„China produziert am Bedarf vorbei, die USA schotten sich ab, und Deutschland verliert Teile seiner traditionellen Exportmärkte“, konstatiert @sandertordoir.bsky.social, der Chefökonom des @centreeuropeanref.bsky.social.

After two years of shambolic governance in which the Dutch disappeared from the European scene, this week’s election result provides a narrow pathway to a government that can help strengthen Europe’s strategic autonomy. New @centreeuropeanref.bsky.social insight: read here: buff.ly/te5HYI3

[Analysis] #EUPolitics: What the #Dutch elections mean for the #Netherlands and for Europe, by @armida.bsky.social & @sandertordoir.bsky.social | @centreeuropeanref.bsky.social www.pubaffairsbruxelles.eu/opinion-anal...

“Orban is isolated on Ukraine,” says @armida.bsky.social of the @centreeuropeanref.bsky.social think-tank.For the first time in 15 years, he is the underdog in an election campaign.

The losses for the PVV coupled with the success of D66 & the CDA could be seen as a victory for the centre over the far-right, and a setback for populism in the Netherlands. New insight by @armida.bsky.social & @sandertordoir.bsky.social explains why this is not the case. Read here: buff.ly/te5HYI3

"Can we say that #populists are natural predators on the inherent weaknesses of democracies, preying on issues that are hard to resolve in a democratic way?" @zecsaky.bsky.social asked @benansell.bsky.social & @johnspringford.bsky.social in the latest #CERpodcast. Listen here: buff.ly/qT7A3eF

📅 JOIN US - 11/11/25: @centreeuropeanref.bsky.social/ @euinuk.bsky.social / European Parliament Liaison Office in the UK panel discussion and private viewing of 'Come with Us! - Democratic Transformations in Central and Eastern Europe after 1989' Email: [email protected] for info and registration

@sandertordoir.bsky.social upozorňuje na klíčový problém: individuálně může být rozhodnutí šetřit racionální – stárnoucí populace potřebuje rezervy na důchod. Jenže když to dělají všichni najednou, „vede to k suboptimálnímu výsledku pro agregátní poptávku a produkci“.

Analysts @armida.bsky.social and @sandertordoir.bsky.social decipher what the election results mean for The Netherlands and Europe more broadly. New @centreeuropeanref.bsky.social insight, read here: buff.ly/te5HYI3

Experten von drei EU Forschungseinrichtungen in einem Paper dazu auf dass die EU dringend eine gemeinschaftliche Kraftanstrengung unternehmen sollte um der Autoindustrie zu helfen. Beteiligt sind @bertelsmannst.bsky.social, @delorsberlin.bsky.social & @centreeuropeanref.bsky.social buff.ly/SEitVsW

🎙️ @zecsaky.bsky.social, @benansell.bsky.social and @johnspringford.bsky.social discuss the rise of European #populism and what moderates should or shouldn't do to stem its rise in the latest #CERpodcast. 🎙️ Listen to the episode here: buff.ly/qT7A3eF

The EU’s role in defence hinges largely on the level of defence funding in the next EU budget. New @centreeuropeanref.bsky.social insight by @lscazzieri.bsky.social Read here: buff.ly/bxYKhe4

“Right now, it is done to undermine unity for Ukraine,” political scientist @armida.bsky.social, a senior research fellow at the @centreeuropeanref.bsky.social, tells FRONTLINE. “But the longer term goal is to just cause chaos and disorder in Europe more broadly.”

@sandertordoir.bsky.social, chief economist at the @centreeuropeanref.bsky.social has suggested that Europeans’ high savings rate can be brought down, and channelled into productive investments by specific government policies, such as consumer subsidies for electric vehicles.

