T-tests / PCA / Machine Learning

I don’t buy the idea that libraries will go away since everyone can just write their own now. Maybe for small internal company use-cases. But libraries are not just code, they’re time invested in edge cases, they’re hundreds of hours of human eyes. I don’t want to replace that.

Reminder: The Trump regime cancelled nearly $500 million in federal contracts for mRNA vaccine development last year.

Causal inference when you condition on the mediator:

It would be very helpful for Democrats to establish now, IN ADVANCE, that future Democratic administrations will allow any relevant criminal proceedings to go forward, and that decisions made by military leaders today could have life-changing consequences for them in the future.

The biggest problems are organizational problems It’s like we are all parallel computing with our brain processing units, struggling to communicate and sync up If that’s true, maybe ai will not be as big of a deal as the internet.

AI is going to make writing so good. Becky and Tom in HR and the rest of us plebes get clean (appropriately boring) prose. And great writers all get biggest chip on their shoulder. THEY are gonna write some damn good stuff

My annual March 14 suggestion to move π Day to July 22 since 22/7 is closer to π than is 3.14.

“We live between two silences.”~Mark Strand I’m not just interested in the room, I’m interested in the room beyond the room. “Gayle, Holly’s Room”, oil on 24”x48”, private collection. 🔴

the infinite sequence of ai expansion… humans want to use ai. Ai can’t do everything. So, whatever ai needs humans for, humans will provide it. Great trade! And then the ai keeps that as training data and next year won’t need humans for that step.

roses are red violets are great we need Census data to properly weight

impeachment has to be next up

Google Search Has Been Quietly Poisoning Your AI Skills decision.substack.com/p/google-searc… #AI #context

Major news outlets: Please consider prominently reporting what this all-star team of researchers has found. www.nber.org/papers/w34791

That sounds painful

If you haven’t been following… ICE presence in Minneapolis is still very heavy. Despite media attention elsewhere… the resistance is still overwhelming ICE on the ground:

A (city) block is both a measure of length and area

i think if you post like this without offering concrete steps people can take to prepare for and respond to interference or without any acknowledgement of the success (or lack thereof) of this strategy then you are basically engaged in voter suppression.

Madison folks: Talk tomorrow! I built a tool for document coding and data extraction. Looking for users! Thursday 1pm (tomorrow!), Morgridge Hall. Come see our new building!

Terrorists

No that was the Civil War

There’s a rally going on in Boston rn and they’re chanting “we’re not cold, we’re not afraid, MN taught us to be brave!” and I might cry

1. Shoot people like dogs 2. Unrest 3. Martial law The plan is that transparent. Don’t let them

No, stop. We cannot win this way. It’ll only destroy us.

Song for the Day: Ohio - Crosby Stills Nash & Young youtu.be/MN_9VqfVQ9c?...

The whole of Congress should be descending on Whipple right now.

do you feel righteous fury in your heart? like never before? yes? this righteous fury in our hearts can only belong to our side. if we bring guns, we let them feel that. and we will lose because they will also have more guns.

ICE agents killed a man and are disappearing the witnesses.

Cover up already starting…

that's not just a murder, that's a lynching imo

They are executing unarmed people in the streets for trying to protect their neighbors with the full support of the federal government.

BREAKING: The Tribune confirmed on Instagram that the man shot has died, according to two sources with knowledge of the incident. ICE attempted to order local police from the scene, but Chief Brian O'Hara refused, sources also told the Tribune. O'Hara instructed his officers to preserve the scene.

If press want to contact a firsthand witness, DM me

Seeing a bunch of normal ass midwestern moms and dads marching in -20 degrees knowing they might be tear gassed or worse really drives home what a cowardly lot of people the pundit class is

PC1 has a monster eigenvalue:

pepper spraying someone in the face from inches away while they are already restrained on the ground should get you fired and land you in jail, no exceptions

What if productivity growth is stuck at ~3% not because we lack breakthrough technologies, but because that's simply how fast workers can actually learn and adopt new tools?

If chat makes you a theorem / proof, you can share the link in your paper and people can chat with your derivation of it.

“I need a flexible hierarchical tagging system for my documents” wait til you hear about folders​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​!

holy shit. i'm going to get so good at my annual activity reports now. lol.

Wordsmiths! We need a term for the incorrect belief that a human, with typical time/attention, can outperform an AI in a specific task It isn’t always an incorrect belief necessarily… we need a word or phrase for when it is.

he shot her then her car accelerated

In data analysis, the vibe of “statistical independence“ is 100% woo woo

There are two kinds of academic work… 1) sitting at your computer, reading text and typing more text (coding, writing, etc). 2) Everything else. Everything in 1 is going to get easier I think our ideas about 2 are still primitive… because we don’t value it or think about it. But it is there…

its so beautiful that coding agents do better work when you give them permission to fail and try again.

i never thought that we'd get to live through a singularity (because i never believed it). and it i had pretended to believe it for a moment... i wouldn't have imagined it to be this much fun.