Tom Yates
@tomayates.bsky.social
š¤ 6260
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Epidemiology, infection
https://profiles.ucl.ac.uk/37299-tom-yates/about
pinned post!
NEW PREPRINT! We systematically reviewed molecular epidemiology studies looking at strain discordance in pairs of people with TB disease and history of household contact We found 30 studies from 18 countries. Excluding 4 studies at high risk of bias, we had data on 1544 household case pairs [1/n]
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Mycobacterium tuberculosis complex Strain Discordance Among People With Tuberculosis and a History of Household Contact, a Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis
Background: In this systematic review of molecular epidemiology studies, we describe the prevalence of Mycobacterium tuberculosis complex strain discordance amo
https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=5929224
about 2 months ago
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CLIME Research Group
2 days ago
New publication alert š¢ Rouxjeane Venter, of CLIME recently co-authored an editorial with
@tomayates.bsky.social
and
@drjesspotter.bsky.social
, which unpacks the vast progress made in the fight against drug-resistant TB and highlights why these gains are now at risk!
@ucl.ac.uk
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Iām the Prime Minister of Spain. This Is Why the West Needs Migrants.
www.nytimes.com/2026/02/04/o...
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Opinion | Iām the Prime Minister of Spain. This Is Why the West Needs Migrants.
https://www.nytimes.com/2026/02/04/opinion/spain-migrants-europe.html?smid=bs-share
2 days ago
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I'd be really interested in
@kenanmalik.bsky.social
's take on the Nathan Gill case Is a 10 years prison sentence for saying something proportionate? Might the precedent result in activists in e.g. Russia who recieve western funding being imprisoned for expressing their opinions?
4 days ago
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For those who like to dig into the weeds, the Supplemental Material has finally been uploaded
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13 days ago
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Unofficial Guardian (UK) Bot
3 months ago
We published explosive stories about the president of El Salvador. Now we canāt go home
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We published explosive stories about the president of El Salvador. Now we canāt go home
The long read: Days before we ran interviews with gang leaders describing their alleged ties to Nayib Bukeleās government, we left the country to avoid arrest. We fear our exile will never end
https://www.theguardian.com/news/2025/nov/06/journalists-in-exile-president-el-salvador-nayib-bukele-now-we-cant-go-home
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Jonathan Bartlett
13 days ago
Please join us in person or online
@lshtm-dash.bsky.social
on 26th February to hear about
@georgiatomova.bsky.social
's recent work on 'How can different modes of survey data collection introduce bias?'
www.lshtm.ac.uk/newsevents/e...
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How can different modes of survey data collection introduce bias? | LSHTM
Survey data are self-reported data collected directly from respondents by a questionnaire or an interview, and are commonly used in health research. Such data are traditionally collected via a single
https://www.lshtm.ac.uk/newsevents/events/how-can-different-modes-survey-data-collection-introduce-bias
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ArtButMakeItSports
13 days ago
Assumption of the Virgin, by Guido Reno, 1598-99, šø by Jose Manuel Alvarez Rey
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For those who like to dig into the weeds, the Supplemental Material has finally been uploaded
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13 days ago
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Yair Wallach
17 days ago
If we should fail?
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Jonathan Bartlett
27 days ago
'How to interpret hazard ratios', with
@dominicmagirr.bsky.social
and
@timpmorris.bsky.social
thestatsgeek.com/2026/01/15/h...
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How to interpret hazard ratios
Survival analysis of time-to-event outcomes is very commonly performed using Coxās famous proportional hazards model. The model estimates hazard ratios for the āeffectsā of covariā¦
https://thestatsgeek.com/2026/01/15/how-to-interpret-hazard-ratios/
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Georgia Tomova
22 days ago
If you are interested in all things āØcausal inferenceāØ, please join our multidisciplinary Causal Inference Interest Group (CIIG). We host monthly seminars featuring speakers with various academic backgrounds and research interests. Links below. cc
@clscohorts.bsky.social
@pwgtennant.bsky.social
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Written by a family friend
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25 days ago
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This story should focus much more on the ground breaking STAMPEDE trial The big story here is innovative, ambitious, robust randomised trials, not squabbles between charities and regulators
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25 days ago
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The Guardian
28 days ago
Offshore windfarm contracts to fuel 12m homes in Great Britain after record auction
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Offshore windfarm contracts to fuel 12m homes in Great Britain after record auction
Subsidies guaranteeing price for each unit of clean electricity generated given to 12 renewables projects A make-or-break auction for the UK governmentās goal to create a clean electricity system by 2030 has awarded subsidy contracts to enough offshore windfarms to power a record 12m homes. In Great Britainās most competitive auction for renewable subsidies to date, energy companies vied for contracts that guarantee the price for each unit of clean electricity they generate. Continue reading...
