The US billion-dollar disaster database has a problem - a billion dollars ain't worth what it used to. What happens to the disaster trend if you correct for that? @blairfix.bsky.social investigates: economicsfromthetopdown.com/2025/10/26/r...

Here is the Internet Archive mirror of The Bichler & Nitzan Archives, designed and implemented by @blairfix.bsky.social archive.org/details/bich...

Roger Pielke Jr. argues that existing data, however poor, show that large-scale climate disasters are becoming less impactful. @blairfix.bsky.social shows that these data demonstrate the very opposite. Will Nature publish his rejoinder? bnarchives.net/id/eprint/872/

I jump into the moderation debate. I agree with @adambonica.bsky.social and @gelliottmorris.com on the methodology, but I want to draw attention to a bigger issue. The collapse of candidate effects generally. leedrutman.substack.com/p/the-modera...

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I don't think enough people have read this -- IMO all of #ClimateSky, #GreenSky, and #EnergySky should, and if they have students should assign it to their students -- so I'm reposting.

"Having piqued my interest, I’m now going to pivot and not investigate these questions. And that’s because this essay is not about good science. It’s about the error-riddled work of Robert Pielke Jr. " Lmao

Is the world heading for a new arms race? bnarchives.net/id/eprint/854/

I dont know how @blairfix.bsky.social finds the time to do this but he’s so damn good! If you can take the time to read this don’t forget to click the @profstevekeen.bsky.social link. economicsfromthetopdown.com/2025/10/26/r...

this is a very impressive analysis of some of the statistical "oddities" in Pielke Jr's analysis that normalized climate impacts are declining. Everyone should read this. economicsfromthetopdown.com/2025/10/26/r...

Finally, an independent expert, political economist @blairfix.bsky.social, has actually taken a look under the hood, digging deep into the details of Roger's methodology, and it's not pretty. Blair's commentary speaks for itself: economicsfromthetopdown.com/2025/10/26/r...

Other than outright fraud, what bothers me most in science is the combination of clever rhetoric with analysis that seems sound but is actually abysmal. It's a recipe for hoodwinking people. Hence this deep dive into some appallingly bad science: economicsfromthetopdown.com/2025/10/26/r...

Outside Calgary-Bow but want to get involved? Volunteer: recallnicolaides.ca/volunteer-re... ✅ Petition Buddy ✅ Social Media ✅ Traditional Media ✅ Technical ✅ Familiar with WordPress & Elementor ✅ Organizational Support ❓Other #Reclaim #Public #Education #abpoli #ableg #CalgaryBow

In a 2024 paper criticizing the 'billion-dollar-disasters' database, Roger Pielke Jr. published analysis that is best described as a Russian-doll of errors. Here's my in-depth take down of his appallingly bad work. economicsfromthetopdown.com/2025/10/26/r...

Reagan was like Joe Free Trade. He and Thatcher are the avatars of the neoclassical economics resurgence, trade liberalization, etc. good or bad this is pure reality. The idea that this conversation is even happening shows how much we’re in the mad king 2+2=7 world.

"Forgive me, but how in the world is this not on the front page of every American newspaper, leading every cable news show, and right smack dab in the middle of every legacy media homepage? Why are we, at Zeteo, the only folks leading with this insane story?" zeteo.com/p/trump-ille...

Priorities.

"[B]ehind ever billionaire is a complicated [seldom public] network of corporate control... [Here], we’ll map the ownership network of 10 billionaire families in Canada." Revealing work by @dtcochrane.bsky.social + @blairfix.bsky.social economicsfromthetopdown.com/2023/06/23/m...

Whenever I start to wonder why humans are having such a tough time with modernity I find it helpful to remember that: 1. We’re animals. And we've only been human for 0.15% of the time that mammals have existed. 2. We’ve only had written language for 1.8% of the time that we’ve been human. 1/3

Only a small % of people engage in toxic activity online, but they’re responsible for a disproportionate share of hostile or misleading content on nearly every platform Because super-users are so active, they dominate our collective impression of the internet www.theguardian.com/books/2025/j...

Social media users adopt the toxic behaviors of ingroup members An analysis of 7 million tweets from over 700,000 accounts finds that exposures to toxic behavior by ingroup members is the primary driver of contagious toxicity online academic.oup.com/jcmc/article...

There is no difference between Trump destroying the East Wing and using a wrecking ball on the Washington Monument or Smithsonian. Just because he (temporarily) lives there doesn't give him the right to demolish the White House without Congressional approval.

