@hamiltonproject.org's Trade Tracker is not new, but it is improved with more features including policy overlays: Tracker: www.hamiltonproject.org/data/trackin... Kudos to @ashapatt.bsky.social & Kari Heerman for the update to @wendyedelberg.bsky.social & @rikimatsumoto.bsky.social's great work!

The older a student was in the first year of COVID-related school disruptions, the steeper the decline in proficiency—particularly for math. Explore new interactive data from Lauren Bauer and Eileen Powell.

Does it matter at what age a child experienced the COVID shock for subsequent learning? Eileen Powell and I have taken a first stab by looking at math and English proficiency by grade cohorts. The answer: yep. www.hamiltonproject.org/publication/...

The Hamilton Project is hiring! We have an opening for a research assistant (senior) or senior research assistant (masters or work experience) to join our team. Learn more at www.hamiltonproject.org! Please circulate and apply: careers-brookings.icims.com/jobs/3757/re... #EconSky

Look, women no longer do shit for free is actually at the root of a lot of social disruption. The question is whether you think the solution is women going back to being unpaid and unprotected by their own labor.

The Hamilton Project is holding two events in December on: - AI regulation - the state of school accountability on ESSA's 10th anniversary. Register here: www.hamiltonproject.org/event/opport... www.hamiltonproject.org/event/k-12-e...

NEW: In 2024, Tierra Walker was sick and getting sicker. She was also pregnant. She knew abortion was illegal in Texas, but thought there was an exception for women like her, whose health was at risk. Doctors told her there was no emergency. Then she died. www.propublica.org/article/texa...

#FigureFriday: Amid ongoing uncertainty about SNAP funding, The Hamilton Project has created four figures visualizing federal outlays to SNAP for November 2025. The figures will update daily on weekdays, excluding federal holidays. www.hamiltonproject.org/data/trackin...

“One way to think about the One Big Beautiful Bill is that it could end SNAP in some states, and it certainly ends SNAP as a national entitlement that is there for people in good economic times and bad.” @laurenhlb.bsky.social spoke to @Slate.com’s @shirinali.bsky.social about the OBBBA’s SNAP cuts:

This analysis from Brookings is probably going to be unfortunately prescient. www.brookings.edu/articles/sna...

This means the order that full SNAP benefits for November be paid out now remains blocked by the Supreme Court through the end of Thursday.

Where are SNAP benefits being delivered? November 1 (left): No SNAP benefits delivered anywhere. Morning of November 10 (right): If the state/county is a lighter color than the left, at least partial benefits were delivered in the past few days. If it's a darker color, still nothing...

@crampell.bsky.social gets @davidasuper.bsky.social to weigh in: he says that no, states do not have to CLAW BACK properly issued benefits.

SNAP update. Insane one. So USDA is now saying on a huge lag: - issue partial payments using a bad-math formula; - CLAW BACK full issuances that any state sent *properly* under last week's guidance; - if you don't CLAW BACK benefits, we won't pay the federal share of SNAP administrative costs (??)

The Propel data are the best way to see what is going on with SNAP benefit delivery on a national level. www.propel.app/shutdown-fun... On November 3, New Mexico delivered SNAP benefits.

Actually, if the President decided to do so and change his mind once again, he had the authority and the funds to pay SNAP benefits in full.

Low-income households denied SNAP due to administrative barriers suffer downstream consequences. Process-related denials increase debt, delinquencies, and decrease credit scores, from Tatiana Homonoff, Min S. Lee, and Katherine Meckel www.nber.org/papers/w34434

BREAKING: DOJ goes to SCOTUS trying to stop a district court order that USDA pay out full SNAP benefits this month. The First Circuit denied an administrative stay, but has not yet ruled on the stay request. And, CNN reported that USDA is already processing payments. DOJ went to SCOTUS anyway.

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NEW: we've pulled out the SNAP line item (from the Daily Treasury Statement) to follow along daily with federal outlays to the program. www.hamiltonproject.org/data/trackin... 1/2

ICYMI: @hamiltonproject.org hosted a webinar on what is going on with SNAP with @klobuchar.senate.gov, @davidasuper.bsky.social, Stacy Dean, Diane Schanzenbach & me. Event recap, w/ transcript, and video are here: www.hamiltonproject.org/publication/... www.hamiltonproject.org/event/addres...

If you don’t give anyone SNAP, your payment error rate is 0!

I do not want to lose to the dustbin of history that failing to send full SNAP benefits out on time was this Administration's choice. The money was there, is there, and is definitely not on EBT cards. And the authority was always there, regardless of the shutdown. www.yahoo.com/news/article...

