Your friends at the ANES would appreciate your proposals for new content that we will pilot immediately after the 2026 midterm elections. Please see the announcement at the following link and submit your ideas! electionstudies.org/anes-announc...

Is there *anything* a politician could do to lose your support? We wanted to know who says "no" to this question, and how we might encourage them to change their mind. 3 survey experiments and a large scale cross sectional study later, and we know much more about this exceptional form of bias! ⬇️

Very excited to see this out at @bjpols.bsky.social! In this article, I show that contemporary political news coverage makes it challenging for readers to learn information that is helpful for democratic accountability, even for very politically engaged audiences. A brief summary:

Can moral reframing increase favorability towards vaccines? DeMora et al. test the impact of moral reframing among Republicans with messaging that connected vaccines to patriotism. For the majority, it holds the potential to fail or backfire. Read now: doi.org/10.1093/poq/...

When we look across journals, we see the same patterns repeated. The main exception is the Journal of Experimental Political Science, which has the highest rate of null-only reporting and lowest rate of rejection-only reporting. Kudos to them.

Check out our new paper on the demographic foundations of trust in science in @poqjournal.bsky.social The tldr is that w/ all of the radical shifts in trust in the US over the last 50+ years, the demographic predictors of trust in science have been rock steady(!) academic.oup.com/poq/advance-...

Reframing policy arguments with opponents' moral foundations did not change policy opinions across 5 issue areas: www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....

full text should be here: www.nature.com/articles/s43...

Now out in @nataging.nature.com: Exposure to low-credibility online health content is limited and is concentrated among older adults www.nature.com/articles/s43... Linking discernment data with exposure from web and YouTube, comparing health vs politics exposure, etc. Lots of good stuff.

new preprint (led by Andy King): osf.io/preprints/ps... Health info seeking is an extremely common measure in health comm, but we find limited overlap in self-report and trace evidence for HIS. Some evidence that measurement correspondence increases at high volume. comments welcome!

new preprint (led by Andy King): osf.io/preprints/ps... Health info seeking is an extremely common measure in health comm, but we find limited overlap in self-report and trace evidence for HIS. Some evidence that measurement correspondence increases at high volume. comments welcome!

How does information on public opinion on environmental issues shape citizens' opinions? Out and open access with @mbarnfield.bsky.social, @florianstoeckel.bsky.social, @benlyons.bsky.social, @vittoriomerola.bsky.social, and @jasonreifler.bsky.social + others! www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...

🚨 Now out in Psych Science 🚨 We report an adversarial collaboration (with @donandrewmoore.bsky.social) testing whether overconfidence is genuinely a trait The paper was led by Jabin Binnendyk & Sophia Li (who is fantastic and on the job market!) Free copy here: journals.sagepub.com/eprint/7JIYS...

happening this afternoon if you are so inclined: shorensteincenter.org/event/dubiou...

Read the latest #APSR article, Curation Bubbles, exploring how information on social media is characterized by networked curation processes in which users select other users from whom to receive information.

Our paper on how cross-cutting group memberships predict warmer out-party affect and analyses suggesting this is why Latinos in the US have warmer feelings toward the out-party is now fully published in the most recent @polbehavior.bsky.social issue. link.springer.com/article/10.1...

"Our certainty-weighted extension to the expectancy-value model clarifies why certain misbeliefs remain deeply influential, and how knowing more can move —but also polariz— public opinion."

"A Simple Future for Media Effects Research" by @tobiasdienlin.com @yesuncomm.bsky.social & @lennertcoenen.bsky.social ... will probably be assigning in media effects seminar next time I teach it osf.io/preprints/os...

"While high-quality content is posted more and receives more total engagement across platforms...a given author attracts higher levels of engagement when they post lower-quality content" "pattern we find seems to be driven more by an underperformance of particularly popular high-quality outlets"

cultural over economic coverage on cable news mobilizes viewers who would otherwise watch entertainment programming, so cable news emphasizes cultural politics much more than politicians trying to maximize vote share www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/27v4x...

Why do older adults engage more with #misinformation online, even when they often identify falsehoods correctly in surveys? In our next #FallSeminarSeries talk, @benlyons.bsky.social of the University of Utah will investigate that paradox. RSVP to join us in person or online on Tuesday, Nov. 4!

Recruitment was tricky, but we got ~200 people in our pre-post experiment In the simple (and not causally identified) one group pre-post design, the intensive intervention seemed to reduce toxic polarization

This preprint reports on a project with @j-rock.bsky.social. We merged a light touch intervention (typical of survey experiments) w/ an intensive intervention (more typical of practitioner efforts) for reducing toxic polarization to see if we could cheaply boost 🚀 the more intensive intervention

@electoralstudies.bsky.social If you’re interested in academic studies of political polarisation we have loads of great papers at Electoral Studies. Check out this one by Joseph Phillips www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...

