Paul Litvak reports exciting progress in the development of technological tools to help us assess sceintific evidence: www.paullitvak.com/p/we-can-cre...

Join us for the annual meeting of BITSS (the Berkeley Institute for Transparency in the Social Sciences). Register here: forms.gle/xAtL53UJDG2u...

Berkeley-Haas is looking to hire a new manager for our behavioral research lab: careerspub.universityofcalifornia.edu/psc/ucb/EMPL...

This brilliant and insightful essay ought to be required reading for anyone interested in how AI will change our world: www.darioamodei.com/essay/the-ad...

Really crazy that so many Americans based their entire life around carrying guns to protect US from authoritarians & pedophiles, then when confronted with authoritarians & pedophiles they joined in as paramilitary terrorizing innocent civilians & protecting the pedophiles from accountability.

If you're into open science, consider attending SIPS2026: www.improvingpsych.org/SIPS2026/ If you want to present, the submission deadline is coming up on January 30.

BREAKING: My sanity

Today's SJDM Featured Paper is: Vaz, A., Ingendahl, M., Mata, A., & Alves, H. (2025). "Stop the Count!" – How reporting partial election results fuels beliefs in election fraud. Psychological Science, 36(8), 676-688. doi.org/10.1177/0956...

Join us in Berkeley on April 16th for the BITSS annual meeting cega.berkeley.edu/event/bitss-...

Maybe this could be interesting for someone you know? I appreciate rts I tag some experts in JDM science: @donandrewmoore.bsky.social @giladfeldman.bsky.social @steveread.bsky.social @urisohn.bsky.social @lionelpage.bsky.social @claudiacivai.bsky.social Sorry for the spam!

I just had a negative experience with ‪@pnasnexus.org‬. I submitted my 8-page manuscript on April 11th. Four months later, I get a rejection with superficial feedback that implies the editor could not have done more than glance at the manuscript.

The third HotFresh recommended paper is: Hu, B., Gaertig, C., & Dietvorst, B. J. (2024). How should time estimates be structured to increase customer satisfaction? Management Science pubsonline.informs.org/doi/full/10....

SJDM HotFresh is hot and it's fresh!

Authors we could find on here: @thatadammorris.bsky.social @mjcrockett.bsky.social reply with more if you can find them!

PCI Psychology is here!! 🎉🥳 After over a year of hard work by so many people, we are thrilled to announce that we are open for submissions! Join us in making publishing more efficient, equitable, and open: psych.peercommunityin.org #PsychSciSky #scipub

What's Wiley afraid of?

You probably think there are some people who are more overconfident than others. If so, then you might be interested to read our paper: doi.org/10.1017/jdm....

"The wealthiest have gotten richer, and control a record share of America’s wealth. New data suggest $1 trillion of wealth was created for the 19 richest American households alone in 2024. That’s more than the value of Switzerland’s entire economy." (via @wsj.com) www.wsj.com/economy/1-tr...

Joachim Krueger tells the truth: The Benefits of Overconfidence Have Been Exaggerated www.psychologytoday.com/us/blog/one-...

Meghan Cochran from the New Books Network interviewed me and Max Bazerman about our book, Decision Leadership. Check it out: newbooksnetwork.com/decision-lea...

Excessive certainty in the accuracy of one’s judgment—dubbed ‘overprecision’—is commonplace among people and indeed AIs. The explanation? Error neglect—not knowing the numerous different ways our judgment can be wrong, argues @donandrewmoore.bsky.social: buff.ly/BjxexZ1

I had so much on the Decidedly Podcast, I decided to double my pleasure! podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/e...

A new day dawns: lifecyclejournal.org

@ucbitss.bsky.social is running their Research Transparency and Reproducibility Training (RT2) in Berkeley, May 21-23. Sign up! www.bitss.org/events/resea...

Stephen Spiller (@spillersas.bsky.social) reanalyzed multiple open datasets to reveal that “Widely-Used Measures of #Overconfidence Are Confounded With Ability” Dr. Spiller and the paper are on #Google Scholar: scholar.google.com/citations?vi... #psychometrics #openScience #cogSci #JDM #assessment

PCI Psychology is a bold new effort seeking to improve peer review by separating it from journals and the publication process. Join us by signing up here: docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1F...

I find myself in a unconfortable conundrum. This paper (with Sophia Li and Randall Hale) concludes that overconfidence is too inconsistent between different measures to qualify as a trait: osf.io/preprints/ps...

what he said

Is WAR the answer? Don Moore is a skeptic. www.nytimes.com/athletic/576...

Applications are open for the Ph.D. program in Management of Organizations at UC Berkeley's Haas School of Business: haas.berkeley.edu/phd/admissio...

My Energy Inst blog posts this morning discusses Berkeley's latest attempt to transition off natural gas, this time with a tax of appx $3/therm, paid by the building owner, on bldgs > 15,000 sq ft. More clever than it sounds at first, but still problematic. energyathaas.wordpress.com/2024/08/19/b...

We have an open call for an early-career researcher (<10 yrs since PhD) to join the Center for Open Science's Board of Directors. This is a great opportunity to gain board experience with an amazing group of colleagues, and to help COS meet its mission. Apply! www.cos.io/call-for-ecr...

All that cheap solar makes storage more important than ever, but we will need more than 4-hour batteries. Longer-term storage, demand shifting, and transmission will all be important. As well as clean firm generation. www.wsj.com/business/ene...

On December 8th, our Berkeley journal club read a paper claiming that thoughts of God increased algorithm appreciation. Today, PNAS published our attempts to replicate those results. Spoiler alert: we fail to replicate the original claims: www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/...