This looks really cool…. Any of my LBGTQ+ / stats nerds Venn diagram intersect crew fancy helping to organise a rainbowR conference?!

Aargh… this is, like, the most obvious thing to me. And un-evidenced based screening (or screening with proven aggregate harm still being offered) drives me up the wall! I guess I should remember “screening can be bad” is apparently not intuitive.

What is common knowledge in your field, but shocks outsiders? It's all just linear models. Statistics is, like, three linear algebra operations in a probability-shaped trenchcoat.

Given discussions at I had at #ESCMIDGlobal, it might be useful for new researchers to know how a journal editor screens submissions (obviously this is my approach and so it might differ for others).

I feel seen… and I don’t like it… 🤣

Its right there in the title. Gelman, Andrew, and Hal Stern. "The difference between “significant” and “not significant” is not itself statistically significant." The American Statistician 60, no. 4 (2006): 328-331. sites.stat.columbia.edu/gelman/resea...

One plus side of *gestures* *this* is that I have now learnt about the existence of the Heard islands. They seem extremely cool… thousands of penguins, flowing lava, ecosystem with external inputs. It’s extremely cool! 🐧 🏝️ 🌋 www.bbc.co.uk/news/article...

My parents are Quakers I think this is reprehensible from the Met police. To make a pre-decided plan to have a force of 20 police (some with tasers) barge into a place of worship is dreadful behaviour and not something we should tolerate in our society.

🏆 The Stephen Lawn Prize acknowledges young researchers conducting promising work focused on reducing the burden of TB and HIV/AIDS in Africa. The Union is proud to present the award at our World Conference on Lung Health. 📖 Be sure to read @rachaelburke.bsky.social and Aliasgar's profiles.

Come along everyone to what looks like an amazing TB event on Thursday at 5:30pm at LSHTM. The Stephen Lawn Memorial Lecture 2025. Open to all!

This is me! Eeek!

A few months ago, I was honoured to receive the Stephen Lawn prize (with Ali Esmail). The Lancet wrote a profile of me, published today! www.thelancet.com/journals/lan.... I'm v looking forward to being at the Steve Lawn lecture on Thursday, by Dr Tereza Kasaeva. www.lshtm.ac.uk/newsevents/e...

Person: "I know 3 stats things: Anova, regression and t test." Narrator: he only knew 1 stats thing.

I love getting people’s preferred pronouns right in all situations. But the most common situation is emailing someone I haven’t met, they have a first name that is gender-neutral or not my culture so I’m not sure… is it “Dear Mr XYZ” or “Dear Ms XYZ”. Stating preferred pronouns is GREAT!

Looks like this might be worth a read: onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10....

I am begging some kind developer statistician somewhere to please (PLEASE 🤓) make a package where I can specify Bayesian priors on the response scales, and it will give me them in a brms-ready link-scale format. Pretty pretty please. Will give kudos / post chocolate anywhere in the world! 🖥️ 👩🏻‍🔬 📊

Clinical Researchers: I am here to warn you about a meteor hurling towards us. That meteor represents increasing scrutiny of clinical research; and in particular how we approach data collection, analysis, interpretation and reporting. Prepare now, or face the consequences. 1/

Important work by @msf.ca colleagues to understand the safety of ultra portable X-Ray. These are already incorporated into many tuberculosis programs so great to have some recommendations. #TBsky #IDsky #pulmsky pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/39854582/

Here is something I suspect happens *a lot*: Researchers have nested data. Run rmANOVA. Don't get significant results. "Hey, how about multilevel models?" Run MLM with only random intercept. Everything is significant. "I guess MLMs have more power!" Publish. #stats

Ursula K. LeGuin on technology

Hanging with the big guns 💪🏻 L-R Hannah Rickman, Allie Bailey, Damian Hall, Jack Scott #SpineRace

Excited to do some reading on table design. Thanks everyone at the Posit Hangout for their recommendations! I'm compiling and will share a list of recs. First, an oldie - Census Bureau's document on Tabular Representation (Thanks Rich Iannone!): www2.census.gov/library/publ...

