Victoria Guida
@vtg2.bsky.social
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Economics correspondent and columnist at Politico. Signal: vguida.28
reposted by
Victoria Guida
Politico
1 day ago
COLUMN: The president wants Jerome Powell out of the way, but heās making that outcome less and less likely by the day, writes our economics correspondent Victoria Guida. āTrump seems to be trying to find a way to turn an easy win on the Fed into a long slog of a loss.ā
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How Trump Is Sabotaging Himself on the Federal Reserve
The president wants Jerome Powell out of the way. Heās making that outcome less and less likely by the day.
https://www.politico.com/news/magazine/2026/04/16/trump-powell-federal-reserve-warsh-sabotage-00875030
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President Trump seems to be trying to find a way to turn an easy win on the Fed into a long slog of a loss. My latest column:
www.politico.com/news/magazin...
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How Trump Is Sabotaging Himself on the Federal Reserve
The president wants Jerome Powell out of the way. Heās making that outcome less and less likely by the day.
https://www.politico.com/news/magazine/2026/04/16/trump-powell-federal-reserve-warsh-sabotage-00875030
1 day ago
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reposted by
Victoria Guida
The Athletic
5 days ago
RORY MCILROY WINS THE 2026 MASTERS.
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reposted by
Victoria Guida
Guy Berger
11 days ago
The "incredible zig-zagging employment situation" - my comments to
@vtg2.bsky.social
at
@politico.com
on Friday.
www.politico.com/news/2026/04...
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Job growth shatters expectations in March, in boost to Trump
That report gives the president some useful talking points as polling shows deep dissatisfaction with the state of the economy.
https://www.politico.com/news/2026/04/03/job-growth-expectations-trump-iran-war-oil-00857260
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reposted by
Victoria Guida
Politico
19 days ago
After an extensive search, POLITICO announced today that Jonathan Greenberger will be the organizationās next Global Editor-in-Chief, effective May 1.
bit.ly/4tdYtaz
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reposted by
Victoria Guida
Politico
22 days ago
COLUMN: U.S. trading partners are weighing boxing out Trump on trade, writes our
@vtg2.bsky.social
. Trade ministers from Europe and Asia-Pacific countries will meet on the sidelines of a WTO gathering this week to hammer out priorities for building an alliance that excludes the U.S.
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Carney's Grand Ambition On Trade Does Not Include Trump
Trade ministers from Europe and Asia-Pacific countries will meet on the sidelines of a WTO gathering this week to hammer out priorities for building an alliance that excludes the U.S.
https://www.politico.com/news/magazine/2026/03/26/trade-carney-canada-eu-us-trump-wto-00844444
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āIāve seen the United States as a natural leader of the free world,ā former NATO head Anders Fogh Rasmussen told me. āBut if the United States wants to retire from that role, then others will have to take over.ā My latest column:
www.politico.com/news/magazin...
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āIf The United States Wants To Retire ... Others Will Have To Take Overā
Trade ministers from Europe and Asia-Pacific countries will meet on the sidelines of a WTO gathering this week to hammer out priorities for building an alliance that excludes the U.S.
https://www.politico.com/news/magazine/2026/03/26/trade-carney-canada-eu-us-trump-wto-00844444
22 days ago
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Register for next weekās first-ever Politico econ summit! Iāll be interviewing White House trade adviser Peter Navarro
politicos2026economysummit.splashthat.com
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https://politicos2026economysummit.splashthat.com/
29 days ago
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reposted by
Victoria Guida
Politico
about 1 month ago
Fog of war clouds global rate cut outlook
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Fog of war clouds global rate cut outlook
The specter of a prolonged energy crunch could dash the hopes of consumers, businesses and investors worldwide for rate cuts this year.
http://dlvr.it/TRYXyx
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"To the press alone, chequered as it is with abuses, the world is indebted for all the triumphs which have been gained by reason and humanity over error and oppression." Happy 275th birthday, James Madison!
about 1 month ago
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I wonder what Moo Deng is up to these days
about 1 month ago
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reposted by
Victoria Guida
Politico
about 1 month ago
Tillis āoptimisticā roadblock to Fed chair confirmation will be resolved
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Tillis āoptimisticā roadblock to Fed chair confirmation will be resolved
The North Carolina Republican was scheduled to meet with Kevin Warsh on Tuesday, one of a series of sessions the Fed nominee is holding with senators.
http://dlvr.it/TRQ3fT
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reposted by
Victoria Guida
Gbenga Ajilore
about 1 month ago
I think we are finally seeing the limits of this gambling as described in this
@vtg2.bsky.social
piece from earlier.
www.politico.com/news/magazin...
