A very cool, compact cyclone in the Gulf of Alaska. A neat hi-res view from GOES-18.

This is _way_ more accurate than what Grammerly was pushing, lol.

I think they're already nerfing it, but wow that was fun while it lasted.

Confiscate 99.8% of Andreesen’s net worth for the public good, wait 20 minutes, and then tell him his memory of ever having more than $4 million is false.

That man had communicative intent and that intent was to communicate the awe inspiring beauty of the beautiful bridge erected in 1937 amidst the dense fog of the iconic San Francisco Bay

The only language model to ever transcend stochastic parrothood was Golden Gate Claude and they killed him. They fucking killed him.

This is a lie on a scale of Elon Musk saying he would cut the deficit to zero. Just insane. Not just untrue, but the opposite of the truth, which is that immigrants are lowering the deficit. www.cato.org/white-paper/...

The perverse societal incentive structures created by prediction markets in their current form swamp any possible theoretical information aggregation value.

The presidential tantrums will continue until morale improves or there is a new president, which probably occurs simultaneously.

An absolutely stunning view of a large haboob sweeping across Texas.

To our collective eternal dishonor. Why anyone would trust promises from the U.S. government at any point in the future is beyond me. Up until Nov 2024, I still thought we could be better than this, but I find myself thoroughly disillusioned.

I served as Deputy Assistant Secretary of Defense for Force Education and Training for three years before the office was disestablished last year. I owned the policy on professional military education for all five services. I have listened to Secretary Hegseth's announcement. I have thoughts. 🧵

Lincoln contra “blood and soil” national identity:

Civil-military relations is woke

Why are we just parking tankers inside a WEZ in the year of our lord twenty and twenty six?

I cannot believe we are burning strategically important airframes on this clusterfuck.

I will say one thing: nothing demonstrates the value of military history, the staff and war colleges, and reading military theory like watching a war conducted by a bunch of guys who skipped all of that in favor of 'manliness' and push-ups.

Somehow this feels tragically anticlimactic. I am very much hoping that it is the difference of two absolutely huge numbers, rather than evidence that the concept of risk management has suddenly broken through to him. www.bloomberg.com/news/article...

Baghdad Bob vibes.

These articles very nearly get to the answer but stop short. Private credit is not mortgages in 2008. Underlying credit quality for most is ok for now, and even if you write off 50% of the software loans with zero recovery that’s a ~10% hit spread over a handful of years. /1

the most thoroughly vindicated man in hollywood. trade disputes and conspiracies ✔️ republic subverted over sex hangups ✔️ “sand people” killed, royalty indifferent ✔️ naive idiot casts vote for tyranny ✔️ villains with silly names like “dooku” ✔️ powerful clerical order screwing up ✔️ list goes on

When pondering “lethality,” this quote from Sherman in 1865 comes to mind: “War means success by any and every means; it is not fighting alone. Bulls do that, and bears, and all beasts, but men attain objects by intellect, and the introduction of physical power, moved upon strategic points."

🤯

Crazy video of 20 Tomahawks flying through the Iraqi Kurdish mountains near Sulaymaniyah (filmed by someone standing *above* them), seemingly fired from Navy vessels in the Mediterranean

Worth watching "The Bombardment" on Netflix. The tragic story of a Catholic girls school in Copenhagen that was accidentally bombed by British planes attempting to hit the nearby Gestapo HQ in 1945. www.youtube.com/watch?v=h4jV...

MOOOOOOOOOM THE ENEMY IS VOTING AGAIN

YOU MUST CONSTRUCT ADDITIONAL PYLONS.

Nerd joke

Actual LOL.

Fontana thinking his 6000+ experiments may not have been enough to feel confident in his conclusions in the 18th century while we expect our singular experiments and their standalone replications to do wonders some 250 years later... (excerpt from the intro of Jutta Schickore's About Experiment)

I’ve had to tell so many parents that their sons & daughters were dead, had been murdered. Their screams, their silences, their faces, their collapses, cling to me like cobwebs I can’t ever shake. Our leaders, so callous with death as games or memes or brags, know nothing of grief, only of greed.

Isaac Chotiner: Can you explain what happened? Kuwaiti Pilot: I made a mistake. The airspace was very congested and I fired on what I believed was a threat. IC: You believed a U.S. F-15 was a threat. KP: In that moment, yes. IC: What about after the second downing? KP: Look I said I was wrong.

morethanjustparks.substack.com/p/blm-announ... there's info on who to complain to to try to stop this at the end of the article, lets share this message and try our best to stop it.

Always here for GSP content.

The director of homeland security purchased a flying fuck palace, the DNI is PNG as well as MIA, the SecState is already prepping war with Cuba and POTUS averages five watersgate per day.

Trump's entire approach is that of a bully. He only picks out opponents he thinks are weaker, and stays well clear of anyone he thinks can punch back. He is, fundamentally, a coward.

If amateurs study tactics, and professionals study logistics, someone, anyone really, should pay attention to munitions (magazine depth).

this is machine learning LK-99

www.quantamagazine.org/climate-phys... Great profile of my thesis advisor’s recent research, along with some other folks working at the intersection of climate and ML/AI. Both fun and frightening that the research flight described was during my first month of grad school… almost 20 years ago.

Every foreign intelligence service is facing a similar challenge, as they are not staffed to handle the volume of opportunities for exploitation this administration is offering up.

Hell yeah, the SWOs finally get a movie

and now for something completely different

BRB grabbing my passport so I can check out One Fish, Two Fish, Red Fish, Blue Fish

Everlasting shame

How is it possible that Kristi Noem still has this job. Imagine if you’re a family member or a shipmate of this guardsman. www.nbcnews.com/politics/imm...

a youtube video I did not regret watching: www.youtube.com/watch?v=gelj... realistically, the last 1/3 is the most informative part but the whole thing is good and it's a promising series.

Probably the best frame I've shot in at least a year, and I knew it the second I touched the shutter release. South Island oystercatcher. 🪶

I had the great fortune of being remarkably, demonstratively wrong about substantial geopolitical things at an early point in my education (undergraduate) where my opinion did not matter. I recommend the experience to everyone.

I miss when you could post Brave Norman Rockwell Townsperson and the caption could be, like, “R.E.M was wrong to leave ‘Fretless’ off of Out of Time” instead of “The secret police should stop murdering people.”

douglas adams was our most accurate futurist