Are U.S. export controls on AI chips working? DeepSeek AI suggests maybe not. Jennifer Lind (@proflind.bsky.social) explains how China achieved a breakthrough they were not supposed to be able to accomplish.

𝗡𝗲𝘄 𝗟𝗼𝗼𝗸 𝗡𝗼𝘃𝗲𝗺𝗯𝗲𝗿! Today, we’re introducing the new face of the Texas National Security Review. Our new logo, fonts, and colors are designed to be bolder, clearer, and more accessible.

Are today's tech export controls against China just a repeat of the Cold War? Not quite. It was "Hard then Harder Now," argue @dartmouthartsci.bsky.social scholars Jennifer Lind – @proflind.bsky.social and Michael Mastanduno.

With Trump approving nuclear-powered (albeit not nuclear-armed) submarines for South Korea, this piece by @doyoung-lee.bsky.social seems even more relevant to policymakers. muse.jhu.edu/article/973856. Great that @tnsr.org is an open-access journal! I'm not sure if the path for ROK nuclear sub is

IUS Attendees! If you are at the IUS conference (civil-military relations and military sociology scholarship) in Reston, I'll be part of a "Meet the Editors" panel on behalf of Texas National Security Review @tnsr.org at 2:45 today (I'm an Assoc Ed, in charge is @sheenagreitens.bsky.social )

How does the Trump administration's "unpredictability" impact US credibility with allies? @laurensukin.bsky.social from @ox.ac.uk and @nuffieldcollege.bsky.social joined us to discuss the current global nuclear landscape wherein she described the "nexus point" for European partners.

The old nuclear rulebook is out of date. From China's growing arsenal to a "crisis of faith" in US alliances, the world is facing a new, more complex nuclear landscape. Our discussion on all this and more with @laurensukin.bsky.social and Nicola Leveringhaus: tnsr.org/horns-of-a-d...

The entirety of our fall issue is now on the TNSR website! We're tackling today's biggest strategic questions, from tech competition with China to the new nuclear era. But first, we start with a foundational question from editor-in-chief Francis J. Gavin... 🧵

Chris Walsh from the George W. Bush Institute joined us for our most recent podcast episode and shared a long-term strategy to counter oppressive regimes by empowering the people they rule.

Has US policy toward North Korea been a failure? In our latest podcast episode, Igor Khrestin and Chris Walsh from the George W. Bush Institute break down sanctions, trilateral security, and why human rights must be tied to policy moving forward.

The TNSR leadership team recently met with our friends at @utexaspress.bsky.social, whose tireless efforts ensure that our work is published and distributed. We would also be remiss if we didn't acknowledge the support of our directors at the Clements Center and Strauss Center. Thank you!

A new roundtable by CISAC affiliate @laurensukin.bsky.social and Rohan Mukherjee examines the evolving global nuclear order, with several papers by former CISAC postdocs that show the interconnected nature of nuclear challenges and the vital role of domestic politics.

DPIR's @laurensukin.bsky.social has contributed to a roundtable in the @tnsr.org on the nuclear politics of the Korean Peninsula, China, South Asia, the Middle East, Europe, and Latin America: tnsr.org/roundtable/n...

Our latest roundtable examines the rapidly evolving global nuclear order. From North Korea to NATO, China to Latin America, this collection of essays explores the domestic and international forces reshaping nuclear security. Full roundtable: tnsr.org/roundtable/n...

Navigating the new nuclear map tnsr.org/roundtable/n... Round table feature in @tnsr.org chaired by @nuffieldcollege.bsky.social Fellow @laurensukin.bsky.social and @rohanmukherjee.bsky.social

Our latest piece explores a multi-pronged strategy that includes diplomatic engagement, sanctions, and military options, while also considering the growing alliances between North Korea, Russia, China, and Iran.

Jeff Friedman explores how overconfidence and other cognitive biases impair the judgment of even the most seasoned national security professionals in our latest podcast episode.

What does it mean to contain North Korea in today’s geopolitical landscape? Former US Senator Cory Gardner co-authors our latest article exploring the challenges, strategies, and stakes for US policy toward Pyongyang.

In our conversation with Jeff Friedman from @dartmouthartsci.bsky.social, we discuss his findings that national security officials tend to be overconfident in their assessments of uncertainty. The bright side? Just 2 minutes of training can improve judgment accuracy. youtu.be/TsiTfyXQ4gA

What’s next for US policy on North Korea? From nuclear threats to diplomatic stalemates, the path forward is anything but clear. Cory Gardner, Igor Khrestin, and Chris Walsh dive deep into the challenges and opportunities for the US on this critical issue. tnsr.org/2025/09/us-p...

In the quest to deny China advanced military capabilities with export controls, Jennifer Lind (@proflind.bsky.social) and Michael Mastanduno warn that US action to expand the control yard could backfire.

The US is trying a "high fence around a small yard" approach to tech controls on China. Will it work? @proflind.bsky.social and Mastanduno argue that the lessons from the Cold War's CoCom suggest a tough road ahead, with risks to alliances and long-term effectiveness. tnsr.org/2025/09/hard...

Delighted to share my new article—with Michael Mastanduno

Are we repeating the mistakes of the past with tech controls on China? Jennifer Lind and Michael Mastanduno from @dartmouthartsci.bsky.social offer a critical analysis of the current US strategy of using export controls to limit China's technological advancement. tnsr.org/2025/09/hard...

