Example of college football's circle of parity for 2025 season

College football double-digit favorites that have lost outright this season so far

Been messing around with trying to visualize college football possessions/drives in a different format Here are two examples from the last two Penn State games using a bowling style scorecard by frame and a baseball style line score #Rstats

added a couple features to cfb-graphs dot com: 1) Receiver stats page. Very raw, will continue to tweak and improve. 2) stacked mobile tables so you can actually read stat previews on your phone (will continue to work on design, but needed to start with legibility

Added an OT games filter to the results page Week 5 featured six OT games, up to 15 total on the season cfbtxt.com/results/

Week 4 features 5 games between the Sun Belt and CUSA, plus 5 Big Ten conference matchups Added a conference matchups table to cfbtxt dot com cfbtxt.com/conferences/

First few weeks of college football featured only 5 conference games, there are 16 conference games on the slate in Week 3 A look at scheduling patterns by game type over the course of the season #Rstats #collegefootball

Over the past month I've been tinkering with trying to surface college football data in a fast, plain-text style format Check out - cfbtxt.com - to find schedules, results, and power ratings without any ads, a paywall, or pop-ups getting in your way

Brian Kelly angry on my television again, football is back

Carolina football is 160-164 over the past 25 seasons averaging 6.2 wins and 6.3 losses

This is spiritually pac-12 after dark

Rich Eisen gets the classic SportsCenter intro for his return to the host chair

one of the crowning achievements of the Butch Davis era at Carolina being wearing navy pants explains a lot about the program

Trying to measure schedule similarity in college football For example, while Penn State and Ohio State play each other this season, the teams only share two common opponents despite both being in the Big Ten Plus, how schedule similarity has declined over time using a sample of seasons

Check it out: www.sports-reference.com/blog/2025/08...

Why a nine game conference schedule can make college football data worse, the difference between rankings and ratings, and advice for the playoff committee A Q&A with FEI creator @bcfremeau.bsky.social and some visualizations: blessyourchart.substack.com/p/149-a-conv...

Are priors still useful for preseason projection models? FEI projections (built entirely from prior season data) are certainly going to miss on the outliers, but most program ratings are pretty stable year-to-year, notably more so with defenses than with offenses and special teams units.

In-Market Entitlement Required is still a stunning error message from MLB TV every time I see it nevermind seeing it while living in a state without an actual major league team

Some more info on the Ally Sentnor return for the Utah Royals, per @jeffkassouf.bsky.social . A new NWSL intra-league transfer record at $600,000.

We’re back and (hopefully) better than ever. Let me know if anything on the relaunched site is wonky or anything, and let’s get the 2025 college football data season rolling: bcftoys.com

Virginia has the third "easiest" league schedule and the "weakest" non-conference schedule using @espnbillc.bsky.social numbers by opponent's SP+ percentile All ACC teams sorted by lowest conference opponent SP+ percentile, Syracuse's schedule overall is tough

2025 non-conference games between "power" conferences and a network of opponents across these leagues with Notre Dame included Starting to surface more college football data here: byc.evidence.app/2025-college... #Rstats

Attempting to pull together the largest transfer portal "imports" in college football over the past few seasons The "follow the leader" or follow the head coach/coordinator model in action, some of these feel like a merger and acquisition #collegefootball

NEW Phantom Island! @statsowar.bsky.social stops by to help me (try to) sound smarter about offensive line play in the portal era of CFB: open.spotify.com/episode/5jzK...

College coaches and fans, with the recent flood of international prospects into the NCAA, I aimed to create a system to compare the best eligible players from the major European leagues against one another Introducing: The Recruit Points model, a 7-category statistical approach to rank intl players

Some data viz on the ACC hoops schedule going from 20 to 18 league games next season Change in conference vs non-conference games over time and the rarity of non-conference games after January 1 Plus, a results matrix for ACC baseball blessyourchart.substack.com/p/142-the-accs-schedule-adjustments

Trying out some dot plots with NFL Draft data #Rstats

Men's NCAA Tournament performance of teams ranked in the preseason AP top-25 poll 11 of the 25 teams are still playing or in the Sweet 16 Plus, surfacing three-point shooting numbers by round of the tournament given the inflated ball discourse blessyourchart.substack.com/p/137-the-ap...

