So, I did a podcast. Like all normal people, I don't actually love the sound of my own voice (despite what some may claim), so y'all will have to tell me if it was good. I'll note that we recorded this in early August so if things are slightly out of date, apologies in advance (eg no Gemini 3 then)

NEW data I've received: Just 5% of people detained by ICE since October 1 have had violent criminal convictions, 3/4 had no criminal convictions at all. Most "criminals" had immigration, traffic, and vice offenses. Not the "worst of the worst"...

do you have any idea how much you have to piss somebody off to make them change their gauge

chat is it good when the press secretary’s brother says that his “only concern” is for his son right after the mother of that son is seized by the press secretary’s gestapo

This is narcissism masquerading as philosophy — the technophile elite are not recognizing a new soul in AI, they're falling in love with their creation, staring at their own reflection in a digital pool. It is the ultimate in solipsism and has its roots in a pathological fear and denial of death.

Have just finished watching Death by Lightning and I want to share a couple of observations: 1) men with delusions of grandeur, a ken for political adventurism, and easy access to guns are a scourge; 2) so are confident(ly wrong) doctors who don’t practice hygiene and like to poke around for bullets

Honestly a lot of the time I spend talking to product and brand leaders - esp in tech - is spent uncovering how little time some have spent even noticing other humans, much less how completely they abandoned the cognitive step of perspective-taking, which is essential to living in a society.

Every American should have this in their wallet:

When the wealthy starve democratic governments by spending their resources defending their wealth instead of paying into the commonwealth, you get less democracy everywhere. So much for the Magna Carta.

I am so glad to see this being reported out.

This isn't just heart breaking, it's terrifying. Your financial situation shouldn't be a factor in receiving or responding to life-saving care. news.harvard.edu/gazette/stor...

THE MURRAY’S CONFRONTATION I am not afraid of confrontation, please leave the cheeses.

I spent most of today trying to finish up a countertop customization project - lots of lifting and carrying and struggle… But the thing I did that was the most strenuous was giving my 75 lb dog a bath. My dream house will have a giant utility room with a dogwashing sink.

A 91-year-old woman refused to sell her home of 60 years to make room for a $100 billion Micron superfab. She finally gave up when authorities threatened to take it through eminent domain. from @peard33.bsky.social

Can LLMs stand in for human respondents? We highlight some ways to consider the data in the context of moral judgments.

A flood of debt to fund AI data centers is overwhelming appetite for bonds: * Amazon, Alphabet, Meta, Oracle issued $90 billion in the past 2.5 months alone * that's more debt than they issued in the previous 3.5 years www.wsj.com/finance/inve...

All the “mows the lawn, clears the sidewalk, fixes the steps” videos on YouTube are lovely but also speak to how badly systems are failing. So many essentially abandoned homes, neighborhoods, people.

You can only con people into thinking they don’t live in a society up to a point.

I come from a Pacific Northwest mindset that is already pretty DIY, but in the early 90s, MTV’s House of Style reinforced this tendency, and Todd Oldham was my favorite: youtu.be/fMOTDZQVmoQ?...

Kavanaugh stop. Smashed the kid’s car windows and arrested him. He told them he was a U.S. citizen. The officer replied “I don’t care.” www.oregonlive.com/portland/202...

Not only are generations fake, they’re also something we basically invented a few decades ago. Compare when generations occurred (shaded areas) with when we settled on their names. From this week’s newsletter: www.howtoreadthisch.art/ample-exampl...

I’ve got to tell you - @kwcollins.bsky.social is incredibly knowledgeable so the show notes for this episode include a pretty impressive list of referenced books and articles that I highly recommend you check out AFTER you read this: www.survey160.com/methodologic...

And if you're an Apple Podcasts friend, it's available now there, too: podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/c...

New episode of @crosstabspodcast.com just dropped featuring @kwcollins.bsky.social discussing his work at Survey 160 looking at the limits of AI in survey research + a brief discussion about popularism and its (also limited) uses. It's available already on Spotify: open.spotify.com/episode/1SW1...

I’m going to go ahead and agree with some of the commenters that Dems should consider outlets and reporters like these as hostile mouthpieces for capital… and then care a lot less what they think about Democrats. It is known.

Santa Fe is now the first city to tie the minimum wage to the cost of rent. The Santa Fe City Council voted to raise its minimum wage from $15/hr to $17.50 by 2027 — but they also added another provision. Future increases will factor in inflation, and the price of housing.

I suppose we can continue to quibble about whether it’s fascism or authoritarianism but the fascist obsession with aesthetics - of class and of masculinity/femininity - are everywhere in this administration of reality tv players.

Important: House Dem leaders just said Trump's call for execution of Dems has prompted them to contact US Capitol Police and House Sergeant at Arms to "ensure the safety of these members and their families." Treat Trump like an unhinged menace. He's weak and in deep political trouble. Don't let up.

More open ends, please.

CNN: What if there are more names connected to the Democratic Party that come out in the files? CHRIS MURPHY: So what?

Well this is right fucking horrifying. apnews.com/article/immi...

Attention is on NEETs today, but the problem is much worse. NEETs include stay-at-home parents & jobseekers. Strip those out to focus on people not working, not seeking work, not in education & not parenting: this group of economically & socially dislocated young adults has *doubled* in a decade.

California: Overwhelming majorities favor a public health care option. (@ppicnotes.bsky.social) www.ppic.org/publication/...

Wish more wrote about polling this way. For example: “If only young women could vote, Labour would be replaced by the Greens, who are tearing through voters on Labour’s left. British politics has a male gaze. A shift among young women comes second to a largely imagined one among men.”

Perhaps there's a version of the news distortion doctrine that's consistent with the First Amendment, but the version of it that Carr is wielding here is not going to survive constitutional scrutiny.

Slightly dismayed to learn I should create at least 1/4” clearance between bottom of countertop and top of laundry machines. Tomorrow will be another finicky carpentry day.

#BREAKING: Former Harvard President Lawrence H. Summers will immediately leave his role as an instructor at Harvard while the University investigates his ties to child sex trafficker Jeffrey Epstein. Dhruv T. Patel and Cam N. Srivastava report.

If I see another policy outline from a Democrat talking about cryptocurrency as a route to economic empowerment of underserved communities, I will scream.

All Oregon National Guard members released from federal mission www.oregonlive.com/portland/202...

dammit (complimentary)

idea for people who celebrate christmas: 1. use tinsel to divide your tree into differently shaped sections with roughly similar numbers of ornaments 2. say it's "treedistricting"

Happy to report that @crosstabspodcast.com is back, and last week's episode with @lauren-goldstein.bsky.social was conversation about strategy, what sticks, and what we ought to measuring in polls. A little taste here:

The no testing, no COVID approach can also be used effectively for economic data.

When I was a kid in Oregon, smog alerts in LA were news items our regional news actively covered -- and especially in the early 80s, that was FREQUENT.

Last week I wrote a bit about the strategic implications for the Dems' brand from ending the shutdown when they did. 🧵 www.crosstabspodcast.com/p/over-befor...

One of the many administration nutshells.

Please enjoy this thread, which feels like my own personal anger translator. Especially enjoy the “brunchlord” epithet which I shall now adopt. But more to the point: no lies detected in Karl’s critique.

People have largely tried to act like ICE/CBP failed and retreated from LA and that is completely untrue. If it weren’t for the relentless coverage of places like @lataco.bsky.social these stories would be completely under the radar.