In an interview for DW News, @nicolegrajewski.bsky.social argues that Russia’s support for Iran is largely rhetorical, with no mutual defense obligation and limited military reliance on Tehran: www.youtube.com/watch?v=dyTp...

Overall conclusion from my Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists piece on Trump's war on Iran, looking at what strikes might achieve and global reverberations: "It is hard to envision that the net result will be an improvement in US or world security." #iran #nukesky thebulletin.org/2026/02/trum...

MTA Associate @nicolegrajewski.bsky.social delivers a sharp analysis showing why U.S. strikes on Iran have not resolved the core nuclear challenge Read her article here: carnegieendowment.org/middle-east/...

New piece on nuclear restraint after the expiration of New START, including the national security value of agreed restraints. theconversation.com/last-nuclear...

In a BBC interview, Dr. Francesca Giovannini analyzes the renewed Iran nuclear negotiations, emphasizing unresolved concerns over enriched uranium, verification, and the strategic limits of diplomacy. Watch it here: www.linkedin.com/posts/what-a...

How Much is Enough to Kill a Nation? Join us next Monday at 1:30 PM EST to discuss Great Power Nuclear Deterrence in a New Era of Countervalue Vulnerability with Jaganath Sankaran www.belfercenter.org/event/how-mu...

Was a pleasure yesterday to help introduce the terrific new book on unintended negative consequences of counterproliferation, alliance, and arms control policies with editors Stephen Herzog, Ariel Petrovics, and David Giles Arceneaux. The e-book is open access. mitpress.mit.edu/978026205185...

On Feb. 9, Professor @matthew-bunn.bsky.social presented his thoughts on the expiration of New START and what a post-New START geopolitical climate may look like: www.belfercenter.org/research-ana...

1/4 As the Trump administration’s “What about China?” nuclear arms control agenda for a New START follow-on unfolds, here’s a 2020 throwback. @thebulletin.org Link here: doi.org/10.1080/0096...

Leading a discussion of the expiration of New START and what happens next at Managing the Atom, 1:30-3:00 today (Feb. 9). Take part if you're interested! harvard.zoom.us/j/9102746884...

In his piece for Haaretz, Ariel E. Levite argues that while Trump’s renewed talks with Iran are fraught with risk, diplomacy remains a more stabilizing and strategically sound alternative to regime-change efforts. www.belfercenter.org/belfer-news/...

In Harvard Magazine, Professor @matthew-bunn.bsky.social cautions that the end of New START could spark an unchecked nuclear arms race, emphasizing that some form of restraint is critical to avoid “a world with no agreed limits” on U.S. and Russian arsenals. www.harvardmagazine.com/five-questio...

Pleased to discuss the implications of New START's expiration with the London Telegraph's "Battle Lines" podcast, along with RUSI's Darya Dolzikova. www.youtube.com/watch?v=nlka...

ONE WEEK until we hear from @herzogsm.bsky.social, @gdavidarceneaux.bsky.social & Dr. Ariel Petrovics on their newly released "Atomic Backfires: When Nuclear Policies Fail" www.belfercenter.org/event/atomic...

@matthew-bunn.bsky.social, alongside other nuclear experts, discuss the expiration of New START and what comes next for strategic arms control www.youtube.com/watch?v=wg94...

Steven Miller and Toni Erskine introduce the Special Issue on “AI and the Decision to Go to War,” outlining how existing AI technologies may shape state decisions on the use of force through automated self-defense and AI-enabled decision-support systems. www.cambridge.org/core/journal...

In a column for The Hill, @matthew-bunn.bsky.social warns that the Feb 5 expiration of New START risks an unconstrained nuclear arms race and urges the Trump administration to seize a proposed U.S.–Russia “strategic pause” as a gateway to broader nuclear restraint talks. thehill.com/opinion/nati...

