How did #Ukraine economy survive the RUS onslaught? maybe a miracle but there are also fundamental factors : 1) defend skies, shipping lanes 2) fiscal stimulus ↑ 3) vital int'l aid 4) play econ cards well 5) adaptability of private sector #UkrainianView #EconSky (w/ @tderyugina.bsky.social )

1/🎙️New episode of Policy Implications! I talk with Julien Daubanes about sanctions on RU oil, the rise of the shadow fleet, and why sanctions are not a one-time policy decision. Listen to find out what actually hurts RU oil profits most. 🎧 Link: tinyurl.com/mraaueyw #EconSky #PoliSky #EconTwitter

Campanile @ucberkeleyofficial.bsky.social will participate in "Call For Freedom" to commemorate 4 years of Ukrainian Bravery. Come & listen! Thanks to Max Zubkov (www.maksymzubkov.info/my-ukraine) and UCB Borsch club #UkrainianView #Berkeley #Ukraine

Register! #UkrainianView #EconSky

Four years after the terrible invasion of Ukraine, transshipments to Russia via Kyrgyzstan run rampant from Germany (top left) and Italy (top right). If Poland (bottom left) and Lithuania (bottom right) can get this under control, why not Germany and Italy? robinjbrooks.substack.com/p/eu-transsh...

Reminder: After the 2014 annexation of Crimea, PACE stripped RUS of its voting rights. Jagland (then Sec Gen of CoE) was a leading proponent of restoring these rights. Many saw this as a "betrayal" that normalized the illegal annexation & signaled that Russia can break law w/o lasting consequences.

As we approach the 4 year mark of the war, #UCBerkeley #OLLI olli.berkeley.edu hosts a talk today @ 10:30am pacific Context: George and I had a talk 4 years ago (just after Russia invaded #Ukraine): www.youtube.com/watch?v=y5lo... #UkrainianView

основано на спільній роботі з Морісом Обстфелом

#EconSky: Save the date & tell your friends! Economists for Ukraine will host an online workshop called "The Craft of Publishing in Economics" on March 9, 12-1:30 US EST. Sign up here to get more info: docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1F...

Working Paper No. 15: "The European Union and the War in Ukraine: More Money, but Not More Europe" EU response to Ukraine: coalitions of the willing drive military aid while Brussels provides financial support. Read: econ4ua.org/wp-content/u... Submit research: lnkd.in/gf2nQ5WC

This is insane

This cartoon is titled "Aid to #Ukraine" A picture is worth a thousand words #UkrainianView

“As of late January 2026, the RUS campaign of large-scale strikes on UKR energy & efforts to plunge the population into darkness&cold haven'thad a significant impact on public moods” RUS attacks (=war crimes) harden UKR resolve => war will go on #UkrainianView More: www.ft.com/content/5321...

Serhiy Zhadan’s cult status reflects modern literary celebrity with a Ukrainian twist. In a country where supporting the armed forces is both essential and existential, Mr Zhadan uses social media expertly to spread his art and activism

Ukrainian engineers keep proving one thing: what Russia destroys, Ukraine rebuilds—sometimes within hours. This is a nation at war: fast hands, calm nerves, and a refusal to break.

here's the link to that post

“Golden Age” is literally how Turkmenbashi & his enablers referred to his rule over Turkmenistan. The man was so fond of gold that he had multiple golden statues of himself erected all over Ashgabat. To hear the U.S. Secretary of Commerce use these exact words when addressing Trump is disorienting.

Today Trump nominated Kevin Warsh to be the next chairman of the U.S. Federal Reserve Today U.S. Department of Justice released a new batch of Epstein files. Name "Kevin Warsh" is in one of the files www.justice.gov/epstein/file...

Who has the the fighting army in Europe to defend Europe? Answer: Ukraine

"2000 Meters to Andriivka" is a great film

1/ 🎙️ New episode of Policy Implications is out! Ukraine is facing a deepening humanitarian crisis as millions experience long electricity and heating blackouts due to Russian attacks on Ukraine’s energy infrastructure, targeting civilian life in winter. 🎧 Listen here: tinyurl.com/2229ucp6

Falko Fecht, Stefan Greppmair, & Björn Imbierowicz (@bundesbank.de) show that the outbreak of war in #Ukraine acted as a 'silent monetary tightening'. Exposed banks faced immediate higher funding costs and reduced credit supply. cepr.org/voxeu/column... #EconSky

A new Policy Implications podcast on blackouts in Ukraine and in Berlin youtu.be/Ik8KvTx2_7g?...