I am a slow serial couch-to-5km runner (at best)… but I have stumbled into being friends with some amazing woman ultra-runners and this is a lovely write up of how AMAZING some of my friends are and their women ultra-running community. Looking forward to dot watching the SPINE race! #ultrarunning

'𝙉𝙤 𝙀𝙜𝙤, 𝙅𝙪𝙨𝙩 𝙎𝙪𝙥𝙥𝙤𝙧𝙩': 𝙏𝙝𝙚 𝙋𝙤𝙬𝙚𝙧 𝙤𝙛 𝘾𝙤𝙡𝙡𝙖𝙗𝙤𝙧𝙖𝙩𝙞𝙤𝙣 𝙞𝙣 𝙒𝙤𝙢𝙚𝙣'𝙨 𝙐𝙡𝙩𝙧𝙖𝙧𝙪𝙣𝙣𝙞𝙣𝙜 or 𝙒𝙝𝙮 𝙔𝙤𝙪 𝙎𝙝𝙤𝙪𝙡𝙙 𝙁𝙤𝙡𝙡𝙤𝙬 𝙩𝙝𝙚 𝙒𝙤𝙢𝙚𝙣'𝙨 𝙍𝙖𝙘𝙚 𝙖𝙩 𝙩𝙝𝙚 𝙈𝙤𝙣𝙩𝙖𝙣𝙚 𝙒𝙞𝙣𝙩𝙚𝙧 𝙎𝙥𝙞𝙣𝙚 𝙍𝙖𝙘𝙚𝙨 2025 ➡️ open.substack.com/pub/willrobe... #ultrarunning #spinerace

Are you London ID trainee post-PhD & interested in an ACL. May be able to create posts in 2025. Opportunities in Syphilis & STIs (UK & Global), Group A Strep (Global), Leishmaniasis & NTDs. If interested get in touch. @gpollara.bsky.social @drneilstone.bsky.social @thushan-desilva.bsky.social

My resolution for this new year is not to make the same mistakes. I’m going to find new and innovative mistakes to make.

What a cool study and a powerful demonstration that Tuberculosis is largely a disease of poverty. In Brazil a large scale intervention which provided cash monthly to families living in poverty led to profound reductions in TB cases. Up to 50% among the poorest groups. www.nature.com/articles/s41...

So proud of my fantastic husband for smashing all his running goals in 2024. We had a lot of fun with him running and me watching (hahaha) across Europe. Although I did then drag him up a few mountains to even it out.

I was at midnight mass last night, I’m not super familiar with Catholic Liturgy and the priest was praying and mumbling a little… I definitely think we prayed to be saved from evils of mice. I mean, if there are evil mice I am all up for being saved from them. So… Happy Christmas! 🐭 🎄

9) Selecting based on univariable associations Univariate screening to select significant predictors for use in multivariable models is an unnecessary extra step in the analysis and a source of "winners curse" that should generally be avoided www.jclinepi.com/article/0895...

8) Post-hoc power Post-hoc power is not a thing doi.org/10.1016/j.jss.2019.10.049

It's that time of year again. Here are my top 10 ID papers of 2024 1. My opinion 2. Practice changing, paradigm-shifting or dogma challenging 3. Not COVID 4. Alphabetical order by first author 5. CoI for 4 and 5 (I am an author) Summary slide here, details in thread #IDSky #Top10IDpapers

Trying to get the courage / find a window for the 22nd of 25 runs to Christmas. But it’s still a storm and raining…. Might have to just go for it. But…. but…Coffee and chocolate coins seem much, much more appealing… .

We urgently need a better, easier-to-use test for #TB infection. We evaluated the QIAreach test among 1049 children and adults in 🇲🇼 Unfortunately, performance was poor & can’t be recommended for use #TBsky #IDSky @hannahrickman.bsky.social doi.org/10.1128/jcm....

