Def liking marimo notebooks. Really nice alternative to jupyter, and much better than Hex IMO.

"This is an AB test" -- my rationale for weird UI

I why do we call them throuples and not triples or tuples?

I now realize how insane this workflow is. So I instead created a dagster workflow and cut out all the duckdb/dbt stuff.

"The agent runs this python script in a docker container, then uses a skill to update the seeds, then runs a full refresh! The agent browses the transactions and then uses subagents to ID new merchants based on web search. This is a much simpler way of keeping track of my spending than excel!"

It has been a hell of a week. I'm running on E after a restful weekend turned out to be anything but. I am ruthlessly prioritizing just fucking making it to 5 pm

Mentally, I am still a sophmore learning matlab

I guess a lot of people don't actually know this

ADP fucking up my pay by classifying me as working outside Canada. Why is it that I have to become proficient in payroll to ensure I get paid correctly?

I'm looking for a post-doc to help organize Bayesian Data Analysis course avehtari.github.io/BDA_course_A... (200 students) and to do research on Bayesian workflow users.aalto.fi/~ave/publica... at Aalto www.aalto.fi/en, Finland. Background in Bayes needed. Up to five year contract possible.

Given my recent headphone conundrum, I am wondering if 3 headphones, each with their own specified use case, is the right approach. One for each: - Day to day, including the gym, - Meetings & Desk work, and - Travel

Day to day, my airpods and phone are great. But when I travel, I can't help but notice: phone battery is shit (can't last the whole day just listening to music anymore) and the ANC on my airpods is...palpably worse (yes, I clean them).

Doing a PhD in stats was a bad decision with a really good outcome. Don't get many of those in the wild

Small reminder: "die" is singular "dice" is plural "dices" != "dice" and "dice" != "die"

Me IRL

LLM evals have forced me to learn ordinal logistic regression

Isaac Newton discovering Pink Floyd (1660)

Just booked a European experimentation conference because .. you know

In 2020, if a stakeholder asked "where is usage growing but revenue is not", that would kick of a conversation, and meetings, and a JIRA ticket. And now, an LLM can just kind of...do that

Small data has become important again. "We have N<30" coming out routinely now.

Why are companies so slow in releasing tax forms?

I have a blog post cooking about doing hierarchical modelling on experiment results, and how/when between estimate correlation can matter. I'm not sure this is interesting to anyone but me.

AI allows me to break the back of a lot of mathematical problems that I jus wouldn't try because it took a lot of niche linear algebra or analysis I didn't know before. But now, I can work with AI to attempt stuff, and when I don't understand something I CAN JUST ASK IT.

Doing all the math and simulation just to learn "doesn't really matter that you do" is actually kind of a good feeling!

What if we could have an ROC plot for experimentation programs

Me, when I call a credible interval a confidence interval

I am routinely generating .md files and editing them with AI. I am also finding that I want some more precision than just copying and pasting into claude. So I vibe coded an edit only markdown editor

Proposal to append practitioner names to "model" to disambiguate them: Statistician's Data Model vs Engineer's Data Model Biologist's Model vs. Designer's Model.

Lmao this was my first and only attempt at data journalism www.the10and3.com/if-only-our-...

Claude read the slack message that said a speaker couldn’t make his date, changes the gcal invite for me, and then updated the confluence table of the list of speakers. THIS IS WHAT I AM TALKING ABOUT

AI is part bundling strategy. The market was flooded with B2B sass you "need" to run a startup, I'm surprised we didn't bundle the bundlers sooner.

I PAID $2K FAAAAAAK

Tickets to American Football: Acquired

We’re billing a prior calculator. I basically do maximum a posteriori to produce an empirical Bayes - like estimate. Trouble is I need to justify the prior for this model.

I’m sure that the writers of the Pitt are drawing out the story for this palliative patient for a reason, but I find the tension so grating and the payoff so small that I wish she would just die already so we can focus on other characters.

good read abiawomosu.substack.com/p/they-built...

Sell the problem and the solution

So I've lost some weight since starting my diet around boxing day 2025. Pro: I feel much more athletic and look more vascular! Con: MY JEANS DON'T FIT NOW, DAMN MAN THOSE ARE LIMITED EDITIONS

I hate multiple testing corrections. Just be Bayesian and take a haircut on your estimate. Honestly, the hoops people jump through for a P value

Wrote a claude agent to produce stupid SQL interview questions because I see to have completely forgot how SQL works

I wonder what Y[Never being on twitter] would be. Like...would I just be a mediocre data scientist at some canadian bank?

Big imposter syndrome energy

Remember circles? That was a good feature

LinkedIn is like if stats twitter (after the good people left) and instagram had a baby. It’s that bad.

Ah damn, I forgot that the super nerd you battle (below) takes the other fossil! In pokemon ruby/sapphire the fossils sink into the sand, which I felt was more poetic for losing the other potential outcome. Feels more like losing something forever as opposed to someone else getting the PO

What concept am I about to explain?

My approach to analyzing data vs other approaches

*sigh* New rules: 1. No meetings after 6PM under any circumstances for anyone at anytime 2. No lectures

I'm pitching marginal effects for use in production. Wish me luck