Patrick Dubuque
@euqubud.baseballprospectus.com
📤 6086
📥 550
📝 2254
bbwaa // writer with a thrift store degree // managing editor @ baseball prospectus
pinned post!
Writing a baseball article and taking shots at the Garfield board game of 1981, feels good. This is what I was meant to do with my life
11 months ago
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Someone should do a statistical analysis of Bob’s jinx rate. Not because it’d be meaningful, just because it would kill the joke
1 day ago
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Cubs locker room must be so angry right now, a lot of them at themselves for not thinking to ask for the day off
1 day ago
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Every reliever in baseball is either a closed brown paper bag with the word "reliever" written on it, or else Kenley Jansen
1 day ago
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reposted by
Patrick Dubuque
Steven Goldman
4 days ago
An encore for yesterday's column as we hit the weekend. When we speak honestly about the dead, we're testing our own integrity and objectivity. To lie about them is to erase them and rewrite their story for your own purposes. I don't say any of that in here, but I s'pose it's implicit. Baseball!
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I guess I should promote it. This one is about Roald Dahl, war, and being forcibly drowned in an empty field in Europe. Also, the Rockies, a bit.
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4 days ago
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My last Box Score Banter of the year. Free to read, as they always are.
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Box Score Banter: Do or Die | Baseball Prospectus
The Reds live. And so do you.
https://www.baseballprospectus.com/news/article/101698/box-score-banter-2025-do-or-die-hunter-greene/
4 days ago
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Writing is too hard. They should make it easier
4 days ago
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The Dodgers are getting perilously close to Phillies territory in terms of "looking up the score after reading the posts and realizing they're actually winning"
4 days ago
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reposted by
Patrick Dubuque
Today for
@baseballprospectus.com
I ranked baseball's best and worst backsplashes.
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Cold Takes: An Abridged Ranking of Baseball Backsplashes | Baseball Prospectus
Eyes have value, and value must be extracted.
https://www.baseballprospectus.com/news/article/101648/cold-takes-an-abridged-ranking-of-baseball-backsplashes/
5 days ago
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oh so now apparently people aren't supposed to touch grass
4 days ago
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"High five! High five? No? Yeah? OK."
4 days ago
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reposted by
Patrick Dubuque
Steven Goldman
5 days ago
As I was moved to say in the comments, "If the goal is to venerate someone for purposes that have nothing to do with the reality of their lives... That's a manipulative politics that has no relationship to critical thinking and is in fact actively opposed to it." That's what this column is about.
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The Tigers have one batter in the lineup with an OPS below .720. The Guardians have one batter in the lineup today with an OPS above .720
5 days ago
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I ranked walls. If you want to make your own power ranking of walls, here's a doc with all 30 backsplashes:
docs.google.com/document/d/1...
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5 days ago
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reposted by
Patrick Dubuque
Marc Normandin
5 days ago
lot of important info in here, but I want to say one thing that should undo a lot of the whining from around the league about Tanner Scott's deal: he was still available in mid-January, the Dodgers signed him because no one else would. That's the beginning and end of that one.
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'If a cap is the only answer, we're all in trouble': What fight over salary cap means for MLB's future
There are two words MLB and the MLBPA simply cannot agree on. Here's how it got this way and what it means for the next CBA.
https://www.espn.com/mlb/story/_/id/46294140/mlb-labor-negotiations-salary-cap-baseball-talks-2027-season-lockout
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Today for
@baseballprospectus.com
I ranked baseball's best and worst backsplashes.
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Cold Takes: An Abridged Ranking of Baseball Backsplashes | Baseball Prospectus
Eyes have value, and value must be extracted.
https://www.baseballprospectus.com/news/article/101648/cold-takes-an-abridged-ranking-of-baseball-backsplashes/
5 days ago
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reposted by
Patrick Dubuque
Sam Miller
6 days ago
wrote about the state of the Rizzo Crash, my worries about the Rizzo Straddle, and the shock on Rizzo Weekend
pebblehunting.substack.com/p/the-rizzo-...
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The Rizzo Special
On charging bunts, on straddling bases, on living the good life.
https://pebblehunting.substack.com/p/the-rizzo-special
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reposted by
Patrick Dubuque
Marc Normandin
5 days ago
My latest for
@endlessmode.bsky.social
is my entry into the remakes debate. They should have purpose and justification to exist for reasons other than dollar signs, and the literary tradition of revisions and new translations of classics like The Iliad have already shown the industry how to do that.
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There's a Right and Wrong Way to Remake A Classic Video Game—And The Iliad Explains How
What justifies a remake? Between Trails in the Sky 1st Chapter and endless translations of Homer and Shakespeare, we've found some answers.
https://www.endlessmode.com/video-games/remakes/theres-a-right-and-wrong-way-to-remake-a-classic-video-game-and-the-iliad-explains-how
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It absolutely is. You should read RJ's novel as well, but any time we get some sportswriting, you have to stop what you're doing.
www.amazon.com/All-Things-S...
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6 days ago
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Until they make a rule against it this is always the slam dunk when it comes to this prompt
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6 days ago
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social media sites need a "you don't say" button
6 days ago
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Also leads off with some volleyball chat, which I add because we need some listeners to chime in and tell what it is I'm missing on that front
add a skeleton here at some point
6 days ago
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reposted by
Patrick Dubuque
Rob Mains
7 days ago
At
@baseballprospectus.com
today: The zombie runner has shortened extra-inning games, but how much?
