WARNING: An email account—“[email protected]”—has been created by the North Korean group Kimsuky to impersonate me. Please delete any emails you receive from this account. While it will soon be closed down, they are likely to create alternates.

Now out open access in the Journal of Conflict Resolution. @laurensukin.bsky.social, @lanoszka.bsky.social, & I investigate US reassurance efforts in 2023 during Russia's war on Ukraine. We conducted public opinion surveys in 24 countries on 6 continents. journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...

In a new article for the Journal of Conflict Resolution, CISAC affiliate @laurensukin.bsky.social & colleagues examine data from 24 countries finding early support for the US in the Russo-Ukrainian war came largely from approval of its restrained aid to Ukraine journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...

As great power competition in the Indo-Pacific intensifies, U.S. commitments to regional partners is under scrutiny. Our new article with @ghwinger.bsky.social & @laurensukin.bsky.social explores how the American public reacts to potential security crises. ⬇️ www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....

As Washington turns the screws on trade policy and burden-sharing against even its closest allies, Gregory Winger, Miguel Alberto Gomez, and I have a new article out at Contemporary Security Policy on alliance dynamics and the willingness to aid partners during crises. Here are three key takeaways:

Seoul wants the bomb, China and North Korea are piling up warheads. What role should U.S. nuclear weapons play in Asia? Sam Seitz and I tackle this question in a new article at the Journal for Peace and Nuclear Disarmament. Read our open access article here: www.tandfonline.com/doi/pdf/10.1...

To show resolve or restraint? That is the question for great powers facing major global crises. In a newly published paper, CISAC affiliate @laurensukin.bsky.social & Alexander Lanoszka show the benefits of restraint for reassuring allies during crises. Open access ⤵️ doi.org/10.1093/isq/...

Had a great conversation with APLN last night on managing US extended deterrence in East Asia. You know it was good when the conference ended at 1am and you’re still thinking about it when you wake up! I love it when my job is talking about interesting problems with interesting people.

Does the US need more nuclear weapons to face the “two-peer problem” posed by Russia’s and China’s nuclear arsenals? I revisit the nuclear superiority lit in my latest for Carnegie Endowment & argue this approach “is unlikely to be helpful” in the current geopolitical environment. t.co/fTCGpH9BeI

Honored to receive this award from the Army Strategist Association for my work with Katie Hedgecock on attribution and retaliation to cyber attacks. Read our JCR article here: journals.sagepub.com/doi/pdf/10.1....

It was a pleasure to speak at this year’s NATO nuclear policy forum! I discussed my recent research on Russian and North Korean nuclear threats, which you can read about here: carnegieendowment.org/2023/05/04/r....

Why does the US struggle to deter North Korea? What should we make of KJU’s visit to Russia? What role does China play in the Korean Peninsula? We discuss these questions and more in the latest edition of The Focus Podcast: sageinternational.com.au/video/u-s-st...

Goodbye, CISAC! It was great to be back at Stanford for an excellent conversation about law, ethics, and nuclear weapons.

Are bigger nuclear arsenals really better? Nuclear superiority makes states less likely to accomplish their goals during crises against adversaries that have much smaller arsenals. Read more in the new edition of Security Studies: doi.org/10.1080/0963...