On our latest podcast episode, Jackie Schneider (@jackieschneider.bsky.social) argues that analogies comparing cyber threats to Pearl Harbor or 9/11 is irresponsible. Instead, her research shows how the centralization of nuclear networks directly impacts their vulnerability.

On our latest podcast episode, Dr. Jackie Schneider (@jackieschneider.bsky.social) challenges common assumptions about the cyber-nuclear nexus. Moving beyond Hollywood scenarios, she applies percolation theory to show how network centralization impacts vulnerability.

Michael Horowitz (@mchorowitz.bsky.social) challenges the narrative that military AI is moving too fast. He argues that the Pentagon is actually too slow to scale proven technologies. Rather than fearing experimental prototypes, he contends it is time to "hit the accelerator."

In our latest podcast episode, @mchorowitz.bsky.social argues that psychology and organizational behavior will shape how AI conditions nuclear risk. Early adoption in nuclear command could be destabilizing, but understanding the technology over time may improve strategic stability.

These days, most of my reading takes place digitally, but it’s always a great feeling to hold in your hands a physical copy of something you contributed to. Thank you to @tnsr.org for publishing Herb Lin and my co-edited round table on emerging technologies and strategic stability.

Using a system is not the same as understanding it. Rose McDermott (@watsonschoolbrown.bsky.social) examines how this gap shapes expectations for AI, hypersonics, and WMDs. Listen to the full conversation: tnsr.org/2026/04/psyc... #Security #EmergingTech #Defense

Cameron Tracy (@cltracy.bsky.social) reflects on the Reagan administration's Strategic Defense Initiative. He argues that investing billions in unproven directed energy weapons comes with a massive opportunity cost. Are we repeating these 40-year-old mistakes today?

We chat with Cameron Tracy (@cltracy.bsky.social) to discuss his article on precision-strike weapons in the Russo-Ukrainian War. Tracy argues that after initial technological hype, new systems quickly undergo "normalization" through use. Why does military adaptation matter more than anticipation?

The "loyalty over competence" trap. Rose McDermott (@watsonschoolbrown.bsky.social) explains how personalist dictatorships suffer from a lack of institutional constraints and a surplus of sycophants—leading to flawed advice and strategic failure.

Can "Type 1" intuitive thinking lead to nuclear catastrophe? We explore the intersection of political psychology and deterrence with Rose McDermott (@watsonschoolbrown.bsky.social). She argues that cognitive shortcuts and evolutionary mismatches pose a grave risk to global security.

The entirety of our Strategic Stability Special Issue is now live! In it, we bring together leading experts to examine how rapid technological change and global shifts are challenging the search for international peace. 🧵 #StrategicStability #NationalSecurity #Defense

Can emerging technologies reduce pressure in nuclear crises? @htrinkunas.bsky.social of @stanfordcisac.bsky.social examines whether improved information and analysis can give leaders more time to think deliberately before acting. Listen to the full episode at: tnsr.org/2026/03/stra...

Herbert Lin identifies psychological, cultural, and organizational factors that drive optimism about emerging military technologies. Read more via @tnsr.org ⤵️

Despite immense capability, the US military often exhibits "unreasonable optimism" toward new tech. Herbert S. Lin examines the psychological and cultural drivers behind overestimating short-term innovation in the last contribution to our Strategic Stability Roundtable.

Our Roundtable concludes with Herbert S. Lin of @stanfordcisac.bsky.social and @hooverinstitution.bsky.social exploring the over-optimism surrounding emerging military tech. He covers the psychological, cultural, and organizational drivers that often lead to overestimated short-term impacts.

How are new precision-strike weapons changing the battlefield in Ukraine? Cameron L. Tracy (@cltracy.bsky.social) explores why we should expect technological incorporation rather than total disruption. He challenges the narrative of a revolution in military affairs.

From unmanned vehicles to AI, emerging tech is reshaping the battlefield in Ukraine. Francis J. Gavin discusses whether these systems create new crises—and if we can learn from how the US and Soviets managed the nuclear age.