Join us for a Book Talk with Erik Lin-Greenberg on his newly released book "Remote Revolution: Drones and Modern Statecraft", next Monday, February 2nd at 1:30 PM EST --https://www.belfercenter.org/event/remote-revolution-drones-and-modern-statecraft

Take a look at @spenserawarren.bsky.social recent article in War on the Rocks: warontherocks.com/2026/01/gree...

On January 26, MTA will resume its weekly seminar series with a featured discussion led by @ajmount.bsky.social on his recently published article in International Security: www.belfercenter.org/event/conven...

1/5 Great news! "Atomic Backfires: When Nuclear Policies Fail" is now #OpenAccess so that everyone can read it online. Thanks to generous support from @mitpress.bsky.social Direct to Open (D20). @managingtheatom.bsky.social @belfercenter.bsky.social Check it out here: doi.org/10.7551/mitp...

In the Nonproliferation Review, I recently published an #OpenAccess article about the institutional design of the TPNW. It addresses misconceptions about the treaty's intent and parameters. It suggests ways for proponents and opponents to fairly assess the #NuclearBan. doi.org/10.1080/1073...

1/2 The Nonproliferation Review published a second special issue on Beyond Nuclear Deterrence. Co-edited by me, Hassan Elbahtimy & @professorrdg.bsky.social In the #OpenAccess intro we review 2 years of activities & challenges of the Beyond Nuclear Deterrence Working Group: doi.org/10.1080/1073...

MTA is thrilled to announce a new book! Edited by our visiting scholar @herzogsm.bsky.social & alumni @gdavidarceneaux.bsky.social & Ariel Petrovics for @mitpress.bsky.social It discusses when well-intentioned nuclear policies may actually make problems worse. mitpress.mit.edu/978026205185...

1/7 It's book publication day! "Atomic Backfires: When Nuclear Policies Fail" is out now from @mitpress.bsky.social in @belfercenter.bsky.social's Studies in International Security book series. Contents and discount codes below. @managingtheatom.bsky.social mitpress.mit.edu/978026205185...

MTA Visiting Scholar @herzogsm.bsky.social & alum Dave Alison won a Best Paper 2025 Award from @socriskanalysis.bsky.social for work on the AI-nuclear proliferation nexus. The prize honors papers w/ "the most significant impacts on the theory or practice of risk analysis.” doi.org/10.1111/risa...

MTA Associate & MIT Senior Researcher @mbudjeryn.bsky.social was featured on CNN to discuss the damage to the Chernobyl confinement structure -- video.snapstream.net/Play/6rgJDF7...

Next Tuesday, Dec. 9, join us at @carnegieendowment.org for a discussion with Dr. Hui Zhang on his newly released book "The Untold Story of China’s Nuclear Weapons", moderated by @tongzhao.bsky.social carnegieendowment.org/events/2025/...

The Nonproliferation Review published the first of 2 special issues from the Harvard–MacArthur Beyond Nuclear Deterrence Working Group. #OpenAccess intro by the 3 working group co-chairs & special issue editors, Hassan Elbahtimy, @professorrdg.bsky.social, & me: www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....

1/5 My article w/Dave Allison on how AI might enable nuclear weapons (non)proliferation has been added to the latest issue of Risk Analysis @socriskanalysis.bsky.social (after appearing online first). Check it out #OpenAccess: onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...

On December 3 at 9:30AM EST, join us for a conversation with Målfrid Braut-Hegghammer on the drivers of extended deterrence choices: Evidence from Norwegian parliamentary debates, 1945-2024 www.belfercenter.org/event/driver...

Trump’s remarks on restarting U.S. nuclear testing are fueling fears others will follow. WaPo reports major new activity at China’s Lop Nur site—potential prep for renewed tests. China would likely mirror any U.S. return to explosive testing. 🔗 www.washingtonpost.com/national-sec...