Republicans on the Supreme Court are poised to gut the law that finally ended Jim Crow, and Southern Republicans are eager to gerrymander Black voters out of representation like it’s 1925 again

NEW — I'm suing DC Metro Police for the full body cam footage from the DOGE raid on the US Institute of Peace back in March. The public deserves to know why MPD chose to sell out the people they’re tasked with protecting in order to bend to Trump's will. I'm repped pro bono by @rcfp.org. Details:

That’s called burying the lead

a reminder that ICE received an astonishing influx of money with the megabill this summer: boltsmag.org/how-the-gop-...

Breaking News: President Trump wants $230 million from the Justice Department for investigating him, people familiar with the matter say. Any settlement might ultimately be approved by senior department officials who defended him or those in his orbit. nyti.ms/4hmIi5X

The first recall petition has been submitted in Alberta since 1936! youtu.be/c9JlGu7z098?si=PMM... #abpoli #ableg #alberta #ABresistance

This says a lot about today's Republican party and a lot about Donald Trump, none of it good.

1/ The first excerpt of Virginia Giuffre's posthumus memoir is out and it is gutting: www.theguardian.com/us-news/2025...

NEW: Israel informed the UN it will permit only 300 aid trucks into Gaza daily, not the 600 mandated by the ceasefire it just signed.

Oh hey, check this out. They talk the same way in their private chats as they do on Twitter www.politico.com/news/2025/10...

ICE secretly kidnap autistic boy during bathroom break—never notify parents. Mother reported him missing a week ago—turns out ICE had him detained the whole time. He was helping sell fruit and asked to go to the restroom—by the time she was done helping a customer he was gone. Houston, Texas

Dems floated a narrow bill to fund the military, which can’t move because the House isn’t in session. Meanwhile, DoD is now going to spend funds not appropriated by Congress to ensure military paychecks continue. POTUS now both commands and provisions the military. Unconstitutional and SO dangerous

At what level of wealth does it become an indication of how big a parasite someone is? $50 million? $100 million? $1 billion?

In Chicago, four vehicles descended and eight ICE agents moved in to kidnap a child. She screams, “I’m 15,” as ICE yanks her from the car and kneels on her neck. This is not about immigration enforcement. It's about terrorizing Americans.

NEW: The private jet that flew 10 shackled migrants to an Eswatini prison last weekend is owned by Israeli-American billionaires with close ties to Trump. It’s oligarchs all the way down. My first for @zeteo.com: zeteo.com/p/this-famil...

Social Security got hit with more body blows this week: its commissioner is moonlighting as the made-up "CEO" of the IRS, and 750,000 applicants could be denied disability benefits. More from Bob Kuttner: prospect.org/blogs-and-ne...

Chicago woman shot multiple times by a US border patrol agent indicted by federal grand jury reut.rs/42vjyCE

"After a few moments of laughter, the No Kings Coalition issued the following statement"

New — I was fortunate to speak in front of students and faculty at Grinnell College in Iowa tonight about the business of independent journalism, the current state of media under Trump 2.0, and billionaire control. I published my full speech because I thought it might resonate beyond campus:

NEW: "I don’t like sending out 'emergency' newsletters, but I’ve had my eye on the situation in Chicago all day....This moment has elevated the crisis so that it is no longer just a conflict between the federal government and a state, but between two states." www.thebulwark.com/p/emergency-...

I feel like this photo of masked, armed men pepper spraying a pastor protecting his community is going to be a defining picture of this moment in America for a long, long time.

The government is shooting priests in the head with pepper balls. I feel like this is a kitchen table issue.

Claim: 10 cars rammed ICE Truth: No cars rammed ICE Claim: She boxed ICE in Truth: ICE boxed her in Claim: She shot a rifle at ICE Truth: She did not have a rifle Claim: ICE returned fire Truth: Only ICE fired Claim: She drove herself to the hospital Truth: Paramedics found her

Everything Trump is doing now is a preamble for his regime's real goal: to invoke the Insurrection Act. I don’t want to unduly alarm you, but you need to be aware of this imminent danger. It’s unfolding very rapidly. https://robertreich.substack.com/p/trumps-plan

One of the things I took away from the 60s and Richard Nixon, first mentioned by Hunter Thompson, but I believe to be true, is the fact that we believed, at time, that all our protesting, marching and sign waving was futile and pointless when in fact, it drove Richard Nixon to alcohol fueled madness