In the high-stakes world of national security, overconfidence can lead to disastrous outcomes. In Jeffrey Friedman's latest TNSR article, he reveals how just a little bit of training can help address this issue. #NationalSecurity #CognitiveBias #Overconfidence #Leadership

Mariya Grinberg discusses her view that trade can only dissuade long existentially threatening conflicts and not necessarily prevent wars among great powers with secure second-strike nuclear capabilities. #nationalsecurity #deterrence #trade #war

Honored to join my @utaustin.bsky.social colleagues today for this event on 9/11 and its legacies. If you’re around campus today, join us to remember and reflect:

SSP’s Mariya Grinberg, assistant professor of political science discusses her new book, “Trade in War: Economic Cooperation Across Enemy Lines,” with the Texas National Security Review (@tnsr.org)

In high-stakes environments, we rely on expert judgment. But how reliable is that judgment? Jeffrey Friedman tackles this question by assessing cognitive bias among 2,000 national security officials. His findings remind us that expertise is not a shield against overconfidence.

At the start of WWI, Britain allowed the trade of machine guns to Germany but banned the trade of carriages for them. Why? On our podcast Mariya Grinberg discusses her book, "Trade in War," and why adversaries often continue to trade even while fighting @mitpolisci.bsky.social @ssp-mit.bsky.social

A study of nearly 2,000 military and civilian officials reveals that even the most experienced experts are susceptible to cognitive biases that can have significant implications for international stability. Read Jeffrey Friedman's article on this topic on the TNSR website. tnsr.org/2025/09/the-...

From great power competition to nuclear proliferation, Frank Gavin argues that our eagerness to create clear stories can lead to overconfidence and flawed analysis. It's a crucial reminder for us to embrace intellectual humility and question the assumptions underpinning our strategies.

Navigating a complex world requires more than just a map; it demands a willingness to question our own certainties. Frank Gavin's introduction to our upcoming issue explores how we create stories to make sense of the world and why we should be more humble in our predictions.

"Crafting history in real time makes it harder to drain the emotion and to look at events objectively, removed from our own passions and personal commitments." This @tnsr.org introduction from Frank Gavin has a great, short discussion on the differences between contemporary and "regular" history.

TNSR Editorial Board Chair Frank Gavin references Hans Morgenthau in his introduction to our fall issue to remind us how the worry and division in the US half a century ago is not unlike what we face today. tnsr.org/2025/09/what...

What happens when the hacker culture, with its anti-authority ethos, collides with the US Army's traditional warrior culture? Authors Erica Lonergan and Jack Snyder discuss the creation of the Army's cyber branch and the tensions that arose.

Our latest podcast goes inside the creation of the US Army's Cyber Branch. Guests Erica Lonergan and Jack Snyder from @columbiasipa.bsky.social discuss their TNSR article on the "culture entrepreneurs" who fused warrior ethos with hacker mindset.

Richard Maass (@richardmaass.bsky.social) made these remarks about gray zone activity in our latest podcast, before the recent collision between two Chinese vessels that were chasing a Philippine boat. How should other nations address this kind of activity without triggering a wider conflict?

Chinese gray zone activity is no secret, and that's why we had this illustration of ramming created for Richard Maass's (@richardmaass.bsky.social) TNSR article. What we didn't expect to see this week was this kind of collision occurring between two of China's own vessels!

The recent collision between Chinese vessels in the South China Sea has brought renewed focus to the gray zone tactics being used in that region. Our latest podcast episode with @richardmaass.bsky.social looks at international legal mechanisms to deter this kind of activity. youtu.be/KlQ0dzuX-Xg

Our entire catalog. Now on @projectmuse.bsky.social! Explore all of our past issues, and set up alerts for future publications today. ➡️ muse.jhu.edu/journal/900

In our latest podcast, Jon Caverley (@jcaverley.bsky.social) discusses how there are ways the US military can help Taiwan defend itself without undermining US capabilities for a wider and lengthier conflict.

If you have used TNSR resources in the past, please take a few minutes to fill out this survey. The first 100 respondents will receive a FREE COPY of our next print edition! coda.io/form/Texas-N...

Claire Vergerio penned a response to the roundtable we published on her book earlier this year. In it she notes how historians of international relations tend to differ with legal scholars on their assessment of her book's contemporary relevance.

Is Taiwan the indispensable military fortress it's often claimed to be? In our latest "Horns of a Dilemma" episode, Jonathan Caverley (@jcaverley.bsky.social) of the U.S. Naval War College presents a compelling analysis based on his TNSR article. youtu.be/6p-SJt6q5Es

Herb Lin details how we need to move toward a practical understanding of where AI can be a tool for enhancing security and where it poses unacceptable risks. That starts with the simple understanding that "there's no requirement to do dumb things."

Should AI be involved in nuclear weapons decisions? 🤖 💣 In our latest Horns of a Dilemma episode, Herb Lin discusses his TNSR article and argues that the real questions aren't about AI taking over, but on where it can be responsibly and safely integrated. youtu.be/z4XRrKk5rp4

Presenting our Summer 2025 roundup! A thread of all the articles from our latest issue. 🧵 tnsr.org/latest-print...

Is a separate US cyber service the answer to bridging the gap between military and cyber cultures, or would it create new problems?

From the current issue of @tnsr.org: Anderson and Press on war and escalation in Korea, @jcaverley.bsky.social on Chinese control of Taiwan, @richardmaass.bsky.social on legal deterrence, Lonergan and Snyder on military culture, and Herb Lin on AI and nuclear weapons tnsr.org/latest-print...