DPIR's Jane Green comments in The Guardian on UK voting trends, noting that despite perceived volatility in UK polls, underlying support blocs remain stable, with fragmentation among parties amplifying the impact of small shifts, especially under first-past-the-post: https://ow.ly/MtgV50YxGe6

📢 Do a MSCA Postdoctoral Fellowships with LCDS 🎓👩‍🔬 We invite Expressions of Interest from outstanding postdocs to develop applications with us. Join a leading centre for demographic science and interdisciplinary research that hosted many succesful MSCA fellows before. 🗓 EOI deadline: 31 July 2026

DPIR's Lauren Sukin has co-authored a new paper in the Journal of Peace Research in which she argues that people judge military strikes less by outcomes and more by the type of weapon used: https://academic.oup.com/jpr/advance-article/doi/10.1093/jopres/xjag001/8524883

This term, Nuffield College's Governing Body met for the 700th time in its 90-year history. Our catering team need no excuse to celebrate, and provided a delicious cake for the Governing Body Fellows to enjoy whilst they worked through this term's agenda, pictured here with Warden Julia Black.

📣 New job at Oxford's Centre for Advanced Social Science Methods (CASSM)! 📣 The Departments of Politics & IR (DPIR) and Social Policy and Intervention (DSPI) are hiring an Associate Professor of Causal and Experimental Methods. Come work with me and amazing Oxford peeps! Deadline NOON April 27th.

Here we argue that predictions of local ‘chaos’ as a result of fragmentation may be misleading - given the current incentives of FPTP under bloc politics … We may instead be in the middle of a restructuring towards national fragmentation, local two-partyism.

Migration, remittances, and petty corruption in Africa doi.org/10.1093/isq/... Paper in @isq-jrnl.bsky.social by @nuffieldcollege.bsky.social Postdoctoral Prize Research Fellow @alexyeandle.bsky.social and Associate Member David Doyle

How are Reform like Musk, Theil and Karp? Not (only) in the way you might suspect. My new piece for @prospectmagazine.co.uk .

1/ Hi Blue Sky friends- it's been one year since I starting writing Data for Health on Substack! It's been a wonderful & humbling ride so far. If you haven't subscribed already, thanks for considering. A "mixtape" of some highlights so far: substack.com/home/post/p-... #demography #episky

In celebration of International Women’s Day 2026, Nuffield College welcomed Melinda Mills, Nuffield Professorial Fellow, for a powerful and refreshingly candid talk: “How to be Brilliant Without Being Behaved.” Read more: tinyurl.com/2ve2ucmk

Our new (open access) paper investigates weapons aversion across systems. We comprehensively compare attitudes about the use of cyber, conventional, cluster, chemical, biological, and nuclear weapons, showing a clear preference hierarchy and lending insight into the underlying causes of aversion.

Regional variation of GDP per head within China, 1080–1850: Implications for the great divergence debate doi.org/10.1016/j.ee... Paper in Explorations in Economic History by @nuffieldcollege.bsky.social Fellow Stephen Broadberry and Hanhui Guan

Too brutal for war: comparing rationales for weapon taboos doi.org/10.1093/jopr... Paper in @jpeaceresearch.bsky.social by David M. Allison, Stephen Herzog and @nuffieldcollege.bsky.social Fellow @laurensukin.bsky.social

Endogamy norms and the gendered friendship-making of Muslim youth doi.org/10.1016/j.ss... Paper in @ssreditorial.bsky.social by @nuffieldcollege.bsky.social Postdoctoral Prize Research Fellow David Kretschmer and Lars Leszczensky

Timeline cleanse… spring vibes @nuffieldcollege.bsky.social are magical.

Multilateralism in crisis: a historical perspective ora.ox.ac.uk/objects/uuid... Nuffield Humanitarian Forum working paper by Honorary Fellow Mike Aaronson and @nuffieldcollege.bsky.social Fellow Andrew Thompson.

