This is completely disgusting. Today, the CDC updated their vaccine safety page. It now says: “The claim "vaccines do not cause autism" is not an evidence-based claim because studies have not ruled out the possibility that infant vaccines cause autism”.

Always a good reminder, I still see this error quite often: "The difference between significant and not significant is not itself significant. If you want to carry out inference for a difference, you need to construct the standard error for that difference." www.econometrics.blog/post/overlap...

Our team at American Journal of Health Economics is looking for a social media editor! The position is compensated ($1000 per year) -- if you're interested, please apply using this Google form: docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1F...

#econtwitter #econsky: I'm again organizing sessions for Ashecon this upcoming June (in Minneapolis, in-person only) focused on IPV/VAW in low- and middle-income countries; for myself, particularly interested in a session around intersections between IPV and health outcomes

Calling all researchers working on the environment and health! 🌿🚑 #ASHEcon2026 will be in Minneapolis (June 7–10, 2026), and I’m helping organize the Environment & Health program. Looking forward to seeing your submissions (deadline is December 10)! 👉 www.ashecon.org/2026-minneap...

My group at the University of Illinois is hiring a tenure-track applied economist. We're especially interested in environmental/public reduced-form rookies with research that complements our group. Tell your students to apply! #EconSky www.aeaweb.org/joe/listing....

This is such a bizarre talking point; I've thankfully never had to use most of the types of insurance that I have for me and my family This is a good excuse to share my WSJ letter to the editor explaining that "not filing a claim doesn’t mean you didn’t need insurance" www.wsj.com/opinion/the-...

Our group at Illinois Gies College of Business is hiring! We are especially interested in public or environmental economists. Our group includes myself, @tderyugina.bsky.social, David Molitor, Nolan Miller, Jeff Brown, Riley League, and Mackenzie Alston. www.aeaweb.org/joe/listing....

We're hiring at UIC Econ! uic.csod.com/ux/ats/caree...

Look at the distribution of z-values from medical research!

Not sure anybody can top Ted, but if you want to check: clearsky.app

Life expectancy has increased at all ages

Good to see Bluesky implementing an algorithm—it’s much needed. Hopefully it works well

Dropping a beta version of this page while everyone is up and processing baseball! This tool lets you search the full text of papers from the American Economic Review, American Economic Journal series, and over 30,000 NBER working papers. paulgp.com/econlit-pipe...

“What makes a Harvard student a Harvard student is their engagement in extracurriculars” www.thecrimson.com/article/2025...

I'd love to help make BlueSky one of the places where young scholars introduce themselves and their work to the world. If you're a PhD student whose work at least partially focuses on economics of education or education policy, reply to this thread and I'll highlight your work.

NEW PRE-DOC POSITIONS: @arpitrage.bsky.social and I are hiring for two pre-docs, one to start ASAP and one to start next Fall, to help expand our work using LLMs to measure and study zoning codes in the US. Please apply here: apply.interfolio.com/176538

Bad idea for economics: our author ordering is usually alphabetical

📢🚨 #HERB2026 is on 🚨📢 Interested in health and risky behaviors? Submit your paper to this conference Davide, Paolo, and I have been organizing this conference for 4 years now, and every time I love it. Good people, good food, nice discussions. The papers are not too bad either 😜

Thought about scientific consensus recently? We have a new DP @i4replication.bsky.social that probes into the famous replication debate between Acemoglu, Johnson & Robinson (AJR) and Albouy - and how experts assess this debate. We find that they disagree. 1/8 www.econstor.eu/bitstream/10...

Wow

We're just now beginning to see the fallout of the administration's visa policies and rhetoric toward international students. Regardless of how bad it gets, it's 100% an own goal. www.reuters.com/world/us/few...

“In 2025, American diagnostic radiology residency programs offered a record 1,208 positions across all radiology specialties… In 2025, radiology was the second-highest-paid medical specialty in the country, with an average income of $520,000, over 48 percent higher than the average salary in 2015”

I tried this on a manuscript—I’m impressed! It flagged: - A missing variable in a first-order condition - An outdated manual calc (“drop from X to Y is not Z%”) - Inconsistent notation - Miscellaneous typos (“and and”, “+ +”) - Missing subscripts - Several unclear passages

Great opportunity. Great colleagues. (Note: Oct. 24 application deadline) www.aeaweb.org/joe/listing....

