Yuriy Gorodnichenko
@ygorodnichenko.bsky.social
📤 5259
📥 474
📝 401
Economics Professor at UC Berkeley; from
#Ukraine
pinned post!
Almost two years ago,
@cepr.org
published an eBook with essays by prominent scholars & policymakers about the importance of supporting
#Ukraine
. This book is more relevant than ever. Read it!
#UkrainianView
cepr.org/publications...
12 months ago
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Boot camp in Behavioral Macro is back! where: Cambridge, Massachusetts when: May 14–15, 2026 who is eligible: full-time PhD students at a US or Canadian university
#EconSky
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Behavioral Macroeconomics Research Boot Camp for Graduate Students
https://www.nber.org/calls-papers-and-proposals/behavioral-macroeconomics-research-boot-camp-graduate-students
1 day ago
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reposted by
Yuriy Gorodnichenko
Iryna Dronova
4 days ago
This food trivia game card on "borscht" is yet another example of an attribution of a not authentically russian heritage as russian. There's a UNESCO nomination of Ukrainian culture on this dish - and it has versions and names in other Eastern European nations, the word itself coming from Yiddish.
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Long overdue But why was Sachs invited there in the first place?
add a skeleton here at some point
16 days ago
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While the West has been generous in supporting
#Ukraine
since Russia’s full-scale invasion, its financial aid can be used only for non-military purposes. This creates distortions that undermine Ukraine’s war effort. Foreign donors should directly fund defense spending.
#UkrainianView
add a skeleton here at some point
18 days ago
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Call for papers:
sites.lsa.umich.edu/rudib/wp-con...
Submit your work
#EconSky
add a skeleton here at some point
21 days ago
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Trump is back to square one... The variance of U.S. "policy" is incredible. The damage to U.S. credibility is growing
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Trump urged Zelenskyy to accept Putin’s terms or be ‘destroyed’ by Russia
US president tossed aside maps of Ukraine frontline in volatile White House meeting
https://www.ft.com/content/7960c6aa-dbfa-4a55-91e8-ae44601842ec
23 days ago
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Uncertainty is now a key feature of the global order+the very instruments designed to ensure stability—politics, trade, and the monetary system—have themselves become sources of risk. But
#Ukraine
, with its large agri sector & limited integration into global fin markets, is in fact less vulnerable.
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Yuriy Gorodnichenko: Uncertainty Is Becoming the New Normal for the Global Economy
Global uncertainty has reached record levels and is already triggering an economic slowdown. Yet Ukraine has been relatively insulated from...
https://voxukraine.org/en/yuriy-gorodnichenko-uncertainty-is-becoming-the-new-normal-for-the-global-economy
24 days ago
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reposted by
Yuriy Gorodnichenko
Economists for Ukraine
about 1 month ago
📊Working Paper No. 7: “What Drives Refugees’ Return After Conflict?” Survey of 2,500+ Ukrainian refugees across 30 European countries: territorial integrity and security guarantees are key to return. Read:
econ4ua.org/wp-content/u...
Submit research:
lnkd.in/gf2nQ5WC
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https://econ4ua.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/09/Econ4UA-Working-Paper-No7.pdf
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reposted by
Yuriy Gorodnichenko
Roger Myerson
about 1 month ago
What would Texans say if the President sent Illinois Guard troops to patrol their town? The Second Amendment affirms that people's right to keep local order by locally accountable forces is necessary to the security of a free state. This right is vital for all of us.
www.nytimes.com/live/2025/10...
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Live Updates: Top Trump Officials Head to Illinois and Oregon
https://www.nytimes.com/live/2025/10/07/us/trump-national-guard-illinois-texas
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Another [diplomant] said: this would “pay for Raiffeisen’s own risk [taking]” by deciding to continue operating in Russia. yes, Raiffeisen decided to operate in Russia, decided to continue operations in RU after the invasion of
#Ukraine
. Raiffeisen has to face the consequences & pay the price.
