Netanyahu: “No ceasefire in Lebanon.” He says they will continue to strike “Hezbollah” (as they bomb residential areas, killing many civilians), intentionally disrupting any talk of ceasefire with Iran — and adds: “Israel is stronger than ever.”

ICYMI: “.. Almost half of the US data centers planned for this year are expected to be delayed or canceled. One big reason is the shortage of electrical equipment, such as transformers, switchgear and batteries.” @bloomberg.com www.bloomberg.com/news/newslet...

Polymarket just “called” the ceasefire timing with striking accuracy. When markets start pricing geopolitical events in real time, the line between forecasting and influence gets dangerously thin. This isn’t just tech. It’s a democracy issue. Read more: bit.ly/4v9ElIF #DemVoice1 #ProudBlue #Pinks

One of the most important things I learned in grad school was that there is a portion of the population who are anti-knowledge and will deny any evidence that threatens their identity. We should have kept these folks as far away from any public policy position as possible.

Huge shift in American views of Israel 2022: 55% view Israel favorably, 42% unfavorably 2026: 37% view Israel favorably, 60% unfavorable Generational divide hits both parties: 57% of *Republicans under 50* are negative on Israel via Pew Research Center poll: www.pewresearch.org/wp-content/u...

Nice post from Arin. Raising the minimum wage in Florida, Arizona, Nebraska and Missouri led to higher wages for workers and had no measurable effect on employment arindube.substack.com/p/these-repu...

In February, a farmer went a few seconds over his time at a city council meeting when speaking out against a datacenter. It's a $200 fine for trespassing, but he's vowed to fight it. We've also got the police report from the incident.

Another great example, this guy has been able to get public money for years in the name of “intellectual diversity,” and his entire schtick is a slightly warmed-over David Duke impression.

The people who can survive the snake pit of Vatican politics long enough to rise to the top tend to be pretty sharp; Leo was effectively Francis’s internal hatchet-man before election. Only way this ends for the crew of dipshits picking fights with them is humiliation on increasingly grand stages.

Last July, the Republican megabill (H.R. 1) enacted the deepest SNAP cuts in history. Today, we're releasing a tracker of how many people in each state are losing the SNAP benefits they need to afford groceries. www.cbpp.org/research/foo...

🚨 New Paper Alert 🚨 Perhaps the most pressing question facing the legal community is how AI affects human legal reasoning. Our new co-authored draft provides the first empirical evidence directly addressing that question. papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....

The Democratic candidate in the Wisconsin Supreme Court race beat the polls by 13 percentage points. This follows an underestimation of Democrats in the 2025 statewide elections in Virginia and New Jersey. It's reasonable to question whether RV generic ballot polls are also underestimating Democrats

Among many interesting things in @gelliottmorris.com's great analysis, it's nice to see the open-ended analysis replicate the classic "operationally more liberal, symbolically (self-ID) more conservative" leanings in the public, beyond substantial non-ideology. www.gelliottmorris.com/p/2026-04-07...

WHAT WE KNOW, 11pm: —Liberals flip seat on Wisconsin supreme court. —Also flip important school board seats in WI, OK, MO. —Dems win Waukesha mayor race. —GOP defends MTG's seat, but Dems way overperform. —Big MO county rejects property tax freeze.

RESULT: The right took over the Francis Howell school board, a large MO district in the St. Louis suburbs, earlier this decade; followed book bans & restrictive policies on LGBTQ students. Tonight, the slate endorsed by the teacher's slate swept, and the last remaining conservative was ousted.

A second photographer in Los Angeles lost an eye to law enforcement "less-lethal" munitions while just taking pictures at protests. These weapons are supposed to be used ONLY for immediate violent threats. Marshall Woodruff and now Tucker Collins were armed with nothing but a camera.

Wisconsin liberals have just won another state Supreme Court election, in what is shaping up to be a blowout. Importantly: Liberals are now sure to hold a majority on this court during the 2028 cycle and through at least 2030. New in @boltsmag.org: boltsmag.org/wisconsin-su...

Liberal candidates swept the 6 school board seats on the ballot in Elmbrook & Menomonee Falls—two school districts within Wisconsin's Waukesha County. This includes ousting 2 conservative incumbents. Why these in particular? They were part of this action by the ACLU: www.wpr.org/books/aclu-w...

it's crucial to understand how systematically surveillance companies like Flock just ignore the requests and demands of local governments they contract with; once you've signed that contract, you lose so much control

Just to spell this out… You need ID to vote in Kansas. For most, that means a driver’s license. Kansas has canceled valid licenses of people who’d updated their gender marker. Many of those affected will need new licenses to be able to vote. A new license costs $16. = Poll tax on trans people.