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2026/jan/14/offshore-windfarm-contracts-to-fuel-homes-great-britain-record-auction?utm_source=dlvr.it&utm_medium=bluesky&CMP=bsky_gu
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NEW LETTER We raise statistical and ethical concerns about a M tuberculosis transmission study Researchers intentionally delaying TB treatment should not be enrolling people with very low CD4 counts
academic.oup.com/jid/advance-...
@davidadambarr.bsky.social
@jidjournal.bsky.social
about 1 month ago
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NEW LETTER We raise statistical and ethical concerns about a M tuberculosis transmission study Researchers intentionally delaying TB treatment should not be enrolling people with very low CD4 counts
academic.oup.com/jid/advance-...
@davidadambarr.bsky.social
@jidjournal.bsky.social
about 1 month ago
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Kathleen Bachynski
about 1 month ago
This was the funniest line to me: āIf there is one thing to strongly object to about these guidelines, itās that they are likely to be hard for many people to follow.ā Oh really? Thatās the one thing to strongly object to? Itās just too hard for people to eat enough steak, cheese and beef tallow?
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That and the complete scientific illiteracy of rejecting the idea that saturated fat is bad for you
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about 1 month ago
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George Davey Smith
about 1 month ago
I know a bit about the past of MR, something about the present, and look forward to discussing whether MR has a future, and if so, how that should look
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Judith ter Schure
about 1 month ago
Trial statisticians! Should RCT pubs report conventional 95%-confidence intervals if they did a futility interim and continued the trial? No sampling distribution can possibly be Gaussian if randomly better than average data reaches study completion while randomly worse than average doesn't.
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Not sure I understand
@mainstreamlabour.bsky.social
's approach to decision making How is being asked to vote "yes" or "no" to slates of NEC candidates that have been preselected by somebody a meaningful vote? Why not allow supporters an opportunity to choose candidates to endorse?
about 1 month ago
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The UK should be clear that there will be material consequences - not just words - if Netanyahu persists in actions like these which set back hopes of a fair negotiated peace settlement There are two communities on this land, and neither is going anywhere
@stellacreasy.bsky.social
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about 1 month ago
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The Guardian
about 1 month ago
Trumpās coup in Venezuela didnāt just break the rules ā it showed there arenāt any. Weāll all regret that | Nesrine Malik
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Trumpās coup in Venezuela didnāt just break the rules ā it showed there arenāt any. Weāll all regret that | Nesrine Malik
Itās not just the triumphalism in the White House. Leaders loth to oppose this gangsterism must think how that looks to Putin, Xi and in the UAE, says Guardian columnist Nesrine Malik
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2026/jan/05/donald-trump-coup-venezuela-break-rules-regret?utm_term=Autofeed&CMP=bsky_gu&utm_medium=&utm_source=Bluesky#Echobox=1767594700
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Richard McElreath šāā¬
2 months ago
I'm teaching Statistical Rethinking again starting Jan 2026. This time with live lectures, divided into Beginner and Experienced sections. Will be a lot more work for me, but I hope much better for students. I will record lectures & all will be found at this link:
github.com/rmcelreath/s...
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London Review of Books
2 months ago
On the pod: Colin Yeo, a barrister and author ofĀ āWelcome to Britain: Fixing Our Broken Immigration Systemā, and Nicola Kelly, author ofĀ āAnywhere But Here: How Britainās Broken Asylum System Fails Us Allā, join James Butler to explore the politics of migration.
podcasts.apple.com/gb/podcast/t...
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On Politics: Inside Britainās Asylum System
Podcast Episode Ā· The LRB Podcast Ā· 10/12/2025 Ā· 1h 3m
https://podcasts.apple.com/gb/podcast/the-lrb-podcast/id510327102?i=1000740560372
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Dr Roz Eggo
about 2 months ago
Symposium & workshop on inequalities in infectious disease dynamics at LSHTM in April 2026. We aim to will bring together leading researchers and practitioners to share ideas, discuss recent advances, and reflect on future directions. Details & application:
iddconf.org/lshtm-sympos...
