The 2026 IL Senate dem primary results by metro area (I didn't put every metro area in here yet)

Someone replied who was obviously name-searching Stancil to yell at people. Get a life.

2026 Party composition of primary votes by county

So many people are so obsessed with Stancil that news about him breaks through my muting of both his account and his name. JFC give it a rest. Like a third of this website acts like he's Hitler when he is only mildly annoying.

Upstate vs downstate and Northern/Central/Southern division maps of Illinois.

"Principle cities" > 2 of them are belof 2,000 people

We are so close to $5 per gallon statewide average

5 votes...

This was the state of the Senate primary back in in November evidently.

If random activists need to adjust their messaging not to “give ammunition to the right,” then institutional actors should be willing to do this too. Talk about how people like what you do when you’re in power, not how your voters are annoying on social media!

I should look into her more before definitively saying this but thus is kind of a polarizing moment for me against Byron Sigcho Lopez

Illinois is now Tornado Alley

Let's go Patty Garcia!

Idk who told you that, but most Black people do NOT live in rural areas. Majority Black rural areas are not common outside of the south. Rural areas as a whole are whiter than the country as a whole

You know your test is real and good when the scoring criteria includes "gay men will think they're buttholes" en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rorscha...

Final call of the night: Indiana Republican State Representative Bruce Borders has LOST his bid for re-election. The part-time Elvis impersonator (not kidding about that!) had a Trump endorsement, but still lost to Knox County Commissioner Kellie Streeter by six points.

Chicago Danger

I'm the cops and I'm here to investigate my fellow cops. This will absolutely be an impartial and meaningful investigation

save me Temu Pritzker

Its a bad night to be an incumbent in Indiana evidently

The Republican primary voters showing that Griffin can't control the entire state party was funny because: A) he shouldn't be able to B) it was shooting themselves in the foot because Irvin was a better candidate given the partisan lean of Illinois win-win for me

According to gasbuddy, the range of gas prices within 3 miles of me is from $4.89 to $5.99

Oh shit! Indiana primaries are today?

I know I did a precinct level prediction model for the IL-09 race but even then I said it was basically more for the novelty than anything really that useful. Individual precincts can be quite unpredictable. I still find that more practical than a national precinct model.

Seeing Lipinski vs Arthur Jones has me wondering if Lakshya has something in these calculations to account for an incumbent going against a uniquely BAD candidate. There was quite a lot of controversy around Arthur Jones even in the Republican party when he got on the ballot.

NEW ARTICLE: @corncobanalysis.bsky.social wrote about just how accurate special elections are for predicting general elections, both regarding margins and turnout. Spoiler: It's complicated LINK: electioncord.com/do-special-e...

Last night I learned through a commercial that: 1. Udacity still exists 2. Accenture owns them now?

I played around with it a little and this seems a lot more realistic. The most unrealistic shifts are probably Gallatin and Coles County doing double digit shifts towards dems. The end result of this map is D+19 statewide.

So true

I did a bit of a dive into historical data between primary composite and general election trends. This probably needs refining, but just on the primary results this is what I think the Senate map could look like

It really is amazing how bloated Windows is. My laptop feels brand new with Fedora.

Good morning 🙃

I think my laptop feels faster than when I first got it. A Ryzen 9 4900HS is still a snappy chip it seems

What happened to just sliding into the DMs?

The human body is so dumb. Why have a tail bone if no tail? Grow a tail, you coward

How is ebay doing so terribly that GameStop can buy them?

It is working nicely. Thank you Windows for giving my incentive to try Linux

Installing Fedora on my 6 year old laptop

I will not STOP being upset about how close this race was until we beat her

I feel vindicated in being skeptical that Brightline would work out long term. Private rail will not save rail.

Would be interesting to see where they are going. I have met many Black who moved from Chicago to downstate. I suspect Atlanta is a big chunk of them though

Another way of thinking about this is that Germany’s electrical grid could’ve been almost completely decarbonized by now if they hadn’t shut down all the nukes

Quoting again but I also want to add, it is frustrating that if you want things to improve and for less people to die you are labeled as an "activist". *I* don't think activism is a bad thing, but people writing for the Tribune do and it is a pattern to label some "activist" so you can ignore them

I will never vote for Bashar al-Assad.

That’s not senseless at all though…

Learned of some new misinformation today. It is apparently going around in right-wing circles that Walmart is closing all their stores in California. Lmao

Just wait until gas hits $6 a gallon!

Woman who wants to improve the lives of children vs man who tortures people for a chance to win money? I will be Ms. Rachel’s strongest warrior

Everyone's talking about the Tribune op-ed, and I'm just wondering why they don't mention the actual crash data (from official city documents) before talking about how annoying bike people are for asking for things.

A sensible approach is not one the Tribune would write in favor of. The newspaper that once endorsed Gary “What is Aleppo” Johnson for president