Trump issued “a full, complete, and unconditional pardon to all United States citizens” for conduct related to the 2020 election. Now a man facing federal prosecution for voting twice (once in PA and once in FL, both times for Trump) says he's covered and should go free. [VoteBeat] /1

NEW: When Propecy Fails is one of the most famous social psychology books of all time, a look at a small group of UFO believers when the “spacemen” failed to land. I wrote about a new study from an independent researcher who says the book is not what it seems. www.motherjones.com/politics/202...

Note that the BBC openly admits in an email to me that the removal of this claim about Trump's world-historical corruption was done "on legal advice." Translation: Trump's threat of a lawsuit, no matter how bogus, has now been rewarded. newrepublic.com/article/2036...

Keith and I strengthened our lower bounds for randomized experiments in the linear-in-means model to a general minimax result Updated results available at arxiv.org/abs/2410.10772

Consciousness is determined by the ability to use em dashes.

A very good piece on bike share and tourism. As a Lyft Pink subscriber I get member pricing on bike share in NYC and Chicago, so I mostly got around by bike when I visited. Boston, on the other hand, charges high daily and per-trip rates to tourists; so I took a lot of ride-hails instead.

This is called “chain refoulment” and it’s illegal under both U.S. and international law. And the State Department and ICE know very well what Ghana is doing and simply don’t care.

I've done a lot about Google Search and I honestly could do more about TPUs, but there's not a ton out there about the buildout. That being said my Signal is ezitron.76 if you work at Google, especially in Google Cloud or Capex 😀 I have so many questions 😀 please tell me stuff 😀

“From the night of the massacre onward, Ms. Fletcher was never again able to sleep comfortably in a bed, she wrote… “When I sleep, it is never very deep or for very long because of the anxiety and the things I see,” she wrote. “Imagine having the same horrible nightmare every night for 100 years.”

Looking at the time series, this looks more credible than many difference-in-differences analyses. So a good reminder that causal inference is hard — especially with a single treated unit. Also, showing the non-scaled ZORI would probably reveal the parametric extrapolation diff-in-diff does here.

ICE’s Detention Center outside Chicago was sued on October 30 for allegedly abusing detainees. One day later, a "system crash" lost all video footage that could have shown how detainees were being treated. trib.al/QwT3aqI

If you're trying to convince your friends to spend time on Bluesky rather than X, maybe show them this. X is not "the public town square" or about "free speech." It's "just what Elon Musk wants you to see." If you see stuff he doesn't like he'll step in to make sure you don't see it for long.

THREAD: Judge Ellis is the first federal judge to review extensive body cam video of DHS's actions in Chicago. She finds that DHS *repeatedly* misled the public and made claims that were disproven by agents' own videos. I'll go through some of the most egregious ones here.

Factor analysis and varimax have been widely misunderstood among statisticians. Two years ago, Muzhe Zeng and I had a discussion paper at JRSS-B that tried to clarify why factor analysis and varimax were actually decades ahead of their time It’s free (with discussion) here: doi.org/10.1093/jrss...

"People buy GPUs like they buy eggs. You don't buy just one."

Amazon sues Perplexity over their agentic browser Comet using Amazon to make purchases for users. Might be an interesting case to keep an eye on www.theguardian.com/technology/2...

RFK Jr had committed to Bill Cassidy, as a condition to win his vote, that he would keep website language. Cassidy in February: “If confirmed… CDC will not remove statements on their website pointing out that vaccines do not cause autism.” Note the language in second photo.

The actual secret to why I know stuff is that I ask a question any time I don’t understand literally anything. I don’t care how simple it is. Anybody who makes fun of you for asking a simple question likely doesn’t know the answer either

Just wanna re-up in simple terms that when Biden talked to platforms, Jim Jordan launched years of investigations into everybody involved, said it was tyranny, censorship, etc. And now they just straight up acknowledge that they talk to platforms too. www.washingtonexaminer.com/news/crime/3...

From my colleague; paper here dropbox.com/scl/fi/55uok...

For household surveys that only collect householder information (e.g. the SCF, HVS), claims like "Millennials are doing better than previous generations" are just picking up increasingly positively selected householders if household formation differs across generations and is related to resources

I think back to this research on Lajos Simicska's purchase of a major news outlet (and then his later falling out with Orbán) and how this is hugely reflected in advertising buys by the state doi.org/10.3982/ECTA... @ecmaeditors.bsky.social

Cheeky FT commentary... on.ft.com/4o5S3Yf

The cost of Trump's immigration surge: Stalled investigations into child sexual abuse, Iranian oil smuggling and human trafficking, among others. My latest piece is a big team effort on how DHS has been transformed into the Department of Deportation. Gift link: www.nytimes.com/2025/11/16/u...

