New piece from w/ @hannahbunting.bsky.social & @jess-smith.bsky.social on the Gorton & Denton byelection, and what it might tell us about British politics. We cover turnout, late-deciding voters, gender gaps & the continuing fragmentation of the party system 🧵 theconversation.com/late-decider...

This is a fantastic teaching resource for anyone covering Zaller (and I sincerely hope it still is many of us)

Lately I've seen many references to the 3.5% rule. A few years ago I pulled together this Q&A on potential uses and misuses of this statistic. www.hks.harvard.edu/sites/defaul...

Overall, we have tallied 4x more protests through Jan 31, 2026 than we had through Jan 31, 2018

The volume & geographic distribution of protest nationwide during year 1 of Trump's second term was extraordinary.

#AffectivePolarization ≠ only #Partisanships 🎉 Ida Bæk Hjermitslev & @markuswagner.bsky.social widen the lens on political identity, looking in Germany, where ideological identities (left/right) are as strong as party IDs and shape how people judge others 🤔

So proud of this paper, and super happy it found a great home at the Journal of Politics!! 🥳

@parliview.bsky.social is hosting a workshop on LLMs and Access to Political Information May 12, 2026 | University College Dublin Submission: forms.gle/KgaYVN42dGdg... For any inquiries, please contact: Dr Eoghan Cunningham <[email protected]> @ucdcs.bsky.social @insightcentre.bsky.social

🎉 NEW PUBLICATION🎉 Our paper on "the effect of symbolic policies on climate policy support" has just been published in the APSR ! @apsrjournal.bsky.social (open access) The end of a long and rewarding journey with the best co-authors @malojan.bsky.social @luissattelmayer.bsky.social (1/6)

Are you doing work on LLMs or conversational AI? Do you study questions related to political information and/or transparency? If so, please consider applying to this workshop, hosted by our lovely @parliview.bsky.social team members over @ucddublin.bsky.social. More info here - tinyurl.com/yc6m4mfk

When you explain it plainly, it’s hard not to see where we are as a country.

New article out in JEPOP with @eliemichel.bsky.social and @emilievh.bsky.social We study how individual-level party-voter congruence shapes horizontal affective polarization (sympathy to other voters), using matched data of a Voting Advice Application in Belgium Paper: tinyurl.com/4skwumdr

Worth a read!

💡Very excited for our INCONEX Online Kick-off Workshop on 12 December! Mark your calendars, register via the link below & join our conversation on representative absence! Oh, and spread the word. #EUsky #Eursky #polisci @sceus.bsky.social 👇

Undecided which section to submit your paper to for the 2026 EPSS conference? Look here for short explainers by our stellar set of section chairs:

EPSA have announced that they will hold a conference in July 2026. 😵‍💫 We understand that there might be some confusion about EPSS and EPSA. 👉🏽 So we thought we would clarify some things. A short 🧵

Vicente Valentim, Elias Dinas, & I came together to do this paper because we have all long shared an intution: mainstream center-right rhetoric shapes democratic norms. The hard part? Showing it empirically. We make some headway in this new paper. Grateful to @bjpols.bsky.social for publishing.

Our paper (w/ wonderful co-authors @rwillh11.bsky.social, @simonweschle.bsky.social, @cbwlezien.bsky.social, and Jim Adams) is now out in print! 🎉 May be of interest to those studying electoral behavior, party strategy, or how citizens use information! www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....

💥Viktor Orbán’s demographic strategy is a disaster. Over the past decade, 37.8% of Hungary’s population decline was due to emigration to other EU countries. Hungary is losing the competition to retain its own citizens while birth rates tank. Read Direkt36's in-depth article on @vsquare.bsky.social👇

What do women’s parties want? And how do their platforms differ? Very happy to share the first paper from my PhD out now in @politicsgenderj.bsky.social! In it, I present a comparative empirical analysis of European women’s parties’ issue concerns in 30yrs of party manifestos. 🧵⬇️

🚨 Big News for European Political Science 🚨 We’re thrilled to announce the launch of the European Political Science Society (EPSS): a new, member-led, not-for-profit association built to support our scholarly community. 🔗 epssnet.org Here’s a thread with everything you need to know. 🧵

Exciting times for research looking *inside* populist radical right parties 😎

Once again, not only an assault on higher education, but also an unprecedented authoritarian attack on property rights, the sanctity of legal contracts, & the rule of law. Even if you hate everything about academia & professors, you should be terrified & furious about this. bsky.app/profile/mcop...

