Made a site comparing the sizes of living things :) The great Julius Csotonyi spent 5 months painting over 60 illustrations for the site, no ai used > neal.fun/size-of-life/

Truly the stupidest cult. Obsessed with a drug that doesn't work against an infectious disease that they don't even think is real.

Kind reminder: data driven variable selection (e.g. forward/stepwise/univariable screening) makes things *worse* for most analytical goals

Experimentology is out today!!! A group of us wrote a free online textbook for experimental methods, available at experimentology.io - the idea was to integrate open science into all aspects of the experimental workflow from planning to design, analysis, and writing.

AIC comparing discrete to continuous (or mixed discrete/continuous to continous) models? Run away! notstatschat.rbind.io/2025/07/22/a...

NEW paper! 💭🖥️ “Combining Psychology with Artificial Intelligence: What could possibly go wrong?” — Brief review paper by @olivia.science & myself, highlighting traps to avoid when combining Psych with AI, and why this is so important. Check out our proposed way forward! 🌟💡 osf.io/preprints/ps...

The case for #SlowScience has never been stronger. We must prioritise thoughtful, creative, and collaborative research that cannot be mimicked by these plagiarism machines.

#statstab #335 Bayesian New Statistics Thoughts: An influential paper with a great overview of different approaches to research. #bayesian #nhst #nhbt #estimation #testing #frequentist link.springer.com/content/pdf/...

Genuine question to psychologists and other social scientists here: Have you been taught/Are you teaching that when designing a study/survey you should not ask about demographic stuff first? If so, what was the explanation given to you/you give?

If one wanted to hire a professional #rstats #rshiny developer to work work with qualitative/text data in particular (so many involve a dashboard for search/semantic/sentiment analyses), do you have any recommendations of individuals or companies? (please repost)

Study: Psychological booster shots targeting memory increase long-term resistance against misinformation "...text-based & video-based inoculation interventions can remain effective for one month..." www.nature.com/articles/s41... by @profsanderlinden.bsky.social @lewan.bsky.social et al.

How can we reduce conceptual clutter in the psychological sciences? @ruimata.bsky.social and I propose a solution based on a fine-tuned 🤖 LLM (bit.ly/mpnet-pers) and test it for 🎭 personality psychology. The paper is finally out in @natrevpsych.bsky.social: go.nature.com/4bEaaja

Are you doing EMA research and wonder how to go about it? In recent work we've adressed some open questions and challenges, here is a brief summary of papers and materials. 🧵 #PsychSciSky 🧪 #StatsSky

Individual, intergroup and nation-level influences on belief in conspiracy theories Review by Matthew J. Hornsey, Kinga Bierwiaczonek, Kai Sassenberg & Karen M. Douglas Web: go.nature.com/3VoNjiv PDF: rdcu.be/d9Lay

My efforts to raise awareness about the TEMPO toolkit has turned into a new creative obsession. Who would have thought creating info-animations would be so much fun! Here's one on why compassion, NOT criticism, is the answer for those who struggle with #procrastination. Share! youtu.be/Q8sEN4p5St8

All the #NatureReviews journals and Nature Protocols are now on Bluesky, lots of Editors added to the starter pack too if you want to follow us 🧪 go.bsky.app/KcxvQLp

New paper with @mijke.bsky.social clarifying the distinction between factor scores and factor score estimates, open access! doi.org/10.1080/0027...

Are you not a fan of journals' "enhanced online PDF viewers"? Me neither. I put together a little Firefox add-on that helps you skip the "enhanced" reader and download the PDF directly.

Superb effort -- a must read. (Pre-emptive heads-up for Republicans: no, teaching people something is not censorship, and it's not "woke" either.)

🎬🎥🍿 Video of my keynote at MathPsych2024 now available online www.youtube.com/watch?v=WrwN... #CogSci #CriticalAI #AIhype #AGI #PsychSci #PhilSci 🧪

Yet one more reason to avoid the use of tibbles and the "tidyverse". See the thoughtful (if opinionated) post by Norm Matloff github.com/matloff/Tidy.... I am admitted an old fogey but I find row names a very powerful tool for data manipulation. See, for instance vJoin in psychTools.

Misinformation isn't random - it's strategic. 🧵 In the first cross-national comparative study, we examine 32M tweets from politicians. We find that misinformation is not a general condition: it is driven by populist radical right parties. with @julianachueri.bsky.social doi.org/10.1177/1940...

