Hundreds of strangers in Belfast working together. Doing shopping, providing accommodation, driving kids to school, people to hospital appointments. Have just been told of a woman close to us who hasn't left her house since Monday so we'll be sorting her out today and getting her anything she needs

Bad news: Climate change could eliminate more than 90% of the range of 1 in 10 plant species by 2100. Good news: Well... technically there isn't any. But this paper does have terrific figures!

I just took part in The National Conversation to share my views on what it's really like living in our area right now. It's a major UK-wide project by researchers at Oxford University, and it only takes a few minutes. You should have your say too! www.national-conversation.ox.ac.uk

Interested in publishing social science research in @natureportfolio.nature.com journals? Join today’s LCDS seminar with Sebastián Villamizar Santamaría, senior editor at Nature, on how social sciences fit within the Nature Portfolio ecosystem. 📍 Butler Room, Nuffield College 🕑 Today, 14:00–15:30

Read this, then read @jessicacalarco.com's Holding It Together: How Women Became America's Safety Net

New research from new LCDS member Jakub Bijak (among others) shows that better fertility forecasts depend on looking beyond total birth rates 👶📊 By accounting for birth order dynamics, predictions become more accurate and informative for policy & planning. 🔗 www.demography.ox.ac.uk/news/improvi...

Creating a moral panic over low birth rates is how we get here: attacks on contraceptive methods and on public funding of family planning. 1/

A world in animated motion 💜I'm glad the upcoming Olden Age HoMM game is going back to this perspective and having a larger view of the world. Heroes of Might & Magic III: Horn of the Abyss

👩‍🔬🤵‍♀️👩‍⚖️ For International Women’s Day @nuffieldcollege.bsky.social will host @melindacmills.bsky.social for a talk entitled "How to Be Brilliant Without Being Behaved". More details: www.demography.ox.ac.uk/news/melinda... #IWD2026 #WomenInScience #Demography

Yesterday @melindacmills.bsky.social delivered the Richard Doll Seminar🎓🎤 about the "Our Future Health" data. She outlined the exciting prospects of large-scale health data and her analysis of representativeness of the biobank population to a packed room, full of interested questions.

Venezuela’s Delcy Rodríguez assured US of cooperation before Maduro’s capture

#5: Climate action or delay: the dynamics of competing narratives in the UK political sphere and the influence of climate protest. Nicole Nisbett, @viktoriaspaiser.bsky.social, @estrangeirada.bsky.social & @dvaldenegro.bsky.social

‘It’s frightening’: How far right is infiltrating everyday culture

UK commentator detained by ICE after Israel criticism to be released, family says

Pleased to have hosted our workshop “Python Essentials with Git for Data Analysis” at the Weston Library in Oxford — a superb venue for two great days of learning. A huge thank you to our organisers, instructors, and helpers for making this workshop possible! #Oxford #Reproducibility #Carpentries

🚨It's that exciting time of year!🚨 Our team has got TWO open DPhil (PhD) positions in #datascience + #health here at @oxforddemsci.bsky.social for 2026🎉! See for details: 1️⃣ 👉 crahal.com/HDS_2026.html 2️⃣ 👉 crahal.com/pophealth_2026.html Please share and help us to find our future teammates ❤️!

🥳 Thrilled to bits about this! The first project is with the forever brilliant @melindacmills.bsky.social, and the second with the dream team of @sanderwagner.bsky.social & @dvaldenegro.bsky.social! I honestly can’t wait to begin supervising these exciting projects together🙇🙇🙇

If this is what they're getting caught on camera doing--to teenage US citizens--just imagine what they're doing that we don't see. www.theguardian.com/us-news/2025...

New exclusive 🗞️ Health secretary RFK Jr. plans to oust the members of an advisory panel that recommends which cancer screenings, HIV drugs and other preventive services insurers must cover at no cost www.wsj.com/health/healt...

Deradicalization of opinion among young people after the Chile uprising of 2019 onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10....

New paper looking at health (mortality), education and earnings stagnation in the US through a cohort perspective. Somehow things really stop improving from the 1947 birth cohort onwards www.aeaweb.org/research/cha...

If you look too good in your profile picture I'll assume you are a bot and I'll block you. Sorry

The first #metrics-and-models talk was fantastic🤗! Next: @ramina-sotoudeh.bsky.social on "Antenatal Selection: A novel approach for assessing the genetic and ecological drivers of who survives to birth". Details: metrics-and-models.github.io Sign up: [email protected]

New paper. I wish this wasn't the case, but most progress on reducing US greenhouse gas emissions is likely spurious. Why? EPA underestimates methane emissions from oil and gas. Relevant today as Repubs vote to gut IRA's methane monitoring/mitigation program. 🧵 authors.elsevier.com/a/1lL4K_6se4...

Loneliness impacting 1 in 6 people according to WHO report Shereen Hussein explains #SocialConnection is vital to health & wellbeing with need for policies & interventions to tackle isolation & foster meaningful connections. www.lshtm.ac.uk/newsevents/n...

The best part of coauthoring is having someone to blame for your shared decisions

Hurrying to post about RobustiPy, i forgot this fun animation i made for teaching purposes (with @deevybee.bsky.social on the SABS R3 CDT) around when we started developing. Specification uncertainty is just _one_ type of uncertainty, though; our forthcoming work looks at the role of random numbers!