$2.4 trillion projected cost (over 6 years; as of April 2022) of Russian aggression is likely a lower bound. Professional forecasters underestimated to cost of RUS illegal annexation of #Crimea and partial occupation of the #Donbas in 2014 by a factor of 3 #UkrainianView

Interesting new RD method

Elsevier has dismissed Richard Tol as editor of the highly successful "Energy Economics". His account of the alleged and the actual reasons casts an even darker shadow over the academic publishing business.

"This makes nitazenes an example of the Iron Law of Prohibition, proposed by Richard Cowan, a drug-legalisation activist, in 1986. Banning one compound opens the door to a new, stronger alternative—just as Prohibition in America led to a shift from beer to spirits" www.economist.com/leaders/2025...

Hey, #EconSky! Got a policy-relevant paper that you want folks in DC to see? Present & publish it with NBER's Environmental and Energy Policy and the Economy. Submission deadline is Oct 20. Conference is in DC on May 21, 2026. More details below. conference.nber.org/confsubmit/b...

WSJ, Page One: “.. the fastest rate of increase since at least 2011 ..”

Today's ChatGPT use case: give it Stata code and have it draft a methodology section based on it. A straightforward yet somewhat time-consuming task to do manually. Bonus: if the writeup doesn't match what you THINK you did, it may be due to an error in your code that you didn't catch. #EconSky

Bad news

Over 125 economists signed the open letter calling on the President, Congress, and the American public to uphold the principles of Federal Reserve independence and not remove Lisa Cook without due process. There's still time to sign! And please share. #EconSky docs.google.com/document/d/1...

File under: physicians also respond to payment incentives The % of hernias recorded as >3 cm increased by 12.9% when CMS started paying more for them jamanetwork.com/journals/jam...

I didn’t expect that in 2025 I’d still be filling out a CDC contact tracing form to fly into the U.S.

Great post on the parallels between AI, learning, and John Searle's Chinese room thought experiment conversableeconomist.com/2025/08/12/l...

I am giving a talk in Essen, Germany this week, August 12-15. If you’re in town and would like to chat, drop me a line.

Hey #econSky I've written a short blog post on some hidden advantages I see in Pre-Analysis Plans for team work, whether you do experimental research or not. Check it out here: adegendre.github.io/posts/2025-0...

The past 75 years have witnessed remarkable progress in medicine and public health

Argument mostly resolved by this super interesting and depressing figure: doi.org/10.31223/X57... Clearly we're in a new normal. Open question - do we know yet whether the new normal is more like 2020/21 or more like 2023? I suspect the latter, since Canada is so darn big & it keeps burning. /end

I was the AEA's President Elect as the first Trump term began. We worried about government statistics then, and appointed a committee that included members (such as Google's Chief Economist) who might be in a position to help make reliable statistics available if the government went dark. #econsky

Am Econ Assn speaks out about firing the #BLS Commish. "It is standard practice for statistical estimates to be revised as [better] data become available. These revisions reflect the commitment of statistical agencies to accuracy, transparency, and methodological rigor--not failure or bias."

Canadian wildfires are bringing terrible air pollution into the Midwest. Yesterday, Chicago had the worst air quality of any major city in the world.

As part of human challenge trials, Mr. Delaney "had bone marrow extracted from his pelvis and received the malaria parasite via infected blood through a cannula into his arm...In total, he will receive around $11,000" www.nytimes.com/2025/01/28/w...

I've been working on a new tool, Refine, to make scholars more productive. If you're interested in being among the very first to try the beta, please read on. Refine leverages the best current AI models to draw your attention to potential errors and clarity issues in research paper drafts. 1/

One fifth of people in New Mexico are on SNAP economist.com/united-state...

Rivals' prices, and the ability to monitor them, play a special role in pricing algorithms. Zach Brown and I discuss the research and the implications in the latest CPI Antitrust Chronicle on Surveillance Pricing. Read the article here: tinyurl.com/2pj93aat

Nice unification of different DD estimators. Important feature: “all the estimators proposed in this paper allow for standard statistical inference using well understood techniques, already incorporated in common statistical software”