The ‘climate Kuznets curve’: A critique doi.org/10.1016/j.en... Paper in Energy Economics by Associate Member Jennifer L. Castle and @nuffieldcollege.bsky.social Senior Research Fellow David F. Hendry

US publication date is today for the Billionaire Backlash! If you’re in the Cambridge (MA) area, come to Harvard Book Store tomorrow night to hear us chat about the book with the inimitable @politicsprof.bsky.social

A simulation approach for the spatial testing of migration theories doi.org/10.1007/s106... in-press paper in European Journal of Population by @nuffieldcollege.bsky.social Student @micol.bsky.social

📢APPLY NOW! The Department of Social Policy & Intervention and the Centre for Advanced Social Science Methods at DPIR seek to appoint an Associate Professor of Causal and Experimental Methods in Politics and Social Policy. 🗓️ CLOSES: Noon (BST) 27 April: https://ow.ly/PLO850Yv8na

Für den Spiegel habe ich darüber geschrieben was andere grüne Parteien aus dem Erfolg der Grünen in Großbritannien lernen können. Eine Agenda die soziale Ungleichheit betont. Ein Zuhause für progressiven Aktivismus und progressive Identitäten. Kein mea culpa bei Anfeindungen. tinyurl.com/4hmhmdzd

Paper led by colleagues from Australian National University is out now in JAMANetworkOpen. We used novel mortality measure to quantify how female reproductive cancers affect female survival advantages over male across ages and cohorts among high-income countries. jamanetwork.com/journals/jam....

Don’t get your hopes up everyone… #episky #medsky #dementia open.substack.com/pub/jenndowd...?

Der neue #Roundtable_Osteuropa is da! Habe mich riesig gefreut, mit @ndeitelhoff.bsky.social & @uschneck.bsky.social Russlands Krieg gegen die Ukraine, internationale Ordnungen & Aufgaben für die Friedens-und Konfliktforschung diskutieren zu dürfen.Reinhören! www.zois-berlin.de/podcast-roun...

Für das Wahlverhalten ist es das gleiche, ob man eine Partei hasst oder sie eher nicht mag. Parteien müssen die überzeugen, die sich vorstellen können sie zu wählen. Die Grünen haben sich von Narrativen verunsichern lassen (Verbotspartei, zu viel zugemutet) von denen, die sie eh nicht wählen.

Lazy Sunday ahead with nothing to do? Catch up on latent opinion and why politicians fear it more than anything else, in my discussion of Billionaire Backlash on the New Books Network Podcast.

Turning humanitarian: Strategies and networks of the International Bureau of Education during the Second World War doi.org/10.1007/s111... Paper in Prospects by @nuffieldcollege.bsky.social Research Fellow @lukasschemper.bsky.social

A matter of principle: How local consent affects U.S. support for military interventions doi.org/10.1162/ISEC... Paper in @intsecurity.bsky.social by Associate Member @janinadill.bsky.social, Emily Myers and @nuffieldcollege.bsky.social Senior Research Fellow Livia I. Schubiger

@bodleian.ox.ac.uk are trialling access to the eResource 'Notable Individuals of British Communism, 1886–1997' until 4 April 2026. To find out more and learn how to share your feedback see tinyurl.com/t8wvs52t

Had a good chat recently with Reed Galen on Home Front about the possibility of coming scandals in AI and crypto, why Dieselgate got him a good trade-in, and the arguments of Billionaire Backlash.

From lived experience to intervention design: engaging adolescents and parents living in conflict affected DRC to inform content of a parenting intervention guided by the MRC framework doi.org/10.1186/s128... Paper in BMC Public Health co-authored by @nuffieldcollege.bsky.social Fellow Lucie Cluver

This International Women’s Day, we’re celebrating the excellence and contributions of women across DPIR. Explore our collection of student–supervisor collaborations — told in their own words: https://www.politics.ox.ac.uk/international-womens-day-8th-march-2026

Piece w/ @laurensukin.bsky.social & @lanoszka.bsky.social out in Apr. 2026 issue of Journal of Conflict Resolution. We surveyed publics in 24 countries in 2023: Calibrated US restraint/support for Kyiv was reassuring. Strong resolve isn't the only thing that can reassure. doi.org/10.1177/0022...