We are joined by Francis J. Gavin to discuss the enduring—and often contradictory—legacy of Thomas Schelling. Gavin argues that to navigate today's emerging technologies, we must move past technological determinism and put politics first.

What does Ukraine teach us about future conflict in the Indo-Pacific? Eyck Freymann explains why unmanned systems, counter-drone capabilities, and coordinated allied production will shape competition with China—and why scale across the drone supply chain is critical.

Congrats to Francis J. Gavin, chair of the TNSR editorial board, on winning the Gelber Prize for the world’s best non-fiction book in English on foreign affairs!

Expectations for new weapons often misalign with their performance. In our Strategic Stability Roundtable, Cameron L. Tracy of @ucberkeleyofficial.bsky.social analyzes how the debut of Russian hypersonic missiles and glide bombs leads to "normalization" through use.

Does cyber entanglement stabilize or destabilize nuclear dyads? In our latest Strategic Stability Roundtable, Jacquelyn Schneider (@jackieschneider.bsky.social) argues that current theories on digital risk are rife with contradictions and offers a new framework based on network architecture.

Do Cold War-era assumptions about arms control still hold true in our world of emerging technologies? @htrinkunas.bsky.social of @stanfordcisac.bsky.social joins the @tnsr.org podcast to discuss how AI, cyber, and hypersonics are changing the landscape of deterrence: ow.ly/uKuQ50Yx0pN

Jacquelyn Schneider (@jackieschneider.bsky.social) examines the digital transformation of nuclear forces, arguing that network structure—not just the code—determines cyber risk in our latest Strategic Stability Roundtable entry. | @hooverinstitution.bsky.social

Harold Trinkunas (@htrinkunas.bsky.social) argues uncertainty from emerging tech triggers dangerous “fast thinking” in crises. Relying on gut instinct in unfamiliar situations risks nuclear escalation. Listen more: tnsr.org/2026/03/stra... @stanfordcisac.bsky.social #NationalSecurity #Deterrence

Does rationality still anchor nuclear deterrence? In our new Roundtable, Rose McDermott (@watsonschoolbrown.bsky.social) argues that human biases and emerging tech undermine strategic stability. She warns that personalist leaders amplify these risks.

In our latest episode, Harold Trinkunas (@stanfordcisac.bsky.social) previews our upcoming issue by arguing that Cold War-era assumptions about strategic stability no longer hold. From AI to cyber operations, emerging technologies are fundamentally altering the global nuclear landscape.

Terrific piece by two-time CASBS fellow Rose McDermott is worth your time!

Strategic stability depends on more than just hardware; it rests on the assumption of human rationality. In our latest Roundtable, Rose McDermott (@brown.edu) argues that psychological biases and personalist regimes can undermine the very foundations of nuclear deterrence.

Journalist @melissakchan.bsky.social discusses why she turned to dystopian storytelling in "You Must Take Part in Revolution: A Graphic Novel," created with activist artist @badiucao.bsky.social. The story examines surveillance, resistance, and a future conflict over Taiwan.

Can AI bolster nuclear deterrence or accelerate escalation? Our latest contribution by @mchorowitz.bsky.social looks at the "uncertainty" of AI integration and why second-strike confidence remains the critical variable for strategic stability.

As DoD integrates AI tools, questions about AI and nuclear risk are moving from theory to policy. In this article, Michael Horowitz (mchorowitz.bsky.social) of Perry World House (@perryworldhouse.bsky.social) examines automation bias, AI-enabled surveillance, machine-speed warfare.

My conversation with @tnsr.org's HORNS OF A DILEMMA podcast is up! We discuss my graphic novel YOU MUST TAKE PART IN REVOLUTION co-authored with @badiucao.bsky.social, and reflect on the power of fiction to convey fundamental truths about autocracies. 🎙️ Link: bit.ly/texas-revolution

Thomas Schelling is widely considered the father of strategic stability. Yet, Francis J. Gavin interrogates the foundational concept of the nuclear age and questions if this framework is truly the great accomplishment it is claimed to be.