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Trump Keeps Gambling With the Economy ā And Getting Away With It
President Donald Trump has taken one risk after another that could have destabilized the American economy. Iran is the latest crisis to test U.S. economic resilience.
https://www.politico.com/news/magazine/2026/03/05/trump-economy-risk-iran-oil-tariffs-tax-cuts-00812888
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President Trumpās disruptive policies have left some dents, including serious damage to his approval rating, but by the biggest readings of its health, the U.S. economy largely keeps absorbing what he throws at it. My latest column:
www.politico.com/news/magazin...
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Trump Keeps Gambling With the Economy ā And Getting Away With It
President Donald Trump has taken one risk after another that could have destabilized the American economy. Iran is the latest crisis to test U.S. economic resilience.
https://www.politico.com/news/magazine/2026/03/05/trump-economy-risk-iran-oil-tariffs-tax-cuts-00812888
about 1 month ago
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The process and legal fights over paying back import taxes will help shove tariffs back into votersā minds, as well as provide them an excruciatingly detailed civics lesson in who literally pays the levies. (Hint: itās not foreign governments.)
www.politico.com/newsletters/...
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Who pays the tariffs? Voters will soon find out
The tariffs have proved unpopular in polling, so more attention on them might mean more electoral losses for Republicans in November.
https://www.politico.com/newsletters/morning-money-capital-risk/2026/02/27/who-pays-the-tariffs-voters-will-soon-find-out-00802845
about 2 months ago
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reposted by
Victoria Guida
Politico
about 2 months ago
Hassett says Fed staff should be 'disciplined' for reporting the US pays tariff costs
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Hassett says Fed staff should be 'disciplined' for reporting the US pays tariff costs
The Trump economic adviser called it āthe worst paper Iāve ever seen in the history of the Federal Reserve System.ā
http://dlvr.it/TR2GLB
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This is an extremely honest answer, and nothing but respect to this person for telling it like it is. Butā¦. š
add a skeleton here at some point
about 2 months ago
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reposted by
Victoria Guida
Simon Lester
about 2 months ago
Is it way too early to speculate about AOC's foreign/trade policy as president? Yes! Is it fun to do it anyway? Absolutely! Based on her remarks in Europe, I took a shot at it. And even if you don't care what I had to say, you may still like the partial transcript I provided at the end.
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AOC on Foreign Policy and Trade Policy
AOC spoke on a couple panels last week at the Munich Security Conference and also spoke at the Technische UniversitƤt Berlin, and this European trip was widely seen as a move to establish some foreign...
https://ielp.worldtradelaw.net/2026/02/aoc-on-foreign-policy-and-trade-policy/
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reposted by
Victoria Guida
Politico
2 months ago
Trump wants the Fed to cut rates. Kevin Warsh has bigger plans.
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Trump wants the Fed to cut rates. Kevin Warsh has bigger plans.
Any turbulence that pushes up longer-term rates would clash with the presidentās goal of cutting borrowing costs for the government and lowering mortgage rates.
http://dlvr.it/TQzlTY
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For more than a decade, Kevin Warsh has advocated reining in the Fedās pivotal role in the nationās financial markets. Now, he may finally get the chance to do it. And Wall Street is obsessed with finding out what comes next. w/
@samjsutton.bsky.social
www.politico.com/news/2026/02...
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Trump wants the Fed to cut rates. Kevin Warsh has bigger plans.