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EU plans to hand Deripaska-linked assets to Raiffeisen
Some European officials worry lifting sanctions would bolster Russian retaliation against western companies
https://www.ft.com/content/4a4c28ed-53ab-4d96-963e-a75edcb06e96
about 1 month ago
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Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh makes a strong case.
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A rent freeze is not the answer to New York’s housing crisis
If he is elected mayor, Zohran Mamdani should concentrate on expanding supply
https://www.ft.com/content/50ca59a9-4618-45b8-b96a-d46d983312f3
about 1 month ago
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reposted by
Yuriy Gorodnichenko
The Economist
about 1 month ago
“Stablecoins, like money-market funds, project security but can collapse under pressure,” argues Jean Tirole in a guest essay. The Nobel laureate explains why these digital tokens are riskier than promised
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A Nobel laureate on why stablecoins may be nothing of the sort
Payments systems must be built on public infrastructure, not speculative tokens, writes Jean Tirole
https://econ.st/3IogzoN
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$2.4 trillion projected cost (over 6 years; as of April 2022) of Russian aggression is likely a lower bound. Professional forecasters underestimated to cost of RUS illegal annexation of
#Crimea
and partial occupation of the
#Donbas
in 2014 by a factor of 3
#UkrainianView
add a skeleton here at some point
about 2 months ago
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A Russian drone hits a
#university
building in
#Kharkiv
Senseless and barbaric daily terror Imagine your university gets a hit like that
#Ukraine
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Момент удару по освітньому закладу в Слобідському районі
YouTube video by Харківська обласна прокуратура
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kI_zXONRvsI
about 2 months ago
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reposted by
Yuriy Gorodnichenko
Menzie Chinn
about 2 months ago
Fed Inflation Credibility Threatened
#EconSky
econbrowser.com/archives/202...
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The T-shirt says it all... But Salvini also once said he would like to have Putin as Italy’s prime minister “tomorrow”.
add a skeleton here at some point
about 2 months ago
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A weak response invites more provocations, more aggression, more brinkmanship
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Romania condemns Russian drone violation of its airspace
Country’s defence minister calls Russia’s behaviour ‘reckless’ after second breach of Nato territory in a week
https://www.ft.com/content/f3cbd806-9f47-4fbe-a23b-8095a95fe163
about 2 months ago
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Inflation ⬆️ & Employment ⬇️ → Stagflation A difficult situation for the Fed. Cut interest rates now → risk of rising inflation ⬆️ More here: "Inflation, Expectations and Monetary Policy: What Have We Learned and to What End?" with Oli Coibion
@empctmacrotx.bsky.social
,
shorturl.at/2fmOD
#EconSky
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US consumer inflation heats up; weekly jobless claims near four-year high
U.S. consumer prices increased by the most in seven months in August amid higher costs for housing and food, but a surge in first-time applications for unemployment aid last week kept the Federal Reserve on track to cut interest rates next Wednesday.
https://www.reuters.com/world/us/us-consumer-inflation-heats-up-weekly-jobless-claims-near-four-year-high-2025-09-11/
2 months ago
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BEL Foreign Minister: don't take RUS money b/c "this would kill the hen [SWIFT] laying golden eggs" Sure, it's more important than Russia killing Ukrainians, the greatest war in Europe since WW2, Russian war crimes, etc.
www.ft.com/content/f0cc...
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Belgium to soften stance on frozen Russian assets if EU shares risk
Foreign minister warns bloc not to ‘kill the hen laying golden eggs’
https://www.ft.com/content/f0ccc395-c9df-473d-8601-d7dd683cea75
2 months ago
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The chilling effects of RUS aggression are very much clear in the €zone. Large spillover effects have implications for: * Macro stabilization in Europe * The cost of war in general & RUS agg specifically * The calculus of costs&benefits of aid to
#Ukraine
* mil buildup in Europe
#UkrainianView
add a skeleton here at some point
2 months ago
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A new PS piece with
@ilonasolohub.bsky.social
and
@matsmarcusson.bsky.social
2 options: 1) RUS defeat (means more sanctions & more weapons for UKR). 2) a defeat for democracy (&subdued Europe). If 1), Europeans should sacrifice some of their welfare. If 2), they'll lose it all.