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How Much Time Does the Zombie Runner Save? | Baseball Prospectus
Is the pitch clock the real savings?
https://www.baseballprospectus.com/news/article/101532/veteran-presence-how-much-time-does-the-zombie-runner-save
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Also, I went back and unlocked the original February study for all to read, if what you want to read is a bunch of math about how teams don't let their runners get thrown out at the plate enough. You can read it here:
www.baseballprospectus.com/news/article...
add a skeleton here at some point
7 days ago
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opened up my kid's backpack before school this morning and he had four hoodies in there. upsetting number of hoodies
7 days ago
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reposted by
Patrick Dubuque
Davy Andrews
7 days ago
I think this is one of the better things I've written. When you compare two pitchers on the same team, you can get a really clear look at the million different things that go into team defense.
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My Redford film of choice is Three Days of the Condor, which is also my 70s film of choice. OK, actually, it's my Max Von Sydow movie of choice, but they work so well together as foils
7 days ago
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Before the season started, I went on a deep dive on a very niche topic: sacrifice fly success rate and third base coach cowardice. The year’s almost over, so I revisited the topic to see if trends held up. Are teams better at this? Are they leaving runs on the table?
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Cold Takes: A Sacrificial Alteration | Baseball Prospectus
Third base coaches are still cowards, but incrementally less so.
https://www.baseballprospectus.com/news/article/101536/cold-takes-a-sacrificial-alteration-sacrifice-flies-evolution/
7 days ago
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Congratulations to Cal Raleigh for his "MVP in plenty of other seasons" season
8 days ago
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Every year around this time my wife asks if we want to do a pumpkin patch and I have to be like “no. our children are 12 and 10. agritourism has no hold on us anymore”
9 days ago
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(when my team is barely fending off teams for a playoff spot) swear to god, feels like these other teams win more than half the time
9 days ago
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When the guitar kicks in, 1:30 into the They Might Be Giants song Hall of Heads (1992)
add a skeleton here at some point
10 days ago
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not even going to turn on the mariners game until the 11th, why bother
10 days ago
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reposted by
Patrick Dubuque
Suss-- 🥌
10 days ago
mods asleep post rich hill's next likely MLB team power rankings
www.baseballprospectus.com/news/article...
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The Short Order: Rich Hill's Next Team | Baseball Prospectus
Don't pretend it isn't happening.
https://www.baseballprospectus.com/news/article/101468/the-short-order-rich-hills-next-team/
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reposted by
Patrick Dubuque
Andrew Baggarly
10 days ago
Posted earlier today: Patrick Bailey, by himself, has accounted for nearly 19 percent of all net positive framing runs saved in MLB this season. That's ... incredible. He also goes through catcher's mitts as fast as you (probably) go through a roll of toilet paper.
www.nytimes.com/athletic/662...
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Trashing the leather: The hidden cost of Patrick Bailey’s elite pitch framing skills
Pulling borderline pitches into the strike zone causes the Giants' Gold Glove catcher to burn through catcher's mitts throughout the season.
https://www.nytimes.com/athletic/6621510/2025/09/12/sf-giants-patrick-bailey-catchers-mitt-pitch-framing
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It's wild to be 90% of the way through the season and see the designated starter at any team's position on B-Ref have this number of plate appearances
10 days ago
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I restrained myself, because I go in and out with that game and I'm out right now. Gold stake isn't that fun, honestly. But maybe I'll try to get the boys into Luck Be a Landlord for next time
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11 days ago
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Couple of pieces from me out today, for your reading enjoyment. First, for Box Score Banter, I recapped the Mariners' big long night, and the joys of messy September extra-inning baseball:
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Box Score Banter: Too Tired to Do Anything But Win | Baseball Prospectus
Milestones matter more and less than you think.
https://www.baseballprospectus.com/news/article/101481/box-score-banter-2025-too-tired-to-do-anything-but-win/
11 days ago
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I don't believe I deserve Luke Jackson. If I do, I'd like to see the charges
11 days ago
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no, seriously
add a skeleton here at some point
11 days ago
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Wild to me that the M's pitched to Trout with the go-ahead run on third and two bases open. Sad to me, a little, that it was obviously the correct choice
11 days ago
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catcher's box now
11 days ago
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You have to beat the Rockies by at least three or it shouldn’t count. The loss still counts but not the win. I’m sorry but it’s fair
11 days ago
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Some advice to remember: Never say “he might be turning the corner” about someone facing the Colorado Rockies
11 days ago
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Someday a team is going to look to hire a generalist manager, and that’ll be my chance
11 days ago
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Paying a psychic to tell me which innings not to watch JesĂşs Luzardo
11 days ago
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reposted by
Patrick Dubuque
alex chamberlain
11 days ago
just remembered i wrote trevor rogers' comment for the baseball prospectus annual. enjoy:
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Patrick Dubuque
1st Viscount Craigavon
11 days ago
This was really fun, and a great look at how simple questions can have complex answers. Some great visuals too.
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Kevin Gausman shut out the Astros in the amount of time it would take to listen to the entirety of Melon Collie and the Infinite Sadness, plus five minutes of regretting that decision
11 days ago
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Watching a shutout in 2025 is basically like watching a no-hitter in 1990, except there were more no-hitters in 1990
11 days ago
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