My Sunday Times piece: The chancellor has hinted at cutting official forecasts to one a year, which would be a mistake. Just treat one of the OBR’s two forecasts as advisory, not a call for immediate action: Don’t shoot the messenger by burying OBR forecasts www.thetimes.com/article/6040...

Cancelling food security data does not cancel hunger missouriindependent.com/2025/10/01/c...

TACO

New WP: We study how minimum wage increases affect poverty and food hardship in the U.S from 1981-2019. Different from recent work, we study the Supplemental Poverty Measure + two measures of food hardship, factor in cost-of-living differences, and more. www.iza.org/publications...

🚨 New paper in @thejop.bsky.social Why do politicians often misperceive what citizens' policy positions are? @simonotjes.bsky.social and I study ~10,000 estimates of public opinion by politicians in Denmark & the Netherlands to uncover the sources of these (mis)perceptions Thread 🧵1/10

The chaotic rollout of new rules on visas for highly skilled workers and moves against his political opponents have prompted some companies to consider relocating staff or diverting activity away from the US on.ft.com/3VG3CcL

A (partial) return to Labour's successful New Deal for Young People. A good start, but not nearly ambitious enough: 18 months is too long to leave young people NEET, and crucially many (perhaps most) are not on Universal Credit at all. www.bbc.co.uk/news/article...

♨️Early view How do citizens participate politically across policy fields❓ What are the formats & different modes of #PublicInvolvement❓ @ekrick.bsky.social shows impact fostering institutional arrangements & #CitizenEngagement practices👇 doi.org/10.1093/pols...

www.theguardian.com/sport/2025/s... Not even the Ryder cup is shielded from the MAGA wave… :(

Depolarization is not "a scalable solution for reducing societal-level conflict.... achieving lasting depolarization will likely require....moving beyond individual-level treatments to address the elite behaviors and structural incentives that fuel partisan conflict" www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/...

There is no better sign of the fucked up situation the US, than Ted Cruz emergeing as a beackon of courage and decency in the fight for democracy.

I know you're all going to be really shocked by this one, but 110 unpaid caregivers were provided $450/mo for a year in Ithaca NY, and here's what happened: ✅️Significantly higher rates of employment (the income helped them afford jobs) ✅️Better health outcomes ✅️Savings increased by 13% ✅️Hope grew

Trump Administration Stopping Efforts to Collect Scientific Data www.nytimes.com/2025/09/18/c...

The Fed Has No Good Options as Hiring Wobbles and Inflation Picks Up www.nytimes.com/2025/09/18/b...

Viktor Orbán's propaganda machine released a pseudo-report dismissing all Jean Monnet professors as "propagandists." 1. We're funded to study EU integration, not promote it 2. Many Jean Monnet scholars are among the EU's sharpest critics - including myself 3. Funding goes to universities not us

Satire lives to fight another day... www.youtube.com/watch?v=_GXN...

👀

'Changing the Rules: Constitutional Amendments in Democracies' by George Tsebelis. Demonstrates that constitutional rigidity is a necessary condition for the absence of frequent and significant constitutional amendments and judicial independence. 📚 cup.org/4ltnTxn 📚

Here's a partial list of university faculty who have been fired or suspended this week. 🧵 How are free speech and academic freedom doing at your university? #academicsky #edusky #aaup #freespeech 1/x 1. A tenured Professor at Florida Atlantic:

#SPorg10YearsCampaign #SPorgMilestones - As we revisit the moments that shaped our journey in the #SPorgMilestones Series, let’s rewind to #2020: a year of global disruption and urgent action. +

vsports.pt/noticia/brun... prometeu e cumpriu 👏

Que passou-se, Quarabagh?

RIP Bill Mckay 😢

aw man, RIP

"Who Thrives and Who Falls Behind? Household Income Differences in Luxembourg and its Neighbouring Countries" ... and why we need more research on Luxembourg✍️☺️ www.lisdatacenter.org/newsletter/n...

Israel has committed genocide in Gaza, says UN inquiry

After a democracy turns illiberal, can it return to democracy again? Here are the reasons why democracy after illiberalism is hard to maintain.

There's an unhealthy silence in the EU on the role that Greek ship owners played in helping Putin build his shadow fleet and the flood of transshipments going to Russia from all across the EU. I'm deeply grateful to @marcbrost.bsky.social at Germany's FOCUS Magazin for letting me write about this...

The DOGE team was acting like “a bunch of people who didn’t know what they were doing, with ideas of how government should run — thinking it should work like a McDonald’s or a bank — screaming all the time,” former SSA Commissioner Leland Dudek said.

Shot, chaser Young men more likely to vote Green than Reform. Young men second most progressive group of any demographic. Combined right-wing vote barely bigger than Green vote alone for young men

German industrial orders unexpectedly drop in July reut.rs/3VxqCdN

Radical right accommodation really does not work. New paper out with this exceptionally talented team @katharinalawall.bsky.social @robjohns75.bsky.social @drjennings.bsky.social @sarahobolt.bsky.social @zachdickson.bsky.social @danjdevine.bsky.social & @jack-bailey.co.uk doi.org/10.31235/osf...

@durlauf.bsky.social of the @ucstonecenter.bsky.social conducts an outstanding interview here with Fabian Pfeffer (LMU, München) on wealth inequality, and how it's far more telling than income inequality.

The pursuit of equity in COVID-19 policy and policymaking: A qualitative systematic review open-research-europe.ec.europa.eu/articles/5-167

👀👀👀👀👇👇👇👇👇

👀👀

Darren Beattie - the State Dept official who dismantled the US government's main center for fighting Russian and Chinese propaganda around the world - turns out to have personal ties to the Russian elite. www.telegraph.co.uk/us/news/2025...

PSA: Don’t trust anyone who tells you that you can identify age or period or cohort effects simply by applying the right statistical model to the right type of data. This is fundamentally misunderstanding the nature of the age-period-cohort problem!>

Can moving government jobs revitalize struggling regions? I explore this question in my new @nberpubs.bsky.social working paper, „The Potential of Public Employment Reallocation as a Place-Based Policy.“ 🧵(1/5) #EconSky #PlaceBasedPolicies #RegionalDevelopment

Agora reflita:

Taxing the super-rich does not lead to significant tax evasion by moving to other countries papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....

Se o que precisas é um podcast com um tipo fanhoso a comentar a centralidade do tema das pensões e da sustentabilidade da Segurança Social na campanha eleitoral… tenho o podcast para ti 👇👇👇 @iseg @publico.pt podcasts.apple.com/pt/podcast/p...

This is getting lots of attention - check the thread. I want to emphasize the basic problem: Just because you have randomized (or pseudo-randmized) a treatment, that doesn't mean you can reliably estimate interactions with that treatment. Which means post-strat prediction for population not possible

taxfoundation.org/blog/interst... tendo eu reservas significativas sobre o desenho e efeitos distributivos do IRS Jovem, seria importante perceber o seu real impacto na atração e retenção de capital humano na economia portuguesa

social-policy.org.uk/spa-blog/blo... 👇👇

Significant reductions in child poverty across Europe in the last decade. 👏👏 But still a lot to do.

ISW: Russia prepares to forcibly remove and deport Ukrainian children this summer Russian authorities will deport over 53,000 Ukrainian children to “summer camps” designed to erase their Ukrainian identity, according to a new ISW analysis euromaidanpress.com/2025/04/30/i...

This is good stuff. archaeologymag.com/2025/04/stud...