20th to Christmas done…. Dodging hail and gale force winds at the North Coast or Ireland. I’m running with @colincperry.bsky.social @michaelaodhan.bsky.social and two others for Action Deaf Youth: please donate if you like at gofund.me/63c50e5a

I think everyone should get to know the west African term “wahala”. It generally means “chaos”, “confusion”, or “drama”. A clusterfuck. I’ve been on a mission for years to use it more regularly in my work. Because—- *gestures at everything* See wahala?!???

Random geography facts as we head towards the end of the year: Glasgow is north of the southern tip of Alaska Edinburgh is west of Bristol Denver, Colorado is south of Rome France's longest land border is with Brazil The town of Vardø in Norway is nearer to China than to Portugal

Wow, as someone who spends a lot of time in Belgium and is an ID doc…. this outbreak of neurocystercerosis at a school in Belgium is… wow. Hope all patients ok now (sounds like they are). Good ID sleuthing! 🧠 🐛

And I’ve done my day 13 run! 25 runs to Christmas. I am not a natural runner, but just about managing to hang in there. If you want to donate to action deaf youth, link in Aodhán’s post below. 🏃🏻‍♀️

So… day 9 of going from almost never running, to running every day. My knee is sore and I am not cut out for this. Still going with 25 runs to Christmas with the crew in aid of Action Deaf Youth… Northern Irish charity for Deaf young people. Donate if you can! gofund.me/63c50e5a

Day 9/25 runs to Christmas. 9.5k feeling awful😞but 75k so far! Jim Blee @colincperry.bsky.social @rachaelburke.bsky.social @janinemaher.bsky.social & I are running 5k+ a day for @actiondeafyouth! WE'RE OVER £800! Donate if you can & help us get to £1k gofund.me/63c50e5a & new sign word in the vid

And day 4 done for me too ✅ 25 runs to Christmas… 5km a day. I’m really unsure of wisdom for going from not running really ever… to running every day 🏃‍♂️ 😬 Raising money for Action Deaf Youth with @michaelaodhan.bsky.social @colincperry.bsky.social, Jim and Janine. Donate here ➡️ gofund.me/63c50e5a

I’m gonna run at least 5km a day, from yesterday until Christmas. I am a slow and not very good runner! Doing it with a little gang of friends and raising money for Action Deaf Youth (fundraising link to come). I’ll let you know how I get on (whether you want to hear or not… 🤣).

The {marginaleffects} package is an EXTREMELY useful tool for R & Python users that revolutionises the interpretation of models with complicated non-linear features. Be sure to check out this introduction from @vincentab.bsky.social, @noahgreifer.bsky.social. and @andrew.heiss.phd! #EpiSky

#WorldAIDSDay ➡️ Remember, honor and celebrate those who we have lost due to HIV/AIDS. Personally, I’m thinking about my uncle Patrice ❤️ and others 🫶 ➡️ #EndStigma ➡️ Spread the message #UEqualsU (& all HIV prevention strategies; #PrEP etc..) #WorldAIDSday2024 #IDsky #HIVsky #Medsky

On #worldAIDSday I am privileged to work with people living with HIV (as colleagues, civil society partners, patients and research participants). I am with how far things have progressed to when I first knew of the HIV crisis as a teenager. But we have further to go to end AIDS and end stigma. 💪🏽

I got my Bluesky reciept (bskypt.vercel.app) Favourite words are “Tb, Extremely, People, Amazing, Work, Stats”. Frankly, that is extremely on brand. 🤣

Here's one to mess with your head. This snake is poisonous due to eating poisonous toads. It is also venomous. So it is one of the few snakes that is always right regardless of whether people use the right descriptor. Tiger keelback or Rhabdophis Tigrinus

On prices, and why inflation figures aren't capturing public concern adequately. www.ft.com/content/fb32...

Huge huge congratulations to this amazing scientist & excellent human @rachaelburke.bsky.social 👏