The monumental task of rebuilding postwar Ukraine requires early planning and identification of growth strategies, from @ygorodnichenko.bsky.social and Maurice Obstfeld www.nber.org/papers/w34715

Occupation of a city. Killing innocent people. Lying about the killing. I’ve never been more ashamed of my government. I spent 6 years in govt. 4 in politically appointed roles. If this had happened then, I’d have resigned. Anyone political in this administration there Monday is morally culpable.

On 1/22/2014, Yanykovych's thugs killed 3 people at the Maidan protest. The gov't lied... Protests continued anyway. On Feb 20, they shot many more people. But Yanukovych&his mafia state were deposed. The slain activists are known in #Ukraine as the Heavenly Hundred. This was 12 years ago

Given how things are evolving, more disagreement at the FOMC is likely

What I cannot understand is how any US policemen can be allowed to be: 1. Masked 2. Without name plates 3. Armed. To anybody knowing European history this sounds like Hitler's brownshirts, also known as Sicherheitsabteilung (SA).

Forthcoming article “The New Causal Macroeconomics of Surveys and Experiments” (Schumpeter Lecture 2025) by Olivier Coibion and @ygorodnichenko.bsky.social @eeanews.bsky.social doi.org/10.1093/jeea...

1/ 🎙️ New episode of Policy Implications! I talk with @plvezina.bsky.social about Ukrainian refugees in Poland who aren’t just workers, but entrepreneurs creating new businesses and even boosting Polish firm creation. This season is supported by @econ4ua.bsky.social and Kozminski University 💛💙

Video message from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome H. Powell: www.youtube.com/watch?v=KckG... www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/s...

@martinsandbu.ft.com on the state of RUS economy "The picture is clear. The RU economy is under enormous strain, & is running out of resources. ... The message for the west — what remains of it — is that the medicine (sanctions) is working, but the dose should be increased." 100% #UkrainianView

Russia is truly interested in peace

What is a safe growth strategy for post-war #Ukraine? A new paper by Maurice Obstfeld and me sheds more light on this question: The earlier accession of Eastern European countries to the EU& NATO offers a template that relies on massive FDI & public structural funds. #UkrainianView

Is true Russian GDP above or below 2021 levels? #EconSky econbrowser.com/archives/202...

Today is one of those days that shines a light on people's true intentions. Global long-term yields (red) are rising very sharply. If you're European and think issuing more debt into this is something to celebrate - instead of using Russian money - you don't have Europe's best interest at heart...

This is how moral hazard looks like: you invest $$$ into Putin/Russia knowing the high risks, and then you scream for a bailout/protection when things go south. Raiffeisen, Unicredit, etc. had plenty of time to exit Russia #UkrainianView #EconSky

"The disabling of holdout members’ vetoes will do much more for the EU’s economic security than anything proposed in the strategy update." 100% #UkrainianView

free economic zone in the #Donbas??? Is there a free economic zone in Korea's DMZ? The experience is clear: no security, no economy. Don't kid anybody with such proposals

Our new @piie.com Working Paper on Russia’s war-induced regional convergence with @eribakova.bsky.social & @ygorodnichenko.bsky.social now out! @bofit.suomenpankki.fi @suomenpankki.fi Many poorer regions saw their incomes rise faster 2022-24 as public spending rose🇷🇺 www.piie.com/publications...

Terrific debate!

Witkoff-Dmitriev plan RE #Ukraine is wrong & it'd be crazy to start negotiations w an extreme RUS position. @tderyugina.bsky.social @ilonasolohub.bsky.social, Anastassia Fedyk, James Hodson & I have a counter-proposal that would give genuine peace. Our 28 points vs RUS 28 points. #UkrainianView

Developing a scalable, data-driven method to assess public procurement quality, and revealing governance risks like corruption through transparent, comparable metrics, from @tderyugina.bsky.social, Žaldokas, Fedyk, @ygorodnichenko.bsky.social, Hodson, and Sologoub www.nber.org/papers/w34479

Some reflections on Ukraine's corruption scandal from @ygorodnichenko.bsky.social , @tderyugina.bsky.social , Anastassiya Fedyk voxukraine.org/en/more-ammu...

Boot camp in Behavioral Macro is back! where: Cambridge, Massachusetts when: May 14–15, 2026 who is eligible: full-time PhD students at a US or Canadian university #EconSky

This food trivia game card on "borscht" is yet another example of an attribution of a not authentically russian heritage as russian. There's a UNESCO nomination of Ukrainian culture on this dish - and it has versions and names in other Eastern European nations, the word itself coming from Yiddish.

Long overdue But why was Sachs invited there in the first place?

While the West has been generous in supporting #Ukraine since Russia’s full-scale invasion, its financial aid can be used only for non-military purposes. This creates distortions that undermine Ukraine’s war effort. Foreign donors should directly fund defense spending. #UkrainianView