NEW: Can financial markets really make a difference in electoral outcomes? A new paper co-authored by @raphaelcunha.bsky.social examines whether the public’s perception of political candidates can be influenced by the reactions of global financial markets 🌏 More ⬇️ www.kcl.ac.uk/news/can-fin...

Remember that recent paper claiming to show that "ideological bias" determined the results obtained by immigration policy research teams? A careful, open-code reanalysis by @kauspurg.bsky.social & Josef Brüderl finds that the result arises from a coding error. —> doi.org/10.31222/osf...

Another successful edition of the @kingsqpe.bsky.social Early Career Workshop!

This is similar to what we find in our recent study on which countries people want their government to learn from. China ranks in the middle but still comes out ahead of the United States, pointing to shifting perceptions of the two powers.

There is a rare permanent job in the UK - assistant prof (lecturer) in political science with a focus on quant methods www.jobs.ac.uk/job/DRD143/a...

@kcl-spe.bsky.social is hosting a Junior International Political Economy Researchers Workshop on 28 April and we have a great line-up of papers by early-career researchers. @adreher.bsky.social will also share expertise on publishing in the field. Register here: forms.office.com/e/q7rUFAVg21

📣 New job at Oxford's Centre for Advanced Social Science Methods (CASSM)! 📣 The Departments of Politics & IR (DPIR) and Social Policy and Intervention (DSPI) are hiring an Associate Professor of Causal and Experimental Methods. Come work with me and amazing Oxford peeps! Deadline NOON April 27th.

Also finding it hard to keep up with new research? I built something to fix this. SciLove — swipe through recent papers in your field. The feed learns from your saves. Also matches you with researchers saving your work back (opt-out if you prefer). www.scilove.app 3,000+ journals, updated daily

Email etiquette, a timeline 2015: Scrupulously edit all emails, FULL punctuation 2017: Don't use too many exclamation marks! People will think you are a small girl! 2021: Occasionally leave out full-stops as a power move 2026: One typo per email to show an AI didn't write it

The submission deadline for the King's Early Career Workshop in Quantitative Political Economy is approaching (March 10). Submit your paper! No registration fee, and we *do have* a few travel grants available for participants from outside of London.

📢 Call for papers! We are organizing the 6th Early Career Workshop in Quantitative Political Economy on 14-15 May 2026 at King’s College London! Keynote: Shanker Satyanath (NYU) No fee, travel grants might become available! Submit at: tinyurl.com/qpe2026

So over the past week you are seeing what you would expect to see if AI is, in fact, both rapidly gaining capabilities & proving to be very useful: - Rolling market disruption in response to growing awareness of AI capacity -Government versus AI lab struggles for control …& it is still quite early

Just made a manuscript/PAP feedback GPT built from 150+ previous peer reviews - identifies problems and provides actionable feedback on the points that I raise most frequently chatgpt.com/g/g-68af4d19... Anyone can use - try it out! (Editors/authors: feel free to cut me out of the loop 😉.)

⏰ Call for proposals!⏰ Organisers are calling for full panel proposals, author-meets-critics sessions, or individual papers from those who would like to attend the next annual PPE conference at King's The deadline for submissions is February 20👇 ppesociety.org/ppe-society-...

🚨📄 New paper (conditional accepted at @thejop.bsky.social): We test whether social desirability bias actually distorts answers in online surveys. Short version: It mostly doesn’t. w. @timallinger.bsky.social @kristianvsf.bsky.social @morganlcj.bsky.social URL: osf.io/preprints/os...

This Wednesday we are very happy to be hosting Guido Tabellini on "Do Elections Moderate or Polarize Political Rhetoric?" Feel free to contact us (see details at sites.google.com/view/kingsqp...) if you're interested in attending.

This Wednesday we are very happy to be hosting Ignacio Jurado (@jurado.bsky.social) on "Losing Elections: Democratic Consent and Illiberal Attitudes in Polarized Contexts". Feel free to contact us (see details at sites.google.com/view/kingsqp...) if you're interested in attending.

Many people think crypto is a scam. Why is it not more heavily regulated? We look at attitudes after the FTX scandal, showing that scandal coverage differed between left and right media. Conservatives who got their news from the left (eg NYT), and vice versa, wound up more moderate. Media matters. 👇

Yet another data point supporting the view that there is change afoot in the global financial system. I know it's trite, but this is all "how to dismantle a reserve currency." The dollar as the go-to haven in times of crisis, well, that appears (again) to be shaky. 1/

The second paper is by @dsquareddigest.bsky.social and @himself.bsky.social. It shows how dollar centrality was weaponised by the US to help maintain order but is now plausibly undermining it. Great topical read on some of the underlying faultlines www.thebritishacademy.ac.uk/documents/60...