📅 JOIN US - 11/11/25: @centreeuropeanref.bsky.social/ @euinuk.bsky.social / European Parliament Liaison Office in the UK panel discussion and private viewing of 'Come with Us! - Democratic Transformations in Central and Eastern Europe after 1989' Email: [email protected] for info and registration

The battle between moderate and far-right parties will be a long one, and there is no quick policy lever to undermine the latter's support, writes @johnspringford.bsky.social in a new @centreeuropeanref.bsky.social insight. Read here: buff.ly/O2SoUok

De uitslag biedt hoop dat Nederland kan terugkeren naar de Europese arena als ‘constructieve, zuinige dealmaker’, stelt @sandertordoir.bsky.social van de denktank @centreeuropeanref.bsky.social.

“You would have expected the UK – given the size of its finance sector – to have done at least as well, if not better, than other countries,” says @johnspringford.bsky.social, an associate fellow at the @centreeuropeanref.bsky.social. buff.ly/0PiW2wX

Europe won’t save its #car industry through regulatory rollbacks — but by reigniting home demand. Co-ordinating EV subsidies across member-states with a #buyEuropean clause can keep production in Europe.

@sandertordoir.bsky.social, chief economist at @centreeuropeanref.bsky.social said that 'Europe cannot afford another Dutch government that drifts and is absent in the European debate'. buff.ly/z2RYcEA

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The EU is embracing a more flexible approach to #defence co-operation by harnessing the dynamism of small groups. New @centreeuropeanref.bsky.social insight by @lscazzieri.bsky.social Read here: buff.ly/bxYKhe4

@armida.bsky.social of @centreeuropeanref.bsky.social said: "The election results won't mark the end of populism in the Netherlands. While the PVV may have lost seats, the far-right vote has not disappeared, it has splintered. About 30% of PVV voters in 2023 now vote for JA21.”

Germany, France, Italy & Spain are all revising their EV subsidies. Acting together, they could launch a European eco-bonus reviving demand and anchoring car production in Europe. Paper by @sandertordoir.bsky.social, @nilsredeker.bsky.social & @lucasguttenberg.bsky.social Read here: buff.ly/qCCQdcG

“(Wilders’) influence on policy is alive and well,” says @armida.bsky.social, of the @centreeuropeanref.bsky.social. buff.ly/1lM08c1

“There is a real risk of coalition gridlock between two pathways — D66’s preferred broad alliance and the VVD’s push to include the small hard-right JA21,” said @sandertordoir.bsky.social, a researcher with the @centreeuropeanref.bsky.social think-tank.

The election is "unlikely to mark the end of populism in the Netherlands", said @armida.bsky.social, senior research fellow at the @centreeuropeanref.bsky.social think-tank.

Most EU #car exports go to a handful of allied advanced economies similarly worried about Chinese overcapacities. A European eco-bonus could be a springboard to negotiate reciprocal to #EV subsidies.

📅 JOIN US - 11/11/25: @centreeuropeanref.bsky.social/ @euinuk.bsky.social / European Parliament Liaison Office in the UK panel discussion and private viewing of 'Come with Us! - Democratic Transformations in Central and Eastern Europe after 1989' Email: [email protected] for info and registration

Reacting to the exit poll, the @centreeuropeanref.bsky.social's @armida.bsky.social told the @theguardian.com: “Clearly D66’s upward trend accelerated. The firewall being brought back around the PVV may have turned voters off and brought them to JA21 in particular. buff.ly/WNxKaWp

The effort to strengthen Europe’s defences hinges on whether Europeans can avoid duplication and weave their efforts into a more coherent whole. New @centreeuropeanref.bsky.social insight by @lscazzieri.bsky.social Read here: buff.ly/bxYKhe4

The chief economist at the @centreeuropeanref.bsky.social think-tank, @sandertordoir.bsky.social, said that “Europe cannot afford another Dutch government that drifts and is absent in the European debate.” buff.ly/LqKTcGS

In a report by @centreeuropeanref.bsky.social that was widely circulated last week, @sandertordoir.bsky.social and co-authors @nilsredeker.bsky.social & @lucasguttenberg.bsky.social said “buy Europe” should be extended to electric vehicle industries. buff.ly/Bm82ybr

While EU producers are being squeezed out of the Chinese and US export markets, domestic European demand collapsed during the pandemic and never fully recovered. #buyeuropean New paper by @sandertordoir.bsky.social, @nilsredeker.bsky.social & @lucasguttenberg.bsky.social

@zecsaky.bsky.social, ricercatore senior presso il @centreeuropeanref.bsky.social, ritiene che "l'allargamento debba provenire da entrambe le parti". Molti vedono l'allargamento come una decisione puramente politica, afferma, ma "c'è molto lavoro tecnico da fare".