Really excited that our book just came out! The Power of the Crowd: How the Public Can Both Spoil and Improve Social Media as a Source of Information Open access for the next 2 weeks!

The 2024 @electionstudies.bsky.social has the share of "pure independents" in the US at its lowest level since 1952 (7%)

our new Element on social corrections is now published and currently open access

The Simulacra (PK Dick, 1964)

We already know that lagged effects in CLPMs are likely to be upwardly biased, but just how easy is it to find significant effects? Way too easy. I tested CLPMS in 100 randomly selected pairs of correlated variables and found significant effects in 98 of them. New preprint: osf.io/preprints/ps...

In our PNAS we don't necessarily find a negative relationship between affpol and antidemocratic norm support, but certainly a non-linear one (appendix fig. below). Personally, I think FT measures have some pretty major empirical oddities we're still evaluating 🔗 www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/...

Now live: “Do language models favor their home countries? Asymmetric propagation of positive misinformation and foreign interference audits” by Ho-Chun Herbert Chang, Tracy Weener, Yung-Chun Chen, Sean Noh, Mingyue Zha, Hsuan Lo misinforeview.hks.harvard.edu/article/do-l...

super cool work.

great title link.springer.com/article/10.1...

Now live: “New sources of inaccuracy? A conceptual framework for studying AI hallucinations” Anqi Shao misinforeview.hks.harvard.edu/article/new-...

hey I wrote a book... coming to you at some point in the future ‪from @oxfordacademic.bsky.social‬

✨The Kaid-Sanders Best Political Communication Article of the Year Award 🏅 Awardee: Nicolai Berk (U Zurich) 📄 The Impact of Media Framing in Complex Information Environments www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....

✨The Kaid-Sanders Best Political Communication Article of the Year Award Runner-up article: Megastudy testing 25 treatments to reduce antidemocratic attitudes and partisan animosity By Jan G. Voelkel et al. www.science.org/doi/10.1126/...

Want to get a sense of my book with @ekvraga.bsky.social but not ready to commit? @oxfordacademic.bsky.social has released Chapter One free and downloadable for the next month. academic.oup.com/book/60489/c...

This is a nice write-up of our recent paper by PsyPost, with clear info about limitations and small effect sizes. I would like to clarify that I am not in fact the person in the photo, though doi.org/10.1002/ejsp...

Normalizing lies...👇 Repeated exposure effect on moral condemnation of fake news www.nature.com/articles/s41... @dgrand.bsky.social "...frequently seen headlines receive lower moral condemnation" "Without this condemnation, the publication & spreading of online misinformation may be more common."

New in TiCS w @dgrand.bsky.social @gordpennycook.bsky.social It’s been ~10yrs since misinfo research exploded but our paradigms are stuck in the post-2016 “fake news” model Time for new approaches: o True/False → Content that misleads o Belief → Behavior o Eval interventions in ambiguous settings

Love that thing where you use Google Scholar too much so get locked out because it thinks you're sending automated queries.

How effective are user corrections on social media, and does adding a link to a fact check improve effectiveness? In piece led by @sachaltay.bsky.social we find corrections have small effects, adding a fact-check unlikely to make them more effective misinforeview.hks.harvard.edu/article/the-... 1/6

Now live: “The small effects of short user corrections on misinformation in Brazil, India, and the United Kingdom” by Sacha Altay, Simge Andı, Sumitra Badrinathan, Camila Mont’Alverne, Benjamin Toff, Rasmus Kleis Nielsen, and Richard Fletcher misinforeview.hks.harvard.edu/article/the-...

The truth sandwich is baloney! New paper out. We show that the “truth sandwich” correction format (in which false information is bookended by factual information) does not enhance corrections. psycnet.apa.org/fulltext/202...

We are excited to share that this paper has been published in Scientific Data. The whole dataset is now available to download. Please see the paper for details! Link: doi.org/10.1038/s415...

It seems increasingly likely that we will be hiring (two positions — Political Behavior, broadly defined, and American Institutions!) at UIUC this year. I plan to add this link to all recruitment materials. www.nytimes.com/2025/07/14/d...

NEW: In an unprecedented move, the NIH will soon disinvite dozens of scientists about to take positions on advisory councils that make final decisions on grant funding. NIH staff were told to select others aligned with the Trump administration and told to expect placements by political appointees.

Now out @hcr-journal.bsky.social: we find evidence of overconfidence, but decomposition analyses show assoc. b/w OC & behavioral correlates are accounted for by deficits in actual discernment ability rather than lack of metacognitive insight academic.oup.com/hcr/advance-...

Identifying images as “AI-generated” has little impact on an individual’s stated likelihood of engaging with them, according to a survey, but labeling images as “False,” “Manipulated,” or “Artificial” does reduce engagement intentions. In PNAS Nexus: academic.oup.com/pnasnexus/ad...