🎧 New episode of #WorldClassPodcast Colin Kahl examines the unfolding military campaign in #Iran w/ Or Rabinowitz of @stanfordcisac.bsky.social and Abbas Milani of @stanfordcddrl.bsky.social, who share their analysis of what the conflict means for the Middle East: podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/a...

AI is rapidly transforming the information ecosystem. In a new article for the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, senior research scholar Herbert Lin examines how these changes, from disinformation to faster decision cycles, could affect nuclear escalation risks. thebulletin.org/premium/2026...

Can AI bolster nuclear deterrence or accelerate escalation? Our latest contribution by @mchorowitz.bsky.social looks at the "uncertainty" of AI integration and why second-strike confidence remains the critical variable for strategic stability.

Strategic stability has been described as the great achievement of US nuclear statecraft. Francis J. Gavin revisits its intellectual foundations and finds tension at the core. Read the full article at: tnsr.org/roundtable/s... #NuclearStrategy #StrategicStability #EmergingTech

📹 WATCH | FSI scholars Colin Kahl, Larry Diamond, Or Rabinowitz, Anna Grzymała-Busse, & Harold Trinkunas discuss the risks, opportunities, and policy implications in the increasingly complex global landscape of 2026. @theeuropecenter.bsky.social @stanfordcddrl.bsky.social @stanfordcisac.bsky.social

Can conventional technologies now produce “nuclear effects”? Harold Trinkunas and Herb Lin argue that emerging technologies in conventional warfare can now achieve effects once reserved for nuclear weapons. Read the full article at: tnsr.org/roundtable/e... #StrategicStability #EmergingTech

I'll be giving a talk on using open source tools to estimate China's nuclear forces, past and present at @stanfordcisac.bsky.social on February 12. cisac.fsi.stanford.edu/events/open-...

If you happen to be in DC on Tuesday, Jan 13th, I’ll be talking civ-mil at AEI — and free copies of the book will be available 🙂

🇻🇪 What comes next for #Venezuela? Join CDDRL's Democracy Action Lab for a panel discussion examining political uncertainty, democratic reconstruction, and the risks ahead. 📅 January 7, 12:00 pm PT 🔗 Learn more: https://ow.ly/jBgN50XSeIu

🎧 What if nuclear war didn’t look like chaos, but competence? CISAC Co-Director Scott Sagan discusses A House of Dynamite and the real risks of nuclear decision-making on the Bang Bang Podcast. ⤵️ www.bangbangpod.com/p/a-house-of...

In their latest for @lawfaremedia.org, CISAC’s Andy Grotto & Jim Dempsey call on the Pentagon to fix cyber vulnerabilities in critical infrastructure supporting U.S. military bases. www.lawfaremedia.org/article/the-...

My last end-of-the-year letter as @FSIStanford director! After 11 years in the job, I am stepping down at the end of the month. fsi.stanford.edu/content/annu...

Hollywood meets nuclear strategy, and it’s messier than you think. CISAC Co-director Scott Sagan and Research Assistant Shreya Lad unpack what A House of Dynamite gets right about nuclear risk, and where it goes dangerously wrong. thebulletin.org/2025/12/a-ho...

Have Chinese AI models pulled ahead of their global counterparts? In a new issue brief from @stanfordhai.bsky.social, CISAC research scholar @gwbstr.com and colleagues analyze China’s open-weight model ecosystem and its global policy implications. hai.stanford.edu/policy/beyon...

Please join us in congratulating @jimgoldgeier.bsky.social for being elected President of the International Studies Association (ISA) for the 2027–2028 term! cisac.fsi.stanford.edu/news/jim-gol...

As global competition intensifies, CFIUS faces rising pressure to protect U.S. innovation. A new report by CISAC’s Andrew Grotto and colleagues outlines steps the administration can take now to strengthen America’s investment-screening system. cisac.fsi.stanford.edu/gtg/publicat...

Aging jets aren’t the real problem. Bureaucracy is. In a new article for @warontherocks.bsky.social, Air Force National Defense Fellow Austin Gruber breaks down the hidden chokepoint dragging U.S. Air Force readiness into the red. warontherocks.com/2025/12/grou...

I'm speaking at Stanford on 8 Dec on the penultimate stop of 2025's Autocratics vs. Democrats book tour. More details here: fsi.stanford.edu/events/book-...

Next week: "Hope and Despair: The Emotional Response to the War in Ukraine" with Gabrielius Landsbergis and Michael McFaul RSVP here ⤵️ events.stanford.edu/event/hope-a...

Next week: "Anonymous Online Survey Detection of Political Violence, Social Unrest and Human Rights Violations" with Andrew Shaver RSVP here ⤵️ cisac.fsi.stanford.edu/events/anony...

Happening tomorrow! Tune in to the International Panel on Children in War, bringing together global experts to discuss children in conflict and the future of humanitarian protection. For more information and where to RSVP, click the link below ⤵️ drruthgibson.substack.com/p/internatio...

Next week: "Book Talk with Michael McFaul | Autocrats vs. Democrats: China, Russia, America, and the New Global Disorder" RSVP here ⤵️ cisac.fsi.stanford.edu/events/book-...

The deadline to apply for the CISAC fellowship program is almost here! Make sure to have your applications in by December 3rd to be considered for the 2026-2027 academic year. cisac.fsi.stanford.edu/cisac-fellow...

CISAC is hiring! We are seeking an experienced Finance and Research Administration Manager to oversee the Center’s financial and grants portfolio. This role manages all aspects of CISAC’s financial operations and research administration activities⤵️ careersearch.stanford.edu/jobs/finance...