The EU's efforts to accelerate and inject coherence into Europe's defence build-up depend on sustained funding and political will. New @centreeuropeanref.bsky.social insight by @lscazzieri.bsky.social Read here: buff.ly/bxYKhe4

@johnspringford.bsky.social surveys the literature on #populism and concludes that policies designed to appease populism won't be effective. New @centreeuropeanref.bsky.social insight - read here: buff.ly/O2SoUok

“This is the Netherlands’ opportunity to bring back stability to the country,” said @armida.bsky.social, a senior research fellow at the @centreeuropeanref.bsky.social, adding that the previous government had failed to address pressing issues such as housing shortages.

New @centreeuropeanref.bsky.social insight by @johnspringford.bsky.social - policies to accommodate populists reduce growth and weaken public finances, thereby raising the far-right vote. Read here: buff.ly/O2SoUok

Germany has lost half its net #carexports. Berlin just reinstated consumer subsidies. It should equip them with France’s buy-European policies to pave the way for a grand bargain to leverage the power of the single market.

De foute benadering, zeggen economen van denktank @centreeuropeanref.bsky.social : het probleem is niet dat verbod over tien jaar, maar het feit dat er nú te weinig vraag naar Europese (inclusief Duitse) auto’s, terwijl de Chinese concurrentie moordend en oneerlijk is. buff.ly/dhaNC6H

One such proposal, from the @centreeuropeanref.bsky.social, is for governments to use existing national subsidies to drum up demand for European EVs, using green rules that discriminate against Chinese-made cars.

@lucasguttenberg.bsky.social, @nilsredeker.bsky.social und @sandertordoir.bsky.social hier schreiben sie über ihre gemeinsame Vision für die europäische Autoindustrie. buff.ly/9hcMRnI

There is an expansive literature on the causes of the rise of #populism. Its lesson? Policies designed to appease populism are unlikely to be effective. That battle can only be won through argument. New @centreeuropeanref.bsky.social insight by @johnspringford.bsky.social Read here: buff.ly/O2SoUok

In the wake of last August’s Paris summit the @centreeuropeanref.bsky.social released a policy brief entitled: Can Europe Save Ukraine – and itself – from Putin and Trump? by @cerianbond.bsky.social 🇪🇺 🇺🇦 buff.ly/NG4LBfm

Germany, France, Italy & Spain account for 70% of EU #car sales. Aligning their EV subsidies around France's eco-bonus, which filters out Chinese case for further subsidies, could revive demand and prevent a patchwork of national measures.

@johnspringford.bsky.social of the @centreeuropeanref.bsky.social has nobly attempted to answer [whether Britain’s economy could have grown by more] by making a “doppelganger” UK, made up of countries that grew at a similar rate to Britain between 2009-16.

According to @armida.bsky.social of @centreeuropeanref.bsky.social, France’s political crisis is bad news for European rearmament efforts. “As long as there is political instability, discussions on the country’s budget, including defense allocations, will continue to be held hostage...

🎙️ The key element is continued help for #Ukraine with hard tools to be able to defend ourselves and to defend Europe, because that’s the reality that we have. Iuliia Osmolovska @globsec.bsky.social told @cerianbond.bsky.social in the latest #CERpodcast.🎙️ Listen here: buff.ly/FzrQEoW

Europe’s car industry employs 10 million people, but faces weak demand, US tariffs and a flood of Chinese EVs. A co-ordinated #buyEuropean clause could spur EU demand and keep production in Europe. 🇨🇳 🇪🇺 Read here: buff.ly/qCCQdcG