We know there are transfers all over each bracket. But just how many — and how has player movement trended over time? As promised, for @washingtonpost.com with @emilygiam.bsky.social + others, a deep dive into the Portal Effect. Dive in at the link below and search for your favorite team.

Taking a look at the performance of teams in the NCAA men's tournament by region Uses @barttorvik.bsky.social's Game Score metrics and odds to win region or advance to Final Four Teams aren't necessarily as "good" or "bad" as their best/worst performance #MarchMadness

Happy Selection Monday! Go to KenPom and grab the top six. Don't sweat "top 20 for both offensive and defensive efficiency" or any such overly intricate pretensions. Also now that the committee speaks WAB we no longer need a committee. How Hegelian. johngasaway.com/2025/03/17/r...

Few charts and tables after the regular season of ACC men's basketball Slope chart showing change in preseason poll and final standings using the tournament seedings Data from last 11 ACC tournaments or since the format changed to 15 teams #CollegeBasketball #Rstats

Trying to learn network plots Showing common opponents across ACC and SEC this season in men's basketball #Rstats #CollegeBasketball

Best and worst margin of victory per game in regular season play in ACC history or since 1953-54 season Data via @stathead.com Duke has a +421 point differential in 19 ACC games so far this season or 22.3 advantage per game That's just shy of the 1998-98 Blue Devils mark of 24.3 per game

🫡 to kenpom.com open.substack.com/pub/kenpom/p...

my goodness

Partnered with @seeryanc.bsky.social and took a look at #UNC hoops lineup changes over the season using 2-guards, 3-guards, and 4-guards Plus, some quad comparisons using WAB data #CollegeBasketball blessyourchart.substack.com/p/133-contex...

Wrote some stuff with @heycg.bsky.social on his substack, breaking down UNC's recent trend to a 2-guard lineup Are the results sustainable? Click to find out!! open.substack.com/pub/blessyou...

We need house divided flags for subjects beyond sports. You should be able to buy a flag that's half Gilmore Girls, half meatball sub

Plotting adjusted strength of schedule rankings using data from kenpom.com An 18-team ACC has zero teams within the top-30 of the current rankings North Carolina (32nd) ranks the highest, and that's after playing a SWAC-esque non-conference slate that ranks seventh nationally

Laughed out loud at "Attorneys for both leagues will be present, as they want to be very careful to avoid anything that could be construed as collusion." Yeah. Would hate for it to look like the Big Ten and SEC are conspiring to limit competition... www.espn.com/college-foot...

Elliot Cadeau has been whistled for 80 fouls this season, that’s 22 more than any other Carolina player Tried to look at _when_ during the game Cadeau commits fouls scraping the play-by-play using bigballR #CollegeBasketball #UNC #Rstats

Top 25 men’s college basketball teams according to eigenvector centrality weighted by ratio of victory. Purdue #2. Duke #25. Interesting!

Here is a look at the résumés of these teams using WAB from non-conference and conference games Also, a reminder of _when_ these games are played during the season #CollegeBasketball #CBB

[leaning over to my seatmate in a nosediving passenger jet] you like string beans? guess what! thanks to donald trump's policies, they're about to get more expensive. donald trump promised to lower the prices of string beans, but he didn't. now you'll have to pay more for string beans than ever befo

A 10-0 run or a "kill shot" is useful, but other shorter runs or "spurts" are impactful too Clemson had seven spurts of 6+ points or more last night in its 20-point win over Carolina Here is a list of all spurts or runs of 6+ points in the game for both teams

Channeled the wisdom of @johngasaway.bsky.social's shot volume index, and came up with a new metric - TRAM - to measure how rebounds and turnovers influence scoring chances Turnover-Rebound-Adjusted-Margin, read more: blessyourchart.substack.com/p/130-riding... #Rstats

Curious how much of someone's day is trying to make heads or tails on an onslaught of notifications