I regret to inform you that this fix is still bad math. By reducing the SNAP maximum benefit in step one (even a better rate), some beneficiaries will get 65% of what they normally would, and any participating family with net income will get less than 65% of benefits, some will get less than half.

New data: CBPP analyzed USDA’s contingency fund spending plan & found it is only going to release 2/3 of the funding they committed to in court filings, cutting families’ SNAP benefits far more than necessary, violating USDA’s own regulations & shortchanging millions of families.

As far as I can tell (Propel data), no benefit money has been outlaid 11/1-11/4. Only $90M in federal outlays to SNAP went out on 11/4. Lowest single day outlay in 3 years (as far as the tracker goes back). www.hamiltonproject.org/data/trackin... #EconSky #SNAP

If SNAP math is hurting your brain today, this is shows why USDA's 50% cut to maximum SNAP benefits translates into a much deeper cut to average benefits. Only households receiving the maximum benefit will see a 50% cut under USDA's plan – and everyone else gets cut more deeply.

NEWS (?): The formula that USDA has asked states to use to get to 50 percent of SNAP benefits *does not produce a number that is 50 percent of benefits* for any family that has net income. Illustrative example below. www.fns.usda.gov/snap/benefit...

New from @jaycshambaugh.bsky.social - he asks and answers why tariffs are a particularly bad way for the U.S. to raise revenue. (Don’t skip the appendix figure) #EconSky www.hamiltonproject.org/publication/...

www.propel.app/shutdown-fun... According to the Daily Treasury Statement, USDA outlaid $338m to SNAP 11/1-11/3. Not sure what that money is, as the linked Propel analysis shows that all payments were missed 11/1-11/4.

Today, @bobgreensteindc.bsky.social taught me a new word: chiselers. Because everything that's old is new again. wapo.st/4qIbFEf

Still not a lawyer, but I thought the Patrick Penn (Deputy Undersecretary at USDA) declaration in this case, in which he admitted USDA could but is choosing not to provide full benefits, raised eyebrows.

And the final word, from a local resident who voted for Trump

With October complete, the @hamiltonproject.org federal outlays tracker will be the best place to monitor what is happening to SNAP spending (& more) at a close to real-time clip. The tracker updates on weekdays at 4pm. Tomorrow we get November 1 data. www.hamiltonproject.org/data/trackin...

SNAP update: Partial payments, delayed payments, not tapping section 32 for full payments www.nytimes.com/live/2025/11...

Hello. What is happening with SNAP is impoundment irrespective of the shutdown. The Administration has both the funds and the authority to provide 100% of SNAP benefits. According to the order from the RI case, they must either pay full benefits tomorrow or partial on Tuesday. 1/2

www.linkedin.com/posts/davegu... @allafarce.bsky.social via LinkedIn re: Propel’s internals. This is illegal.

I find reporting on the partisan affiliation of SNAP recipients to be both disappointing and beside the point. SNAP is an entitlement. Everyone who is eligible to receive benefits is unequivocally entitled to receive it, including during a shutdown. 1/2

Not to be that girl, but any evidence of compliance, yet? I’m seeing a lot of triumphant skeets…

Big deal from the Rhode Island case --- USDA cannot move forward with the 11/2/25 termination of existing SNAP work requirement waivers. Huge news for CA, IL, NV, and DC, and the 27 other states and territories with approved waivers. fns-prod.azureedge.us/sites/defaul...

I love a good moreover.

Yesterday, @hamiltonproject.org hosting a zippy briefing about what is going on with SNAP. We covered the waterfront with @klobuchar.senate.gov, @davidasuper.bsky.social, Stacy Dean, Danielle Perry, Diane Schanzenbach, and yours truly. Watch here: www.hamiltonproject.org/event/addres... #SNAP

This is the worst thing I have ever read about SNAP. www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/202...

There is a very big difference between "could not, or would not"

📅 Join @hamiltonproject.org today at 12:30p ET for a discussion on how recent policy changes could weaken SNAP’s role as an economic stabilizer during recessions, featuring Senator @amyklobuchar.com.

Have any questions about #SNAP? We're going to take on the big ones today at 12:30pm. Sign up here: www.hamiltonproject.org/event/addres...

📢 NEW: We are pleased to announce that @klobuchar.senate.gov will be joining our event tomorrow to deliver remarks on SNAP. Additionally, @fooddepository.bsky.social’s Danielle Perry is joining our panel of leading experts. See the updated agenda and RSVP: www.hamiltonproject.org/event/addres...