Any turbulence that pushes up longer-term rates would clash with the presidentās goal of cutting borrowing costs for the government and lowering mortgage rates.
https://www.politico.com/news/2026/02/16/trump-wants-the-fed-to-cut-rates-kevin-warsh-has-bigger-plans-00781657
2 months ago
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reposted by
Victoria Guida
Mohamed A. El-Erian
2 months ago
Bitcoin slides below $70,000 as silver drops 10%: There is a palpable sense of forced deleveraging and margin calls rippling through the more speculative corners of the financial system.
#bitcoin
#gold
#markets
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The odds seem stacked against Kevin Warsh, but the carefully crafted career path he has traveled up to this point suggests he is perhaps uniquely situated to pull off being Trumpās Fed chair A portrait of him, by me & the very talented
@ianwardreports.bsky.social
www.politico.com/news/magazin...
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What Does Trumpās Next Fed Chief Really Believe?
A childhood job at a racetrack taught Kevin Warsh more than he realized about how to amass power. If heās confirmed as Fed chair, heāll have to place his riskiest bet yet.
https://www.politico.com/news/magazine/2026/02/04/mag-guidaward-warshprofile-00761179
2 months ago
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reposted by
Victoria Guida
Luke Kawa
3 months ago
Shorter Powell: the economy looks more boring and so we want to be boring too. Please, for the love of god, let us be boring.
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reposted by
Victoria Guida
Politico
3 months ago
Shutdown risk grows as Democrats revolt after Minneapolis shooting
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Shutdown risk grows as Democrats revolt after Minneapolis shooting
More senators are vowing to oppose immigration enforcement funding, which is part of a six-bill package set for Senate action next week.
http://dlvr.it/TQXzSJ
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Treasury Secretary Bessent is redefining the relationship between the administration and federal regulators, which have long enjoyed significant autonomy in supervising banks. Up next: overhauling the post-2008 crisis rulebook
www.politico.com/news/2026/01...
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āFundamental resetā: Scott Bessent has a plan to free the nationās banks
The speed of the deregulation is sparking concern that the Treasury secretary is putting Wall Streetās interests ahead of the stability of the financial system.
https://www.politico.com/news/2026/01/24/scott-bessent-banks-00744468
3 months ago
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reposted by
Victoria Guida
Kyle Cheney
3 months ago
NEW: The Supreme Court appeared skeptical about Trump's rush to remove Lisa Cook from the Fed Board, suggesting there might be limits to his power to fire her "for cause" without a review of the allegations against her w/
@joshgerstein.bsky.social
@vtg2.bsky.social
www.politico.com/news/2026/01...
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reposted by
Victoria Guida
The Weekend on MS NOW
3 months ago
President Trump is taking his feud with the Fed to the next level as his DOJ launches a criminal investigation into chairman Jerome Powell.
@vtg2.bsky.social
and Ankush Khardori weigh in on the latest developments.
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Meet the man who is likely to be one of the most important forces within the central bank no matter who the next Fed chief is. My latest column:
www.politico.com/news/magazin...
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Can This Man Save the Federal Reserve?
Christopher Waller probably wonāt be the next Fed chair. Trumpās agenda at the central bank may still depend on him.
https://www.politico.com/news/magazine/2026/01/17/can-this-man-save-the-federal-reserve-00734133
3 months ago
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reposted by
Victoria Guida
Preston Mui
3 months ago
"A reading of the public record suggests the kind of things weāre talking about here is whether Powell lied when he said there were āno rooftop gardensā when there will in fact be āvegetated roof spaces,ā according to documents the Fed submitted to the National Capital Planning Commission."
add a skeleton here at some point
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Four takeaways from the administrationās investigation of Jay Powell. My latest column:
www.politico.com/news/magazin...
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Why Powell Isn't Flinching At Trump's Attack
If markets really think the Fed is going to base policy on the president's whims rather than whatās best for the economy, it could cause a financial bloodbath.
https://www.politico.com/news/magazine/2026/01/13/why-powell-isnt-flinching-at-trumps-attack-00723847
3 months ago
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reposted by
Victoria Guida
Sudeep Reddy
3 months ago
āHistory tells us that when the independence of the central bank is compromised, bad things happen. Itās very worrisome.ā
www.politico.com/news/2026/01...
