This analysis from Brookings is probably going to be unfortunately prescient. www.brookings.edu/articles/sna...

This means the order that full SNAP benefits for November be paid out now remains blocked by the Supreme Court through the end of Thursday.

Where are SNAP benefits being delivered? November 1 (left): No SNAP benefits delivered anywhere. Morning of November 10 (right): If the state/county is a lighter color than the left, at least partial benefits were delivered in the past few days. If it's a darker color, still nothing...

@crampell.bsky.social gets @davidasuper.bsky.social to weigh in: he says that no, states do not have to CLAW BACK properly issued benefits.

SNAP update. Insane one. So USDA is now saying on a huge lag: - issue partial payments using a bad-math formula; - CLAW BACK full issuances that any state sent *properly* under last week's guidance; - if you don't CLAW BACK benefits, we won't pay the federal share of SNAP administrative costs (??)

The Propel data are the best way to see what is going on with SNAP benefit delivery on a national level. www.propel.app/shutdown-fun... On November 3, New Mexico delivered SNAP benefits.

Actually, if the President decided to do so and change his mind once again, he had the authority and the funds to pay SNAP benefits in full.

Low-income households denied SNAP due to administrative barriers suffer downstream consequences. Process-related denials increase debt, delinquencies, and decrease credit scores, from Tatiana Homonoff, Min S. Lee, and Katherine Meckel www.nber.org/papers/w34434

BREAKING: DOJ goes to SCOTUS trying to stop a district court order that USDA pay out full SNAP benefits this month. The First Circuit denied an administrative stay, but has not yet ruled on the stay request. And, CNN reported that USDA is already processing payments. DOJ went to SCOTUS anyway.

right hand left hand

NEW: we've pulled out the SNAP line item (from the Daily Treasury Statement) to follow along daily with federal outlays to the program. www.hamiltonproject.org/data/trackin... 1/2

ICYMI: @hamiltonproject.org hosted a webinar on what is going on with SNAP with @klobuchar.senate.gov, @davidasuper.bsky.social, Stacy Dean, Diane Schanzenbach & me. Event recap, w/ transcript, and video are here: www.hamiltonproject.org/publication/... www.hamiltonproject.org/event/addres...

If you don’t give anyone SNAP, your payment error rate is 0!

I do not want to lose to the dustbin of history that failing to send full SNAP benefits out on time was this Administration's choice. The money was there, is there, and is definitely not on EBT cards. And the authority was always there, regardless of the shutdown. www.yahoo.com/news/article...

I regret to inform you that this fix is still bad math. By reducing the SNAP maximum benefit in step one (even a better rate), some beneficiaries will get 65% of what they normally would, and any participating family with net income will get less than 65% of benefits, some will get less than half.

New data: CBPP analyzed USDA’s contingency fund spending plan & found it is only going to release 2/3 of the funding they committed to in court filings, cutting families’ SNAP benefits far more than necessary, violating USDA’s own regulations & shortchanging millions of families.

As far as I can tell (Propel data), no benefit money has been outlaid 11/1-11/4. Only $90M in federal outlays to SNAP went out on 11/4. Lowest single day outlay in 3 years (as far as the tracker goes back). www.hamiltonproject.org/data/trackin... #EconSky #SNAP

If SNAP math is hurting your brain today, this is shows why USDA's 50% cut to maximum SNAP benefits translates into a much deeper cut to average benefits. Only households receiving the maximum benefit will see a 50% cut under USDA's plan – and everyone else gets cut more deeply.

NEWS (?): The formula that USDA has asked states to use to get to 50 percent of SNAP benefits *does not produce a number that is 50 percent of benefits* for any family that has net income. Illustrative example below. www.fns.usda.gov/snap/benefit...

New from @jaycshambaugh.bsky.social - he asks and answers why tariffs are a particularly bad way for the U.S. to raise revenue. (Don’t skip the appendix figure) #EconSky www.hamiltonproject.org/publication/...

www.propel.app/shutdown-fun... According to the Daily Treasury Statement, USDA outlaid $338m to SNAP 11/1-11/3. Not sure what that money is, as the linked Propel analysis shows that all payments were missed 11/1-11/4.

