Go work with Joy!

Love surveys? We're hiring! We're looking for new members of the polling team at @bluelabs.bsky.social. Two roles are focused on execution of day-to-day polling operations (Polling Manager, Lead Polling Manager) while the Survey Scientist is an R&D role! Share & apply! bluelabs.com/careers/

There's also the fun additional confound of "both the candidate's appeal and the sentiments are in reaction to an independent set of political events/circumstances. And all of this may vary for different groups of voters.

NEW: "In a 2025 survey, we asked people in 25 nations to say – in their own words – what makes them proud of their country. In several ways, Americans’ answers stand out from those of people in other countries."

would read this novel tbh

Back to the hockey! US up 6-0 on Italy, showing no signs of slowing down.

Democratic pollster Impact Research is hiring a Survey Scientist: impactresearch.com/jobs-interns... (Washington, DC or Montgomery, AL preferred; remote candidates considered)

Revising the dataviz book is an opportunity to remind enthusiastic beginners of the bitter realities that lie ahead of them.

80% of the political posts on this site are some variation of a combination of these two mutually exclusive tenets: 1. i would simply not be in the minority 2. i would simply not do anything necessary to achieving the majority

the Spectator accidentally recycled a subhed from a previous day’s article about Tehran

Today seems like a nice day to re-up @leahchristiani.bsky.social 's excellent research on when white people approve of blatantly racist political messages. Not sure what made me think of it today, but anyway. link.springer.com/article/10.1...

NEW: Abigail Spanberger this afternoon ordered that all state agencies leave ICE's 287(g) program. This means that the state police (and some other agencies) will no longer be empowered to detain and arrest people for ICE. Big, big move by the governor within weeks of coming into office.

I remember my father bringing this edition of the Post home with #DCU players holding the MLS Cup in front of supporters on the front page. I still have the MLS Cup gamer & photos cut up in a binder somewhere. It was the start of my love for sports journalism. Today sucks. #SaveThePost

Crestfallen and f$&@ furious about the closure as we know it of @postsports.bsky.social by an indifferent, compromised owner and a failing publisher — a dept of Povich and Boswell, Wilbon and Kornheiser, Gildea and Sheinin, of poets, authors, Hall of Famers and Pulitzer finalists. A terrible day.

I grew up reading the Washington Post and have continued to subscribe as an adult, in part because of the great sports, books, and international sections that are being wrecked today. It was one of the world’s great newspapers. This is a terrible choice they’re making.

"I don't want to do this but I will get the job done if I must" is so perfectly Minnesotan

People who give prescriptive advice on how to win elections should at least be descriptively accurate about what people who are doing the actual work of trying to win elections are already doing.

🚨Navigator’s new website is live! Redesigned to make our polling and message guidance clearer, more accessible, and easier to use. Take a peek 👇

The better LLMs get, the more data scientists are going to find out the truth.

*Normal Democrat who has won multiple local races goes on to another big win as a normal Democrat* This just goes to show, normal Democrats suck

Hundreds of people spelled out the distress signal "SOS" on Bde Maka Ska in Minneapolis on Friday, Jan. 30. 📷️ Provided by Jeff Schad

One thing I think we should consider more is how caring about politics and being a reliable voter are correlated but distinct traits. There are habitual voters who don’t want to discuss politics, and people who care about politics but struggle to follow through and vote.

Hello super friends. There is a new @crosstabspodcast.com It features a cool experiment in talking to non-political voters by @kabirkhanna.bsky.social at @cbsnews.com He's super smart. You should listen to him. Hey, did you know it's an election year?? Again??! podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/c...

Characteristically thoughtful discussion of a known snag of survey research -- people who care a lot about politics are more likely to take political polls -- and what we might be able to do to address that (As noted, I think this is such a fun experiment)

This is a great conversation, both an overview of some of the challenges in political polling and a description of some of the research on the cutting edge

this is an eminently losing battle that I will also continue to whole-heartedly fight

I used to teach students that their literature reviews ought to try to characterize other arguments in ways that would be recognized by those authors. Most of the time on here, when I see someone describe what political strategists or consultants think, I don’t think it meets that bar.

🎺 Call for proposals 🎺 1️⃣ replicate an existing experiment 2️⃣ run a novel experiment on repdata.com 3️⃣ coauthor with Mary McGrath and me to meta-analyze the replications and existing studies 4️⃣ publish your study details: alexandercoppock.com/replication_... applications open Feb 1 please repost!

One thing I found deeply moving about resistance in the Twin Cities was the universalism of loving your neighbor, the philosophy driving the opposition to the ICE/BP invasion. I couldn't help but notice the contrast with the blood and soil-ism of Miller and Vance. www.theatlantic.com/ideas/2026/0...

so ALL of these children just magically *have* orange slices after EVERY soccer game??? ok George Soros

Very happy to see this, and proud to be a Carleton grad

Hey @leahgreenberg.bsky.social and I are both Carleton grads and this fucking rocks - love to see a college protect its students from the goons instead of cutting deals with the regime.

I’ve never been prouder to be a Minnesotan.

JUST IN: In a new lawsuit, Minnesota officials say DHS mishandled evidence from today's crime scene and made "astonishing" law enforcement decisions. storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.us...

The best headline I've seen about MN murder was "Gunmen still at large."

Imagine how much they’d be lying about what happened without all the videos showing it from multiple angles.

Minnesotans deserve to turn 38.

Sayre: "My background is in international humanitarian response in conflict zones in Yemen, Haiti, Syria, Iraq, and Ukraine. What I've seen here is what I've seen there. A powerful entity violently and intentionally terrorizing people."

Mpls Emergency Mgmt Director Sayre: "I can't underscore enough how much Operation Metro Surge is impacting our city. Families with loved ones detained and those who are afraid to be in public lneed help accessing most basic necessities, like food, housing, rides to school. Businesses are shuttering"

ALL MN PROTESTERS Absolutely nothing could be worse for our cause than violence and rioting. It is what ICE and Trump obviously want. Do not burn down our own city to protest invaders; they do not care; they will enjoy it. Do not do it. Do not let your fellow protesters do it.

I am trying not to post on these events in this state of mind but: I hope people understand what the observers are doing is brave and dangerous.

Anti-ICE protesters fill the streets of downtown Minneapolis during an "ICE Out" rally on Jan. 23. 📷️ Alex Kormann/The Minnesota Star Tribune Continuing coverage: bit.ly/3ZsrBxQ

This list now has just over 1,000 businesses participating. Astonishing.

Today’s newsletter is about a natural experiment that happened on Bluesky yesterday. danieldrezner.substack.com/p/on-trump-a...

It is even worse than it looks

One thing most people don't understand is that we in the US enjoy greater wealth funded by other countries because they assume we are a stable and relatively friendly hegemon.

Really good on the ground account from Minneapolis. The resistance we’re seeing now is a product of organizing against Trump 1.0, the George Floyd protests, many years of Native American resistance to state violence, MN’s distinctive political culture, and more www.nytimes.com/2026/01/19/o...