⌛One week left to apply! If you’re looking to deepen your expertise, expand your professional community, and contribute to policy-relevant research, now is the time to submit your application for a Belfer Center Fellowship — the deadline is December 1. Learn more: www.belfercenter.org/fellowships

1/2 I was delighted to contribute a chapter to the new book Nuclear Negotiations: Conditions for Effective Nuclear Diplomacy. It was produced by the Alva Myrdal Centre for Nuclear Disarmament @uupeace.bsky.social. Check out the book! link.springer.com/book/10.1007...

Does public opinion affect policymaker preferences about nuclear weapon use? New article from: @herzogsm.bsky.social, @smetanamichal.bsky.social, @laurensukin.bsky.social & @mvranka.bsky.social. Read in @ejisbisa.bsky.social, @cambup-polsci.cambridge.org: www.cambridge.org/core/journal...

Please join MTA on November 14 at 1pm Eastern Time if you are interested in learning more about MTA fellowships and the application process. More information (including the Zoom registration link) can be found here: x.com/managingthea...

On November 18, we will host MTA Fellow Kunal Singh for a discussion on Explaining North Korea's Unlikely Success: Personalist Regime, Weak State Capacity, and Nuclear Weapons Program - we hope to see you there! www.belfercenter.org/event/explai...

Professor @matthew-bunn.bsky.social was quoted in a recent CNN article on Trumps desire to return to nuclear testing: www.aol.com/articles/tru...

Next week: "The Untold Story of China's Nuclear Weapon Development and Testing" with Hui Zhang RSVP here⤵️ cisac.fsi.stanford.edu/events/untol...

BRSL Research Seminar: reporting on Dr. Hui Zhang's new book, "The Untold Story of China’s Nuclear Weapon Development and Testing," on China’s nuclear weapons development from 1955 to 1996. 📅 Register: In person: luma.com/cjhxekzt Virtual: luma.com/t1y5gd06

A new piece by Dr. Mohammad Tabaar, quoting Dr. Steven Miller - "An Obituary for the JCPOA": carnegieendowment.org/posts/2025/1...

Stimson Center Distinguished Fellow Joel Wit will be presenting his book "Flashpoint: The Inside Story of How America Failed to Disarm North Korea" on October 30 at 10am. Please use this link to join in on the conversation: www.belfercenter.org/event/how-am...

Next Monday, October 27, UC Berkeley Risk and Security Lab will be hosting MTA Senior Researcher Dr. Hui Zhang for a discussion on his forthcoming book "The Untold Story of China’s Nuclear Weapon Development and Testing" brsl.berkeley.edu/beyond-the-b...

Join MTA on October 28 for a discussion with Dr. Brad Roberts on Counterforce and Strategic Stability: Mapping the Debate, where we will delve into the recently released Livermore report on counterforce strategy in U.S. nuclear policy www.belfercenter.org/event/counte...

1/5 In @foreignpolicy.com, @laurensukin.bsky.social, @lanoszka.bsky.social, and I provide analysis on how publics around the world viewed the Biden administration's extensive but restricted military aid to Ukraine in 2022-2023. foreignpolicy.com/2025/10/20/u...

Join us on 27 October for a discussion with MTA Senior Fellow Ariel "Eli" Levite where he will examine Iran’s volatile post-war nuclear landscape, delving into four possible scenarios shaping the future of its nuclear trajectory. www.belfercenter.org/event/irania...

A little over a month left to pre-order Dr. Hui Zhang's forthcoming book "The Untold Story of China's Nuclear Weapon Development and Testing: A Technical History", to be released on 25 November. To pre-order, please use this link: mitpress.mit.edu/978026205182...

I was a guest on the IISS podcast "The Arms Control Primer" w/ @bollfrass.bsky.social & former @iaeaorg.bsky.social DG Hans Blix. We covered some lessons of the Iraq case for nuclear nonproliferation & verification. Check out the new episode: www.iiss.org/podcasts/arm...

Join us for a discussion with MTA Associate @alexsorg.bsky.social on the risk of large-scale nuclear war: A judgmental forecasting approach next Tuesday, October 21 at 1:30pm EST. www.belfercenter.org/event/risk-l...