We're hard at work on new AI tools for RStudio that will support EDA and we hope generally accelerate data science. If you're interested in trying them out, join the private beta waitlist for a sneak peek: posit.co/products/ai/ #rstats

This is required reading – like everything else that @danielmcdowell.bsky.social writes on the topic.

‘A nasty little song, really rather evil’: how Every Breath You Take tore Sting and the Police apart

I just finished a three-year term as an editor at an international relations journal. I began at the start of the LLM era but ended right in the middle of it. Our volume of submissions tripled and our desk reject rate rose to 75%. I have some thoughts. open.substack.com/pub/hegemon/...

This graph is shocking.

Ótimo texto do Marcos Lisboa sobre o Master: www1.folha.uol.com.br/colunas/marc...

This is an interesting paper. I continue to sense that we as a field have concluded, either you have an identification strategy as defined here, or you don’t have a valid causal claim. And that is really not true.

"The Credibility Revolution in Political Science" osf.io/preprints/so...

Ever wondered why some countries get recognition while others struggle to be seen? My book 𝘛𝘩𝘦 𝘔𝘢𝘬𝘪𝘯𝘨 𝘰𝘧 𝘐𝘯𝘵𝘦𝘳𝘯𝘢𝘵𝘪𝘰𝘯𝘢𝘭 𝘚𝘵𝘢𝘵𝘶𝘴 is finally out in the world! 📘 academic.oup.com/book/61560

This is wild! Seven-day-ahead weather forecasts in high-income countries are more accurate than one-day-ahead weather forecasts in low-income countries.

🚨 LSE Assistant Professor in Political Science 🚨 We’re hiring a tenure-track assistant professor - any area of empirical political science - to join our wonderful Government Dept @lsegovernment.bsky.social Any questions, please reach out to me 📣 Please share! 📣 jobs.lse.ac.uk/Vacancies/W/...

ICYMI: New paper for causal effects with panel data, subsuming other approaches. We generate realistic synthetic data based on commonly studied datasets, showing our method substantially outperforms others and providing insight about what in the data-generating process corresponds to gains.

This is a wonderful book! So happy to see this out! Congrats @mduque.bsky.social

Is this what hell is like?

Is this what hell is like?

📣Call for papers now open for our annual Workshop on the Economics and Politics of Migration. Rome🔥, May 28-29, 2026. More details below👇

A win for economics (who predicted this), a loss for Britain

This Wednesday we are very happy to be hosting Sandra Sequeira (LSE) on "Financial Security, Climate Shocks, and Social Cohesion". Feel free to contact us (see details at sites.google.com/view/kingsqp...) if you're interested in attending.

Do you teach #rstats? Do your students complain about how lame and old-fashioned dplyr is? Don't worry: I have the solution for you: github.com/hadley/genzp.... genzplyr is dplyr, but bussin fr fr no cap.

An Imbens retrospective on experimental v. non-experimental methods — looks like a must-read www.aeaweb.org/articles?id=...

Please share!: Last week to apply for @epssnet.bsky.social Belfast 2026 really good news is that there's been an amazing response to the call for papers already; now very excited for this meeting ⬇️ We put together a quick FAQ on Qs that have come up on submitting: epssnet.org/conferences/...

🚨 EPSS Belfast 2026 Call for Papers - One week to go! 🚨 Don't forget to submit your paper or panel proposal to the European Political Science Society @epssnet.bsky.social 2026 conference - just one week to go before the deadline: epssnet.org/belfast-2026...

I just ordered @vincentab.bsky.social 's epic new book Model to Meaning. This project is one of the most exciting recent developments in data science. The book & #rstats / #python package show how to understand your model *within* its real-world context/use case. www.routledge.com/Model-to-Mea...

Absolutely beautiful performance.

Sarkozy is going to jail but he’s not the first one. In our new dataset we track modern leaders who have been prosecuted by their own states. There are 215 of them. Turns out leader prosecution is a common & healthy practice in democracies. Full access link: foreignpolicy.com/2025/10/28/d...

If people in government want my longer thoughts on why arbitrarily extending the time to ILR for people who are already here is bad (let alone the mass deportation policies of their rivals), and a sense of what I think a sustainable policy might be, then see: benansell.substack.com/p/select-and...

New paper: LLMs are increasingly used to label data in political science. But how reliable are these annotations, and what are the consequences for scientific findings? What are best practices? Some new findings from a large empirical evaluation. Paper: eddieyang.net/research/llm_annotation.pdf

BTW let's appreciate the sheer bathetic comedy of Trump's threats sliding from WE'RE GOING TO BAN ALL CRITICAL SOFTWARE WE WILL BRING YOUR ECONOMY TO A HALT down to WE'LL MAKE OUR OWN COOKING OIL SEE IF WE DON'T.