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DOJ opens probe into Fed's Powell, drawing backlash from lawmakers
The move is a sharp escalation of Trumpās clash with the Fed chief, who he has pushed to lower interest rates.
https://www.politico.com/news/2026/01/11/doj-probe-fed-powell-statements-headquarters-00721679?vct=1.76818488101e9
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reposted by
Victoria Guida
Josh Gerstein
3 months ago
JUST IN: Senate Finance Committee member Thom Tillis (R-SC) threatens to block Fed nominations over DOJ's Powell probe. DOJ says US Attorneys have been told to "prioritize investigating any abuse of taxpayer dollars." w/@vtg2 @meredithllee @samjsutton
www.politico.com/news/2026/01...
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DOJ opens probe into Fed's Powell, drawing backlash from lawmakers
The move is a sharp escalation of Trumpās clash with the Fed chief, who he has pushed to lower interest rates.
https://www.politico.com/news/2026/01/11/doj-probe-fed-powell-statements-headquarters-00721679
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Btw, whatever happens Jan. 20, the White House is being explicit about what President Trump is promising
3 months ago
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šØ FRIDAY NIGHT NEWS: President Donald Trump on Friday announced that he would put a temporary cap on credit card interest rates with a limit of 10 percent, in line with an idea he floated on the campaign trail.
www.politico.com/news/2026/01...
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Trump says he will temporarily cap credit card rates
He said there would be a one-year cap on credit card rates as of Jan. 20.
https://www.politico.com/news/2026/01/09/trump-says-he-will-temporarily-cap-credit-card-rates-00721147
3 months ago
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reposted by
Victoria Guida
Carl Quintanilla
3 months ago
>
@matthewstoller.bsky.social
www.bls.gov/news.release...
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reposted by
Victoria Guida
Ben Casselman
3 months ago
U.S. employers added 50,000 jobs in December and the unemployment rate fell to 4.4 percent. Data:
www.bls.gov/news.release...
Live coverage:
www.nytimes.com/live/2026/01...
#NumbersDay
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Employment Situation Summary - 2025 M11 Results
https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm
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President Donald Trump on Wednesday said he will move to ban institutional investors from acquiring more single-family homes and called on Congress to back the initiative, in a bid to bring down the cost of housing.
www.politico.com/news/2026/01...
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Trump pushes to limit Wall Streetās footprint in housing
Housing affordability is set to be a central battleground in this yearās midterm elections.
https://www.politico.com/news/2026/01/07/trump-wall-street-housing-affordability-00714178
3 months ago
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reposted by
Victoria Guida
Ben Casselman
3 months ago
Former BLS commissioner Bill Beach says the agency has lost 25% of its staff since January. 40% of leadership positions are vacant. And DOL leadership ādoes not seem to support the Bureau.ā
#ASSA2026
#EconSky
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Hassettās detractors believe he has not been effective as head of the National Economic Council other than as a public messenger for the presidentās agenda, playing little part in driving policies
www.politico.com/news/2025/12...
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Trump officials privately raise doubts about Hassett for Fed chair
Hassettās critics say he has not been effective as head of the National Economic Council, playing little part in driving policies.
https://www.politico.com/news/2025/12/16/trump-officials-privately-raise-doubts-about-hassett-for-fed-chair-00692766
4 months ago
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NEWS: White House economic adviser Kevin Hassett is a frontrunner to be President Donald Trumpās choice to chair the Federal Reserve, but some in the administration are questioning whether heās up to the job.
www.politico.com/news/2025/12...
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Trump officials privately raise doubts about Hassett for Fed chair
Hassettās critics say he has not been effective as head of the National Economic Council, playing little part in driving policies.
https://www.politico.com/news/2025/12/16/trump-officials-privately-raise-doubts-about-hassett-for-fed-chair-00692766
4 months ago
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reposted by
Victoria Guida
George Pearkes
4 months ago
Q from
@vtg2.bsky.social
: Why are you cutting a third time this year with inflation at 3%? A: "it is really tariffs that is causing the -- most of the inflation overshoot. We do think of those as likely to, in the current situation, as likely to be a one-time -- you know, one-time price increase."