Today, @bobgreensteindc.bsky.social taught me a new word: chiselers. Because everything that's old is new again. wapo.st/4qIbFEf

Still not a lawyer, but I thought the Patrick Penn (Deputy Undersecretary at USDA) declaration in this case, in which he admitted USDA could but is choosing not to provide full benefits, raised eyebrows.

And the final word, from a local resident who voted for Trump

With October complete, the @hamiltonproject.org federal outlays tracker will be the best place to monitor what is happening to SNAP spending (& more) at a close to real-time clip. The tracker updates on weekdays at 4pm. Tomorrow we get November 1 data. www.hamiltonproject.org/data/trackin...

SNAP update: Partial payments, delayed payments, not tapping section 32 for full payments www.nytimes.com/live/2025/11...

Hello. What is happening with SNAP is impoundment irrespective of the shutdown. The Administration has both the funds and the authority to provide 100% of SNAP benefits. According to the order from the RI case, they must either pay full benefits tomorrow or partial on Tuesday. 1/2

www.linkedin.com/posts/davegu... @allafarce.bsky.social via LinkedIn re: Propel’s internals. This is illegal.

I find reporting on the partisan affiliation of SNAP recipients to be both disappointing and beside the point. SNAP is an entitlement. Everyone who is eligible to receive benefits is unequivocally entitled to receive it, including during a shutdown. 1/2

Not to be that girl, but any evidence of compliance, yet? I’m seeing a lot of triumphant skeets…

Big deal from the Rhode Island case --- USDA cannot move forward with the 11/2/25 termination of existing SNAP work requirement waivers. Huge news for CA, IL, NV, and DC, and the 27 other states and territories with approved waivers. fns-prod.azureedge.us/sites/defaul...

I love a good moreover.

Yesterday, @hamiltonproject.org hosting a zippy briefing about what is going on with SNAP. We covered the waterfront with @klobuchar.senate.gov, @davidasuper.bsky.social, Stacy Dean, Danielle Perry, Diane Schanzenbach, and yours truly. Watch here: www.hamiltonproject.org/event/addres... #SNAP

This is the worst thing I have ever read about SNAP. www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/202...

There is a very big difference between "could not, or would not"

📅 Join @hamiltonproject.org today at 12:30p ET for a discussion on how recent policy changes could weaken SNAP’s role as an economic stabilizer during recessions, featuring Senator @amyklobuchar.com.

Have any questions about #SNAP? We're going to take on the big ones today at 12:30pm. Sign up here: www.hamiltonproject.org/event/addres...

📢 NEW: We are pleased to announce that @klobuchar.senate.gov will be joining our event tomorrow to deliver remarks on SNAP. Additionally, @fooddepository.bsky.social’s Danielle Perry is joining our panel of leading experts. See the updated agenda and RSVP: www.hamiltonproject.org/event/addres...

Tomorrow at 12:30PM ET, @hamiltonproject.org will host a public event on SNAP. @klobuchar.senate.gov will provide framing remarks and I will be moderating an *expert* panel with Danielle Perry, @davidasuper.bsky.social, Diane Schanzenbach, and Stacy Dean: www.hamiltonproject.org/event/addres...

Yes, USDA has sufficient resources and authority to pay out SNAP benefits in November. Yes, SNAP benefits roll over month-to-month, but 97-ish percent of benefits are spent in the month of issuance. No, participants are not sitting on a stockpile.

Update. Today, Secretary Rollins said the number is $9.2 billion. So it's $9.2 billion unlawfully being withheld, not about $8 billion. .

Always happy to speak with Tami Luhby - who put together a really nice explainer about what's going on with SNAP www.cnn.com/2025/10/28/p...

You cannot crowdsource 8 billion dollars to make up for the loss of SNAP in November. Or you could, through your taxes, if the law were being followed. It is unlawful for the Trump Administration to leave the SNAP contingency fund untapped.

I am not a lawyer. David Super is *the* lawyer. If he says the Trump Administration is illegally withholding SNAP benefits, they are. So...they are. "A more clearly unlawful impoundment is difficult to imagine."

I appreciated speaking to @nhbaptiste.bsky.social about what is going on with SNAP. Worth a read: www.huffpost.com/entry/snap-b...

This is contemptible and outrageous and unprecedented. Mostly children, the elderly, and those with disabilities. Shameful. Hungry at Thanksgiving.

Hungry at Thanksgiving.