🎓🎓🎓Congratulations, Antonino Polizzi!🎉🎉🎉 In May, @polizzan.bsky.social successfully defended his doctoral thesis, "The Causes and the Consequences of Growing Life Expectancy Shortfalls" @ox.ac.uk. ‪ Read all: www.demogr.mpg.de/en/news_even... @sociologyoxford.bsky.social @oxforddemsci.bsky.social

This looks like some good evidence-assessment stuff right here.

Such nice collaborations with @dvaldenegro.bsky.social, @jiani-y.bsky.social & @claireduiyidai.bsky.social . Possible because of generous contributions from @oxforddemsci.bsky.social / @centreforcare.bsky.social / @nuffieldcollege.bsky.social. Thanks to all for giving comments on it over the years!

We also think it has some tight #dataviz, too! Here's the canonical `union.dta' dataset examined by other model uncertainty tools. See our paper and website for more examples of how to use the accessible Python app, released under an open source GNU GPL 3.0 license!

🚀 RobustiPy is out of beta! Feature rich, we hope it becomes useful for model uncertainty / #datascience. We include 🔟 replications, including “unexplained discrepancies” in prior work! 📄 Preprint: arxiv.org/abs/2506.19958 💻 GitHub: github.com/RobustiPy/robustipy 🌐 Homepage: robustipy.github.io

Hi, this is Meg Barnette, Brad's wife. While escorting a defendant out of immigration court at 26 Federal Plaza, Brad was taken by masked agents and detained by ICE. This is still developing, and our team is monitoring the situation closely.

What is common knowledge in your field, but shocks outsiders? “Fertility is below replacement” means next to nothing about how population size is changing or will change.

🚨Excited to share my new paper published in ERL: "An exploration and evaluation framework for climate change mitigation scenarios with varying feasibility and desirability", co-authored with @shivmit.bsky.social @robinlamboll.bsky.social @joerirogelj.bsky.social tinyurl.com/yh3rspns (1/8)

It's been a real honour to work on putting this together in conjunction with @claireduiyidai.bsky.social, @ridhikashyap.bsky.social, @dvaldenegro.bsky.social, @rocher.lc, @jiani-y.bsky.social, and more.

Join the mailling list for the seminar series via instructions on our website. If you're based @ox.ac.uk, we also have a local 'offline' meetup on alternating weeks. Please get in touch if you'd like to join, and we can share details for that, too; our objective is to be maximally accessible!

We span @oxforddemsci.bsky.social, @oxpop.bsky.social, @sociologyoxford.bsky.social, @nuffieldlibrary.bsky.social, and @oxengsci.bsky.social.

It's been a real honour to work on putting this together in conjunction with @claireduiyidai.bsky.social, @ridhikashyap.bsky.social, @dvaldenegro.bsky.social, @rocher.lc, @jiani-y.bsky.social, and more.

🔥Coming July 2: 'Metrics and Models'!🔥 A new seminar series on advanced modelling w/ impact across health/society. 🌍 Open to *ALL*! 🕑 Weds 2pm UK alternating weeks (online) 🔗 metrics-and-models.github.io 📬 [email protected] Brilliant speakers. *Please share*!

There is no bigger story right now than the White House asserting that California residents are in a state "of rebellion against the authority of the Government of the United States."

🚨 The end of an era for global health data — and a defining crossroads. In Jan 2025, the DHS Program—the backbone of health & demographic data in 90+ countries—was terminated after US aid cuts of up to 84%. Our researchers & global collaborators reflect on it in a recent pre-print🧵

Our Douglas Leasure & @nickirons.bsky.social joined Migration Oxford to discuss epidemic preparedness & refugee healthcare— interdisciplinary approaches can drive real change for vulnerable populations. More info: migration.web.ox.ac.uk/event/enhanc... #RefugeeHealth #EpidemicPreparedness

📢 Job Alert: Associate Prof Digital Education @education.ox.ac.uk + @nuffieldcollege.bsky.social are hiring! Join a world-class research community, contribute to Digital & Social Change MSc 🗓️ Apply by 6 June 📍 Interviews 2 July 🔗 my.corehr.com/pls/. #DigitalEducation #EdTech #AcademicJobs

👶 #Farage wants a UK baby boom — will it work? 🍼 Our Director @melindacmills.bsky.social says: “Throwing money at it doesn’t work.” Tax breaks ≠ baby boom. Work hours, #housing, #childcare — it takes an ecosystem. 📎 Telegraph article: tinyurl.com/m6b9kbxm #fertility #demography

Arrived at @iassistdata.bsky.social conference! What a lovely building to have the opening drinks reception in. I'm presenting on Thursday about the data governance review we carried out at the University of Leeds Library Research Data Service. Maybe see you there!

🚨 Our research on the income penalty of informal care was cited in Parliamentary debate by MP @wendychambld.bsky.social (thank you 🙏) Work by our own @dvaldenegro.bsky.social & @crahal.com with @mariapetrillo.bsky.social & co-authors from @centreforcare.bsky.social — here’s what we found 🧵1/6

A Shattered Nation Longs To Care About Stupid Bullshit Again theonion.com/a-shatt...

Yesterday at the Parliamentary debate on Carer’s Leave MP @wendychambld.bsky.social mentioned our work on the income loss caregivers face as a results of providing unpaid care @dvaldenegro.bsky.social @crahal.com Working paper available here: arxiv.org/abs/2411.10314