How can it be that the US and Israel are completely isolated internationally and somehow tylenol is the top story of the day?

If the UK does not take this good advice, maybe Canada will? Montreal, Toronto, Vancouver are great places for tech hubs - lets compete for them by enabling skilled migration and students.

‘Leuthen…demonstrates how an unexpected battlefield victory can galvanize & change international relations and diplomatic affairs: perhaps like the success enjoyed by the Ukrainian armed forces in the days immediately after the full-scale Russian invasion in 2022.’ warontherocks.com/2025/08/the-...

I bet he was also active on EJMR

If Mikal backs me up, I cant be a wrong!

Youth unemployment in Canada is on the rise and becoming a topic. The conservatives try to blame immigrant workers and the temporary foreign worker program. I believe this is a cyclical issue. Here is what I have to say yesterday: youtu.be/kwKnp2zzIKc?...

Mark your calendars, next big No Kings protest is October 18

Die Transfererlöse aus der Premierleague kommen den "Ausbildungsvereinen" der Bundesliga (#SGE, #VFB, #Leverkusen) zu Gunsten und erschweren den Bayern das Geschäft. Wäre doch Klasse wenn das evtl die Dominanz der Bayern in der Liga bricht.

Come on Canada, start taking advantage of this.

Is this a fluke, or is this happening in local special elections around the country? Where could I find out?

The decisions of Lisa Cook (Fed) and of Dr. Monarez (CDC) to not just cave to the attempts to remove them is exactly what is needed. According to the NYT today, Robert Kennedy tried to fire Dr Monarez, but as a Senate confirmed appointee she will only go if the President personally instructed her.

#IStandWithDrLisaCook #EconSky

If one day we remember this time as a brush with American Fascism instead of a full-blown descent into it, it will be thanks to people like Lisa Cook. One could take the “pragmatic” self-preserving approach that we have seen from so many who have bent the knee. Saying “absolutely not” is heroic.

From the perspective of someone outside the US, it is inspiring to see Lisa Cook standing up against a naked power grab.

The exchange between Polish Foreign Minister Radoslaw Sikorski and the Hungarian Foreign Minister Péter Szijjártó is really something to behold of. The ratio is also interesting.

“I have no intention of being bullied to step down from my position because of some questions raised in a tweet,” Cook said. www.bloomberg.com/news/article... Amen.

Looks like #IZA will continue under the umbrella of the Luxembourg Institute of Socio-Economic Research (LISER). Great news

My take on several months of Ukraine support by Germany under the Merz government: Without going into too much detail, I don't know how other people feel about this who have roughly the same or more information, but in my opinion if even half of what is being said behind closed doors is true... 1/5

Two page explainer on monthly #JobsReport jobs estimates & revisions from the Congressional Research Service by former BLS economist @elizwebhand.bsky.social. #NumbersDay #EconSky www.congress.gov/crs-product/...

Thread on Trump’s humiliation at Joint Base Elmendorf-Richardson: It again demonstrated Trump’s fundamental misunderstanding of how authoritarian leaders operate. 1/7

"More than that, just seeing how import substitution was working made me skeptical. Lawyers who do trade law are more pro free trade than economists, because they know how badly protection works. A distorted economy is terrible" Yep. marginalrevolution.com/marginalrevo...

Referees make the journal system work. They are selfless in volunteering their time to ensure that our science continues to progress. All of the great referees out there please know that editors recognize your hard work and tireless effort. We do not always say it, but we do! Thank you.

One thing that I find interesting about this graph is that the revisions seem predictable. That is, it does not seem like each months is a mean zero draw. Anybody use this to 'correct' payroll numbers preemptively?

It I read this correctly, one RSV hospitalization prevented for 100 vaccinations. That seems like a great trade-off. Vaccines for the win again. www.theglobeandmail.com/life/health-...

I would think Hassett disgraced himself already with the cubic model of Covid deaths. But, he found a way to outdo himself. I don't get it how people like Hassett can look at themselves in the mirror.

Very thoughtful thread. My short summary: for now we can continue trust the numbers from BLS. This because agency employees have the integrity to let the public know about potential interference. We might not be able to protect the process, but we will know when it is compromised.

