at last, a NYT story about real economic policy new (not a vibes report)

LA & Inland Empire outperforming even that trend - I'd guess ICE presence?

If that's owling, this is definitely full pelican 🪶

It has been the worst year for layoff announcements among a small, unrepresentative set of large employers. Unemployment insurance claims are a more reliable measure and similar to recent years.

I fully believe in the corporate death penalty and believe we would be a better world if OpenAI lost its corporate charter and was forcibly dissolved. www.cnn.com/2025/11/06/u...

BREAKING: After months of stonewalling by Starbucks, unionized baristas just voted 92% to authorize a ULP strike unless Starbucks finalizes fair contracts & stops union busting. If forced, our baristas will strike in dozens of cities on November 13 – the company's busiest sales day of the year.

I've seen this go by a few times on TikTok now and I have to say, I love this idea. We need a way to convince people to keep running even if they don't win, maybe building the loss into it as a troll move is the secret.

Chief Justice Roberts is out. Says the major questions doctrine pretty clearly applies here; the tariffs simply can't survive that. Looks like five pretty clear votes against Trump. And we STILL haven't gotten to Gorsuch...

ah, perhaps instead of pumping millions into endless factional infighting Dem donors could invest in making local Dem organizations genuine civic spaces that can reach people during and between elections

Let's see, does the NYTimes have the "most detailed map of NYC mayoral election" www.nytimes.com/interactive/... or does CUNY's @thegraduatecenter.bsky.social map provide *just a bit* more detail (20 filters, multiple overlays, direct comparison w/2021 results)? www.electionatlas.nyc/maps.html#!N...

Unholy hell

If you want more on wage boards and how they can achieve what Dani was referring to, check out my book The Wage Standard - now available for pre-order. www.thewagestandard.com

For struggling Americans, SNAP (food stamp program) reduces debt and delinquencies and increases credit scores. www.nber.org/papers/w34434 #EconSky

In our polling with YouGov, since the start of his second term Donald Trump's net approval has fallen 17pts among white Americans (+17 to -1), 28pts among Hispanic Americans (-9 to -37) and 38pts among black Americans (-36 to -74)

it is not remarked upon enough that these guys just genuinely and sincerely hate america and hate americans

putting together my grad IPE syllabus for next semester! what exciting new IPE work should I include? self-promotion encouraged!!

"X shouldn't be political." OK but it is. Now what?

JD Vance claims that diversity weakens unions, as people end up distrusting each other and not organizing. Let me tell you two menswear stories related to this claim. 🧵

In this moment, coal miners turned their red bandanas into a symbol of solidarity — both to distinguish themselves from the enemy and to show that, across racial lines, coal miners were united along class interests For this reason, they were known as the "Redneck Army."

I've had anger issues for 40 years about the powerful lying &/or distorting facts beyond recognition about life-shaping matters. I've never sought counseling and the triggers are increasing in number & severity. Any recommended antidotes? (consistent volunteering is constrained by long work weeks)

Yup. Young people are experiencing serious pain… which is not felt by most prime age workers

2/ Weak hiring gets far less attention than mass layoffs but has played a *much* bigger role in labor market cooling over the past 3.5 years than layoffs. People who already have a job have been pretty secure in most industries. But it’s really tough to find a new job.

The hope is that this can be a tool for left-YIMBYism, drawing on the lessons of Québec's actually-not-missing missing middle housing stock and universal rent stabilization policies. And the broader hope is that this is engaging enough, tight enough, smart enough to make readers curious.

NEW Economist/YouGov Net favorability of Donald Trump [at the start of his second term | now] among... White Americans +13 | -3 Hispanic Americans -12 | -34 Black Americans -31 | -70 today.yougov.com/politics/art...

Seems like www.bea.gov (Bureau of Economic Analysis) website is completely down. (pretty sure it was working a couple of weeks ago). Double-plus ungood.

Asymmetrical opposition to political violence.