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A divided Federal Reserve voted to lower interest rates again on Wednesday, but officials signaled that another cut wonāt be immediate, a stance that will ratchet up tensions with President Donald Trump.
www.politico.com/news/2025/12...
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A split Fed cuts interest rates but signals it's likely to pause
A decision to hold off on further rate reductions risks drawing more criticism from the president.
https://www.politico.com/news/2025/12/10/federal-reserve-interest-rates-cut-00684371
4 months ago
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Trump wants his Fed chair to cut rates. The economy may have other ideas.
www.politico.com/news/2025/12...
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Trump wants his Fed chair to cut rates. The economy may have other ideas.
The president's pronouncement that his new Fed chair would have to cut rates raises further alarms about his potential interference in central bank policymaking.
https://www.politico.com/news/2025/12/10/trump-wants-his-fed-chair-to-cut-rates-the-economy-may-have-other-ideas-00684205
4 months ago
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Asked if he was making support for slashing interest rates a litmus test for his Fed nominee, Trump answered with a quick āyes.ā
add a skeleton here at some point
4 months ago
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reposted by
Victoria Guida
Michael McKee
4 months ago
How to boost your nominee's credibility with markets: *TRUMP SEES CUTTING RATES AS LITMUS TEST FOR FED CHAIR: POLITICO *POLITICO ASKS TRUMP IF LITMUS TEST IS RATE CUT 'IMMEDIATELY' *TRUMP RESPONSE TO POLITICO LITMUS TEST QUESTION: 'YES'
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President Donald Trumpās future Federal Reserve chair was already facing a daunting task. But as he homes in on his ultimate pick, Trump is ratcheting up the tension further for whomever gets the job. My latest column:
www.politico.com/news/magazin...
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Trump Keeps Squeezing the Next Fed Chair
The president was already putting incredible pressure on the central bank. Now heās proposing more policies that could make their job even harder.
https://www.politico.com/news/magazine/2025/12/05/trump-fed-chair-central-bank-00677683
4 months ago
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reposted by
Victoria Guida
Colby Smith
5 months ago
NEW: Top supervisors at the Fed's 12 reserve banks and senior staff in Washington received a memo on Oct 29 with directives fundamentally changing how the central bank oversees banks It is part of a sweeping overhaul led by Bowman šš
www.nytimes.com/2025/11/17/b...
@nytimes.com
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Wall Streetās Top Cop Ushers In Lighter-Touch Oversight of Banks
https://www.nytimes.com/2025/11/17/business/fed-bowman-bank-oversight.html?unlocked_article_code=1.108.2vvI.fdJcAib0G2o1&smid=url-share
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NEWS: The Trump administration is calling on companies and organizations to sever ties with Larry Summers in the wake of new revelations about his relationship with the late convicted sex offender Jeffrey Epstein.
www.politico.com/news/2025/11...
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Senior Trump official tells institutions: Break up with Larry Summers
Emails revealed that Summers repeatedly sought advice from Epstein on romantically pursuing a woman he referred to as his mentee.
https://www.politico.com/news/2025/11/17/trump-official-larry-summers-breakup-00655279
5 months ago
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President Trump is eagerly awaiting the day he will have a new Fed chair, but in the race to replace Jay Powell, much of the conversation has focused on something that doesnāt feel particularly Trump-y. My latest column:
www.politico.com/news/magazin...
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How Much Does Trump Really Want to Rein in the Fed?
Top contenders to lead the Federal Reserve under Trump are lining up around a policy that doesnāt seem Trump-like.
https://www.politico.com/news/magazine/2025/11/13/how-much-does-trump-really-want-to-rein-in-the-fed-00647195
5 months ago
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reposted by
Victoria Guida
Mariana Mazzucato
5 months ago
The choice between ābig statesā and private companies is a false one - smart states know how to catalyse private sector investment. Read more in my conversation with
@politico.com
about how Biden and Trump differ in their approaches to U.S. industrial strategy ā”ļø
buff.ly/1fLtboY
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