Hassett went on TV and claimed you can’t trust the economic data anymore because all the recent revisions are partisan. A bald-faced lie. Every serious economist still in this administration should resign. They are actively underminding the US economy by lending their credibility to this horse****

Why do the jobs numbers get revised? our markets and policymakers want data NOW but employer data dribbles in over months 1st estimate is based on the 75% of employers who respond promptly Updates occur as more data rolls in: 95% response rate by final revision 1/N www.bls.gov/opub/btn/vol...

With government statistics, it's pretty simple. If you liked the February, March, and April numbers, then you have to accept all the next ones, too. They are produced in the exact same way, it's what the computer spits out, based on the inputs provided. You do not get to cherry pick your stats.

It has been the honor of my life to serve as Commissioner of BLS alongside the many dedicated civil servants tasked with measuring a vast and dynamic economy. It is vital and important work and I thank them for their service to this nation.

Erika McEntarfer is awesome and I hope she stays at BLS a long time

For people saying these jobs numbers revisions are "unprecedented", here's a record of previous revisions back to 1979. Triple-digit downward revisions aren't common, but they've certainty happened before. www.bls.gov/web/empsit/c...

there was also a contingent of less but still quite serious economists who were saying "He Has Not Done This Yet" specifically so as to be able to point out when precisely it is that "He Has Now Done This", because it matters for how the data are handled in the future to get the date right

No other way to slice it: this is incredibly fucked up.

I feature often IDEAS because I manage it, but of course another really good RePEc service is EconPapers that has many of the same features. Use the one you prefer to access the same data. econpapers.repec.org #RePEc #EconSky

Ich wünsche mir daß die #SGE auf Ihrer USA reise nicht einfach darüber hinweggeht wir die USA in die Illiberalität abdriften. Stichwort: ICE, Everglades-konzentrationslager, etc...

The unitary executive can set the curriculum at Harvard, order the owners to change the names of professional sports teams, throw his enemies in prison, close a Cabinet-level Department, but he is powerless to ask the sycophants he put in place in the FBI and DOJ to release the Epstein files.

Les garçons au Québec abandonnent l'école secondaire à des taux plus élevés que les filles (pas de surprise) mais aussi dans d'autres régions du Canada. Marie Connolly et moi avons écrit un court article pour CIRANO documentant l'ampleur de ce phénomène. cirano.qc.ca/fr/sommaires...

Claims: 1/ The small acceleration in continuing claims we've seen since the spring remains small and isn't getting even worse. A bit of a relief.

Interesting piece, would be fascinating to see a follow up on how the rise of combat-experienced war veterans with semi-criminal contacts and links to officers and the FSB might affect intra-elite conflicts in Russia after Putin is gone in the 2030s

You live by conspiracy theories, you die by conspiracy theories 🤷‍♂️ www.nytimes.com/2025/07/08/u...

If Donald Trump wanted to give Russia a helping hand with their summer offensive, it would look exactly like what we are seeing. That is my point in this video, where I also discuss the air war and give a status on the frontline situation. #Ukraine

Hello All, latest in @TheAtlantic . Once again, the US has shown that it fails to understand air power. Trump's intervention in the Israel-Iran air war was showy and seems to have accomplished little. www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archiv...

I know we don't feel like there's much to celebrate this July 4th. It's been a rough several years. So I want to talk about how we're making history right now.

If a sitting president can openly muse about arresting and disappearing someone who is likely to become mayor of the country's largest city, while also getting the funding for a massive secret police, it'd be hard to find sufficient evidence to qualify that country as a democracy.

Our paper (joint with Donn. Feir and ‪@kellyfoley.bsky.social) evaluating the effectiveness of labour market programs for Indigenous populations is now available in pre-print at JHR @j-humanresources.bsky.social ! jhr.uwpress.org/content/earl... Ungated: drive.google.com/file/d/1A42s...

I understand the gerontocracy has a stranglehold on American politics, but it's wild that we're cutting Medicaid in part so we can give seniors a $6000 tax deduction just for being seniors and there's ~zero negative coverage of the issue

Since we're talking about why unemployment for young people is elevated, AGAIN: 1/ A lot of this is cyclical (restrictive policy). This is adversely hurting jobless people (younger) relative to the already employed (older). I wrote about this here: open.substack.com/pub/macromos...