Have loved seeing the evolution of this project by the wonderful @rgpark.bsky.social! If you study trade +/or the environment, give it a read 📖

Americans favor labor unions over big business now more than ever, analysis of new data @epi.org from me & Adam Reich of Columbia Labor Lab. In data back 60 years, Americans' sentiments are both warmer toward unions & cooler towards big business than ever before. www.epi.org/blog/america...

🚨 working paper (w. @morganlcj.bsky.social @markuswagner.bsky.social): Protesters are not judged equally - even if tactics of groups are similar. We ran an experiment in 🇩🇪 testing how people react to farmers vs. climate activists blocking roads. What we find is disturbing: osf.io/preprints/os...

Thrilled that my paper is now published by @polbehavior.bsky.social! Using a natural experiment—the Sun boycott—I show how media may shape our voting mostly by changing our perceptions of party positions. Media matters! 🗳️ Read here: doi.org/10.1007/s111... @tcddublin.bsky.social #mediabias #vote

🚨Publication Alert🚨 New update to the ManifestoVault repository is available! Included: cleaned, content-verified manifesto texts at the natural-sentence level of the 2025 German general election. Full coverage: Ireland, UK, Germany 1970-2025 @rwillh11.bsky.social, @lenamariahuber.bsky.social

Which would be a mistake. Exhibit A: doi.org/10.1017/psrm... Exhibit B: doi.org/10.1080/1350...

🚨 My book "In Our Interest: How Democracies Can Make Immigration Popular" is finally out today with @ColumbiaUP! 🚨 It tackles one of the biggest challenges today: How can we make freer human mobility between countries more politically sustainable? 🧵

New publication in @wepsocial.bsky.social with @retobuergisser.bsky.social, @siljahausermann.bsky.social, and Michael Pinggera. We map the welfare preferences of voters at the poles of the second, GALTAN dimension of political conflict. 🧵

Topics that have grown in the top 20 political science journals 2003-2023: Civil war and intergroup conflict, gender & LGBT+, indigenous politics, political communication, political culture, public opinion & political psychology, race & immigration. osf.io/preprints/os...

@hjghassell.bsky.social & @cbwlezien.bsky.social examine the effects of providing public opinion information to journalists on their perceptions of the newsworthiness of different topics. Public opinion has some effect on journalists' perceptions, especially for low salience issues. Read more:

Everybody tweeting about the penguins... I have bad news, their tariff rate is still the same.

New preprint 📄 Voters navigating complex, multilevel systems are exposed to many kinds of political information. But what kind do they actually seek — and use? We find voters prefer policy over principles and they update their vote intention accordingly. osf.io/preprints/os...

How do voters navigate fragmenting party landscapes with parties behaving in an ever more strategic matter? In this short CUP book‬, we suggest that group identities mediate the link between social structure and ideological party blocks. 1/8

Posting this extract from a lecture by John Maynard Keynes, speaking on the BBC in the middle of the Second World War, to every Labour cabinet minister

New preprint available! In this paper, @antvalentim.bsky.social and I investigate why progressive parties, such as the greens, might be more attractive for immigrants from established democracies than those from (post-)authoritarian regimes: osf.io/preprints/os... 🧵⬇️

Climate Terminology Does Not Matter Across tens of thousands of participants in two large-scale experiments, we found that labeling climate change in different ways had no effect on their stated willingness to act. jayvanbavellab.substack.com/p/climate-te... via @dgoldwert.bsky.social

🚨New article in @poqjournal with D.Garzia🚨 Available Open Access here: doi.org/10.1093/poq/...

Protests are critical to resistance to authoritarianism - they help facilitate collective action and overcome preference falsification. There are lots of people who will stand up if others do too.

Thank you for sharing, Lotem! I find evidence consistent with this argument regarding the dominance of outgroup conflict in some of my recent work. I will certainly integrate this is in any explanation now.

🚨Publication Alert🚨 An update to the ManifestoVault repository is now available! Included: cleaned, content-verified manifesto texts at the natural-sentence level of the 2024 Irish and UK general elections. Full details in Release Note. @rwillh11.bsky.social, @lenamariahuber.bsky.social

You can also see a short summary & discussion of our @psrm.bsky.social paper @bbcmaryam.bsky.social’s excellent The World Today show from Monday 🦸‍♀️ doi.org/10.1017/psrm...

New paper out at @cpsjournal.bsky.social! With Ian McAllister, we examine how party competition and party positions condition the presence and size of an age gap in voting for the left. A short 🧵 below! journals.sagepub.com/doi/full/10....