Closing 21 Jan
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Social Inequalities in Infectious Disease Dynamics: a Symposium and Workshop
https://iddconf.org/lshtm-symposium/
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Tom Yates
NEW PREPRINT! We systematically reviewed molecular epidemiology studies looking at strain discordance in pairs of people with TB disease and history of household contact We found 30 studies from 18 countries. Excluding 4 studies at high risk of bias, we had data on 1544 household case pairs [1/n]
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Mycobacterium tuberculosis complex Strain Discordance Among People With Tuberculosis and a History of Household Contact, a Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis
Background: In this systematic review of molecular epidemiology studies, we describe the prevalence of Mycobacterium tuberculosis complex strain discordance amo
https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=5929224
about 2 months ago
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Marcel Behr
about 2 months ago
šGreat thread on TB strain concordance/strain discordance among household contacts. If I read correctly, findings from a 1998 small series from San Francisco consistent with the much greater analysis. ++ Implications for transmission and management of contacts.
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Jason Andrews
about 2 months ago
Cool work! Was just thinking that someone needs to do this analysis as we need better quantitative estimates. Reaffirms concern that studies using cross-sectional HH IGRA to investigate determinants of infectiousness (e.g. symptoms) are going to have major limitations.
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Exploring transmission dynamics in epidemiologically linked pulmonary tuberculosis cases and household contacts: a WGS-based investigation - BMC Genomics
Background The genotyping of the M. tuberculosis complex has significantly enhanced the comprehension of transmission dynamics and is employed to substantiate transmission dynamics among epidemiologic...
https://link.springer.com/article/10.1186/s12864-025-12441-9
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NEW PREPRINT! We systematically reviewed molecular epidemiology studies looking at strain discordance in pairs of people with TB disease and history of household contact We found 30 studies from 18 countries. Excluding 4 studies at high risk of bias, we had data on 1544 household case pairs [1/n]
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Mycobacterium tuberculosis complex Strain Discordance Among People With Tuberculosis and a History of Household Contact, a Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis
Background: In this systematic review of molecular epidemiology studies, we describe the prevalence of Mycobacterium tuberculosis complex strain discordance amo
https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=5929224
about 2 months ago
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about 2 months ago
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MRC Clinical Trials Unit at UCL
about 2 months ago
š Big news! The MRC Centre for Clinical Research Efficiency (CoRE) is here. By accelerating the testing of new medicines, the MRC CoRE will help bring better treatments to patients sooner. š Learn more:
www.mrcctu.ucl.ac.uk/news/news-st...
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Groundbreaking Ā£50m MRC Centre will overhaul clinical trials for patients | MRC Clinical Trials Unit at UCL
https://www.mrcctu.ucl.ac.uk/news/news-stories/2025/december/groundbreaking-50m-mrc-centre-will-overhaul-clinical-trials-for-patients/
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I can't strike but, for those dunking on my colleagues who are striking tomorrow, here is a super useful figure from
@instituteforgovernment.org.uk
This uses CPI rather than RPI, i.e. the more conservative of the measures by which real terms pay has been cut for NHS workers
about 2 months ago
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This is a really lovely paper by
@dopapus.bsky.social
and team Self report of TB symptoms depends on lots of external factors and there are more robust markers of disease extent / severity available to inform surveillance and clinical management
#TBSky
#EpiSky
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Reported Tuberculosis Symptoms: An Inadequate Classifier of Disease State
We provide evidence that self-reported symptoms are an inadequate classifier of disease state, heavily influenced by context and substantial interviewer va
https://academic.oup.com/cid/advance-article/doi/10.1093/cid/ciaf611/8374620
2 months ago
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Epidemiology friends, is there good primary research on any of this? Potentially challenging, as most of us buy food wrapped in plastic. My starting point - I don't give a toss about "naturalness", don't think "synthetic chemicals" is a coherent category, and like my exposures/outcomes well defined!
