If Duke beats UVA this week and a "deciding between 9-4 Duke and 12-1 JMU" scenario becomes more realistic, look out... bsky.app/profile/jeff...

Ohio State's run game's pretty meh (and Bama's stinks). A&M's run D is dicey. IU gives up big plays. Behren Morton makes me nervous. I worked through FATAL FLAWS for the remaining CFP contenders. Also: SP+ movers! Heisman of the week! Favorite games! WEEK 11 RECAP: www.espn.com/college-foot...

WEEK 12 SP+ PICKS Bama 25, OU 24 😬 Georgia 27, Texas 23 ND 32, Pitt 24 Duke 30, UVA 28 USC 29, Iowa 24 Utah 35, Baylor 22 Louisville 29, Clemson 23 Rebs 35, Gators 17 BYU 30, TCU 23 Full list: docs.google.com/spreadsheets...

Ohio State's run game's pretty meh (and Bama's stinks). A&M's run D is dicey. IU gives up big plays. Behren Morton makes me nervous. I worked through FATAL FLAWS for the remaining CFP contenders. Also: SP+ movers! Heisman of the week! Favorite games! WEEK 11 RECAP: www.espn.com/college-foot...

SP+ is updated! Ohio State is pulling away, Hawaii (!) is surging, BYU's offensive ratings take a hit, and the ACC's closer to the American than the B1G. www.espn.com/college-foot...

LOWEST POSTGAME WIN EXPECTANCY IN A WIN, WEEK 11: UL > TXST 2.1% AFA > SJSU 2.2% SHSU > Ore St 4.5% Army > Temple 9.3% Wisc > Wash 19.4% Wake > UVA 19.5% Rice > UAB 21.0% Ball St > Kent St 37.1% UNC > Stanford 38.3% ISU > TCU 47.4% Funkiest week by far! Full list: docs.google.com/spreadsheets...

* Biggest game in Lubbock since '08 * Rain and running in Iowa City * No pressure, Matt Zollers * How does the ACC get even messier this week? * Tulane-Memphis! Chaos Superfecta! Playlist! BISON-FIGHTING HAWKS FOR THE NICKEL TROPHY! The stakes are set. Week 11 preview: www.espn.com/college-foot...

* Biggest game in Lubbock since '08 * Rain and running in Iowa City * No pressure, Matt Zollers * How does the ACC get even messier this week? * Tulane-Memphis! Chaos Superfecta! Playlist! BISON-FIGHTING HAWKS FOR THE NICKEL TROPHY! The stakes are set. Week 11 preview: www.espn.com/college-foot...

I’m of the belief that If you can actually pull off patience (even if it’s kinda forced on you by the market), it pays off more often than not. Maybe it will here. But season ticket sales are going to be a CHORE…

Basically what happened in his second year at Bayern, only with much younger personnel. Even more fun to watch than they were last season.

Playing with Statsbomb/Hudl data for the Friday preview, and ... kind of in love with the Iowa run game? They attack every gap almost an equal amount, and they're at least decent in every gap. Very predictable re: run vs. pass but completely unpredictable in how/where they run.

COLLEGE FOOTBALL SP+ TOP 766, WEEK 11 * Texas Tech -99 East Texas Baptist * Harvard -10 BC * Yale -1 Stanford * The race for No. 766 is coming down to the wire! * SMOKING HOT SWOSU'S MOVED INTO COLUMN 6 🥹🥹🥹 docs.google.com/spreadsheets...

* Playoff tiers revisited * How will we know the committee's looking at SOS differently? * SPOILER: Indiana beats Bama in the title game * Damn, Mario (and Prime) * DeSean Jackson: 5-star hire * SP+ movers, favorite games, and JEFF SIMS FOR HEISMAN WEEK 10 RECAP: www.espn.com/college-foot...

* Playoff tiers revisited * How will we know the committee's looking at SOS differently? * SPOILER: Indiana beats Bama in the title game * Damn, Mario (and Prime) * DeSean Jackson: 5-star hire * SP+ movers, favorite games, and JEFF SIMS FOR HEISMAN WEEK 10 RECAP: www.espn.com/college-foot...