We are delighted to share that Alexandra Stafford (DPhil, International Relations) has been awarded the prestigious Max Weber Fellowship at the European University Institute (EUI). Congratulations, Alexandra, on this outstanding achievement! Read more: tinyurl.com/ynue3nzs

Insightful conversation with David Rueda! podcasts.apple.com/de/podcast/i...

1/ Has life expectancy fully recovered from the COVID-19 pandemic? In a new pre-print, we find that 31 of 34 high-income countries had still not returned to their expected life expectancy trajectories five years after the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic. www.medrxiv.org/content/10.6... #demography

On financial insecurity and Labour's losses: We showed in Feb 2025 Labour losing young insecure voters to Greens, mid-life/older to Reform: www.jrf.org.uk/public-attit... And we explain how econ insecurity is a push factor, magnifying other reasons for vote losses: www.jrf.org.uk/public-attit...

Join us for the 🌱 Climate Demography 🌱 workshop at EPC 2026! We'll have an interesting set of keynotes, a meet the editor session, & ample time for discussion!

🧟 Liberalism is “dead” — again. Or so we’re told. DPIR's Ben Ansell argues in a new article for Prospect magazine that despite years of obituaries from left, right and populists alike, liberalism (individual rights, markets, social freedoms) keeps coming back: www.prospectmagazine...

We have posted our AI policy An introduction: socopen.org/2026/03/09/s... And the policy: socopen.org/ai-policy/

📢 APPLY NOW!: DPIR seeks to appoint an Associate Professor in International Relations, in association with Nuffield College, to conduct internationally excellent research in the area of International Relations. 🗓️ CLOSES: Noon (BST) Tue 21 April: https://ow.ly/U5kJ50Yrczb

If you missed the excitement of my Constituency App over the weekend - here it is for your delectation. Two versions: Less pretty but more stable and faster loading: benwansell.github.io/constituency... Prettier but prey to server hiccups: livedataoxford.shinyapps.io/Constituency... Have fun!

Building on my General Election Prediction App, I thought it might be fun to build an app that allows you to look at UK constituencies in a bunch of cool ways. So this app doesn't turn polls into seats. It looks at seats as they are. livedataoxford.shinyapps.io/Constituency... Quick thread 1/n

Consider applying to join Nuffield College and the Department of Politics and International Relations at Oxford as an associate professor in IR. This excellent post is for a non-tutorial fellowship (very little undergrad teaching). Please feel free to reach out with any questions. lnkd.in/eR6qBDNb.

I’m thrilled to share that I’ve started as a Postdoctoral Researcher at @nuffieldcollege.bsky.social. I look forward to engaging on questions of gender, political behavior, and survey methods over the next year. I may also have brought the Texas sky with me!

Some puns are too good to pass up... but seriously, mRNA technology is amazing, let's give it some love, not unwarranted hate! open.substack.com/pub/jenndowd... #episky #publichealth #medsky #healthpolicy

I am also very excited to be joining @profjanegreen.bsky.social full time at Nuffield College as a UK Politics Impact Research Fellow from next Monday. Stay tuned for new research on fragmentation, party fortunes and electoral blocs as we navigate upcoming elections & the longer road to 2029! 3/3

Tax exposure and political preferences doi.org/10.1093/ser/... Paper in Socio-Economic Review by @nuffieldcollege.bsky.social Fellow @benansell.bsky.social, Asli Cansunar and Mads Andreas Elkjær

Five years after the pandemic began, have countries returned to their pre-COVID life expectancy trajectories? New research shows 31 of 34 high-income countries still have life expectancy deficits in 2024, suggesting lasting effects on population health. www.demography.ox.ac.uk/news/new-lcd...

Our Resource of the Month for March is 'Foreign Policy.' The Foreign Policy subscription website is updated every day, blending daily reporting with long-form analysis and commentary. Find out more at tinyurl.com/mryj3ssc #SSLResourceoftheMonth