We did it for you Dick Cheney

"Part of the footage from officers’ body cameras during the major operation may have been lost due to low battery, says Military Police secretary."

Gruesome details from the massive police operation yesterday in Rio continue to surface: “The [beheaded] body had their fist closed, holding grass.” www1.folha.uol.com.br/cotidiano/20...

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ah yes powell 2004

Word of caution: the push to win votes on the pervasive anti-corruption sentiment in Latin America did not go well. OC is different, but likely the Dems would end up carried away by the anti-establishment wave (the PSDB - major national player in Brazil since 1994 is all but gone)

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This is incredibly sloppy work. There is absolutely no evidence here that Kimmel's suspension enjoys widespread support: www.nytimes.com/2025/09/19/t...

What sic-fi dystopian movie had this on a news ticker headline? on.ft.com/3InqWsC AI-controlled drone swarms set to transform combat on battlefield

There is a dilemma at the WH right now. Carrying out the threat of retaliation or maintaining the current news cycle?

still puzzled

(2) "Media Manipulation in Young Democracies: Evidence From the 1989 Brazilian Presidential Election" by Alexsandros Cavgias, Raphael Corbi, Luis Meloni @luismeloni.bsky.social , and Lucas Novaes @lmnovaes.bsky.social journals.sagepub.com/doi/full/10....

O resultado da pesquisa nesse pique:

In a just-accepted paper at the @thejop.bsky.social , @MelaniCammett, Guadalupe Tuñon, and I examine how campaign finance reforms have unanticipated effects: organized actors gain an edge. In our case, the Universal Kingdom of God Church in Brazil. www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/10.1086/...

I love how the federal police uncovered russian assets with the bread and butter of social science in Brazil: merging inconsistent datasets.

Why is Brazil's national squad so bad? Are we just better at retaining talent? (These are Libertadores champions.)

Herbert P. Kitschelt is the winner of the 2025 Johan Skytte Prize in Political Science. 🏆 He is awarded the prize for " having increased knowledge of the functioning of democratic party systems with exquisite theoretical acuity and impressive empirical breadth and depth."

guy who misses "old san francisco" before it "sold out" but is clearly just remembering the car chase sequence from The Rock

maybe i should had been a financial analyst after all bsky.app/profile/bert...

So from my uniquely weird perspective after living in the UK through Brexit, being in India during Modi's demonetization, and living in Brazil when the real tanked during the Bolsonaro administration, I can confidentally say that Americans do not and can not understand how bad this is going to be.

I am no financial analyst but when DJT sees this swing over a rumor, he will make the rumor true.

¯\_(ツ)_/¯

I am not sure if back in 1992 we were calling the autogolpe in Peru a “constitutional crisis” but I am sure this is not another example of American exceptionalism.

I think of this whenever some conservative finds some supposedly wacky research topic that government grants pay for

it reads like a parody.

Gift link. The actual story of the shackled people being deported without even being told where they were being taken — maybe to countries where they’d face torture or death — while their terrified children cried.😢 The White House posted that pic with “ASMR” tag. www.nytimes.com/2025/02/18/w...

de longe a coisa mais engraçada que eu li nos últimos 39 anos

Considering what is happening in the US, this is no small feat.

I have had previous issues with Polity about how they do their coding of the UK and the US and I’m afraid I’m similarly skeptical this time about the change. If they are coding the US as dropping to 1 out of 7 on constraints on the executive, on the basis of three weeks of unified govt, I’m dubious.

Today, I wrote about the Founders, about their faith, and about the history of the Episcopal Church in the USA. I posted it on Vichy Facebook, and it was immediately removed as spam. There is no free speech on any platform owned by an oligarch. tompepinsky.com/2025/01/22/w...

Fernanda torres will take the oscar (thank god for Condorcet cycles!)

Brasilzão

+140 milhões de views. Incrível como esse negócio do PIX explodiu na mão do governo.

John Snow já tá reservando o hotel casa grande na enseada do Guarujá g1.globo.com/sp/santos-re...

Achei engraçado em "Ainda Estou Aqui" começar com uma tela preta e o texto: "Dezembro de 1970 Durante a ditadura militar" Será que pensaram que depois de duas horas de um filme *sobre* autoritarismo, tortura e desaparecimento, alguém poderia sair do cinema na dúvida se era ditadura?

Very much looking forward to read this!

Well played.

Great work by Oeindrila Dube, Sandy Jo MacArthur, and Anuj Shah

Uma coisa sobre ditadura é que além de subverter a ordem institucional, é a chance de vida para os mais medíocres. É como eles podem se dar bem na vida. Ou seja, o fato de que os trapalhões planejaram essa tentativa de golpe não é surpresa. Tem até paper (muito bom) sobre:

not hard

Ah yes just like the founding fathers envisioned : Advertisers set to return to X as they seek favour with Elon Musk and Donald Trump on.ft.com/3CCvXdy

We are on the cusp of the AI critical juncture and now have Trump to regulate it. This is dystopia.

Of the pre-registered guesses from the political science folk I've seen, 100% puts Harris ahead of Trump. They all make sense in a way and have said Trump can still win, but it is weird considering the aggregators/predictions/betting odds of 50/50. Unfortunately, no one will know if we know better.

All the prediction models use "incumbency" as a fundamental input, but it probably does not have the same flavor in the current context of a non-lame duck incumbent. These models' predictions are even more uncertain than they normally are.

1789 vibes elpais.com/espana/2024-...

Direita normalizando extrema direita é vergonhoso e pode dar ruim (Ziblatt etc), mas sei lá, dá pra entender. Esquerda normalizando extrema direita para tentar salvar uma eleição perdida é patético.

This is by design.