Please join us in congratulating David Relman for being awarded the 2025 Barry Prize for Distinguished Intellectual Achievement! The award is the American Academy of Sciences and Letters premier recognition of excellence in scholarship. cisac.fsi.stanford.edu/news/david-r...

CISAC is hiring! We’re seeking a Senior Research Scholar & William J. Perry Lecturer with policy experience and expertise in international, nuclear, deterrence, digital, bio, or environmental security. Click below to apply and learn more ⤵️ careersearch.stanford.edu/jobs/senior-...

How do shifting global power dynamics shape racial hierarchies in world politics? In a new Q&A, CISAC fellow Kevin Bustamante breaks down how structural racism emerges, and why it matters for today’s policy debates. cisac.fsi.stanford.edu/news/fellows...

Next week: "How America Failed to Disarm North Korea: The Inside Story" with Joel Wit RSVP here ⤵️ cisac.fsi.stanford.edu/events/how-a...

On the 80th anniversary of the Trinity test, the Nobel Laureate Assembly for the Prevention of Nuclear War, including CISAC’s Scott Sagan, Herb Lin, Sig Hecker & Lynn Eden, called on world leaders & policymakers to recommit to reducing the nuclear threat. thebulletin.org/2025/07/the-...

This is a very cool opportunity for writers of fiction. So happy Kim Stanley Robinson agreed to help out. thebulletin.org/write-before...

New research from CISAC's Patrick Hulme shows presidents often act alone in military interventions not b/c Congress is weak, but b/c lawmakers choose to avoid blame while quietly supporting action. The “imperial presidency” story misses the real dynamic. Read more⤵️ www.cambridge.org/core/journal...

Please join us in welcoming back Dr. Sulgiye Park to CISAC! Joining as a Research Scholar, Park will contribute to research, teaching, and mentorship. cisac.fsi.stanford.edu/news/cisac-w...

I’m thrilled to announce that, after ten years of research, my book on the birth of democracy in South America is finally out! I'm especially excited to be publishing it #openaccess, which means you can download a PDF for free at: www.cambridge.org/core/books/b...

Please join us in welcoming our 2025-2026 fellows! These scholars will spend the academic year generating new knowledge across a range of topics that can help all of us build a safer world. cisac.fsi.stanford.edu/news/cisac-n...

Congratulations to @htrinkunas.bsky.social of @stanfordcisac.bsky.social on receiving the Alfred Stepan Lifetime Achievement Award from the Latin American Studies Association for his outstanding academic career and contributions to security and defense studies.

Anne Neuberger delivered the 2025 Payne Distinguished Lecture, outlining how the United States must rethink cyber deterrence to defend critical infrastructure. Read more on key takeaways below⤵️ cisac.fsi.stanford.edu/news/event-r...

Rose Gottemoeller is announced as the recipient of the 2025 Thérèse Delpech Memorial Award… and the crowd at #nukecon goes wild. Alex Bell with the announcement.

The advance copy of my book, Safe Havens for Hate, is here! It offers a deep dive into the moderation of harmful content on social media and explains why efforts to combat online extremism keep failing. Official release March 4! press.princeton.edu/books/hardcover/9780691258522/safe-havens-for-hate

This is the fundamental problem with Silicon Valley as well: the modal belief is that anything to do with politics or the state is either an engineering problem or a conspiracy. And then these guys are let loose on our democracy.

Women of Wargaming featuring @spettyjohn.bsky.social Bethany Goldblum and Emma Barrosa youtu.be/NP224DLDSCs?...

My latest in The Atlantic : The Tragic Success of Global Putinism How the West underestimated an ideology’s animating force www.theatlantic.com/internationa...

I am so saddened by my governments betrayal of Ukraine right now. It will be recorded by historians as one of our most shameful moments. At the same time, I have no doubt that Ukraine will survive and prosper as a strong, independent, democratic country. #SlavaUkraïni !

Next Week: Models, Markets, and Microbes: Quantitative Approaches to Biosecurity in the Anthropocene with Váleri Vásquez RSVP here⤵️ cisac.fsi.stanford.edu/events/model...

This is actually something where ChatGPT does a better job than I ever could. As per Marion Fourcade's and my work, Brin is perversely right - machines that are good at producing ceremonial cliches have their uses!

Next week: "Russia and Iran: Partners in Defiance from Syria to Ukraine" with @nicolegrajewski.bsky.social RSVP here⤵️ cisac.fsi.stanford.edu/events/russi...

Big thanks to Middlebury for having me this afternoon to talk The Hand Behind Unmanned this afternoon!

Next week: "89 seconds to midnight: Is time running out on nuclear arms control?" with Rose Gottemoeller, Alex Bell, Herb Lin and Gov. Jerry Brown. RSVP here⤵️ cisac.fsi.stanford.edu/events/89-se...

Attending ISA in Chicago? We are having a civ-mil Happy Hour meet-up at Kitty O'Shea’s at the Hilton at 6 p.m. on Sunday 3/2. If you are interested in civil-military relations/security forces or just want to hang out with a great community of ppl, stop by!

I am elated to say that my book, "Words of War: Negotiation as a Tool of Conflict," is now published and available to order! In the book, I argue and demonstrate that negotiations are not only used to end wars but can also be wielded to fight them. A summary thread is below.

I've seen things you wouldn't believe. Alf-hogs on fire off the shoulder of Orion. I watched Hellthreads glitter in the dark near the Tannhäuser Gate. All those moments will be lost in time, like tears in rain.