New Lewis Center at UCLA report by Paavo Monkkonen on French social housing. Is the cost rental and financing model upstream of France’s ability to build large number of units without deep subsidies? escholarship.org/content/qt8d...

#KavanaughStop bsky.app/profile/mcle...

THIS is the reason why I have consistently tried to emphasize that Border Patrol and ICE are different agencies with different duties and different leadership and different styles. Border Patrol are the aggro cowboys compared to ICE. Now they're going to be the ones running the show.

A stat we don't talk about enough: Newspapers have lost 77% of their jobs over the last 20 year, more than any of the 532 other industries tracked by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.

Started listening to "We're Still Here: Pain and Politics in the Heart of America" by Jennifer Silva, also recommended Jared Abbott, Klein's interviewee about working class politics. The Intro is attention-grabbing. (Trying to balance quantitative research with ethnographic qualitative research)

good to hear this NBER paper about the politics of "predistribution" vs. tax-and-transfer redistribution policies get a shout out on Klein's podcast about Dems losing working class voters. As I said before, I think the authors really are on to something... www.nber.org/papers/w31794

Fun fact: Tammy Baldwin, one of the four Democratic senators who the #NYTimes claims won because they were "moderates," has the 6th leftmost voting record in the Senate.

Klein is repeating the story that elite consultants from the 2012 Obama campaign have been pushing. Trying to sell Dems more of the same. It's better to stick with the data. The CES shows that every Dem and Republican nominee is seen as essentially the same except Trump in 2016.

Campaign for Krysten Sinema, who is out of office, spent $322K last quarter. Items include— 💸 $74K on airfare 💸 $30K on security 💸 $1K in auto maintenance to Mercedes Benz of Scottsdale 💸 $800 for makeup 💸 $300 to Louisville's Bourbon and Beyond festival 💸 $800/month in vehicle insurance

This is one of those pictures that while I'm editing I'm thinking "Who the fuck do you think you are Brett Banditelli? what are you doing with your life? How dare you bring this content into the world in this moment?" Then I remember I have a meeting in 12 minutes about unions. 🪶

With inflation on everyone’s minds, it’s a good time to recognize one of Social Security’s most valuable features: Its annual cost-of-living adjustment (COLA), which will be announced tomorrow. 🧵

it's important to not be fatalistic about social security, which has protected millions from deep poverty. This nuts and bolts thread helps remind us about a couple of program features that protect recipients against inflation, both overall and for Medicare premiums specifically.

not at all keen on any billionaires having robot armirs under their control. In fact, not at all keen on billionaires these days.

Only in 2025. www.wsj.com/business/aut...

tres seasonal. (great horned owl)

WELL HOW ABOUT THAT "A millionaire levy in Massachusetts has generated $3 billion more in revenue than expected without forcing significant high-profile departures from the state." www.bloomberg.com/news/article...

Story:

One of my hypotheses for workers shifting out of construction trades is that protective services work offers better pay with lower serious and fatal injury rates (the latter factor especially for police).

Will anyone please share a gift link?

There's also a severe selection on the dependent variable problem with these comparisons. The Times has looked at all the moderates who won elections, but doesn't include the ones who underperformed and lost. This exaggerates the effect size by roughly 2x. More www.gelliottmorris.com/p/data-over-...

The NYT just published a profile of Katherine Boyle of Andreessen Horowitz. www.nytimes.com/2025/10/19/b... Below is a thread w/ additional info on her. 1/

"the speaker of the House is refusing to seat a duly elected member of Congress to protect the president from a vote to investigate his extensive connections the world's most notorious human trafficking pedophile" is one of those things you simply cannot put into New York Timesese

Ugh! Post should look like this, not that. But mostly: Cleve is a legend, my hero, a community organizer and LGBTQ leader since the 1970s, and a guy who can deliver a hell of a speech. Exactly what the moment needed and needs. Read it at the link.

my discounted subscription rate is about to convert to $25/month and I'm genuinely struggling with the decision to keep going. The news organization definitely is capable of doing very good journalism, but some of the editorial choices are tough, bitter pills to swallow