WEEK 11 SP+ PICKS Texas Tech 31, BYU 22 Oregon 28, Iowa 20 A&M 28, Mizzou 27 (no Pribula adjustment) Bama 30, LSU 21 Memphis 37, Tulane 24 UGA 32, Miss St 25 FSU 29, Clemson 26 Ohio St 40, Purdue 11 ND 39, Navy 21 docs.google.com/spreadsheets...

SP+ is updated! The top 2 are starting to distance themselves, Texas Tech and Utah rule, and the top 7 SEC teams are separated by 3.7 points (with a 2-7 team at 42nd). www.espn.com/college-foot...

Current CFP if determined entirely by Résumé SP+ and Strength of Record: 9 Ole Miss (8-1) at 8 Georgia (7-1) -- 1 Indiana (9-0) 12 N Texas (8-1) at 5 Oregon (7-1) -- 4 BYU (8-0) 11 Louisville (7-1) at 6 Bama (7-1) -- 3 Texas A&M (8-0) 10 Notre Dame (6-2) at 7 Texas Tech (8-1) -- 2 Ohio St (8-0)

LOWEST POSTGAME WIN EXPECTANCY IN A WIN, WEEK 10: Duke > Clemson 6.1%! Minnesota > Mich St 7.4%! Miss St > Arkansas 27.1% WVU > Houston 29.7% Army > Air Force 51.8% Ore St > Wazzu 55.6% We had the two least likely wins of the year yesterday. Full list: docs.google.com/spreadsheets...

oh my GOD (and they're WINNING)

Have you ever just considered looking this good in the FIRST quarter, Georgia?

The New Mendoza Line: Did backup QB Alberto Mendoza play for Indiana? ODU - No Kennesaw St - Yes ISU - Yes Illinois - Yes Iowa - No Oregon - No MSU - No UCLA - Yes Maryland - Yes 5-4 split amid this 9-0 start.

Spends a kajillion dollars on a QB he doesn't trust to complete a couple of passes in 25 seconds (with a timeout).

Been using it all season. It's just the best.

Texas,

* Playoff Tiers, from 1 to (Group of) 5 * Put up or shut up, Horns * Semi-eliminators in Knoxville, Lincoln and DENTON * Chaos superfecta! Playlist! More WIAC nonsense! BATTLE IN THE BOWL! Ranked road teams are gonna lose! Your SPOOOOooooOOOoOOky Week 10 preview: www.espn.com/college-foot...

Godfrey-less Week continues on Phantom Island (for paid subscribers!): @espnbillc.bsky.social and @statsowar.bsky.social join me to discuss Strength of Schedule as the ultimate GRR THIS TEAM IS COWARDS metric. podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/n...

Happy 25th to Stankonia youtu.be/lVehcuJXe6I

* Playoff Tiers, from 1 to (Group of) 5 * Put up or shut up, Horns * Semi-eliminators in Knoxville, Lincoln and DENTON * Chaos superfecta! Playlist! More WIAC nonsense! BATTLE IN THE BOWL! Ranked road teams are gonna lose! Your SPOOOOooooOOOoOOky Week 10 preview: www.espn.com/college-foot...

This has been super gross to witness. Arsenal fans putting Ohio State fans to shame in the “Taking a compliment as an insult and being super toxic about it” department.

A lot of this summer's most expensive transfers have disappointed (or at least not really stood out). Meanwhile, from Estevao to Lennart Karl to Big Lad Leopold Querfeld, I made a list of less expensive or out-of-nowhere youngsters who are delighting in 2025-26. www.espn.com/soccer/story...

Even as someone who knows nothing about soccer economics or analytics I consider this a supergroup crossover event

Son of an old-school East Texas ball coach who was raised the Lobo Way, the tall tales of Haynes King explain his rise to being the toughest sumbitch out there. Story with the great @adavidhalejoint.bsky.social www.espn.com/college-foot...