Journalist Melissa Chan (@melissakchan.bsky.social) joins the podcast to discuss her debut graphic novel, "You Must Take Part in Revolution." Created with activist artist Badiucao (@badiucao.bsky.social), the book explores a dystopian future involving Hong Kong, Taiwan, and rising authoritarianism.

Strategic stability has been described as the great achievement of US nuclear statecraft. Francis J. Gavin revisits its intellectual foundations and finds tension at the core. Read the full article at: tnsr.org/roundtable/s... #NuclearStrategy #StrategicStability #EmergingTech

The end of the Cold War did not signal the end of strategic competition; it merely changed the tools. In our latest article, Harold Trinkunas and Herb Lin argue that the proliferation of emerging technologies to new actors is fundamentally destabilizing the global order.

Can conventional technologies now produce “nuclear effects”? Harold Trinkunas and Herb Lin argue that emerging technologies in conventional warfare can now achieve effects once reserved for nuclear weapons. Read the full article at: tnsr.org/roundtable/e... #StrategicStability #EmergingTech

What does strategic stability mean in a world of multipolar nuclear competition and rapid tech change? Our editor in chief, @sheenagreitens.bsky.social, lays out the framework for our upcoming issue. Read the full introduction at: tnsr.org/2026/02/the-... #StrategicStability #NatSecWhat

Global leadership requires sacrifice. Shivshankar Menon argues the US bore real burdens to sustain the postwar system and raises questions about whether China is willing to do the same. Listen to the full conversation: tnsr.org/2026/02/worl... #InternationalOrder #China #StrategicStability

In our latest podcast episode, former National Security Advisor of India Shivshankar Menon joins @sheenagreitens.bsky.social and Francis J. Gavin to discuss why the pursuit of a "new world order" may be a dangerous distraction.

Is AI the future of precision targeting in warfare? Joshua Geltzer shares his insights on the evolving role of AI in military strategies and the potential for it to surpass human capabilities. Listen to the full conversation: tnsr.org/2025/11/ai-p.... #AI #Technology #Deterrence #DefensePolicy

In our latest podcast episode, @woodnathang.bsky.social challenges general objections to autonomous weapon systems. He argues that rather than debating autonomy in the abstract, we must examine specific systems and their operational realities to ensure compliance with the principle of distinction.

Are concerns about autonomous weapons overblown? In our latest podcast episode, Nathan Wood (@woodnathang.bsky.social) argues that we must move past catch-all terms and focus on the distinct legal and ethical challenges of specific systems.

"Defense is a business; it’s not a religion." On our latest podcast episode, Eyck Freymann discusses the urgent need for Congress to provide forward guidance to defense producers. Subcontractors need assurance of future demand to keep production lines warm and ready.

Our latest podcast episode explores the "hard choices" required for Indo-Pacific stability. Guests Eyck Freymann and Harry Halem contend that the United States must bridge critical gaps in sealift and industrial capacity to maintain a credible posture into the 2030s.

How much does the specific administration in the White House matter for alliance resilience? @bencenemeth.bsky.social argues that leadership is a critical "situational factor," noting a sharp contrast in cooperation trends between recent presidencies. #Geopolitics #GrandStrategy #NATO

In 1956, the Suez Crisis revealed the limits of British power. Could a similar event hollow out the US alliance system today? Bence Nemeth — @bencenemeth.bsky.social — applies his "five factor theory of defense cooperation" to answer this critical question on our latest episode.

We are proud to present Volume 9, Issue 1 of the Texas National Security Review in its entirety. This issue features our bold new identity, but our mission remains the same: featuring work by the world’s best thinkers, addressing the world’s hardest problems. 🧵

How can the US avoid being coerced by a nuclear adversary? Tyler Bowen joins us to discuss the complexity of creating operational plans that achieve military success without triggering nuclear escalation. #DefenseStrategy #GlobalSecurity #Deterrence