcement operation. Which, of course, is why it isn’t one: www.liberalcurrents.com/so-hows-the-...

There's no actual law enforcement strategy for ICE's operations. That is, identified and confirmed suspects, probable cause to arrest using the least force possible, sent to a judicial system where suspects receive due process.

This is a great idea! I'd be happy to guest lecture in-person on international security, international order, China-Taiwan, and laws of war.

MN's former SecState once recounted a story. They invited a DFL and GOP strategist to share their thoughts on state politics. Last question: What's your biggest regret from your work? GOP guy: That we convinced rural areas that urban areas owe them yet simultaneously look down on them.

An excellent piece describing what it's like in the Twin Cities. I find myself constantly monitoring my surroundings, looking for who may need protection or assistance, where the exits and private spaces are. And checking each car I pass to see if there might be trouble coming.

"I'm not in Minnesota -- what can I do to help?" A list of ideas!

Again I say into the void: stop saying the ICE officer had no time to think. Time doesn’t start when the drama starts. They drove up. They walked up. They engaged. Stop saying there is only reflex, no thought. If so, stop arming ambulatory startle reflexes & calling them cops

Not an exaggeration at all to say that the feeling in Minneapolis is that the entire metro area is being treated as occupied territory by federal agents. Impossible to overstate how overwhelmingly people here do not like it. This does not feel sustainable.

This is excellent, especially the cataloging of all the ways our present moment is different from what's come before. It's disorienting to hear some many people claim the opposite, and this is a good corrective.