#UkrainianView
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https://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/putin-negotiations-trap-to-divide-west-and-create-complacency-by-yuriy-gorodnichenko-et-al-2025-09
2 months ago
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reposted by
Yuriy Gorodnichenko
Tatyana Deryugina
3 months ago
Over 125 economists signed the open letter calling on the President, Congress, and the American public to uphold the principles of Federal Reserve independence and not remove Lisa Cook without due process. There's still time to sign! And please share.
#EconSky
docs.google.com/document/d/1...
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Open letter
Click here to add your signature. An Open Letter from Economists in Support of Governor Lisa Cook and Federal Reserve Independence To the President, Members of Congress, and the American public: We wr...
https://docs.google.com/document/d/1oGrUv-_CoeulsLZDt_lyNTPbm9wYCAfiTLm7KMiwgzA/edit?usp=sharing
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reposted by
Yuriy Gorodnichenko
Stockholm Institute of Transition Economics (SITE)
2 months ago
Rebuilding Ukraine is more than just bricks—it's about a rebuilding a modern, secure future. New research paper by
@torbjornbecker.bsky.social
,
@ygorodnichenko.bsky.social
, and Beatrice Weder di Mauro maps the path to a resilient, democratic Ukraine. 💡Learn more:
www.hhs.se/en/about-us/...
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reposted by
Yuriy Gorodnichenko
Economists for Ukraine
2 months ago
📊Working Paper No.3 A new paper by Olga Bondarenko utilizes partial-equilibrium models with nonstationary variables to endogenously estimate grain price trends, offering insight into how Russia’s invasion may have affected prices by reducing Ukraine’s presence in global commodity markets.
#EconSky
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Shockwaves from Ukraine: Trends and Gaps in Agricultural Commodity Prices
I propose partial-equilibrium models that describe the dynamics of global wheat and corn markets. These models extend the classic competitive storage framework by incorporating nonstationary variables. They are calibrated using data from Ukraine and key importing and exporting countries. The models enable the endogenous estimation of price trends, based on the observed movements in the underlying variables. This framework provides insights into how involuntary reductions in Ukraine's global market presence, triggered by russia's invasion, could have affected trend prices.
https://econ4ua.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/08/Econ4UA-Working-Paper-No3.pdf
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reposted by
Yuriy Gorodnichenko
Empirical Macroeconomics Policy Center of Texas
2 months ago
How Wars in Foreign Countries Influence Inflation and Expectations That is what Olivier Coibion and Yuriy Gorodnichenko explore in our most recent blog post "When Foreign Wars Abroad Hit Wallets at Home".
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A great honor!
add a skeleton here at some point
3 months ago
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Trump welcomes a war criminal on US soil
#UkrainianView
3 months ago
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EU leaders: ... vital interests include ... robust&credible sec guarantees that enable UKR to defend its sovereignty&territorial integrity.
#Ukraine
has the freedom of choice over its own destiny. Meaningful negotiations can only take place in the context of a ceasefire/reduction of hostilities.
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Statement by President Macron, Prime Minister Meloni, Chancellor Merz, Prime Minister Tusk, Prime Minister Starmer, President von der Leyen and President Stubb on Peace for Ukraine ahead of President ...
We welcome President Trump\'s work to stop the killing in Ukraine, end the Russian Federation\'s war of aggression, and achieve just and lasting peace and security for Ukraine.\nWe are convinced that ...
https://ec.europa.eu/commission/presscorner/detail/en/statement_25_1952
3 months ago
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17
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reposted by
Yuriy Gorodnichenko
Economists for Ukraine
3 months ago
❓Did you know that Econ4UA has created a repository of research papers on Ukraine and the Russian invasion? It includes categories such as finance, sanctions, trade, agriculture, energy, labor markets, and governance. See our database:
econ4ua.org/research-rep...
