"Horseshoe Theory" is the theory that horses need shoes. It's controversial because most animals don't wear shoes.

the Yankees are just running back 2025 plus Ryan Weathers (and eventually Gerrit Cole) and minus Devin Williams. They won 94 games and tied for most wins in the AL so it's not the worst idea but it *feels* kinda bad

quick follow up to the follow up, we'll get there eventually

As we round out third base week, you should know that @michaelwaterloo.bsky.social talked to you about rebuilding at the hot corner in long-term leagues: www.baseballprospectus.com/fantasy/arti...

first time in the last three episodes that I didn't scream about Walt Weiss and frankly I regret it

Quick thoughts: - Banda was sneakily really effective last season, especially against LHH, but the Dodgers had six potential LH relievers on their 40-man roster, and Banda was out of options. - Banda settled at $1.625 million in arbitration. We'll see what team picks it up.

Benny 💪💪💪💪 back

there's gotta be a better way to say this

I think my "favorite" part about this is that the only reason MLBtv is under ESPN's umbrella is because Manfred insisted on the opt out in the national tv deal that ESPN later exercised, and then had to give MLBtv to them to get the same deal back, basically

A lot of you reactionaries leapt to judgment of the Dodgers for visiting the White House. But I, an intellectual, laid out the pros and cons of doing so for you on @baseballprospectus.com. www.baseballprospectus.com/news/article...

bryce harper is either going to win MVP or be the first person certified as sentient jerky there's no in between

New episode of the pod is up. @jeffreypaternostro.bsky.social talks 101, @cdgoldstein.baseballprospectus.com talks White Sox, and I talk office chairs. Plus the Twins mess, and Brendan Donovan:

2:12 am: going back for more Refsnyder

@wyden.senate.gov's record of warning that there is deep and constitutionally-serious dirt being done by the intelligence agencies in secret is unblemished. The vaguer he is, the filthier the dirt is. This is the vaguest I've ever seen him

Good stuff from @davyandrewsdavy.bsky.social blogs.fangraphs.com/the-relation...

hey so like, who the fuck is playing left field for the diamondbacks

take it from a company that knows a thing or two about putting things out to pasture

we launched our Top 101 yesterday, available to basic (free) subscribers. Today for paid subscribers, we have the breakdown of how we landed on Konnor Griffin at No. 1 and the Next 10 prospects who just missed the cut.

The Konquest: How We Got To Griffin At No. 1 by Jarrett Seidler (@seidler.bsky.social) www.baseballprospectus.com/prospects/ar...

Good morning. @cdgoldstein.baseballprospectus.com and I wrote up the Framber Valdez signing. He looked at fit (it's a good fit!) and I tried to figure out what went wrong for him down the stretch last year. Mostly, the problem was the bar he set for himself.

[sweaty, 90 minutes into a speech talking about how Big And Strong Raul Mondesi was] we like to say SASAKI, right? SASASKI, where is-SASASKI-where is he? [pointing at Yamamoto] there he- [pretends to throw fastball] lot of speed with regard to fast

sucks shit both in that it's happening and it's unsurprising

One player moving playoff odds 2% is... significant

catching up on summer house and I have a few thoughts: 1) Australian Ben looks like a mashup of Matthew McConaughey and James McAvoy. McConauvoy 2) I need to know who KJ's dad was (mentioned he was an outfielder for the Pirates, this is a baseball show now) 3) cut it out with the cowboy hat Carl

very healthy that my first thought on the Tigers signing Framber is that they must have won the Skubal arb decision (no I do not know if they'd know that at this point)

2026 Prospects: The Top 101 by Jeffrey Paternostro (@jeffreypaternostro.bsky.social), Jarrett Seidler, (@seidler.bsky.social) and BP Prospect Staff www.baseballprospectus.com/prospects/ar...

I'm a bit over my skis here, but: I got really interested in batted ball spin. pebblehunting.substack.com/p/baseball-i...

There are a million great stories that show what Jesse did at the Post, but I keep thinking about his profile of Azzi Fudd from November, which builds on his profile of her in high school in *2018.* So few outlets let writers grow like that and let readers benefit. How insane to just throw it away.

Introducing the BP Top 101!

It's particularly funny to suggest you're going to go after the best starting pitcher on the market after you lost a bidding war for Eugenio Suarez to literally the Reds

I don't think it's a great sign for your pre-"we tried" effort when the article about you trying also mentions that, hell, you might just be getting used

The latest edition of TA06 is out, for those who would prefer to hang out in a different (also not great) decade for a bit. This week: Frank Thomas looks weird in green, while a huge blockbuster trade goes down and winds up disastrous for nearly all parties involved.

today I wrote up a couple lingering transactions in Harrison Bader signing with the Giants and the Angel Chivilli trade to the Yankees, while @euqubud.baseballprospectus.com covered the Edouard Julien pickup for Colorado:

Really good story on Kerkering and the aftermath of the error here.

These lists are always a snapshot in time. This one is a snapshot from about December 15th or so; although we don’t have a ton of new info since then I’m sure there’s a few things here and there @jeffreypaternostro.bsky.social or I would’ve changed our minds about

As always I will answer any questions etc, just try to be reasonably nice about it. The explainer on why Griffin is 1 is coming tomorrow

Here is a list of 101 prospects in an order we determined a couple months ago www.baseballprospectus.com/prospects/ar... @baseballprospectus.com

@baseballprospectus.com for, well, baseball

we've released our Top 101 Prospect List over at @baseballprospectus.com today. It's free to read with a basic subscription (no $$ required)

It's been a while since I've bumped the Bat Signal--your direct line to our fantasy staff, who you can ask any question about your team, and get a tailored answer your leaguemates will never see. Especially helpful for draft season: www.baseballprospectus.com/subscriptions/

the maestro at work

it's so cool that these guys' strategy is to aggressively tout that they don't know how counting or time works

I say this every NBA trade deadline, but if I ever have to learn what a trade exception is or how to calculate it for my job, I swear to God I am going to hunt down everyone who rooted for a salary cap in MLB and fill the air vents in their cars with bees

Jerry. Jear-Bear. Jear-Jear. What does this mean? Jerry. JERRY. What does this mean?! www.nytimes.com/athletic/701...

this is mostly a Patrick joint, but I did have to opine on one thing as it relates to the White Sox and "financial flexibility"

The Pirates are telling every reporter who will listen that they made a competitive offer to Eugenio Suárez, similar to his Reds contract. I mean, yeah, he signed for a lowball! Could they even feasibly have offered him less than that? Real loser energy there in my opinion.

Today at @baseballprospectus.com: Continuing our survey of the viewing experience of watching three home games for all 30 teams, the club that--did you know this? I didn't--led the majors in ERA

The value of #MLB Barrel% is going down. But really, it had problems from the very beginning. www.baseballprospectus.com/news/article...

NEW: Maryland House Dems passed a new congressional map to flip District 1 & win all 8 seats in response to new GOP gerrymanders. But Senate President Bill Ferguson opposes it—Gov. Moore & national Dems are urging him to change course. Interactive map+data: davesredistricting.org/join/3dbd6a8...

favorite part of this one is "they do really cool stuff, but actually they're all ancient so it's just dinner in cool places"