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2 months ago
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Standing Together
2 months ago
We canāt accept this attempt to hide the destruction that two years of a genocidal war has brought on Gaza. Palestinians must be allowed to recover, and foreign journalists must be able to report freely. (2/2)
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Standing Together
2 months ago
The ban on foreign journalists entering Gaza was just extended today ā almost two months into the ceasefire. International reporters still arenāt allowed to talk to Palestinians on the ground and report on whatās happening. (1/2)
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High Court lets government delay response on bid to allow foreign journalists into Gaza, for the 9th time
* * *
https://www.timesofisrael.com/liveblog_entry/high-court-lets-government-delay-response-on-bid-to-allow-foreign-journalists-into-gaza-for-the-9th-time/
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Ian Fraser
2 months ago
āIāll never forget the look of hatred he had for me, simply for existing.... Nigel Farage has suggested itās inconceivable that anyone could recall such events of more than four decades ago. I would simply ask: can a victim of such abuse ever forget?ā Yinka Bankole
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Iāll never forget the look of hatred Nigel Farage had for me at school, simply for existing
The Reform UK leader doubts people can recall their abuse from years ago. Iāve never forgotten his ā it felt malicious
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2025/dec/05/ill-never-forget-the-look-of-hatred-nigel-farage-had-for-me-at-school-simply-because-of-how-i-looked?utm_term=Autofeed&CMP=bsky_gu&utm_medium=&utm_source=Bluesky#Echobox=1764957957
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Has anything good been published on the mechanism of nausea due to first line TB drugs?
#IDSky
#TBSky
2 months ago
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'In her telling, racism and xenophobia seem not themselves objectively bad things that must be combatted, but a natural outcome that occurs when too many rights are given to immigrants ... If only they had fewer rights, then ... we would hit some golden ratio where everyone will be happier.'
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2 months ago
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Are heat pump tariffs a good idea if you have solar panels? House is only being heated for e.g. four months of the year. Hot water can be had for free when solar panels firing in middle of day, perhaps with a 6am topup. Without a battery, hard to avoid peak time electricity use, esp with kids
2 months ago
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Have there been UK/NHS based outpatient RCTs that were as light touch as RECOVERY? What is the best way to randomise to low risk interventions whilst not creating too much disruption in a busy clinic?
@davidadambarr.bsky.social
2 months ago
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Tom Yates
Resolution Foundation
3 months ago
Overall, the combination of tax rises and giveaways since last yearās Budget is progressive. Incomes for households in the bottom half of the distribution have increased by 1.0 per cent and incomes for households in the top half fell by 0.7 per cent.
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Jo Michell
3 months ago
Thatās the right way round for a labour budget.
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Leo Murray
3 months ago
Announcing an end to the fuel duty freeze is also pretty momentous! Though people are a bit more believe-it-when-I-see-it about this good news as chancellors always like to pretend they will soon (but not today) increase fuel duty, as this really helps to balance budget projections.
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Welcome moves to tackle vehicle taxation
Welcome moves to tackle vehicle taxation Commenting on todayās announcement in the Chancellorās Budget of a new pay as you drive charge for electric vehicles1, the freeze on rail fares2, the gradual w...
https://transportactionnetwork.org.uk/welcome-moves-to-tackle-vehicle-taxation/
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Tom Yates
Child Poverty Action Group
3 months ago
Scrapping the two-child limit will be transformational for children. This is a much-needed fresh start in our countryās efforts to eradicate child poverty and while there is more to do it gives us strong foundations to build on. 1/2
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The Guardian
3 months ago
Donāt believe Nigel Farageās denials. He targeted me for being Jewish ā and it hurt | Peter Ettedgui
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Donāt believe Nigel Farageās denials. He targeted me for being Jewish ā and it hurt | Peter Ettedgui
Now that my former classmate has finally spoken about the allegations of his behaviour at school, I feel compelled to address his points directly, says Peter Ettedgui, a film director and producer
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2025/nov/25/dont-believe-nigel-farage-denials-targeted-me-for-being-jewish-and-it-hurt?utm_term=Autofeed&CMP=bsky_gu&utm_medium=&utm_source=Bluesky#Echobox=1764100594
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Or is everyone using
#unionconf25
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3 months ago
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What did I miss at
#WCLH2025
? Big trials, key studies, etc
#TBSky
3 months ago
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Stella Creasy MP
3 months ago
Leaving those who flee persecution or their kids in limbo- either when making a claim or when they try to rebuild lives- is not just cruel. Itās counterproductive to integration & costly to all. Asylum reform needs to be both effective & ethical. And those of us not frightened to fight for it.
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