#EconSky
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Research Repository – Economists for Ukraine
https://econ4ua.org/research-repository/
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reposted by
Yuriy Gorodnichenko
Russia-Ukraine Daily News
3 months ago
📼 Journalists from Radio Liberty have released previously unseen surveillance footage showing Russian soldiers killing 70-year-old Volodymyr Rubailo on Yablunska Street in Kyiv Oblast’s town of Bucha on 4 March 2022.
www.pravda.com.ua/eng/news/202...
#Ukraine
#Russia
#RussianWarCrimes
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Radio Liberty release footage of Russian looting and execution of civilian in Bucha – video
Journalists from Radio Liberty have released previously unseen surveillance footage showing Russian soldiers killing 70-year-old Volodymyr Rubailo on Yablunska Street in Kyiv Oblast’s town of Bucha on...
https://www.pravda.com.ua/eng/news/2025/08/6/7525023/
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reposted by
Yuriy Gorodnichenko
Economists for Ukraine
3 months ago
📊Working Paper No.1 The first comprehensive analysis of the economic value of US aid delivered to
#Ukraine
from 2022 to 2024. Carefully tracking and valuing aid deliveries, the authors find a total of $51.2 billion—a fraction of official figures, with a low budgetary impact.
#EconSky
Read more:
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https://econ4ua.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/07/Econ4UA-Working-Paper-No1.pdf
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Please submit your papers to the series!
#EconSky
#UkrainianView
#Ukraine
add a skeleton here at some point
3 months ago
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reposted by
Yuriy Gorodnichenko
VoxEU @ CEPR
4 months ago
Forecasts of the cost of the war in
#Ukraine
pointed to stagflation for Ukraine and Russia, as well as similar but smaller effects in the rest of Eastern Europe. The total cost of the war is estimated to be $2.4 trillion.
@ygorodnichenko.bsky.social
, V Vasudevan
cepr.org/voxeu/column...
#EconSky
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Very important!
add a skeleton here at some point
4 months ago
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Great piece by Martin Wolf
#UkrainianView
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The Ukraine war will shape the world
We must not repeat the mistakes of the appeasers in the 1930s
https://on.ft.com/4lGi0Np
4 months ago
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KQED Forum on
#Ukraine's
reconstruction The story about rebuilding
#Irpin
(including the role of the SF Bay Area) is most inspiring
#UkrainianView
www.kqed.org/forum/201010...
add a skeleton here at some point
4 months ago
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reposted by
Yuriy Gorodnichenko
KQED Forum
4 months ago
THU at 9AM: BBC reporter Zhanna Bezpiatchuk, Center for Innovation's Margie O'Driscoll, Stantec's Eugene Chumakov & UC Berkeley professor
@ygorodnichenko.bsky.social
on the challenges Ukraine faces as it seeks to rebuild while still at war. ❓ What Qs do you have about reconstruction in Ukraine?
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reposted by
Yuriy Gorodnichenko
VoxEU @ CEPR
4 months ago
Although the source and duration of the destruction differ, wars and natural disasters disrupt economies in similar ways. Shifrah Aron-Dine uses evidence from the impacts of Hurricane Maria to develop rebuilding policies applicable for
#Ukraine
.
cepr.org/voxeu/column...
#EconSky
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reposted by
Yuriy Gorodnichenko
Robin Brooks
4 months ago
The single biggest source of oil tankers for Putin's shadow fleet is Greece (blue). That's an opportunity for the EU to grow, not sweep this under the rug. A proper investigation is needed to uncover how this happened. That'll strengthen the EU, not weaken it.
@econharris.bsky.social
@brookings.edu
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Local optimum: do not touch Russian money Global optimum: seize Russian money & transfer it to
#Ukraine
#UkrainianView
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Plan to boost returns from Russian assets ‘expropriation’, warns Euroclear
Clearing house chief executive warns against EU plan to raise more money for Ukraine by investing in riskier assets
https://www.ft.com/content/7c6ae0e9-aebf-4793-8bc1-35c695466381
4 months ago
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RE Trump's talk to impose sanctions on countries importing Russian oil/gas: The Hall of Shame is public knowledge: China, India, Turkey, Singapore, Egypt, Brazil.