Could Wisconsin liberals get to 6-1 next year, "when conservative Justice Annette Ziegler’s seat comes up. Ziegler has already said she isn’t seeking reelection, giving liberals an opportunity to expand their majority even further." boltsmag.org/wisconsin-su...

In 103 qualifying special elections, Dems are now outperforming the 2024 presidential results by an average of 12.9 points. In 2017-18, it was 10.6 points. But the *frequency* of overperformances has leapt, too. The GOP outperformed in 30% of '17-18 specials. This cycle, it's just 15%. Big Board:

Chris Taylor just won Wisconsin's Supreme Court race in a landslide, growing the liberal majority to 5-2! They'll hold the court until at least 2030 now. Flipping the court in 2023 was key to ending the GOP's legislative gerrymanders, giving Dems a chance to finally win full control of govt in 2026

Incredible really

Support For An Additional Tax On Income Over $1 Million: Support: 67% Oppose: 18% YouGov / Apr 6, 2026

JUST IN: Liberals have won a decisive victory for the Wisconsin supreme court race tonight. Chris Taylor will join the supreme court, flipping a conservative-held seat. This expands liberals' majority on the court to 5-2. Why it matters: boltsmag.org/wisconsin-su...

hot take: i think the move in the direction of a more explicitly extortion based international order is bad actually. I also do not especially relish the idea of re-boning up on mercantilism

$2 million per ship — to cross a Strait that was free six weeks ago. @nytimes.com www.nytimes.com/2026/04/06/w...

60% of U.S. adults have an unfavorable view of Israel, up from 53% last year. In both political parties, majorities of adults under the age of 50 now rate Israel and Netanyahu negatively.

The fact that nobody seriously believes there is an institution in this country that will check the president—that we’re all just sitting here hoping that he gets distracted and fails to follow through on his genocidal threats—is the most damning indictment of our political system I’ve seen yet.

Elon Musk is now worth over $800 billion. Tesla reported paying ZERO federal income tax on $5.7 billion of U.S. income in 2025. Meanwhile, millions of Americans are living paycheck to paycheck and household debt has risen to a record high. This is what I mean when I say the system is rigged.

Today, Virginia is the only U.S. state where someone convicted of any felony loses their right to vote for life, unless it is personally restored by the governor. Lawmakers this year advanced a constitutional amendment to repeal that rule.

I'd go one step further and say the practical unavailability of any means to remove a lawless chief executive signals clear constitutional failure: bsky.app/profile/kjep...

People will blame anything other than inflation for the 2024 loss

When we polled 2024 Trump voters who now disapprove of the president and asked them why, the top three issues were prices/the economy, immigration, and his personality/conduct in office. We have come to expect insane tweets like this, but they are still taxing with normies

"Finally, what really stands out about Trump’s trajectory is not just how low his approval is. It’s that it basically never bounces, either. Over 14 months, there hasn’t been a single sustained recovery in his overall approval rating." From @gelliottmorris.com

After Trump took office last year, the US Holocaust Museum quietly removed educational material about American racism from its website and canceled a workshop on the "fragility of democracy," @iriesentner.bsky.social reports. www.politico.com/news/2026/04...

This is what happens when 77 million people take leave of their senses and put a manifestly unqualified, unfit, mentally ill narcissistic man-child in charge of the country and the world's most powerful. military. This is what happens when the media 'bothsides' election coverage.

He was willing to testify against the cartel — but ICE got to him first. A look at how the Trump administration's immigration enforcement blitz led federal prosecutors to lose a trial against two alleged drug traffickers. www.latimes.com/california/s...

There is no future for humanity in which the basic conditions for life for millions of people can be destroyed on one person’s whim.

After spending a few months building up a modicum of goodwill among the Democratic base, Gallego comes out against abolishing ICE by calling it ridiculous and attempts to split the baby on giving Israel unlimited and virtually free weapons.

Slaughtering our golden goose: massive budget cuts for US science proposed again by Trump administration www.nature.com/articles/d41...

800,000 people who died because of the lack of lifesaving food and medical aid were unavailable for comment.

It's political science conventional wisdom that Term Limits Are Bad. This is from studies mostly of state legislatures, on the effect of limits of about 8 years. Very different from the effect of something like 20-year term limits for the Supreme Court, or even for Congress.

A single long fixed term for Supreme Court justices, mandatory retirement age (but not term limits) for Congress, term limits plus a mandatory retirement age (to complement the minimum age) for president. Plus a ban on insurrectionists in any of these offices.

This might be the largest party lead I've ever seen among the double haters www.cnn.com/2026/04/03/p...

Its Marxism to have workplace safety

These are so importent in four days. I’ll post a thread for the major ones to know about this weekend.

The NSF has been compromised.

Victoria Law’s reporting in this story features the voices of incarcerated Pennsylvanians who thought they were sure to die in prison—till the state supreme court’s ruling. Worth checking out.