🇺🇸 “Whichever way he gets there is secondary to the actual deal that he can claim as a big win for his presidency.” @mbudjeryn.bsky.social tells #F24Debate that #Trump is focused on victory, not the details of the #Ukraine peace deal. More in #F24Debate ➡️ f24.my/Baxr

🇺🇸 Confusion is inevitable as the White House sends #Trump loyalists to lead negotiations. @mbudjeryn.bsky.social tells #F24Debate why it’s hard to know who’s involved in the #Ukraine peace deal. More in #F24Debate ➡️ f24.my/BZzW

Belfer Center Fellowships are open for application through December 1, 2025. @mbudjeryn.bsky.social, Senior Researcher at MIT and Associate with the @managingtheatom.bsky.social, reflects on her time at Harvard Kennedy School as "life changing."

On Trump’s recent meeting with Putin, “The expectations here on the ground have been very low,” says Mariana Budjeryn, research associate at SSP’s Center for Nuclear Security Policy. @mbudjeryn.bsky.social joins other experts in discussing the Alaska Summit via @thebulletin.org: youtu.be/1m-Qih8V4Y4

Whatever points have been agreed on between Trump and Putin, they have to sell it to not only Zelenskyy, but to European leaders and the Ukrainian people, says Mariana Budjeryn (@mbudjeryn.bsky.social), research associate at SSP’s Center for Nuclear Policy, via @france24.com youtu.be/9I25wib8qjg?...

New in the Journal of Cold War Studies (Winter 2025): A forum on @mbudjeryn.bsky.social book "Inheriting the Bomb", featuring insights from Steven Pifer, Polina Sinovets, Robin E. Möser, and a reply from Budjeryn: direct.mit.edu/jcws/article...

🗨️"Pleasing #Trump isn’t #Putin's priority. Putin has no reason to stop." 👉 @belfercenter.bsky.social‘s @mbudjeryn.bsky.social ‬ ➡️Full show: f24.my/BJVm.x @en.france24.com #Trump #Ukraine

My piece for @carnegieendowment.org on the impact of US and Israeli strikes on Iran’s nuclear program, including the damage, long-term pathways to reconstitution, internal debates in Iran, and the future of the IAEA carnegieendowment.org/emissary/202...

Why am I so unimpressed by these strikes? Israel and the US have failed to target significant elements of Iran's nuclear materials and production infrastructure. RISING LION and MIDNIGHT HAMMER are tactically brilliant, but may turn out to be strategic failures. 🧵 1/17

Living through my very own solstice: the Ukrainian translation of Inheriting the Bomb was announced today and is available for pre-order. Out in print in August. Hoping it will contribute to a fact-based discussion of Ukraine’s nuclear history.

🗨️"The narrative that #Ukraine is doomed or #Russia is winning is misleading. Ukraine is not a lost cause with sufficient support." 👉 @harvardkennedy.bsky.social’s @mbudjeryn.bsky.social 📺Full show: www.france24.com/en/tv-shows/... @en.france24.com

@mbudjeryn.bsky.social @belfercenter.bsky.social: "The failure of the #BudapestMemorandum and the crisis of confidence it has generated may well be the most significant nuclear security challenge of our time." @globaldefensenews.bsky.social @globaldefense.bsky.social @sceeus-ui.bsky.social

Day 1: @mbudjeryn.bsky.social, George Perkovich, Ali Vaez, Andrea Mitchell, @richardmnephew.bsky.social, the Hon. Christopher Ford, Mariano-Florentino Cuéllar, Stephen J. Hadley, @ernestmoniz.bsky.social, @nancyayoussef.bsky.social, @ctbto.bsky.social, and @jamiekwong.bsky.social.

H-Diplo roundtable of my book is finally out! Grateful to Anna-Mart van Wyck, Valeria Hesse, and Mark Kramer for their reviews, to Polina Sinovets and Iryna Maksymenko for the introduction, and to Elisabeth Roehrlich and Diane Labrosse for guiding the process through to completion.

American war planning usually takes place in highly secure facilities. But the Trump administration planned its strikes on the Houthis using a group chat—and accidentally included The Atlantic’s editor in chief, @jeffreygoldberg.bsky.social. theatln.tc/AmsjsuT6

Not to beat a dead horse, but in this article, just published by @peterpomerantsev.bsky.social, people in the "four regions" so overwhelmingly want to be Russian that they do clandestine book clubs and literally risk jail to discuss Ukrainian books, 200,000 of which got destroyed in their town alone

I once received an electric shock during torture only for writing for Radio Liberty: I was told that it was "a CIA structure and an enemy of Russia", and for that reason alone I was already guilty. Now, the "enemy of Russia" is being destroyed by America itself, and my torture seems doubly in vain.

“I will repeat once again what seems incredible but is true: 500 million Europeans are begging 300 million Americans to protect us from 180 million Russians who have not been able to cope with 40 million Ukrainians for three years.” www.nytimes.com/2025/03/07/w...

A vicious triangle: Ukraine wants peace. Trump wants a deal. And Putin wants Ukraine. Try squaring that.