#UkrainianView
4 months ago
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Life goes on in
#Ukraine
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How Odesa’s Philharmonic Orchestra played on through the war
A Ukrainian orchestra and their American conductor withstood Russian missiles to bring music to the city
https://www.ft.com/content/9dc64086-ce45-4a81-8ee0-97c20fe72abc
4 months ago
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17
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reposted by
Yuriy Gorodnichenko
Colby Smith
4 months ago
Trump has yet to name his pick to replace Powell, but whomever he chooses will have to overcome doubts that they are setting interest rates free of influence from the White House or risk eroding the institution’s credibility
www.nytimes.com/2025/07/10/b...
@nytimes.com
@darioperkins.bsky.social
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Trump’s Push for Influence Over Fed Decisions May Hobble Next Chair
https://www.nytimes.com/2025/07/10/business/trump-fed-chair-independence.html
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Vincenzo De Luca, the head of the Campania region, defended the decision to engage Gergiev: the invitation showed that “dialogue between people can grow & the values of human solidarity can develop.” Mr. De Luca should travel to
#Ukraine
to see what Putin's friends do
#UkrainianView
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Russian Maestro, Shunned in West Over Putin Support, Will Conduct in Italy
https://www.nytimes.com/2025/07/07/arts/music/valery-gergiev-italy-festival.html
4 months ago
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Many interesting chapters + there is one on
#Ukraine
#UkrainianView
add a skeleton here at some point
4 months ago
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reposted by
Yuriy Gorodnichenko
Andrew Kosenko
4 months ago
On July 4th, no less. Putin is humiliating Trump. In the last couple of weeks, every combined attack (air- & sea-launched cruise missiles, ballistic missiles, large drones, and decoys), has been bigger than the previous ones. Today - 539 missiles/drones overnight.
www.nytimes.com/2025/07/04/w...
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Russia Hits Ukraine With Large Air Barrage Hours After Trump-Putin Call
https://www.nytimes.com/2025/07/04/world/europe/ukraine-russia-war-putin-trump.html
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Trump's call to Putin certainly worked. Sarcasm
add a skeleton here at some point
4 months ago
0
9
2
reposted by
Yuriy Gorodnichenko
Lluís Camprubí
4 months ago
How much money does Ukraine need? By
@martinsandbu.ft.com
The least expensive policy by far is to give the country enough now to win the war
www.ft.com/content/4835...
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How much money does Ukraine need?
The least expensive policy by far is to give the country enough now to win the war
https://www.ft.com/content/48353046-3b28-400b-88e7-af5c316ff3f2?accessToken=zwAAAZfQEJwekc9INTBGOyhAC9OI569cMW_z8g.MEQCIGwabH8RnvvuI_IuZJ8JiQGV03Mf1CnCETB7v_9atWZ3AiACwVUf-6aSLi9PpUYCyDaV-IeQedJDSsnz8zFYQ0N3DA&segmentId=e95a9ae7-622c-6235-5f87-51e412b47e97&shareType=enterprise&shareId=ab2780fe-d541-4222-a050-ae18fb68d5b6
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reposted by
Yuriy Gorodnichenko
Centre for Economic Policy Research
4 months ago
Chapter 28 brings together Tom Enders, Jeannette zu Fürstenberg, René Obermann, &
@schularick.bsky.social
and their perspectives from industry, technology and economics to outline priorities for a German and European
#defence
policy strategy for the coming decades.
cepr.org/publications...
#EconSky
0
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This ages well... Trump: “[Putin] is not going into Ukraine, OK, just so you understand. He’s not going to go into
#Ukraine
, all right? You can mark it down. You can put it down. You can take it anywhere you want.”
#UkrainianView
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Trump says Putin is ‘not going to go into Ukraine,’ despite Crimea | CNN Politics
Donald Trump said Sunday that Russian President Vladimir Putin won’t make a military move into Ukraine – even though Putin already has done just that, seizing the country’s Crimean Peninsula.
https://www.cnn.com/2016/07/31/politics/donald-trump-russia-ukraine-crimea-putin
5 months ago
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