We’re currently on a mini-vacation in an indoor water park in a giant hall in the middle of nowhere where they initially planned to build cargo airships. It’s quite nice but the vibes are def apocalyptic. The earth has become inhabitable & we’re all stuck under this giant dome at 26 degrees celsius.

The emails were sent in 2018/2019, more than a decade after Epstein was first prosecuted, and during renewed accusations, right up until the day he was arrested again.

Very cool post, thanks for finding our initial paper on this issue interesting. Turns out we had another one just out, where we extend the idea of critical ignoring and relate it to the detrimental consequences of information overload: doi.org/10.1016/j.co... 1/n

Y’all wanna hear a wild story? Charlie is right — this medley Prince made 30 years ago, blending many of his greatest hits & fan favorites into an extended mashup, is one of the most fun “only Prince could do this” things he made in the 90s. BUT: he told us he was gonna do it. In an AOL chat room…

I see the point of the commentary but am not so sure about these examples... Isn't the PCA doing what it's supposed to do in these examples? (I often use "finding the most informative perspective to look at a fish" as an intuitive way to understand PCA.) www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/...

1/ Egalitarianism should begin at home. I link to this article by @bencasselman.bsky.social in light of the communications between Larry Summers and Jeffrey Epstein that have just been released. The released emails and the fact of friendship are vile. www.nytimes.com/2021/02/23/b...

Basically saying "if you do crime for me, I won't only pardon you--I'll give you millions of dollars of public money." Truly unprecedented level of corruption www.bloomberg.com/news/article...

This is the same administration that has ordered the return of a Confederate monument to Arlington National Cemetery--one which celebrates the "loyal slave" narrative as represented by the images of the "faithful mammy" and a body servant (slave) in Confederate uniform. 🗃️ www.cnn.com/2025/11/13/p...

Who needs the woke pointyheads at the Bureau of Labor Statistics when we have the DoorDash Cheeseburger Index assets.ctfassets.net/trvmqu12jq2l...

ukraine has, for years, been begging the west for weapons in its fight against russia now their defense companies have something their western allies are eager to buy: drones, and lots of them (gift link) www.bloomberg.com/news/feature...

The U.S. military is being used inside the United States. There's a lot we don't know about how, why, and under what authorities. Today, Lawfare is launching a new project–which includes a tracker and a map–to follow where and how the military is being domestically deployed.

the "tech debt" metaphor primes people for bad intuitions debts have a strict lending schedule, and refinancing if you're in a pinch debtors don't wake up Tuesday at 3am and set part of your business afire unless you pay them off the only part that really fits is the carrying cost

Not ICE. Border Patrol. They’re wearing Border Patrol uniforms with clear Border Patrol patches on them. There are many videos of ICE officers doing outrageous stuff but a lot of the absolute worst videos are of Border Patrol, who are basically Bovino and Miller’s most aggressive tool right now.

Haha, this from the New Yorker is getting passed around the math dork community. I did a comic about this kind of thought a few years ago: www.smbc-comics.com/comic/commut...

Feels like the opening to a very bad sci-fi film.

gotta be one of my favorite recent conversations. i recommend it (not because i'm in it, but because @micahflee.com broke this down so anyone could understand both the 'technical' side and the political side of why this means so much to people.)

🧠⚙️ Interested in decision theory+cogsci meets AI? Want to create methods for rigorously designing & evaluating human-AI workflows? I'm recruiting PhDs to work on: 🎯 Stat foundations of multi-agent collaboration 🌫️ Model uncertainty & meta-cognition 🔎 Interpretability 💬 LLMs in behavioral science

The aesthetic of an authoritarian not befitting the civic traditions of the United States

This is quite a story: the US employed every strongarm tactic available, including personal threats against delegates and their families, to derail an agreement on reducing shipping emissions that was almost finalized. on.ft.com/47lq3dZ

159. AP-GfK, 2009: "How much do you enjoy each of the following things about weddings? How about participating in group dances such as the Bunny Hop and the Electric Slide at the reception?"

Why analysis informing a decision shouldn’t try and predict the decision it’s informing: kucharski.substack.com/p/why-do-peo...

Nothing to worry about, totally normal

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