Popper vs Lakatos New article by Dmytro Sepetyi attempts to reconcile Popper and Lakatos regarding the demarcation debate. doi.org/10.1080/0269... #PhilSci #PhilSky #AcademicSky 🧪

I think this plays a role for sure. I vaguely remember a study where the same paper was sent out authored by an economics Nobel laureate OR early career researcher, in which the the laureate’s paper had far more people offering to review it. It’s an extreme example but same mechanics at play

8/8 This was a lot of fun to write! And a long time coming.. As always, R code is all included in the post, and comments/feedback is welcomed 😁 Oh and of course, here is a link to the post: haines-lab.com/post/bayesia...

4. 'How should we think about IQ?' w/ @ent3c.bsky.social disi.org/how-should-w...

Tip for women in science: Don't collaborate with men who are not allies in the fight against sexism (unless you have no choice, which happens often of course). You may think it is worth it, but really, it never is. You will end up mistreated and your ideas likely erased.

TLDR: Academics from low-income backgrounds are more like to push the needle on science, but less likely to receive credit for doing so. 🥴 #econsky #academicsky

Academics from poorer socio-economic backgrounds are more likely to - not publish - have outstanding publication records - introduce more novel scientific concepts - less likely to receive recognition, as measured by citations, Nobel Prize nominations, and awards. www.nber.org/papers/w33289

OK, here is a very rough draft of a tutorial for #Bayesian #SEM using #brms for #rstats. It needs work, polish, has a lot of questions in it, and I need to add a references section. But, I think a lot of folk will find this useful, so.... jebyrnes.github.io/bayesian_sem... (use issues for comments!)

Very interesting and accessible take on probability worth a read! www.nature.com/articles/d41...

A few papers I think worth reading. Mostly open access. Causal inference is hard: www.nature.com/articles/s41...

In this new article in American Psychologist we respond to critics in detail and clarify two key points for the field; (1) The prevalence of misinformation in society is substantial when properly defined. (2) Misinformation causally impacts attitudes and behaviors. psycnet.apa.org/fulltext/202...

A Brief History of Music Today Is Just Noise 🧵

Hey peeps! Sharing a really nice collaboration I am glad to have had the opportunity to be a part of We used insights from measurement theory and psychometrics to develop indices that indicate the magnitude of ordering for Likert-type scales Simulations and empirical examples are also provided 😊

Hey peeps! Just submitted this manuscript to an awesome journal, but I would really appreciate your feedback. Discontent with current practices in psychometrics? Looking for ways of testing your theories more thoroughly? Want to apply representational measurement methods? I got you covered 🙃

Reflexivity in quantitative research: A rationale and beginner's guide (2023) compass.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...

“Over the 3 million job, race and gender combinations tested, Black men fared the worst with the models preferring other candidates nearly 100% of the time.”

Self-reported Long Covid correlates strongly with concrete biomedical markers—people describing Long Covid as "self-reported" are usually not acting in good faith www.nature.com/articles/s41...

What happens when we break down DSM diagnoses into their individual symptoms and rebuild our classification system from the ground up? Do we see familiar DSM constructs, HiTOP dimensions, or something else entirely? New paper out today in CPS! ✨ journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/... 1/🧵

Ways to end online meeting: "I should let you go" ============== - Puts onus on other person - What if they don't want to go - Sad "OH MY GOD WHAT'S TH- " ==================== - Mysterious - Not other person's fault - Ok if you never talk again

Drafts of the first chapters of my brms Book: Applied Bayesian Regression Modelling Using R and Stan are online: paulbuerkner.com/software/brm... Check it out and let me know what you think!

💫 New Chapter 4 in our open textbook "Theoretical Modeling for Cognitive Science", with an accessible introduction to the concept of formal proof. 🧮📝 computationalcognitivescience.github.io/lovelace/par...

My minor contribution to the social media -> mental health debate. What's the estimand in time reduction RCTs? With a slightly unorthodox use of DAGs. #stats sjwild.github.io/blog/2024/09...

All three books I've co-authored are freely available online for non-commercial use: - #Bayesian Data Analysis, 3rd ed (aka BDA3) at stat.columbia.edu/~gelman/book/ - #Regression and Other Stories at avehtari.github.io/ROS-Examples/ - Active Statistics at avehtari.github.io/ActiveStatis...

What to make of claims by open science researchers that reforms like preregistration are logically justified: statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2024/09/19/g...

Much of supervising PhD students is making them believe in their own research, but not quite as much as the researchers who measured amygdala activity with self-report

Google has this new tool that allows you to turn documents into podcasts, so of course here's a fake podcast on Bem's "Writing the Empirical Journal Article"

New paper. We did one of @eikofried.bsky.social’s favorite studies: We looked for the E factor, the general tendency to explore; 11 measures, 7 behavioural tasks and 4 self-reports. The best model suggests the different behavioural measures measure different things: www.nature.com/articles/s41...