I love this website some days

This a good start. One caveat here is that it is hard to figure out the total causal effect of social media when you only incent participants to reduce their own use for a short period.

variations in discourse architecture within the monolith of ”social media” matter:

sickos.gif

Same for Twitter. From Pew: www.pewresearch.org/internet/202...

Justified

much of the work on AI-generated misinformation focuses on regular users/communities, while ignoring how political and economic elites can seal themselves into a hermetic slop box -- a repeat of the same mistake we made with radicalization and conspiracism in the previous decade

The LEAP RCT on peanut allergies: A randomized trial in which equipoise arose from parental anxiety, not scientific uncertainty.

Okay, psychologists, how do you feel about dynamic SEMs? link.springer.com/article/10.1...

A social network for contemptible poasters, called FinkedIn

A request for #rstats help. Motivated by a real-world problem I'm facing, I wrote a package designed to help new users wean themselves off using rm(list=ls()), and nudge them in the direction of better practice. I would sincerely appreciate feedback before I send it to CRAN

It me

What the fresh hell is this?

Holy [expletive] [expletive]

Wearing the national uniform 🫡

Not wrong. To use a bit of understatement, stackoverflow was not always the most friendly place

I'm teaching Statistical Rethinking again starting Jan 2026. This time with live lectures, divided into Beginner and Experienced sections. Will be a lot more work for me, but I hope much better for students. I will record lectures & all will be found at this link: github.com/rmcelreath/s...

Worth reading up.

Calling all R nerds

On the reading list

Look, the man influenced Rommel. We know because he said so in his biography of Rommel.

Paging the nerds

Some good suggestions here. Givr me MoAr

Histograms are also non-parametric density estimators, with the bin-size as the smoothing parameter. The typical advice is to prefer under-smoothed histograms (aka too many bins than is pretty) because that’s less likely to lie to you.

Many such cases 😉

The 1.3.0 version of my {brms} + {tidyverse} translation of Kruschke's "Doing Bayesian data analysis" is up! solomon.quarto.pub/dbda2 #rstats 1/8

One time on Twitter my "For You" tab was full of body builders talking about how they made huge gains once they "got on T." Apparently I need to talk to my doctor about it. Also go through cycles of bulking and cutting. And lift. But get on T. I have no idea why the feed was full of it. And yet.

I blogged with #rstats about New Caledonia's nickel exports and how they have collapsed in the past few years, from a combination of global economic conditions, local political economy, and security and civil unrest problems in 2024. freerangestats.info/blog/2026/01...

Finally, a good WWII take on this website

"Not all commentary invites reply" must have been in the pre-social media days 😉 Good post.

🤔 Interesting numbers.

These look nice

People have *opinions* @adam-lg.bsky.social

Share the resources if you have it.share all the resources. FWIW, my view is that some of the increase is real, but most if it is probably measurement non-invariance over time. onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1...

Neat!

This is a pretty interesting episode

My predict-next-token machine predicted the next token. It is sentient.

This is a good life philosophy.

My normie friends use it to write letters from Santa. They think it's awesome. On here it's a fight on how they're destroying everything or changing the world. No one seems happy.

Alan: That's not a purse. That's a satchel! Chow: It's a purse, okay?

Thr answer (I hope) is it depends on the source of the measurement error.

It's fine because it is the gimmick of the show. It's like a medical drama having all sorts of rare diseases. But the characters' motivations and actions need to be consistent and realistic within the gimmick. Sadly this is often not the case. Boooooo.

Huh.

Agree with this, albeit not the timeline

I love this website

LET HIM COOK

When you wrap food in foil, do you do shiny side facing in, or shiny side facing out?

Hive mind! I am looking for biography recommendations. I would like something off the beaten path, about a person or topic you find interesting. All suggestions welcome.