What is even being asked of me here? In this question, moderated mediation? Let's not even start with the required assumptions, I am convinced mediation is a poor approach to anything. But if so, what the fuck is being asked here? stats.stackexchange.com/questions/67...

In a lot of ways, LinkedIn has stats content on par with good old days twitter. But for some reason, it feels completely inauthentic. I don’t believe anyone on there to be half the expert they purport to be.

Jesus Christ I have been read

Who has a paper on why mediation analysis is bullshit / a legit thing we should do?

How does my body know to get sick right before a vacation? This happens every time

Uh oh, I have to do mediation

Hey @mjskay.com , is tidybayes under active development or have you, as one does with art, stopped in an interesting place

My gym has two peleton treadmills but only 1 has an active account so the other is, for now, a very expensive regular treadmill.

“Springer about to hijack Statistics & Computing” xianblog.wordpress.com/2026/06/28/s...

Base macbook air costs $1800 in Canada. Getting harder to defend AI to my friends

Incredible that people still think before/after analyses are legit ways to estimate causality,

Today, I ran into an assistant professor of mathematics - at the coffee shop I like - who also minored in philosophy, and - is the same age as I am. He is my counterfactual

Can I get a tl;dr? I’m sure someone will make one before I finish 76 pages

I exist in this gap where I am so tired of giving rudimentary explainer talks but not smart or accomplished enough for research talks. I should just say no to all talks going forward

I have cooked up an absolutely insane way to fit ybar ~ normal(theta, s) theta ~ student_t(location, scale, nu) without stan. It is truly insane and untested. I am both a genius and an idiot

My brain is absolutely fucked from academia. Nothing is cool, everything is bullshit, how dare you try to write even a modest abstract submission.

Biggest benefit from having a PT job at the medical school: University library access

Becoming interested in politics and economics must be some trope of getting older, right?

Dust jackets are stupid. Just give me the book

Ha

Coworkers started talking about cocktails before the long weekend. These are good people.

I don’t fucking go into industry to write papers, why do I do this to myself

Don't fall in love with your paper drafts

Claude can create wireframes in html, open then in cmux, take a screenshot of the wireframe in cmux, then add the screenshot to a quarto doc. Product requirement docs just became a lot easier.

The car is now dry and professionally detailed. Only cost me $400 to fix the problem and clean the car, but I lost much more in anxiety and mental anguish

One of my strengths and also limitations is trying to come at things from first principles. Good when needed, but I have a colleague who has good intuition and often arrives at same place I do, quicker, and has the ability to get people aligned with his intuition.

Gemini what

Being a data scientist and doing AB test stuff for a platform is so different I can not begin to tell you how different it is

dpananos.github.io/posts/2026-0... Some more bullshit from me

Imagine a standing ovation for a Kaplan Meier estimator.

Claude to me after I ask it, for the fourth time, to explain some math to me

You’re telling me this isn’t St. Elmo’s Fire?!

I am at the “send it to the junk yard and buy a new car” stage.

Made a raycast script to carbon-ify code snippets!

Ok water removed, sent car to the mechanic to find the leak. Chatting with some retailers. This was not all that bad

Appears there has been a leak in my car and the trunk is filled with water. Chat, how cooked am I?

Never have I questioned a design choice more than a bottle pocket inside the bag…on its side. This basically invites a spill

We do stacked PRs for this reason.

Scheming to get a part time lecturing job at the university so I have office space to go to after I work out at the university gym

Kinda pissed I no longer have a use for my messenger bag. Unless I want to commute from my bedroom to my office across the hall.

More Perfect Union covers really interesting topics, but they use clickbait with such voracity that I feel a great shame clicking on the video and validating their approach

Cursor's cmd+k to give a small instruction on code needs to be standard in all IDEs

Data managers, is this a good read on what a manager should be doing: If done well, management distills leadership bullshit into actionable shit for you so you can do the highest leverage work

Children need to play outside and scream and be children, and also SHHUUUUT UUUUP

Knowing the definition of a p value is only useful in so far as it signals you care enough about statistics to know it. I don't personally care if you know the definition of a p value, but damn if it is not a high quality signal of the rest if your understanding of stats.

Goal: Apply the Lambert W function needlessly in industry

Enshitification begins.

I am more than what products I ship. Got keep telling myself that

I would like to buy a house so I can place a large shed in the back yard and have a standing structure I can use to escape from my main standing structure