Please join @belfercenter.bsky.social and Project on Managing the Atom on Wednesday, March 12 at 10am to discuss vulnerability and resilience of Ukraine's electrical grid in wartime, with Volodymyr Kudrytskyi, former CEO of Ukraine's grid operator. In person and online. To register click below.

WHERE WILL YOU BE ON MARCH 7TH!? Head to www.standupforscience2025.org/local-event-information/ or the link in our bio to find your closest event—or add one if you're hosting one! #standupforscience2025

The disastrous Zelensky visit to the White House caps a spree of Trump breaking ranks with US traditional allies and making free concessions to Putin. The damage to US security interests is already done, writes former US Ambassador to Ukraine, Steven Pifer. thebulletin.org/2025/03/has-...

So wait a minute: The U.S. won't contribute troops to enforce a ceasefire, but it will use unarmed American civilians working for U.S. companies as a tripwire against the Russians?

Re Zelensky at the WH, yet again, feminists and trauma/abuse- informed thinkers are years ahead of political analysts. There is no acceptable affect, no way to charm an abuser, and no “deal” other than playing very very dead that would change how Trump and his flying monkey Vance behaved.

Via Ulrich Kühn.

❗️President's of Ukraine shared his first tweet after the meeting.

I have gotten a lot of pushback against my argument that Russia could be incentivized to use a nuclear weapon against Ukraine if it can see a possibility of a big win in Ukraine. It was formulated in more auspicious times. It begins to look less far fetched with each day and each hour.

Please join this important event at MIT on lessons from Ukraine for grid and energy security in wartime, with the former CEO of Ukrenerho Volodymyr Kudrytskyi. Tuesday, March 11, 5pm. Register below: calendar.mit.edu/event/vulner...

After three years of failure, Putin can’t win on the ground, but he can win in his enemies’ heads—if we let him. www.theatlantic.com/internationa...

A response to all those who tell Ukraine, look, Germany was divided for 45 years and then reunited. Did it?

Please share this fact sheet on Ukraine with anyone who needs it understandingwar.org/backgrounder...

My assessment in Foreign Affairs at the three year mark of the Russian large-scale invasion of how some elements of the war in Ukraine will impact on the character of future wars. www.foreignaffairs.com/russia/why-n...

On this day of remembrance of Ukraine’s Revolution of Dignity, re-upping my essay from a year go, to remind what Ukraine is fight for. @brookings.edu @belfercenter.bsky.social

Donald Trump’s Putinization of America My new column: www.newyorker.com/news/letter-...

What comes to mind these days are the words of Jan Masaryk, Czechoslovakia's foreign minister, uttered to Lord Halifax in the wake of Munich 1938: “If you have sacrificed my nation to preserve the peace of the world, I will be the first to applaud you. But if not, gentlemen, God help your souls."

Ukrainian photographer Vladyslav Sodel documents the amazing work accomplished with USAID support in Ukraine over the years.

If you are in Toronto tomorrow.

In today's RUSI Commentary, Dr Hanna Shelest explores Ukraine's evolving search for security guarantees since the Budapest Memorandum and reflects on how effective bilateral security agreements between Western allies and Ukraine may be. You can read more here. bit.ly/40GcZwk

An important piece on how to build a more resilient and efficient energy system in Ukraine after the war.

Why is Ukraine losing ground? There are many explanations, ranging from a lack of aid to a lack of political will to win. The reality, however, is far more complex. This thread offers a brief excerpt from my recent analysis, with the full link provided at the end. 1/ 🧵Thread:

In a recent national poll, Ukrainians shared their views on key issues: the EU, negotiations with Russia, NATO membership, and trust in world leaders. Here’s what they had to say. 🧵 1/8

More innocent lives lost to this war… Here’s a question: what does it take to shut down a country’s air space for civilian traffic in the age of long-range drones that could be mistaken for civilian aircraft that’s landing/taking off?

An amazing story of Ukrainian ultrarunner Andrii Tkachuk who is currently defending his country on the front lines.

This is a very important piece about the US defense industry and the lessons of the war in Ukraine for future defense production.

Interesting: the Ukrainian military’s data show that Russian warplanes have reduced their guided bomb attacks by half since Kyiv started firing Western longer-range missiles at targets inside Russia (which has forced fighter-bombers to farther away airfields). www.agents.media/moskva-vdvoe...

Published with Dr. @mbudjeryn.bsky.social of Harvard's @belfercenter.bsky.social in 2017, in the HARVARD INTERNATIONAL REVIEW, this article seems to be relevant again: @nti.org @nordicukraine.bsky.social @konflikt-sicher.bsky.social @ukrainekompakt.bsky.social @nuclearban.bsky.social @dgap.org

Key takeaways from last night's discussion 'Beyond promises: 30 years since the Budapest Memorandum' with Serhii Plokhy, @mbudjeryn.bsky.social, Andrew Wilson & @ngumenyuk.bsky.social -🧵. The full recording will be available on the UIL's YouTube channel. Subscribe: www.youtube.com/c/UkrainianI...

How dared HTS topple Assad without giving Putin a face-saving way out?!

Why wasn’t there more resistance from Assad and the Syrian army?