Pitt Girl’s dad Pitt Dad went up to see #764 vs #765 Maine Maritime & New England College in person & gave us live updates. Go Grims!

A hypothetical I've been thinking about: If you're a school like Mizzou, and your sought-after HC is already making top-15ish money and you'd have to pay him top-5ish money to keep him -- as may be the case soon -- you try to do it, of course, because it's a bird in hand. Known vs. unknown. BUT...

Really, really enjoyed this one. Love it when my worlds collide.

COLLEGE FOOTBALL SP+ TOP 766, WEEK 10 Indiana -150 Oberlin Bama -102 Sewanee Arkansas State -5 Harding Ferris State -1 EMU UMass PK North Central SWOSU: red hot and 3 points from moving into Column 6!!!! docs.google.com/spreadsheets...

* 4 teams are playing like national champs right now * K-State, Wazzu and the other hottest (non-contending) teams in the country * SP+ movers, Trinidad for Heisman, an inch-short Hail Mary, a walkoff pick six, a Niblett and an A&T Double Niblett. WEEK 9 RECAP: www.espn.com/college-foot...

It really is wild that guys with 104-45 (James Franklin) and 34-14 (Brian Kelly) records and supposed ~$50 million buyouts were both fired *before November*. I get it (especially in Kelly's case), but that doesn't mean it's not wild.

* 4 teams are playing like national champs right now * K-State, Wazzu and the other hottest (non-contending) teams in the country * SP+ movers, Trinidad for Heisman, an inch-short Hail Mary, a walkoff pick six, a Niblett and an A&T Double Niblett. WEEK 9 RECAP: www.espn.com/college-foot...

WEEK 10 SP+ PICKS Texas 26, Vandy 24 USC 30, Nebraska 28 Oklahoma 28, Tennessee 27 Georgia 31, Florida 21 Miami 31, SMU 23 Utah 31, Cincy 22 Texas Tech 33, K-State 21 North Texas 36, Navy 30 Air Force 29.9, Army 29.7 LOTS of ranked teams on the road... docs.google.com/spreadsheets...

👉 Why You ALWAYS Attack the RB in Pass Pro The Indiana Hoosiers are destroying protection schemes. Watch Now! | www.matchquarters.com/p/indiana-de... --

SP+ is updated, and .......... the center of the college football universe is Bloomington, Indiana. www.espn.com/college-foot...

Current CFP if determined entirely by Résumé SP+ and Strength of Record: 9 Miami (6-1) at 8 Georgia Tech (8-0) -- 1 Indiana (8-0) 12 Navy (7-0) at 5 Oregon (7-1) -- 4 BYU (8-0) 11 Ole Miss (7-1) at 6 Alabama (7-1) -- 3 Texas A&M (8-0) 10 Texas Tech (7-1) at 7 Georgia (6-1) -- 2 Ohio State (7-0)

LOWEST POSTGAME WIN EXPECTANCY IN A WIN, WEEK 9: Delaware > MTSU 32.3% BYU > Iowa St 37.7% Akron > Buffalo 39.2% Auburn > Arkansas 39.5% UVA > UNC 43.8% Memphis > USF 46.2% Ole Miss > OU 53.0% WKU > LT 53.5% Texas > MSU 54.0% Kind of a ... normal week? Full list: docs.google.com/spreadsheets...

Yeah, we're gonna need to schedule a CFP play-in game between the AAC champ and NDSU. (Or maybe the ACC champ and NDSU.)

It might actually be New England College's first football win since 1950 - they dropped the sport somewhere around there, came back in 1971, and dropped the sport again affter two winless seasons.

Purdue wins this week's prize.

dispatch from Pitt Dad: New England College defeats Maine Maritime 14-10, for their first win of the year, and in 51 years!!! ONE IN A ROW! ONE IN A ROW! ONE IN A ROW! VICTORY IN THE ONLY HENNIKER ON EARTH!!!

I'll be honest: This is too much Gramatica.

lol, this is gonna end up making the Best Games of the Week list in tomorrow's column at this rate...