#OpenAccess @jepsjournal.bsky.social#OpenAccess- The Power of Place: Rural Descriptive Representation and Policy Support - https://cup.org/4c9cfpi - Lukas K. Alexander & Dihan Shi #FristView

Thrilled to share that our new article is out in @cjps-rcsp.bsky.social! Place Consciousness and Voting in Canada — with @sborwein.bsky.social & Jack Lucas We find that place consciousness shapes vote choice in nuanced ways across Canada's urban–rural cleavage. cup.org/4snKTk1

#OpenAccess from @cjps-rcsp.bsky.social - Place Consciousness and Voting in Canada - https://cup.org/4snKTk1 - @sborwein.bsky.social, Jack Lucas & @bradwoodmaclean.bsky.social#OpenAccess #FirstView

driving my new Xiaomi across the border to smuggle exotic goods (vaccines) to benighted americans

A headline to sum up our times:

You can tell that LotR was written by an academic because Gandalf disappears for like 20 years doing research to answer a single question.

This is a really great piece worth reading as an economist. Very clarifying on different perspective of goals for humanistic disciplines. Also love the title, which i read as a reference to Breiman’s “Two Cultures” piece in 2001 about the fracture between stats and cs regarding Machine learning

Journal article: “the data are available on request” The data:

This really is a must read for anyone in academia.

Political communication research overwhelmingly relies on text. But parliamentary speech is multimodal! In our new @psrm.bsky.social article, Mathias Rask and I show that legislators also signal partisan conflict nonverbally— through changes in vocal pitch during floor speeches. 🧵 1/11 #polisky

Rstudio wrapped bsky.app/profile/sal....

I took a quick trip back to UBC. MA in Political Science officially complete. Grateful for the mentorship and excited to keep pursuing questions about place, immigration, and Canadian political behaviour. Thesis: dx.doi.org/10.14288/1.0...

Needed - larger samples, more realism about (the lack of) heterogeneous treatment effects: -"less than a third of proposed hypotheses were supported... the largest predictor of positive exp. results was sample size" -"moderation hypotheses were rarely significant" academic.oup.com/poq/advance-...

This gets at the fundamentally flawed approach of the federal government: they are trying to find a policy solution to an identity problem. It is part of the polarized, populist identity to be opposed to an Ottawa and Liberal Canada are not them. No policy will change that, as TMX revealed.

Black Friday is when the media whips people into a frenzy, then does stories where they scold these horrible frenzied people.

Happy Thanksgiving everyone!

AI presents a fundamental threat to our ability to use polls to assess public opinion. Bad actors who are able to infiltrate panels can flip close election polls for less than the cost of a Starbucks coffee. Models will also infer and confirm hypotheses in experiments. Current quality checks fail

We can no longer trust that survey responses are coming from real people.”

A detailed report on the pilot experiment is here: drive.google.com/file/d/1IEG6... The majority of our sample comes from marginalized backgrounds, where the cost of prepping, taking, and sending GRE scores would have the most impact in terms of time and cost. Here is a Likert scale result:

AI usage accounted for less than 1% of online activity and “the most consistent predictors of AI use across studies were…Machiavellianism, narcissism, psychopathy,” i.e., dark triad personality traits. Nice. www.liebertpub.com/doi/10.1177/...

Just *published* our paper with @westernupolisci.bsky.social PhD student, Hunter Driggers, on LLM bias from party cues in annotation tasks. We extend a previous study showing annotation bias from human coders in the presence of party cues… LLM show similar bias 🧵: rdcu.be/eIKCj

The killing of Charlie Kirk is part of a grim pattern of political violence in America. This is what the data show econ.st/4nqZysO

I’m very proud to share that last week I successfully defended my Master’s thesis, “The Material Origins of Place-Based Affective Polarization in Canada.” Its now available on the UBC library: open.library.ubc.ca/soa/cIRcle/c...

🚨New Publication🚨 Using the entire #Canadian Election Study (1965–2021), I examine voter turnout by class, education, & income over time & test whether the offerings of political parties impact these relationships. Available #OpenAccess in @cjps-rcsp.bsky.social #polisky doi.org/10.1017/S000...

📺Do TV ads sway voters in presidential primaries? ➡R Bird & M Peress develop a new method to estimate ad effects and find that both positive and negative ads boost support—but negative ads work best www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView

🚨New open access article out at @cjps-rcsp.bsky.social on the (lack of) partisan media echo chamber in Canada as demonstrated with behavioural data. Check it out! 1/ www.cambridge.org/core/journal...

Proud to have presented our coauthored paper @cpsa-acsp.bsky.social on immigration rhetoric in party manifestos. Honoured to work with Salar Asadolahi, @mjdonnelly.bsky.social , @mattpolacko.bsky.social & Marc-Antoine Rancourt. This was truly a team effort! Thanks to everyone who came.

Bravo, young man! www.comicsands.com/autistic-boy...

Me trying to keep up with the DiD literature.

Some expected. Some surprises. www.newsweek.com/donald-trump...

They are obviously slow learners

🚨🎉Very excited to share our new paper with @rwillh11.bsky.social, James Adams, @simonweschle.bsky.social, and @cbwlezien.bsky.social!! Out today @JEPOP www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.... A short thread 🧵 1/n

One of these things is not like the other.

Can rural and urban #consciousness be measured in #Europe? New publication in @electoralstudies.bsky.social from our project on the Rural-Urban Divide in Europe #RUDE www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...

"Education as Identity? A Meta-Analysis of Education-Based In-Group Preferences in Candidate Choice Experiments" by Elizabeth Simon and Stuart J. Turnbull-Dugarte.https://www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/10.1086/730745

Can norm-based information campaigns reduce corruption? by Aaron Erlich and Jordan Gans-Morse is now available in Early View. @aaronerlich.bsky.social @jgansmorse.bsky.social ajps.org/2025/01/15/c...

Judicial independence is under grave threat on several fronts, Chief Justice John Roberts wrote on Tuesday in a year-end report on the state of the federal judiciary.

And there it is: Assad in Moscow. Maybe he can move in next to Yanukovych www.cnn.com/world/live-n...

This quote

New in Electoral Studies: “Are leftist or rightist voters better substantively represented? The effects of variance in district magnitude on party-voter ideological congruence” by Robin E. Beast: www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti... #polisky

How to cope with an increasingly turbulent world? Currently, I'm cuddling with Mabel & avoiding reality entirely.

A thread about whether the global – and American – center-left needs a different kind of liberalism. These are thoughts triggered by Trump’s victory in the United States and the swing against mainstream incumbents in many other elections around the world.

Social media has dissolved the mortar of our society and made America stupid, Jonathan Haidt argued in 2022. It’s not just a phase. theatln.tc/XH7Zf8OQ

How does the media directly or indirectly reference gender in other election settings, where women candidates are less novel? Read MSIRA fellow @kafei0220.bsky.social's @3streamsblog.bsky.social post about a recent article in Political Research Quarterly: medium.com/3streams/is-... #polisky

People are often surprised when I tell them this: both Twitter and Facebook/insta/threads are now specifically engineered to downgrade, hide, suppress real journalism. If this platform is different, that's a huge change

When politicians behave badly: Political, democratic, and social consequences of political incivility by Troels Bøggild and Carsten Jensen is now available in Early View. @tboeggild.bsky.social ajps.org/2024/08/12/w...

Salah wants to go to APSA, but also wants to remind you to bring a cardigan.